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Survey of Likely Voters in Virginia

Topline Summary Report October 21, 2012


Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters statewide in Virginia regarding the November election. The survey included 1,000 likely voters and was conducted Oct. 19-20, 2012. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.07 percentage points.

2. Thinking about how things are going, in general, here in our local area, would you say things are headed in the right direction or do you think they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT-WRONG TRACK Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK Valid NOT SURE Total 83 1000 8.3 100.0 8.3 100.0 100.0 444 473 44.4 47.3 44.4 47.3 44.4 91.7

3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?


OBAMA FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 427 90 88 394 1 1000 42.7 9.0 8.8 39.4 .1 100.0 42.7 9.0 8.8 39.4 .1 100.0 42.7 51.7 60.5 99.9 100.0

4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?


ROMNEY FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 458 122 132 283 6 1000 45.8 12.2 13.2 28.3 .6 100.0 45.8 12.2 13.2 28.3 .6 100.0 45.8 58.0 71.2 99.4 100.0

5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Timothy Kaine?


KAINE FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 368 119 113 364 37 1000 36.8 11.9 11.3 36.4 3.7 100.0 36.8 11.9 11.3 36.4 3.7 100.0 36.8 48.6 59.9 96.3 100.0

6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Allen?


ALLEN FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 389 188 91 290 43 1000 38.9 18.8 9.1 29.0 4.3 100.0 38.9 18.8 9.1 29.0 4.3 100.0 38.9 57.7 66.7 95.7 100.0

7. If the election for President of the United States was today, and the candidates were Republican Mitt Romney, Democrat Barack Obama, Virgil Goode of the Constitution Party, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent ROMNEY OBAMA GOODE Valid JOHNSON STEIN NOT SURE Total 492 471 3 4 4 25 1000 49.2 47.1 .3 .4 .4 2.5 100.0 49.2 47.1 .3 .4 .4 2.5 100.0 49.2 96.4 96.7 97.1 97.5 100.0

8. Thinking about the choice you just made for President, how firm would you say you are in your selection?
PRESIDENT - FIRM IN CHOICE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent FIRM IN CHOICE COULD CHANGE MY MIND Valid VERY OPEN TO CHANGE Total 10 1000 1.0 100.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 946 43 94.6 4.3 94.6 4.3 94.6 99.0

9. If the election for U.S. Senate representing Virginia was today, and the candidates were Democrat Timothy Kaine and Republican George Allen, for whom would you vote?
SENATE BALLOT Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent KAINE ALLEN Valid NOT SURE Total 45 1000 4.5 100.0 4.5 100.0 100.0 461 494 46.1 49.4 46.1 49.4 46.1 95.5

10. Thinking about the choice you just made for U.S. Senate, how firm would you say you are in your selection?
SENATE - FIRM IN CHOICE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent FIRM IN CHOICE COULD CHANGE MY MIND Valid VERY OPEN TO CHANGE Total 30 1000 3.0 100.0 3.0 100.0 100.0 922 48 92.2 4.8 92.2 4.8 92.2 97.0

PARTY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent DEM GOP Valid INDY Total 150 1000 15.0 100.0 15.0 100.0 100.0 460 390 46.0 39.0 46.0 39.0 46.0 85.0

PHILOSOPHY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE Valid CONSERVATIVE VERY CONSERVATIVE Total 215 230 1000 21.5 23.0 100.0 21.5 23.0 100.0 77.0 100.0 217 144 193 21.7 14.4 19.3 21.7 14.4 19.3 21.7 36.1 55.5

GENDER Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent MEN Valid WOMEN Total 480 520 1000 48.0 52.0 100.0 48.0 52.0 100.0 48.0 100.0

REGION Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent NORTH VA S-SW VA Valid CENTRAL-SE VA Total 450 1000 45.0 100.0 45.0 100.0 100.0 410 140 41.0 14.0 41.0 14.0 41.0 55.0

AGE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent UNDER AGE 30 30s 40s Valid 50s 60s 70 + Total 120 130 170 190 210 180 1000 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 25.0 42.0 61.0 82.0 100.0

INCOME Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent $50K OR LESS $50K TO 475K $75K TO $125K Valid $125K OR MORE REFUSED Total 181 99 1000 18.1 9.9 100.0 18.1 9.9 100.0 90.1 100.0 326 184 210 32.6 18.4 21.0 32.6 18.4 21.0 32.6 51.0 72.0

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