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  • Online Assignment Data UM15081

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    Himanshu Dhamija
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    15 views4 pages

    Online Assignment Data UM15081

    Uploaded by

    Himanshu Dhamija
    n,,,n,n,

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 4

    Month(t)

    Demand (x(t) Forecast (F(t))


    1
    165
    2
    201
    3
    239
    4
    216
    5
    251
    205.25 Alpha
    6
    269
    212.11
    7
    299
    220.65
    8
    332
    232.40
    9
    357
    247.34
    10
    410
    263.79
    11
    603
    285.72
    12
    449
    333.31
    13
    479
    350.67
    14
    569
    369.92
    15
    623
    399.78
    16
    591
    433.26
    17
    585
    456.92
    18
    702
    476.13
    19
    775
    510.01
    20
    652
    549.76
    21
    586
    565.10
    22
    760
    568.23
    23
    788
    597.00
    24
    817
    625.65
    25
    654.35

    0.15

    Demand (x(t)
    900
    800
    700
    600

    Demand (x(t)

    500
    400
    300
    200
    100
    0
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324

    Problem 2
    Month(t)

    Alpha

    Demand (x(t) S(t)


    1
    165
    2
    201
    3
    239
    4
    216
    5
    251
    6
    269
    7
    299
    8
    332
    9
    357
    10
    410
    11
    603
    12
    449
    13
    479
    14
    569
    15
    623
    16
    591
    17
    585
    18
    702
    19
    775
    20
    652
    21
    586
    22
    760
    23
    788
    24
    817
    25

    0.2 Beta
    T(t)

    157.50
    191.48
    222.86
    254.42
    286.72
    318.01
    354.03
    422.01
    447.40
    473.73
    512.85
    555.51
    583.90
    605.49
    645.96
    693.49
    707.74
    705.37
    737.09
    768.29
    799.25

    F(t,1)

    19.1
    19.84
    20.42
    20.98
    21.54
    22.03
    22.73
    24.99
    25.01
    25.08
    25.78
    26.62
    26.71
    26.46
    27.16
    28.18
    27.48
    25.99
    26.27
    26.52
    26.74

    Forecast(30)

    176.60
    211.32
    243.28
    275.40
    308.27
    340.04
    376.77
    447.01
    472.42
    498.81
    538.63
    582.13
    610.62
    631.95
    673.12
    721.67
    735.22
    731.36
    763.36
    794.81
    825.99
    959.70

    Error

    Abs Error

    45.75
    56.89
    78.35
    99.60
    109.66
    146.21
    317.28
    115.69
    128.33
    199.08
    223.22
    157.74
    128.08
    225.87
    264.99
    102.24
    20.90
    191.77
    191.00
    191.35

    Abs(Error/Actual)*100

    45.75
    56.89
    78.35
    99.60
    109.66
    146.21
    317.28
    115.69
    128.33
    199.08
    223.22
    157.74
    128.08
    225.87
    264.99
    102.24
    20.90
    191.77
    191.00
    191.35
    MAPE
    Forecast(30)

    Demand (x(t)

    18.23
    21.15
    26.21
    30.00
    30.72
    35.66
    52.62
    25.77
    26.79
    34.99
    35.83
    26.69
    21.89
    32.17
    34.19
    15.68
    3.57
    25.23
    24.24
    23.42
    27.25
    744.78
    744.83

    0.05
    Error

    Abs Error

    74.40
    57.68
    55.72
    56.60
    48.73
    69.96
    226.23
    1.99
    6.58
    70.19
    84.37
    8.87
    -25.62
    70.05
    101.88
    -69.67
    -149.22
    28.64
    24.64
    22.19

    74.40
    57.68
    55.72
    56.60
    48.73
    69.96
    226.23
    1.99
    6.58
    70.19
    84.37
    8.87
    25.62
    70.05
    101.88
    69.67
    149.22
    28.64
    24.64
    22.19

    MAPE

    (Error/Actual)*100

    29.64
    21.44
    18.64
    17.05
    13.65
    17.06
    37.52
    0.44
    1.37
    12.34
    13.54
    1.50
    4.38
    9.98
    13.15
    10.69
    25.46
    3.77
    3.13
    2.72

    12.87

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