CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: South Carolina, January 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1370 Registered Voters

January 17-21, 2016
5.3%
1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .73%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60%

Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

South Carolina
7. What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not very strongly decided
Convince me they can really win . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%

Convince me they stand with me on the issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Convince me they can be effective in the job . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Im never completely decided until Election Day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%

Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
9. Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could
consider voting for...?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Yes, could consider

48%
60%
57%
37%
32%
19%
56%
No, could never consider

52%
40%
43%
63%
68%
81%
44%
10. In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Too extreme
47%
22%
11%
About right
50%
63%
53%
Too moderate
3%
16%
36%

South Carolina
11. Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Yes, consistent
70%
68%
54%
No, not consistent

30%
32%
46%
12. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Understands
77%
74%
65%
Doesnt understand
23%
26%
35%
13. Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Defend my faith and religious values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

Win the General election in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Fight terrorism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Bring back jobs and the American economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
14. Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?

Serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not serious . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
15. Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or
does it not matter to you?
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%

South Carolina
16. Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Health care policy

Wall Street reform
Terrorism
Taxes
The economy and
jobs
Gun policy
Hillary Clinton
55%
36%
57%
46%
Bernie Sanders
30%
48%
23%
35%
Both equally
15%
16%
20%
19%
43%
47%
33%
25%
24%
28%
17. From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Realistic
73%
38%
Idealistic
27%
62%
18. Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these
candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right now?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Understands
69%
77%
Doesnt understand
31%
23%
19. As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
What big donors want

49%
22%
What regular people

want
51%
78%

South Carolina
20. When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a
chance to...
Support an historic candidacy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

Shake up politics-as-usual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Get progressive things done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Give the Democrats a good chance to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
21. Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair
points?
Her critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%

She has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
22. Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair
points?
His critiques have been unfair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

He has made fair points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Have not heard criticism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
23. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
24. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

South Carolina
25. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
26. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
27. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
28. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

South Carolina
29. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
30. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

South Carolina
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
Total
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
45%
37%
16%
2%
60%
30%
10%
0%
32%
43%
21%
4%
28%
37%
35%
0%
35%
38%
19%
7%
50%
37%
12%
1%
55%
36%
9%
0%
50%
34%
15%
1%
30%
46%
19%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,370)
(616)
(753)
(164)
(327)
(599)
(280)
(995)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)

South Carolina
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Total
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
73%
13%
6%
5%
1%
2%
82%
8%
1%
4%
1%
4%
66%
17%
10%
5%
1%
1%
57%
11%
31%
0%
0%
0%
70%
16%
2%
8%
2%
1%
74%
13%
3%
4%
1%
4%
84%
10%
1%
4%
1%
0%
71%
13%
6%
5%
2%
3%
79%
12%
6%
1%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,369)
(615)
(753)
(164)
(326)
(600)
(279)
(994)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)

South Carolina
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Total
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
38%
35%
8%
19%
36%
41%
11%
12%
40%
29%
6%
24%
42%
16%
0%
42%
41%
29%
10%
20%
39%
36%
10%
15%
31%
50%
7%
12%
23%
46%
10%
21%
81%
1%
5%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,370)
(616)
(753)
(164)
(327)
(600)
(280)
(995)
(347)
Hispanic
(8)
Other
(20)

South Carolina
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Total
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%
13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%
0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%
7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%
10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%
8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%
8%
9%
2%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(411)
(393)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(267)
(782)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)

South Carolina
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
60%
0%
38%
2%
50%
0%
49%
1%
67%
0%
31%
2%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(167)
(221)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
53%
0%
46%
1%
70%
0%
28%
2%
71%
0%
28%
1%
38%
0%
60%
2%
76%
0%
22%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(173)
(67)
(163)
(221)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)

South Carolina
6. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Gender
Total
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
42%
30%
24%
4%
43%
32%
24%
1%
40%
29%
24%
7%
53%
17%
23%
7%
41%
33%
23%
3%
42%
32%
21%
5%
39%
30%
28%
3%
42%
30%
23%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(407)
(391)
(70)
(153)
(308)
(266)
(775)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)

South Carolina
7. Republican Candidate Certainty

What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Gender
Total
Convince me they can really win
Convince me they stand with me on
the issues
Convince me they can be effective in
the job
Im never completely decided until
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
29%
37%
23%
31%
41%
34%
19%
19%
19%
20%
18%
16%
18%
31%
33%
29%
34%
34%
31%
31%
11%
5%
11%
8%
12%
3%
13%
11%
11%
5%
9%
3%
12%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(232)
(233)
100%
(464)
(90)
(180)
(161)
(446)
(33)
(5)
(6)
(8)

South Carolina
8. Enthusiasm for First Choice

How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Gender
Total
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
59%
33%
7%
70%
29%
0%
51%
36%
13%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(166)
(216)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
63%
26%
11%
59%
38%
3%
56%
35%
9%
70%
26%
4%
52%
38%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(169)
(67)
(160)
(218)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)

South Carolina
9. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump

Youve told us youre supporting [Candidate Name] are there other candidates you could consider voting for...?
Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
48%
52%
50%
50%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(208)
(238)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
52%
48%
49%
51%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(100)
(162)
(138)
(433)
(46)
65+
White
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(4)

South Carolina
10. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
60%
40%
63%
37%
57%
43%
45%
55%
60%
40%
64%
36%
61%
39%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(294)
(292)
(60)
(105)
(231)
(191)
(573)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(7)
10

South Carolina
11. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
57%
43%
57%
43%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(298)
(309)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
56%
44%
66%
34%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(120)
(234)
(203)
(592)
(49)
65+
White
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(4)
Other
(9)
11

South Carolina
12. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
37%
63%
36%
64%
38%
62%
11%
89%
34%
66%
36%
64%
48%
52%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(329)
(341)
(56)
(129)
(262)
(223)
(653)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
12

South Carolina
13. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
32%
68%
26%
74%
38%
62%
35%
65%
33%
67%
32%
68%
30%
70%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(325)
(306)
(56)
(121)
(243)
(211)
(614)
Black
(2)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
13

South Carolina
14. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
19%
81%
21%
79%
17%
83%
5%
95%
20%
80%
20%
80%
21%
79%
19%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(329)
(333)
(52)
(126)
(263)
(221)
(642)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
14

South Carolina
15. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson

Gender
Total
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
56%
44%
51%
49%
61%
39%
59%
41%
55%
45%
58%
42%
53%
47%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(323)
(313)
(61)
(104)
(256)
(214)
(622)
Black
(0)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(8)
15

South Carolina
16. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump

In trying to achieve their goals, do you feel each candidates approach would probably be...
Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
43%
53%
4%
50%
48%
2%
75%
25%
0%
52%
45%
3%
38%
58%
3%
47%
50%
3%
47%
50%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(389)
(382)
(55)
(153)
(306)
(257)
(751)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
16

South Carolina
17. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz

Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
26%
62%
13%
17%
64%
19%
49%
34%
17%
18%
72%
10%
18%
63%
19%
21%
63%
15%
22%
62%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(384)
(383)
(61)
(151)
(300)
(256)
(747)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
17

South Carolina
18. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio

Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
12%
47%
41%
10%
60%
30%
47%
38%
15%
4%
47%
49%
8%
51%
40%
9%
64%
27%
11%
53%
36%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(385)
(376)
(55)
(152)
(299)
(254)
(740)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
18

South Carolina
19. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump

Do you feel these candidates have been consistent in what they stand for?
Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
70%
30%
66%
34%
74%
26%
54%
46%
63%
37%
74%
26%
74%
26%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(400)
(383)
(70)
(148)
(303)
(263)
(763)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
19

South Carolina
20. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz

Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
68%
32%
68%
32%
67%
33%
52%
48%
75%
25%
68%
32%
68%
32%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(399)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(300)
(256)
(754)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
20

South Carolina
21. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio

Gender
Total
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
54%
46%
48%
52%
60%
40%
54%
46%
51%
49%
51%
49%
58%
42%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(395)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(296)
(256)
(750)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
21

South Carolina
22. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump

Regardless of who youre supporting, please tell us whether you feel each of these candidates gets it that is, understands how you and people like you feel right
now?
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
77%
23%
78%
22%
77%
23%
49%
51%
75%
25%
86%
14%
76%
24%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(408)
(387)
(70)
(152)
(306)
(267)
(775)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
22

South Carolina
23. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz

now?
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
78%
22%
77%
23%
71%
29%
75%
25%
74%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(407)
(374)
(70)
(149)
(306)
(256)
(761)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
23

South Carolina
24. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio

now?
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
65%
35%
61%
39%
68%
32%
54%
46%
64%
36%
63%
37%
69%
31%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(403)
(377)
(70)
(149)
(301)
(261)
(760)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(9)
24

South Carolina
25. Republican Vote Reasons

Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Gender
Total
Defend my faith and religious values
Win the General election in November
Fight terrorism
Shake up politics-as-usual
Bring back jobs and the American
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
25%
20%
20%
15%
27%
14%
27%
17%
22%
26%
12%
14%
11%
26%
36%
30%
25%
13%
17%
17%
17%
21%
22%
8%
37%
21%
16%
16%
25%
20%
20%
19%
16%
22%
13%
14%
23%
18%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(410)
(387)
(67)
(153)
(310)
(268)
(775)
(5)
(6)
(11)
25

South Carolina
26. Ted Cruz Birthplace

Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Gender
Total
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
26%
74%
25%
75%
26%
74%
47%
53%
30%
70%
26%
74%
17%
83%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(410)
(389)
(72)
(152)
(310)
(265)
(777)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
26

South Carolina
27. Donald Trump NY Values

Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Gender
Total
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
4%
4%
92%
0%
27%
73%
3%
22%
75%
3%
7%
90%
4%
5%
90%
3%
11%
86%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(783)
Black
(5)
Hispanic
(6)
Other
(11)
27

South Carolina
28. Democratic Candidate Policies Health care policy

Regardless of who youre supporting, who do you think would do a better job on...?
Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
55%
30%
15%
49%
38%
13%
59%
24%
16%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(166)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
45%
36%
19%
64%
24%
12%
68%
18%
13%
36%
48%
16%
70%
17%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(163)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
28

South Carolina
29. Democratic Candidate Policies Wall Street reform

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
36%
48%
16%
33%
54%
13%
38%
44%
19%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(166)
(205)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
37%
41%
22%
37%
48%
14%
38%
46%
16%
15%
73%
12%
52%
29%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(166)
(61)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
29

South Carolina
30. Democratic Candidate Policies Terrorism

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
57%
23%
20%
54%
25%
21%
59%
21%
19%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(166)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
44%
38%
18%
68%
11%
21%
69%
6%
25%
48%
29%
22%
64%
18%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(163)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
30

South Carolina
31. Democratic Candidate Policies Taxes

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
46%
35%
19%
38%
46%
16%
53%
25%
22%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(166)
(205)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
36%
37%
27%
52%
29%
19%
54%
28%
17%
26%
49%
26%
62%
23%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(62)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
31

South Carolina
32. Democratic Candidate Policies The economy and jobs

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
43%
33%
24%
42%
38%
20%
44%
28%
27%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(165)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
37%
31%
32%
49%
25%
26%
54%
32%
15%
32%
52%
16%
53%
18%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(166)
(62)
(162)
(205)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
32

South Carolina
33. Democratic Candidate Policies Gun policy

Gender
Total
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
47%
25%
28%
46%
21%
33%
47%
29%
24%
100%
100%
100%
(373)
(167)
(206)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
34%
38%
28%
56%
18%
26%
58%
11%
31%
29%
36%
35%
61%
17%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(63)
(163)
(206)
(42)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
33

South Carolina
34. Democratic Candidate Proposals Hillary Clinton

From what youve seen or heard, which better describes the candidates policy proposals...
Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
73%
27%
70%
30%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(162)
(214)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
57%
43%
82%
18%
83%
17%
74%
26%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(99)
(170)
(61)
(160)
(213)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
34

South Carolina
35. Democratic Candidate Proposals Bernie Sanders

Gender
Total
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
38%
62%
33%
67%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
(370)
(166)
(203)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
56%
44%
25%
75%
30%
70%
36%
64%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(160)
(63)
(162)
(203)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
35

South Carolina
36. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton

now?
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
69%
31%
67%
33%
71%
29%
100%
100%
100%
(378)
(166)
(212)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65%
35%
80%
20%
79%
21%
52%
48%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(98)
(172)
(62)
(162)
(212)
(46)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
36

South Carolina
37. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders

now?
Gender
Total
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
77%
23%
85%
15%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(167)
(210)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
93%
7%
68%
32%
71%
29%
89%
11%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(98)
(168)
(63)
(162)
(210)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
37

South Carolina
38. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

As President, would each candidate ultimately do...?
Gender
Total
What regular people want
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
49%
51%
53%
47%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
(386)
(166)
(219)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
61%
39%
34%
66%
42%
58%
63%
37%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(172)
(66)
(162)
(220)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
38

South Carolina
39. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Gender
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
22%
78%
8%
92%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
(381)
(167)
(214)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
25%
75%
22%
78%
19%
81%
7%
93%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(167)
(66)
(161)
(216)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
39

South Carolina
40. Democratic Vote Reasons

When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Gender
Total
Support an historic candidacy
Get progressive things done
Give the Democrats a good chance to
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
8%
10%
30%
8%
11%
31%
8%
9%
29%
15%
13%
32%
8%
9%
21%
3%
6%
36%
7%
19%
36%
9%
3%
25%
52%
51%
54%
39%
63%
55%
39%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(382)
(101)
(171)
(64)
(162)
(217)
(47)
(1)
(3)
40

South Carolina
41. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders

Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Gender
Total
Her critiques have been unfair
She has made fair points
Have not heard criticism
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
27%
44%
28%
40%
44%
17%
18%
45%
37%
100%
100%
100%
(383)
(167)
(216)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
33%
32%
35%
23%
54%
23%
20%
60%
19%
40%
41%
18%
17%
46%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(96)
(173)
(67)
(162)
(216)
(47)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
41

South Carolina
42. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton

Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Gender
Total
His critiques have been unfair
He has made fair points
Totals
(Weighted N)
Male
Age group
Female
22%
48%
30%
25%
50%
25%
20%
46%
33%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(164)
(213)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
30-44
45-64
19%
44%
37%
30%
45%
25%
22%
57%
21%
9%
66%
24%
32%
34%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(97)
(170)
(67)
(159)
(214)
(43)
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
(1)
Other
(3)
42

South Carolina Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
805 Likely Republican Primary Voters

January 17-21, 2016
5.7%
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
26%
7%
0%
80%
14%
6%
1%
65%
30%
5%
0%
72%
23%
5%
0%
81%
18%
2%
0%
58%
31%
11%
0%
65%
26%
9%
0%
72%
25%
3%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(451)
(526)
(228)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
26%
7%
0%
77%
20%
3%
0%
56%
33%
10%
0%
59%
33%
8%
0%
57%
35%
7%
0%
69%
25%
6%
1%
72%
21%
7%
0%
67%
26%
7%
0%
68%
26%
6%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(556)
(197)

2. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
9%
6%
0%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
36%
1%
6%
8%
1%
22%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
10%
0%
47%
1%
5%
9%
2%
6%
2%
0%
0%
7%
15%
14%
0%
40%
0%
3%
8%
1%
35%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
10%
0%
42%
0%
11%
9%
2%
12%
1%
0%
2%
3%
6%
15%
0%
38%
1%
9%
10%
0%
26%
0%
0%
3%
1%
4%
10%
0%
36%
1%
3%
6%
5%
11%
2%
0%
0%
4%
3%
18%
0%
47%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(450)
(526)
(227)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
8%
9%
1%
21%
1%
0%
2%
2%
3%
13%
0%
40%
0%
3%
7%
2%
21%
0%
0%
1%
2%
6%
13%
0%
44%
1%
13%
11%
1%
20%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
13%
0%
35%
1%
0%
9%
0%
8%
0%
0%
6%
5%
27%
8%
0%
33%
3%
7%
16%
1%
29%
2%
0%
3%
1%
3%
9%
0%
30%
0%
10%
9%
1%
20%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
14%
0%
44%
1%
8%
6%
3%
20%
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
16%
0%
42%
0%
9%
7%
1%
23%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
14%
0%
39%
1%
6%
12%
2%
17%
1%
0%
0%
3%
11%
10%
0%
38%
0%
continued on the next page . . .

continued from previous page

Age group
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(804)
(411)
(393)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(267)
(555)
(197)

3. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
42%
30%
24%
4%
53%
27%
16%
3%
38%
40%
20%
2%
43%
16%
32%
9%
44%
33%
22%
1%
40%
28%
25%
6%
44%
29%
23%
4%
36%
33%
27%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(198)
(312)
(136)
(319)
(444)
(520)
(227)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
42%
30%
24%
4%
43%
32%
24%
1%
40%
29%
24%
7%
53%
17%
23%
7%
41%
33%
23%
3%
42%
32%
21%
5%
39%
30%
28%
3%
40%
31%
24%
5%
49%
30%
20%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(407)
(391)
(70)
(153)
(308)
(266)
(548)
(196)

4. Republican Candidate Certainty

What could [Candidate Name] do to make you completely decided?
Ideology
the issues
the job
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
37%
30%
30%
37%
29%
30%
39%
19%
20%
20%
20%
17%
21%
24%
10%
31%
21%
31%
34%
27%
34%
30%
33%
11%
5%
14%
8%
11%
8%
13%
4%
6%
12%
14%
2%
12%
4%
10%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(464)
(93)
(193)
(78)
(177)
(268)
(291)
(145)
Gender
the issues
the job
Election Day
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
33%
29%
37%
23%
31%
41%
34%
35%
19%
19%
19%
20%
18%
16%
20%
11%
31%
33%
29%
34%
34%
31%
30%
34%
11%
5%
11%
8%
12%
3%
13%
11%
11%
5%
9%
3%
11%
5%
12%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(232)
(233)
100%
(464)
(90)
(180)
(161)
(330)
(99)
(33)

5. Republican Candidate Consideration Donald Trump

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
52%
51%
49%
56%
44%
31%
69%
67%
33%
36%
64%
47%
53%
52%
48%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(446)
(114)
(151)
(77)
(168)
(257)
(302)
(114)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
48%
52%
50%
50%
47%
53%
56%
44%
52%
48%
49%
51%
51%
49%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(208)
(238)
100%
(446)
(100)
(162)
(138)
(317)
(104)
(46)

6. Republican Candidate Consideration Ted Cruz

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
60%
40%
66%
34%
69%
31%
40%
60%
81%
19%
52%
48%
66%
34%
55%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(113)
(225)
(123)
(194)
(361)
(358)
(184)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
60%
40%
63%
37%
57%
43%
45%
55%
60%
40%
64%
36%
61%
39%
64%
36%
56%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(587)
(294)
(292)
(60)
(105)
(231)
(191)
(388)
(154)

7. Republican Candidate Consideration Marco Rubio

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
57%
43%
56%
44%
66%
34%
36%
64%
65%
35%
53%
47%
60%
40%
53%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(152)
(239)
(101)
(242)
(339)
(401)
(168)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
57%
43%
57%
43%
57%
43%
56%
44%
56%
44%
66%
34%
62%
38%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(298)
(309)
100%
(607)
(120)
(234)
(203)
(417)
(161)
(49)

8. Republican Candidate Consideration Chris Christie

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
63%
33%
67%
38%
62%
48%
52%
35%
65%
40%
60%
34%
66%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(163)
(262)
(116)
(255)
(382)
(429)
(194)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
37%
63%
36%
64%
38%
62%
11%
89%
34%
66%
36%
64%
48%
52%
42%
58%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(669)
(329)
(341)
(56)
(129)
(262)
(223)
(468)
(164)

9. Republican Candidate Consideration Jeb Bush

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
32%
68%
23%
77%
30%
70%
29%
71%
28%
72%
34%
66%
29%
71%
37%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(146)
(248)
(111)
(262)
(341)
(391)
(195)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
32%
68%
26%
74%
38%
62%
35%
65%
33%
67%
32%
68%
30%
70%
36%
64%
21%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(630)
(325)
(306)
(56)
(121)
(243)
(211)
(429)
(163)
10

10. Republican Candidate Consideration John Kasich

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
19%
81%
18%
82%
19%
81%
17%
83%
19%
81%
20%
80%
17%
83%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(166)
(256)
(107)
(260)
(370)
(424)
(191)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
19%
81%
21%
79%
17%
83%
5%
95%
20%
80%
20%
80%
21%
79%
18%
82%
20%
80%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(662)
(329)
(333)
(52)
(126)
(263)
(221)
(461)
(164)
11

11. Republican Candidate Consideration Ben Carson

Ideology
Yes, could consider
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
56%
44%
66%
34%
58%
42%
40%
60%
67%
33%
48%
52%
64%
36%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(168)
(240)
(114)
(258)
(349)
(403)
(191)
Gender
Yes, could consider
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
56%
44%
51%
49%
61%
39%
59%
41%
55%
45%
58%
42%
53%
47%
57%
43%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(636)
(323)
(313)
(61)
(104)
(256)
(214)
(441)
(152)
12

12. Republican Candidate Approach Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
41%
56%
4%
37%
59%
5%
62%
38%
1%
35%
59%
6%
54%
44%
1%
49%
48%
4%
40%
57%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(198)
(299)
(125)
(307)
(429)
(498)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
47%
50%
3%
43%
53%
4%
50%
48%
2%
75%
25%
0%
52%
45%
3%
38%
58%
3%
47%
50%
3%
46%
51%
3%
46%
51%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(771)
(389)
(382)
(55)
(153)
(306)
(257)
(542)
(187)
13

13. Republican Candidate Approach Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
13%
76%
11%
15%
68%
17%
52%
32%
16%
12%
79%
9%
28%
52%
21%
17%
69%
13%
28%
51%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(198)
(296)
(124)
(303)
(430)
(495)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
22%
63%
16%
26%
62%
13%
17%
64%
19%
49%
34%
17%
18%
72%
10%
18%
63%
19%
21%
63%
15%
16%
66%
17%
31%
60%
9%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(767)
(384)
(383)
(61)
(151)
(300)
(256)
(537)
(187)
14

14. Republican Candidate Approach Marco Rubio

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
4%
48%
48%
8%
52%
40%
32%
45%
23%
7%
47%
46%
14%
58%
28%
10%
55%
35%
13%
49%
38%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(196)
(291)
(124)
(306)
(420)
(489)
(222)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Too extreme
About right
Too moderate
11%
53%
36%
12%
47%
41%
10%
60%
30%
47%
38%
15%
4%
47%
49%
8%
51%
40%
9%
64%
27%
6%
56%
39%
21%
52%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(761)
(385)
(376)
(55)
(152)
(299)
(254)
(533)
(184)
15

15. Republican Candidate Consistency Donald Trump

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
70%
30%
68%
32%
76%
24%
65%
35%
68%
32%
71%
29%
66%
34%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(195)
(308)
(130)
(310)
(439)
(511)
(223)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
70%
30%
66%
34%
74%
26%
54%
46%
63%
37%
74%
26%
74%
26%
73%
27%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(783)
(400)
(383)
(70)
(148)
(303)
(263)
(545)
(189)
16

16. Republican Candidate Consistency Ted Cruz

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
68%
32%
77%
23%
74%
26%
43%
57%
82%
18%
58%
42%
72%
28%
60%
40%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(196)
(300)
(130)
(308)
(432)
(503)
(221)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
68%
32%
68%
32%
67%
33%
52%
48%
75%
25%
68%
32%
68%
32%
71%
29%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(774)
(399)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(300)
(256)
(537)
(186)
17

17. Republican Candidate Consistency Marco Rubio

Ideology
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
51%
49%
55%
45%
44%
56%
51%
49%
56%
44%
58%
42%
44%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(195)
(296)
(130)
(307)
(429)
(498)
(222)
Gender
Yes, consistent
No, not consistent
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
54%
46%
48%
52%
60%
40%
54%
46%
51%
49%
51%
49%
58%
42%
59%
41%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(770)
(395)
(375)
(70)
(148)
(296)
(256)
(534)
(185)
18

18. Republican Candidate Understanding Donald Trump

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
77%
23%
78%
22%
87%
13%
62%
38%
86%
14%
72%
28%
76%
24%
81%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(198)
(312)
(134)
(318)
(444)
(522)
(224)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
77%
23%
78%
22%
77%
23%
49%
51%
75%
25%
86%
14%
76%
24%
79%
21%
70%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(795)
(408)
(387)
(70)
(152)
(306)
(267)
(548)
(194)
19

19. Republican Candidate Understanding Ted Cruz

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
74%
26%
81%
19%
80%
20%
57%
43%
86%
14%
67%
33%
81%
19%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(191)
(308)
(134)
(316)
(437)
(514)
(222)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
74%
26%
77%
23%
72%
28%
78%
22%
77%
23%
71%
29%
75%
25%
77%
23%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(407)
(374)
(70)
(149)
(306)
(256)
(539)
(189)
20

20. Republican Candidate Understanding Marco Rubio

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
35%
64%
36%
66%
34%
51%
49%
70%
30%
61%
39%
68%
32%
58%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(192)
(306)
(134)
(316)
(436)
(514)
(222)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
35%
61%
39%
68%
32%
54%
46%
64%
36%
63%
37%
69%
31%
68%
32%
57%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(403)
(377)
(70)
(149)
(301)
(261)
(534)
(194)
21

21. Republican Vote Reasons

Whats most important: picking the candidate best prepared to...
Ideology
Fight terrorism
economy
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
16%
25%
20%
20%
21%
23%
21%
23%
19%
31%
14%
17%
4%
17%
25%
27%
14%
27%
19%
22%
18%
24%
18%
19%
24%
22%
19%
20%
2%
32%
15%
23%
19%
13%
19%
26%
17%
21%
15%
29%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(200)
(308)
(136)
(319)
(444)
(520)
(226)
Gender
Fight terrorism
economy
Tea Party
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
16%
25%
20%
20%
15%
27%
14%
27%
17%
22%
26%
12%
14%
11%
26%
36%
30%
25%
13%
17%
17%
17%
21%
22%
8%
37%
21%
16%
18%
27%
22%
16%
14%
23%
12%
33%
19%
16%
22%
13%
14%
23%
18%
17%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(797)
(410)
(387)
(67)
(153)
(310)
(268)
(549)
(196)
22

22. Ted Cruz Birthplace

Do you think Ted Cruzs birthplace is a serious issue or not?
Ideology
Serious
Not serious
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
26%
74%
25%
75%
21%
79%
33%
67%
16%
84%
31%
69%
25%
75%
26%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(197)
(313)
(136)
(316)
(448)
(521)
(228)
Gender
Serious
Not serious
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
26%
74%
25%
75%
26%
74%
47%
53%
30%
70%
26%
74%
17%
83%
25%
75%
25%
75%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(410)
(389)
(72)
(152)
(310)
(265)
(553)
(194)
23

23. Donald Trump NY Values

Does Donald Trumps being from New York make you think better of him, worse of him, or does it not matter to you?
Ideology
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
11%
86%
4%
13%
83%
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
2%
15%
83%
3%
9%
88%
1%
13%
85%
6%
8%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(200)
(316)
(137)
(319)
(451)
(526)
(228)
Gender
Better
Worse
Does not matter
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
3%
11%
86%
2%
18%
80%
4%
4%
92%
0%
27%
73%
3%
22%
75%
3%
7%
90%
4%
5%
90%
4%
9%
87%
2%
17%
81%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(805)
(411)
(394)
(72)
(153)
(311)
(268)
(556)
(197)
24

South Carolina Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
388 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

January 17-21, 2016
9.4%
Ideology
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
53%
34%
12%
0%
72%
27%
0%
0%
64%
21%
16%
0%
45%
43%
13%
0%
72%
24%
4%
0%
40%
42%
18%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(163)
(221)
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
53%
34%
12%
0%
70%
26%
4%
0%
41%
41%
18%
1%
52%
38%
10%
0%
56%
34%
10%
1%
46%
46%
8%
0%
49%
37%
13%
0%
68%
22%
10%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(221)
100%
(388)
(101)
(173)
(67)
(302)
(75)
(47)

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
60%
0%
38%
2%
48%
0%
52%
0%
54%
0%
45%
1%
68%
0%
30%
2%
38%
0%
60%
2%
76%
0%
22%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(388)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(163)
(221)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
60%
0%
38%
2%
50%
0%
49%
1%
67%
0%
31%
2%
53%
0%
46%
1%
70%
0%
28%
2%
71%
0%
28%
1%
69%
0%
30%
1%
30%
0%
69%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(221)
100%
(388)
(101)
(173)
(67)
(302)
(75)
(47)

3. Enthusiasm for First Choice

How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
59%
33%
7%
75%
25%
0%
67%
30%
3%
53%
42%
5%
70%
26%
4%
52%
38%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(70)
(106)
(114)
(160)
(218)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
59%
33%
7%
70%
29%
0%
51%
36%
13%
63%
26%
11%
59%
38%
3%
56%
35%
9%
59%
34%
7%
60%
32%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(216)
100%
(382)
(100)
(169)
(67)
(298)
(75)
(46)

4. Democratic Candidate Policies Health care policy

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
55%
30%
15%
36%
48%
16%
49%
39%
12%
67%
22%
11%
36%
48%
16%
70%
17%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(163)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
30%
15%
49%
38%
13%
59%
24%
16%
45%
36%
19%
64%
24%
12%
68%
18%
13%
63%
24%
13%
27%
51%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(206)
100%
(372)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(71)
(42)

5. Democratic Candidate Policies Wall Street reform

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
36%
48%
16%
19%
71%
10%
19%
69%
12%
50%
27%
22%
15%
73%
12%
52%
29%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(114)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
36%
48%
16%
33%
54%
13%
38%
44%
19%
37%
41%
22%
37%
48%
14%
38%
46%
16%
42%
40%
18%
10%
79%
11%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(205)
100%
(371)
(101)
(166)
(61)
(291)
(70)
(42)

6. Democratic Candidate Policies Terrorism

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
57%
23%
20%
53%
31%
17%
54%
26%
20%
66%
16%
18%
48%
29%
22%
64%
18%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(372)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(163)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
57%
23%
20%
54%
25%
21%
59%
21%
19%
44%
38%
18%
68%
11%
21%
69%
6%
25%
63%
18%
18%
35%
40%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(206)
100%
(372)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(71)
(42)

7. Democratic Candidate Policies Taxes

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
46%
35%
19%
39%
50%
10%
40%
42%
18%
52%
27%
21%
26%
49%
26%
62%
23%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
46%
35%
19%
38%
46%
16%
53%
25%
22%
36%
37%
27%
52%
29%
19%
54%
28%
17%
51%
29%
20%
29%
57%
15%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(205)
100%
(371)
(101)
(167)
(62)
(291)
(70)
(42)

8. Democratic Candidate Policies The economy and jobs

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
43%
33%
24%
27%
52%
22%
44%
42%
14%
51%
17%
32%
32%
52%
16%
53%
18%
30%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(371)
(70)
(100)
(115)
(162)
(205)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
43%
33%
24%
42%
38%
20%
44%
28%
27%
37%
31%
32%
49%
25%
26%
54%
32%
15%
51%
23%
26%
18%
66%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(165)
(206)
100%
(371)
(101)
(166)
(62)
(290)
(71)
(42)

9. Democratic Candidate Policies Gun policy

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
47%
25%
28%
42%
36%
22%
34%
35%
31%
63%
12%
25%
29%
36%
35%
61%
17%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(373)
(70)
(101)
(115)
(163)
(206)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Both equally
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
47%
25%
28%
46%
21%
33%
47%
29%
24%
34%
38%
28%
56%
18%
26%
58%
11%
31%
54%
22%
24%
21%
36%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(206)
100%
(373)
(101)
(167)
(63)
(292)
(71)
(42)

10. Democratic Candidate Proposals Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
73%
27%
87%
13%
56%
44%
82%
18%
74%
26%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(69)
(103)
(115)
(160)
(213)
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
73%
27%
70%
30%
75%
25%
57%
43%
82%
18%
83%
17%
77%
23%
62%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(162)
(214)
100%
(377)
(99)
(170)
(61)
(298)
(70)
(46)
10

11. Democratic Candidate Proposals Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
38%
62%
39%
61%
38%
62%
30%
70%
36%
64%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(370)
(70)
(101)
(113)
(162)
(203)
Gender
Realistic
Idealistic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
62%
33%
67%
42%
58%
56%
44%
25%
75%
30%
70%
38%
62%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(203)
100%
(370)
(101)
(160)
(63)
(288)
(71)
(46)
11

12. Democratic Candidate Understanding Hillary Clinton

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
69%
31%
55%
45%
60%
40%
83%
17%
52%
48%
82%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(378)
(70)
(105)
(112)
(162)
(212)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
69%
31%
67%
33%
71%
29%
65%
35%
80%
20%
79%
21%
78%
22%
36%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(212)
100%
(378)
(98)
(172)
(62)
(297)
(71)
(46)
12

13. Democratic Candidate Understanding Bernie Sanders

now?
Ideology
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
77%
23%
70%
30%
83%
17%
79%
21%
89%
11%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(376)
(70)
(106)
(113)
(162)
(210)
Gender
Understands
Doesnt understand
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
77%
23%
85%
15%
70%
30%
93%
7%
68%
32%
71%
29%
72%
28%
96%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(210)
100%
(376)
(98)
(168)
(63)
(295)
(71)
(47)
13

14. Democratic Candidate Attention Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
49%
51%
66%
34%
52%
48%
35%
65%
63%
37%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(386)
(70)
(106)
(115)
(162)
(220)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
49%
51%
53%
47%
47%
53%
61%
39%
34%
66%
42%
58%
41%
59%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(166)
(219)
100%
(386)
(101)
(172)
(66)
(301)
(74)
(47)
14

15. Democratic Candidate Attention Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
22%
78%
14%
86%
10%
90%
25%
75%
7%
93%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(381)
(70)
(105)
(115)
(161)
(216)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
78%
8%
92%
32%
68%
25%
75%
22%
78%
19%
81%
27%
73%
5%
95%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(214)
100%
(381)
(101)
(167)
(66)
(296)
(75)
(47)
15

16. Democratic Vote Reasons

When you vote in the South Carolina primary, you will be most satisfied about having a chance to...
Ideology
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
8%
10%
30%
14%
6%
49%
7%
14%
29%
9%
5%
25%
7%
19%
36%
9%
3%
25%
52%
32%
50%
61%
39%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(382)
(70)
(106)
(115)
(162)
(217)
Gender
win in November
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
8%
10%
30%
8%
11%
31%
8%
9%
29%
15%
13%
32%
8%
9%
21%
3%
6%
36%
8%
6%
26%
8%
22%
44%
52%
51%
54%
39%
63%
55%
61%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(382)
(101)
(171)
(64)
(297)
(75)
(47)
16

17. Hillary Clinton Critiques to Sanders

Do you think Hillary Clinton has criticized Bernie Sanders unfairly, or has she made fair points?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
27%
44%
28%
43%
34%
24%
29%
51%
20%
14%
51%
35%
40%
41%
18%
17%
46%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(383)
(70)
(106)
(116)
(162)
(216)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
27%
44%
28%
40%
44%
17%
18%
45%
37%
33%
32%
35%
23%
54%
23%
20%
60%
19%
21%
50%
29%
46%
28%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(167)
(216)
100%
(383)
(96)
(173)
(67)
(297)
(75)
(47)
17

18. Bernie Sanders Critiques to Clinton

Do you think Bernie Sanders has criticized Hillary Clinton unfairly, or has he made fair points?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
22%
48%
30%
17%
58%
25%
8%
61%
31%
21%
37%
42%
9%
66%
24%
32%
34%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(377)
(68)
(106)
(115)
(159)
(214)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
22%
48%
30%
25%
50%
25%
20%
46%
33%
19%
44%
37%
30%
45%
25%
22%
57%
21%
27%
42%
32%
6%
72%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(164)
(213)
100%
(377)
(97)
(170)
(67)
(292)
(74)
(43)
18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: South Carolina, January 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: South Carolina, January 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1370 Registered Voters