CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

The Republican Race Amid a Fractured Party and Rally Violence

March 17-20, 2016
Q1.Q10. Released separately.
Q11. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right just about
always, most of the time, or only some of the time?

Just about always

Most of the time
Some of the time
Never
Don't know/No answer

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
3
1
4
3
15
9
22
14
70
77
67
67
10
12
4
14
2
1
2
3

Oct14f
%
3
13
73
9
2

Q12. Which comes closer to your view? 1. Government should do more to solve national problems, or 2. government is
doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals?

Government should do more

Government doing too many
Don't know/No answer

39
54
6

24
71
5

55
40
6

36
56
7

Nov13c
33
63
4

Q13. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
57
61
58
53
31
29
29
34
9
8
10
7
3
1
3
5
*
*
*
-

Feb16b
%
51
34
10
5
*

Prim. Have you already voted in or do you plan to vote in a Republican primary or caucus this year, or in a Democratic
primary or caucus, or are you not voting in a primary or caucus at all this year?

Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

31
38
24
1
6

73
2
20
1
4

3
78
15
*
4

25
25
37
2
10

Feb16b
33
34
21
1
11

Q14. Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Someone else (Vol.)
None of them (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
46
26
20
-4
4

Feb16b
%
35
18
11
23
5
8

Q15. Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?

John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Someone Else (Vol.)
None of them (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH CHOICE

%
37
30
17
3
10
2

Jan16a
%
3
20
11
52
4
10

Q16. Regardless of whom you support, who do you expect to finally win the Republican nomination for President in
2016?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Someone Else (Vol.)
None of them (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

77
10
4
*
1
8

53
17
*
13
1
16

Q17. If Donald Trump became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him,
support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
Not support
Don't know/No answer

35
32
15
17
1

Feb16b
35
28
14
20
3

Q18. If Ted Cruz became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support
him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
Not support
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
29
33
17
19
2

Feb16b
%
32
26
20
18
4

Q19. If John Kasich became the 2016 Republican nominee for President, would you enthusiastically support him, support
him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?
Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
Not support
Don't know/No answer

27
31
27
13
2

Q20-Q25. Released separately.

Q26. In general, are the Republican presidential candidates talking about the issues that matter most to you, or not?
Yes
No
Some are/Some aren't (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

56
36
4
4

Q27. Would you describe the Republican Party today as united or divided?

United
Divided
Don't know/No answer

10
88
2

Oct15d
22
75
3

Q28. Do you think the overall tone of the Republican presidential campaign has been more positive, more negative, or
about the same as past Republican presidential campaigns?
More positive
More negative
About the same
Don't know/No answer

10
58
30
2

Q29. So far, do you think the Republican presidential campaign has made you feel MOSTLY proud of the Republican
Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Republican Party?

Mostly proud
Mostly embarrassed
Mixed/Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
27
60
9
3

Q30. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy

Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

54
39
7

Oct15a
%
53
39
8

Q31. Do you think Donald Trump shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

56
38
6

Feb16b
50
44
6

Q32. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

76
22
2

Oct15a
84
14
2

Q33. Do you think Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

53
40
7

Q34. Do you think Ted Cruz shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

59
33
8

Feb16b
56
35
9

Q35. Do you think Ted Cruz has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

%
64
29
7

Q36. Do you think John Kasich is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Don't know/No answer

70
16
14

Q37. Do you think John Kasich shares your values, or not?

Yes
No
Don't know/No answer

61
25
13

Q38. Do you think John Kasich has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer

58
28
14

Q39. If none of the Republican presidential candidates receive a majority of the partys delegates, it is possible that the
partys nominee could be chosen at the Republican Convention in July, and that the nominee might not be the candidate
who has earned the most delegates in the state primaries and caucuses. If this happens, do you think this would be a
good thing for the Republican Party, a bad thing for the Republican Party, or will it not make much of a difference either
way?
Good
Bad
No difference
Depends on who is chosen (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer

14
65
16
2
2

Q40. In general, are the Democratic presidential candidates talking about the issues that matter most to you, or not?

Yes
No
Some are/Some aren't (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

%
78
18
1
3

Q41. Would you describe the Democratic Party today as united or divided?

United
Divided
Don't know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

%
62
33
4

Nov15a
%
59
37
5

Q42. Do you think the overall tone of the Democratic presidential campaign has been more positive, more negative, or
about the same as past Democratic presidential campaigns?
More positive
More negative
About the same
Don't know/No answer

40
9
48
3

Q43. So far, do you think the Democratic presidential campaign has made you feel MOSTLY proud of the Democratic
Party or MOSTLY embarrassed by the Democratic Party?
Mostly proud
Mostly embarrassed
Mixed/Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

82
13
4
1

Q44.-Q57. Released separately.

Q58. How much have you heard or read about incidents of violence that have occurred at some political rallies for
Donald Trump a lot, some, or not much?

A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

************ REGISTERED VOTERS ************

Total Rep
Dem Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
60
56
66
56
58
28
29
24
30
29
11
13
9
12
11
1
1
*
1
1
1
*
1
1
*

Q59. In general, who do you think is more to blame for the incidents of violence that have occurred at some political
rallies for Donald Trump The people who are protesting against Donald Trump at the rallies, the people who are
supporting Donald Trump at the rallies, or are both about equally to blame?
Protestors
Supporters
Both equally
Depends/Neither (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

29
23
43
1
3

56
4
37
1
2

11
41
43
2
3

26
20
48
1
4

60
5
31
2
2

Q60. Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling the violence at some of his rallies?

Approve
Disapprove
Don't know/No answer

************ REGISTERED VOTERS ************

Total Rep
Dem Ind
Rep. Primary Voters
%
%
%
%
%
26
50
12
21
50
64
37
81
68
39
10
13
7
11
11

Q61-Q66 RELEASED SEPARATELY

Q67. How important is religion in your daily life? Is it extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not
at all important?
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not at all
Don't know/No answer

30
28
24
17
1

39
32
19
10
1

27
29
24
19
1

28
26
27
19
1

Q68. Would you say you attend religious services every week, almost every week, once or twice a month, a few times a
year, or never?
Every week
Almost every week
Once or twice a month
A few times a year
Never
Don't know/No answer

27
9
14
26
23
1

34
10
15
21
18
1

25
8
14
27
25
1

Total Respondents

Unweighted
1,252

Total Registered Voters

1,058

984

Republicans
Democrats
Independents

351
424
477

321
420
512

Republican primary voters

Democratic primary voters

362
388

302
371

24
9
13
27
25
1

Weighted