National McLaughlin 8-17-15 Presentation SAN For RELEASE WEBSITE

National Survey
SecureAmericaNow.org
August 2015
McLaughlin & Associates
www.mclaughlinonline.com
Caddell Associates
Methodology
This survey of 1,000 likely general election voters nationwide was
conducted on August 13th-17th, 2015.
All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were
distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These
units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a
nationwide general election.
This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for
cross-tabulations.
National Survey
August 2015
McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates
Major Findings:
82% of all voters OPPOSE President Obama's plan to give $100 billion in sanctions
relief within the next few months to Iran without the approval of Congress.
67% of all voters would NOT approve of a deal that does NOT allow independent
inspections of Iran's military laboratories, no US monitoring of the program and no
Americans or Canadians on the ground in Iran to inspect in any capacity.
64% of all voters think that President Obama and Secretary Kerry are only telling
Americans what they think will help the agreement be passed by Congress. Only
19% think they are telling Americans all the facts.
61% of all voters want their Senators and Congressman to vote No on the deal
knowing that since the agreement was announced secret side deal exist between
the UN and Iran exist that will not be released to Congress or the public. Only 16%
would vote Yes.
58% say it's better to walk away from the deal now and negotiate from strength for
a better deal now. Only 24% say that it's the best deal we can get now.
National Survey
August 2015
Major Findings:
57% say the deal should be rejected and it's not too late to re-open negotiations.
Only 24% agree with President Obama and Secretary Kerry who say we have no
realistic choice to avoid war.
55% that since it's a similar agreement that North Korea received, Iran will take the
$100 billion in sanctions relief, violate the agreement and build nuclear weapons
anyway. Only 23% say that this is an entirely different case.
53% say that they would like to see Sen Schumer and other leading Democrats
work together to override the President's veto. Only 22% would want the
President's veto stand.
55% think that there's enough time to change our position. Only 19% said we
should not change.
52% disagree with President Obama that his opponents are ideologically extreme
or ignorant of the facts. Only 33% agree.
National Survey
August 2015
Do you believe President Obama should give Iran up to

$100 billion dollars in sanctions relief within the next
couple of weeks or months WITHOUT the approval of
Congress?
90
82
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
11
0
Yes
National Survey
August 2015
No
DK/Ref.
Yes
No
East
11
81
Midwest
84
South
83
West
80
Right Direction
17
67
Wrong Track
91
Approve Obama.
13
70
Disapprove Obama
95
Favorable Clinton
14
72
Unfavorable Clinton
91
Vote Republican
93
Vote Democrat
12
73
Vote Undecided
78
Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP
90
Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP
84
Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton
94
Republican
93
Democrat
12
74
Independent
81
Liberal
16
68
Moderate
82
Conservative
96
White
86
African- American
11
72
Hispanic
13
74
Under 55
80
Over 55
86
Men
10
80
Women
84
Should Congress approve a deal that does NOT allow

independent U.S. inspections of Irans military
laboratories, no U.S. monitoring of the program and
no Americans or Canadians on the ground in Iran to
inspect in any capacity ?
80
67
70
60
50
40
30
20
20
14
10
0
Yes
National Survey
August 2015
No
DK/Ref.
Yes
No
East
16
60
Midwest
12
70
South
14
67
West
14
68
Right Direction
27
49
Wrong Track
78
Approve Obama.
21
52
Disapprove Obama
81
Favorable Clinton
21
53
Unfavorable Clinton
79
Vote Republican
12
81
Vote Democrat
17
56
Vote Undecided
57
71
67
72
Republican
12
80
Democrat
17
56
Independent
11
67
Liberal
22
51
Moderate
12
67
Conservative
82
White
11
72
African- American
15
55
Hispanic
25
54
Under 55
18
59
Over 55
78
Men
15
71
Women
12
63
Regarding the specifics of this agreement, do you think

that President Obama and Secretary Kerry are telling
Americans all the facts or only what they think will
help the agreement be passed by Congress?
80
70
64
60
50
40
30
20
19
17
10
0
All the Facts
National Survey
August 2015
Only What Helps Pass
DK/Ref.
Facts
Only
East
23
57
Midwest
18
64
South
18
67
West
19
63
Right Direction
40
37
Wrong Track
80
Approve Obama.
34
40
Disapprove Obama
86
Favorable Clinton
33
45
Unfavorable Clinton
81
Vote Republican
10
84
Vote Democrat
32
45
Vote Undecided
58
77
15
66
11
78
Republican
84
Democrat
32
45
Independent
14
65
Liberal
35
42
Moderate
18
61
Conservative
88
White
15
70
African- American
28
43
Hispanic
31
54
Under 55
22
60
Over 55
15
70
Men
21
67
Women
17
61
Since the agreement with Iran was announced, it has since

been learned that there are secret side deals between Iran
and the U.N. monitoring agency that have not been released
to Congress or the public, knowing this is true, would you
want your U.S. Senators and Congressman to vote Yes or no
on this agreement?
80
70
61
60
50
40
30
20
24
16
10
0
Vote YES
National Survey
August 2015
Vote NO
DK/Ref.
Yes
No
East
20
54
Midwest
13
63
South
15
62
West
16
61
Right Direction
39
37
Wrong Track
75
Approve Obama.
29
40
Disapprove Obama
82
Favorable Clinton
27
44
Unfavorable Clinton
77
Vote Republican
81
Vote Democrat
27
45
Vote Undecided
46
69
10
59
71
Republican
81
Democrat
28
44
Independent
11
60
Liberal
32
38
Moderate
14
59
Conservative
84
White
12
66
African- American
28
38
Hispanic
25
54
Under 55
17
57
Over 55
13
66
Men
21
63
Women
11
59
All things being equal, who do you agree with more?

President Obama who says that the agreement with Iran delays them from getting
nuclear weapons for 10 years and thats the best deal that we can get now and it
buys us time to avoid war with Iran, OR
Others who say that now is the time to stand up to Iran while we still have
enormous economic and military advantages over Iran. In 10 years Iran could
have nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles to carry them and a more powerful
conventional military and a revived economy to pay for them all. Better to walk
away from this agreement and negotiate from strength for a better deal than to
put this off for 10 years while Iran gets stronger.
80
70
58
60
50
40
30
24
18
20
10
0
President Obama
National Survey
August 2015
Those in Congress
DK/Ref.
Obama
Cong.
East
29
53
Midwest
21
58
South
21
63
West
26
53
Right Direction
53
30
Wrong Track
11
74
Approve Obama.
45
33
Disapprove Obama
82
Favorable Clinton
40
38
Unfavorable Clinton
12
76
Vote Republican
83
Vote Democrat
43
37
Vote Undecided
11
48
64
21
55
12
66
Republican
82
Democrat
40
37
Independent
19
60
Liberal
47
32
Moderate
20
57
Conservative
85
White
19
64
African- American
33
40
Hispanic
40
45
Under 55
27
52
Over 55
18
68
Men
27
61
Women
20
55
All things being equal, who do you agree with more?

President Obama and Secretary Kerry who say that we have no realistic choice to
avoid war, but to accept the agreement with Iran and Irans behavior will improve;
and in fact it is not possible to reopen negotiations OR
Those in Congress who say its a bad agreement that they did without input from
Congress and now it should be rejected to negotiate a better deal; and that it is
not too late to reopen the negotiations.
80
70
57
60
50
40
30
24
19
20
10
0
Pres. Obama
10
National Survey
August 2015
Opponents of Deal
DK/Ref.
Obama
Opp.
East
32
48
Midwest
20
57
South
21
64
West
27
53
Right Direction
52
28
Wrong Track
12
74
Approve Obama.
45
31
Disapprove Obama
83
Favorable Clinton
41
36
Unfavorable Clinton
12
76
Vote Republican
81
Vote Democrat
42
36
Vote Undecided
13
46
71
20
56
67
Republican
81
Democrat
41
37
Independent
19
57
Liberal
49
32
Moderate
20
56
Conservative
83
White
20
63
African- American
35
32
Hispanic
35
48
Under 55
27
53
Over 55
19
63
Men
27
61
Women
21
54
Previously the United States had a similar agreement with North Korea, negotiated
by some of the same American negotiators, not to develop nuclear weapons, but
North Korea violated the agreement and developed nuclear weapons anyway.
Would you say that this will be the same case with Iran, that theyll sign the
agreement, take the $100 billion in economic sanctions relief, violate the
agreement and build nuclear weapons anyway? Or do you think that the Iran
agreement is an entirely different case?
80
70
60
55
50
40
30
23
23
20
10
0
Yes/Same Case as
North Korea
11
National Survey
August 2015
No/Iran Deal Diff. Case
DK/Ref.
Same
Diff.
East
53
22
Midwest
54
21
South
54
25
West
58
21
Right Direction
39
35
Wrong Track
66
18
Approve Obama.
40
32
Disapprove Obama
70
14
Favorable Clinton
40
32
Unfavorable Clinton
68
16
Vote Republican
73
15
Vote Democrat
40
32
Vote Undecided
47
16
58
17
52
23
54
21
Republican
72
15
Democrat
41
29
Independent
55
23
Liberal
42
32
Moderate
50
24
Conservative
73
13
White
59
20
African- American
39
29
Hispanic
49
32
Under 55
49
27
Over 55
64
16
Men
60
26
Women
50
20
Override
Allow
East
49
24
Midwest
55
16
South
56
25
West
50
22
Right Direction
29
45
Wrong Track
69
12
Approve Obama.
28
38
Disapprove Obama
78
Favorable Clinton
33
33
Unfavorable Clinton
71
14
70
Vote Republican
80
Vote Democrat
31
36
60
Vote Undecided
38
16
58
13
46
20
62
14
Republican
79
11
Democrat
33
34
Independent
52
18
Liberal
32
39
Moderate
48
19
Conservative
80
White
59
18
African- American
31
32
Hispanic
46
33
Under 55
49
24
Over 55
60
19
Men
60
24
Women
47
19
Recently New York Senator Chuck Schumer, a leading national Democrat who's in
line to be the leader of the Democrats in the US Senate, announced his decision to
oppose the Obama administration's agreement with Iran. After the initial vote by
the Senate and Congress, if Congress disapproves of the deal, the President will
veto their resolution and Congress will have to override the President's veto. In
that case, would you like to see Senator Schumer and other leading Democrats
work together with Republicans to get enough votes to override the President's
veto and void the agreement with Iran, or allow the President's veto and the
agreement to stand?
80
53
50
40
30
22
25
20
10
0
Override Veto/Void
Deal
12
National Survey
August 2015
Allow Veto/Agreement
S tand
DK/Ref.
In the short time since the Iran agreement has been signed several things have
happened which violate the spirit if not the letter of the agreement. The leader of
the elite Iran Revolutionary Guard who has been under sanctions not to leave Iran
traveled to Moscow and met with Russian President Putin and his Minister of
Defense; Iran is still refusing to allow its scientists to be questioned by
the international agency on their military program on nuclear weapons in violation
of the agreement; and there is now photographic evidence that they are trying
to clean up the secret military base where nuclear research was carried out in
which they have refused previously to be inspected. Considering these incidences
do you think there is enough evidence for those who are planning to vote for the
agreement to change their position and now vote against the agreement?
80
70
60
55
50
40
26
30
19
20
10
0
Yes/Change Position
13
National Survey
August 2015
No/No Reason to
Change
DK/Ref.
Yes
No
East
49
25
Midwest
57
14
South
58
20
West
53
21
Right Direction
42
33
Wrong Track
64
14
Approve Obama.
41
29
Disapprove Obama
69
11
Favorable Clinton
45
26
Unfavorable Clinton
64
15
Vote Republican
70
12
Vote Democrat
44
28
Vote Undecided
43
14
57
16
51
20
58
18
Republican
70
11
Democrat
43
27
Independent
55
19
Liberal
44
28
Moderate
50
21
Conservative
72
White
58
18
African- American
41
26
Hispanic
55
22
Under 55
51
21
Over 55
61
17
Men
59
23
Women
52
16
President Obama has accused the opponents of this deal to be

either ideologically extreme or ignorant of the facts, do you agree
or disagree with this statement?
60
52
50
40
33
33
30
22
20
20
15
11
10
0
AGREE S trongly
14
National Survey
August 2015
S mwt
DIS AGREE
S mwt
S trongly
DK/Ref.
Agree
Disagree
East
38
48
Midwest
27
54
South
33
53
West
35
52
Right Direction
66
20
Wrong Track
19
70
Approve Obama.
60
23
Disapprove Obama
81
Favorable Clinton
55
30
Unfavorable Clinton
17
72
Vote Republican
14
79
Vote Democrat
55
28
Vote Undecided
22
46
13
65
34
47
16
70
Republican
13
78
Democrat
53
28
Independent
29
55
Liberal
63
22
Moderate
28
54
Conservative
10
80
White
26
60
African- American
48
30
Hispanic
53
36
Under 55
39
44
Over 55
24
64
Men
34
57
Women
32
48
Demographic Summary
Voter Likelihood
Tot.
Race
Age
Tot.
Very Likely
87
Hispanic
11
18-29
15
Smwt. Likely
13
African-American
13
30-40
19
Party
Asian
41-55
26
Republican
32
White
72
56-65
21
Democrat
38
Race
Over 65
19
Independent
30
Protestant
50
Mean Age
Ideology
Catholic
23
Gender
Liberal
31
Jewish
Male
47
Moderate
36
Born Again(only Prot.)
Female
53
Conservative
33
Yes
56
Area
Direction U.S.
No
44
East
18
Right Direction
32
Marital Status
Midwest
25
Wrong Track
62
Single
29
South
37
Married
52
West
21
48.8
National Survey
August 2015
15

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National Survey

McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

Do you believe President Obama should give Iran up to

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Should Congress approve a deal that does NOT allow

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Regarding the specifics of this agreement, do you think

Only What Helps Pass

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Since the agreement with Iran was announced, it has since

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

All things being equal, who do you agree with more?

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

All things being equal, who do you agree with more?

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

No/Iran Deal Diff. Case

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

President Obama has accused the opponents of this deal to be

Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP

Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP

Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton

Born Again(only Prot.)

McLaughlin & Associates/Caddell Associates

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