Scenario 1

Year

Overweight In
US

Population
Trying to Lose
Weight (35%)

Comfortable
With Weight
Loss drugs
(15%)

Medibical Will
Capture

71,060,000

24,871,000

3,730,650

10%

71,060,000

24,871,000

3,730,650

15%

71,060,000

24,871,000

3,730,650

20%

71,060,000

24,871,000

3,730,650

25%

71,060,000

24,871,000

3,730,650

30%

Scenario 2
Year

US Pop

34%
Overweight

12% Target
Market

Metabical
Captures

209,000,000

71,060,000

8,527,200

10%

209,000,000

71,060,000

8,527,200

15%

209,000,000

71,060,000

8,527,200

20%

209,000,000

71,060,000

8,527,200

25%

209,000,000

71,060,000

8,527,200

30%

Scenario 3
Year

Market

Capitalizatio
n

One
Supply(20%*74.
80)

4,300,000

30

1,290,000

$19,298,400

4,300,000

35

1,505,000

$22,514,800

4,300,000

40

1,720,000

$25,731,200

4,300,000

45

1,935,000

$28,947,600

4,300,000

50

2,150,000

$32,164,000

Population
Captured

One
Supply(20%*24.
80)

Two
Supply(60%*49.
60)

Full
Cycle(20%*74.4
0)

373,065

1,850,402

11,102,414

5,551,207

559,598

2,775,604

16,653,622

8,326,810

746,130

3,700,805

22,204,829

11,102,414

932,663

4,626,006

27,756,036

13,878,018

1,119,195

5,551,207

33,307,234

16,653,621

Captured

One Supply(20%
* $24.80)

Two Supply(60%
* $49.60)

Full Cycle(20% *
$74.40)

852,720

$4,229,491

$25,376,947

$12,688,474

1,279,080

$6,344,237

$38,065,421

$19,032,710

1,705,440

$8,458,982

$50,753,894

$25,376,947

2,131,800

$10,573,728

$63,442,368

$31,721,184

2,558,160

$12,688,474

$76,130,842

$38,065,421

Two
Supply(60%*149.
6)

Full
Cycle(20%*224.
2)

$115,790,400

$57,895,200

$135,088,800

$67,544,400

$154,387,200

$77,193,600

$173,685,600

$86,842,800

$192,984,000

$96,492,000