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OH-Gov PPP for Ohio Democratic Party (Nov. 2013)

OH-Gov PPP for Ohio Democratic Party (Nov. 2013)

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Nov 12, 2013
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From
To: I
Subj
Date

In he
who n
for U
Demo
Kasic

Kasic
job p
gover
third
Repu

Hurti
Repu
incum
challe
better
but al

That
holdi
their

Pillic
than M
(85%
wom

PPP s
poll w
c Policy Pollin
Highwoods B
igh, NC 27604
m: Dustin I
Interested
ject: Kasich
e: 11/12/201
ad-to-head m
narrowly ou
U.S. Senate so
ocratic oppo
ch can only t
ch’s job appr
erformance,
rnors runnin
in terms of v
ublicans.
ing Kasich m
ublicans appr
mbents in so
enges, shoul
r. Perhaps th
lso a Liberta
Libertarian,
ing Kasich to
support) mo
ch leads Man
Mandel does
%) considerab
en (50-38), h
surveyed 595
was sponsored
ng
Blvd.
4
Pho
Web
Ema
Ingalls, Ass
parties
h, Mandel
13
matchups wi
usted Ted Str
oundly last f
onents. In fa
tie Cuyahog
roval numbe
similar to th
ng for re-elec
vulnerability
most is that h
rove, and 26
lid shape for
ld have appr
hat is why K
arian oppone
Charlie Ear
o a 41% tie w
ore than Kasi
ndel by four
s of Democr
bly more tha
helping to co
Ohio voters f
d by the Ohio

one: 888 621-
b: www.public
ail: informatio
sistant Dire
in real dan
ith their likel
rickland in 2
fall, are bare
act, Mandel a
a County Ex
ers are pretty
he 42-47 spr
ction next ye
y. Six of tho
his own base
% disapprov
r re-election
ovals in the
Kasich has dr
ent.
rl, draws 6%
with FitzGer
ich does his
points, 47-4
rats (12%), p
an Mandel do
ounteract Ma
from Novemb
Democratic
6988
cpolicypolling
on@publicpoli
ector
nger
ly opponents
010, and Tre
ely above 40
already trails
xecutive Ed F
y weak. 37%
read we foun
ear are in wo
ose seven bel
e is not stron
ve of the wo
, especially t
75-80% ran
rawn not onl
of the vote,
rald. FitzGe
(68%).
43. She earn
part of the re
oes his (72%
andel’s sligh
ber 5
th
to 6
th
.
Party.
.com
icypolling.com
s next fall, b
eausrer J osh
% of the vot
s state Rep. C
FitzGerald.
% approve an
nd in August
orse shape, p
low Kasich
ngly behind h
rk he is doin
those who w
nge with their
ly a strong D
, including 1
erald unites h
ns more of th
eason she ho
%). Pillich ha
ht lead with m
The margin o
m
both Gov. J oh
h Mandel, wh
te against lit
Connie Pilli
nd 42% disap
t. Only seve
putting him in
in their vote
him. Only 5
ng. Normall
want to fend
r own partis
Democratic c
1% of indep
his party (wi
he GOP vote
lds her party
as a 12-poin
men (48-45)
of error is +/-
hn Kasich,
ho lost a bid
ttle-known
ch, and
pprove of hi
en of the 29
n the top
ers’ eyes are
55% of
ly,
off primary
ans, if not
challenger
pendents,
ith 72% of
, at 18%,
y together
nt lead with
).
-4.0%. This
d
is
November 5-6, 2013
Survey of 595 Ohio voters
November 5-6, 2013
Survey of 595 Ohio voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Ohio Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
J ohn Kasich's job performance?
37%
Approve ..................
42%
Disapprove..............
21%
Not sure ..................
Q2 If the election for Governor were today, would
you vote for Republican J ohn Kasich,
Democrat Ed FitzGerald, or Libertarian Charlie
Earl?
41%
John Kasich ....................................................
41%
Ed FitzGerald..................................................
6%
Charlie Earl .....................................................
13%
Not sure..........................................................
Q3 If the election for State Treasurer were today,
would you vote for Republican J osh Mandel or
Democrat Connie Pillich?
43%
Josh Mandel ...................................................
47%
Connie Pillich..................................................
10%
Not sure..........................................................
Q4 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
52%
Woman ...........................................................
48%
Man.................................................................
Q5 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
38%
Democrat ........................................................
36%
Republican......................................................
25%
Independent/Other ..........................................
Q6 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.
82%
White ..............................................................
12%
African-American ............................................
6%
Other...............................................................
Q7 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
12%
18 to 29...........................................................
18%
30 to 45...........................................................
47%
46 to 65...........................................................
23%
Older than 65..................................................
November 5-6, 2013
survey of 595 Ohio voters
November 5-6, 2013
survey of 595 Ohio voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Kasich Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

37% 35% 39%
42% 41% 43%
21% 24% 17%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Kasich/Fit zGer ald/Ea-
r l
John Kasich
Ed Fit zGer ald
Char lie Ear l
Not sur e

41% 37% 44%
41% 42% 39%
6% 6% 6%
13% 14% 11%

Base
Gender
Woman Man
Mandel/Pillich
Josh Mandel
Connie Pillich
Not sur e

43% 38% 48%
47% 50% 45%
10% 12% 7%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Kasich Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

37% 16% 55% 43%
42% 59% 26% 39%
21% 25% 19% 18%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Kasich/Fit zGer ald/Ea-
r l
John Kasich
Ed Fit zGer ald
Char lie Ear l
Not sur e

41% 15% 68% 41%
41% 72% 14% 32%
6% 4% 5% 11%
13% 10% 14% 15%

Base
Par t y
Democr at Republican Independent/Other
Mandel/Pillich
Josh Mandel
Connie Pillich
Not sur e

43% 12% 72% 48%
47% 85% 18% 33%
10% 4% 10% 19%
November 5-6, 2013
survey of 595 Ohio voters
November 5-6, 2013
survey of 595 Ohio voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs

Base
Race
Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Kasich Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

37% 39% 17% 55%
42% 42% 49% 30%
21% 19% 34% 16%

Base
Race
Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Kasich/Fit zGer ald/Ea-
r l
John Kasich
Ed Fit zGer ald
Char lie Ear l
Not sur e

41% 44% 15% 51%
41% 37% 69% 31%
6% 6% 4% 5%
13% 13% 12% 13%

Base
Race
Whit e
Af r ican-
Amer ican Ot her
Mandel/Pillich
Josh Mandel
Connie Pillich
Not sur e

43% 46% 18% 44%
47% 43% 79% 39%
10% 10% 2% 17%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Kasich Appr oval
Appr ove
Disappr ove
Not sur e

37% 26% 33% 38% 44%
42% 51% 48% 41% 35%
21% 23% 20% 21% 21%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Kasich/Fit zGer ald/Ea-
r l
John Kasich
Ed Fit zGer ald
Char lie Ear l
Not sur e

41% 37% 40% 39% 46%
41% 40% 38% 43% 39%
6% 6% 10% 5% 5%
13% 17% 13% 13% 11%

Base
Age
18 t o
29
30 t o
45
46 t o
65
Older
t han 65
Mandel/Pillich
Josh Mandel
Connie Pillich
Not sur e

43% 37% 53% 42% 41%
47% 57% 38% 49% 48%
10% 6% 10% 10% 11%

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