Foreign Policy Magazine

HERE’S LOOKING AT YOU, 2050

How a less Christian Europe, an aging population in the West, and the empowerment of women are going to shape the future.

THE 21ST CENTURY is still just a teenager, but we can already forecast with a fair degree of confidence what its demographic profile will look like by 2050.

Population growth will have slowed down. Global aging will have risen to unprecedented levels. Birthrates will drop. The working-age share of the world’s population will shrink. Poverty will ameliorate in poor countries; income inequality will worsen in wealthy ones. And for the first time ever, Islam will challenge Christianity as the world’s largest religion.

What’s notable about these disparate trends is how much they are interrelated. They’re

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