Survey of Likely Voters in Pennsylvania

Topline Summary Report Oct. 24, 2012

Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters statewide in Pennsylvania regarding the November election. The survey was conducted Oct. 22-23, 2012, and included 1,000 respondents. The survey carries a margin of error of +/- 3.07 percentage points.

2. Thinking about how things are going here in Pennsylvania, would you say things are, generally speaking, headed in the right direction, or do you think they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT-WRONG TRACK Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK Valid NOT SURE Total 111 1000 11.1 100.0 11.1 100.0 100.0 373 515 37.3 51.5 37.3 51.5 37.3 88.9

3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Smith?

SMITH FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 227 196 101 217 259 1000 22.7 19.6 10.1 21.7 25.9 100.0 22.7 19.6 10.1 21.7 25.9 100.0 22.7 42.3 52.4 74.1 100.0

4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Casey?

CASEY FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 233 226 197 225 118 1000 23.3 22.6 19.7 22.5 11.8 100.0 23.3 22.6 19.7 22.5 11.8 100.0 23.3 46.0 65.7 88.2 100.0

5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rayburn Douglas Smith?

RAYBURN SMITH FAVS Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT Valid UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 11 54 79 39 817 1000 1.1 5.4 7.9 3.9 81.7 100.0 1.1 5.4 7.9 3.9 81.7 100.0 1.1 6.5 14.4 18.3 100.0

6. If the election for U.S. Senator was today, and the candidates were Republican Tom Smith, Democrat Bob Casey, and Libertarian Rayburn Douglas Smith, for whom would you vote?
SENATE BALLOT Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent TOM SMITH BOB CASEY Valid R.D. SMITH NOT SURE Total 440 452 22 86 1000 44.0 45.2 2.2 8.6 100.0 44.0 45.2 2.2 8.6 100.0 44.0 89.2 91.4 100.0

7. Thinking about the choice you just made for U.S. Senate, how firm would you say you are in your selection?
SENATE-FIRM IN CHOICE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent FIRM IN CHOICE COULD CHANGE MY MIND Valid VERY OPEN TO CHANGE Total 73 1000 7.3 100.0 7.3 100.0 100.0 776 152 77.6 15.2 77.6 15.2 77.6 92.7

PARTY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent DEM GOP Valid INDY Total 160 1000 16.0 100.0 16.0 100.0 100.0 440 400 44.0 40.0 44.0 40.0 44.0 84.0

PHILOSOPHY Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE Valid CONSERVATIVE VERY CONSERVATIVE Total 256 173 1000 25.6 17.3 100.0 25.6 17.3 100.0 82.7 100.0 137 194 239 13.7 19.4 23.9 13.7 19.4 23.9 13.7 33.2 57.1

GENDER Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent MEN Valid WOMEN Total 490 510 1000 49.0 51.0 100.0 49.0 51.0 100.0 49.0 100.0

REGION Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent WESTERN PA SOUTH-CENTRAL PA Valid N-NE PA SE-PHILLY Total 300 210 150 340 1000 30.0 21.0 15.0 34.0 100.0 30.0 21.0 15.0 34.0 100.0 30.0 51.0 66.0 100.0

AGE Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent UNDER AGE 30 30s 40s Valid 50s 60s 70 + Total 120 130 170 190 210 180 1000 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 12.0 25.0 42.0 61.0 82.0 100.0

INCOME Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent $50K OR LESS $50K TO $75K $75K TO $125K Valid $125K OR MORE REFUSED Total 122 85 1000 12.2 8.5 100.0 12.2 8.5 100.0 91.5 100.0 381 215 197 38.1 21.5 19.7 38.1 21.5 19.7 38.1 59.6 79.3