CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

729 Republican Likely Voters

March 29 - April 1, 2016

5%

1. How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Very concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
Somewhat concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not too concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Not at all concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Pennsylvania?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

4. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
5. Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been
getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Better
26%
24%
27%

Same
34%
39%
51%

Worse
40%
37%
22%

6. When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ive usually been interested in Republican primaries, no matter who was running
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Im more interested in this years primary than before, because [First Choice
Candidate Name] is running . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%

7. If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

The most consistent conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

The strongest leader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
The most likely to shake up the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
The most experienced on policy issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

8. If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Try to stop him from being nominated at the convention this summer . . . . 45%
Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
9. For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

NOT Honest and

Trustworthy
44%
49%
27%

Honest and Trustworthy

56%
51%
73%

10. Which candidate do you think would do best on...?

Asked of Republican primary voters

Terrorism
Changing the
political system
Immigration
Foreign policy
Looking out for
people like you
Bringing back jobs
Defeating Hillary
Clinton in November
Trade policy

Donald Trump
53%

Ted Cruz
30%

John Kasich
17%

67%
60%
40%

24%
24%
33%

9%
16%
27%

46%
59%

28%
22%

25%
19%

56%
57%

25%
24%

19%
19%

11. Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have
sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Yes
86%
68%
33%

No
14%
32%
67%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
12. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Enthusiastic
37%
22%
15%

Satisfied
26%
35%
47%

Dissatisfied
11%
26%
28%

Upset
26%
17%
10%

13. Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of
Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Favor, it would help keep Americans safer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77%

Oppose, it would violate civil liberties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23%

14. Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

15. Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you
say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Almost always voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%

Usually voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Split about evenly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Usually voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Almost always voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
16. What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican
campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

These topics are just part of a tough campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

These topics are inappropriate in a Presidential campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .70%
Havent noticed either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%

17. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%

18. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

19. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
20. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

21. Are you registered as a ...

Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Not affiliated with any party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

22. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%

23. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania
24. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

25. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters
1. Direction of the Economy
How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
21%
4%
1%

74%
21%
3%
1%

73%
22%
4%
0%

50%
41%
9%
0%

68%
23%
10%
0%

77%
20%
1%
1%

86%
12%
1%
1%

74%
22%
4%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(690)

(5)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Pennsylvania?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

90%
6%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

95%
3%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%

85%
10%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%

64%
21%
12%
3%
0%
0%
0%

89%
7%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%

96%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%

94%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%

90%
6%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(690)

(5)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

3. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

29%
22%
47%
2%

30%
19%
47%
3%

28%
24%
46%
3%

36%
44%
19%
2%

35%
19%
46%
1%

27%
17%
52%
5%

24%
22%
52%
2%

28%
22%
46%
3%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(366)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(320)

(161)

(688)

(5)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
33%
16%
2%

55%
30%
12%
3%

42%
36%
20%
2%

30%
36%
31%
4%

52%
32%
14%
3%

54%
32%
13%
2%

46%
37%
16%
1%

48%
33%
16%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(355)

(351)

(85)

(158)

(304)

(158)

(669)

(4)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

5. Perception of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

26%
34%
40%

28%
35%
38%

25%
33%
42%

10%
17%
72%

28%
33%
39%

28%
41%
32%

31%
31%
39%

26%
34%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(368)

(359)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(158)

(688)

(5)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

6. Perception of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

24%
39%
37%

30%
33%
38%

18%
46%
36%

42%
35%
23%

22%
42%
36%

22%
41%
38%

21%
36%
43%

24%
39%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(86)

(160)

(318)

(157)

(685)

(4)

(11)

(21)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

7. Perception of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
51%
22%

26%
48%
26%

29%
54%
18%

40%
53%
7%

22%
59%
19%

27%
45%
29%

27%
53%
19%

28%
51%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(364)

(355)

(86)

(160)

(316)

(157)

(683)

(4)

(11)

(22)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

8. Interest in This Republican Primary

When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%

73%

72%

85%

82%

68%

65%

73%

27%

27%

28%

15%

18%

32%

35%

27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(697)

(349)

(348)

(85)

(155)

(301)

(156)

(660)

(4)

(11)

(22)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Presidential Trait

If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
39%

23%
35%

17%
42%

21%
47%

23%
44%

16%
34%

24%
38%

20%
39%

29%

30%

29%

16%

25%

36%

30%

29%

12%

12%

12%

16%

9%

14%

8%

12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(366)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(319)

(161)

(688)

(5)

(11)

(23)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%

40%

51%

74%

48%

32%

44%

46%

38%
17%

44%
16%

31%
18%

22%
4%

35%
17%

46%
22%

38%
18%

38%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(389)

(194)

(195)

(70)

(87)

(156)

(76)

(370)

(3)

(5)

(10)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidates Traits Donald Trump

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
44%

58%
42%

54%
46%

27%
73%

54%
46%

61%
39%

64%
36%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(723)

(366)

(357)

(85)

(160)

(320)

(158)

(685)

(5)

(11)

(22)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidates Traits Ted Cruz

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
49%

54%
46%

47%
53%

56%
44%

53%
47%

49%
51%

50%
50%

50%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(365)

(359)

(85)

(160)

(320)

(159)

(688)

(4)

(11)

(21)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidates Traits John Kasich

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%
27%

74%
26%

72%
28%

70%
30%

67%
33%

74%
26%

80%
20%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(722)

(365)

(357)

(85)

(160)

(319)

(158)

(687)

(4)

(11)

(21)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Performance Terrorism

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
30%
17%

51%
31%
18%

56%
28%
16%

31%
43%
26%

54%
32%
14%

57%
27%
16%

55%
26%
19%

54%
29%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(364)

(342)

(77)

(158)

(315)

(155)

(668)

(5)

(11)

(23)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Performance Changing the political system

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

67%
24%
9%

69%
26%
5%

65%
22%
13%

37%
57%
6%

67%
26%
7%

73%
17%
9%

69%
20%
11%

67%
24%
9%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(363)

(345)

(77)

(159)

(315)

(157)

(670)

(5)

(11)

(23)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Performance Immigration

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

60%
24%
16%

60%
26%
14%

59%
22%
19%

33%
36%
31%

54%
29%
16%

69%
19%
13%

59%
22%
19%

60%
23%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(366)

(349)

(77)

(159)

(319)

(159)

(677)

(5)

(11)

(23)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Performance Foreign policy

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

40%
33%
27%

36%
39%
25%

45%
27%
28%

26%
34%
40%

44%
36%
20%

41%
34%
25%

42%
27%
31%

40%
32%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(363)

(345)

(77)

(158)

(313)

(159)

(670)

(5)

(11)

(23)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Performance Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

46%
28%
25%

46%
31%
23%

47%
25%
28%

17%
34%
49%

43%
33%
23%

50%
30%
20%

56%
18%
26%

46%
28%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(711)

(364)

(346)

(77)

(159)

(316)

(158)

(673)

(5)

(11)

(23)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Performance Bringing back jobs

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
22%
19%

57%
24%
20%

61%
20%
19%

26%
43%
31%

55%
26%
19%

66%
18%
16%

64%
14%
21%

59%
22%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(360)

(347)

(77)

(158)

(316)

(156)

(672)

(5)

(8)

(23)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Performance Defeating Hillary Clinton in November

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

56%
25%
19%

51%
25%
23%

62%
24%
15%

43%
27%
30%

57%
24%
19%

59%
23%
17%

55%
27%
18%

56%
25%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(363)

(342)

(77)

(159)

(315)

(154)

(668)

(5)

(11)

(23)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Candidate Performance Trade policy

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
24%
19%

54%
27%
19%

59%
21%
20%

31%
32%
37%

56%
30%
15%

61%
24%
16%

63%
14%
23%

57%
23%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(363)

(344)

(77)

(158)

(313)

(158)

(669)

(5)

(11)

(23)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Statements Donald Trump

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

86%
14%

84%
16%

89%
11%

95%
5%

87%
13%

82%
18%

89%
11%

87%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(86)

(157)

(319)

(159)

(683)

(5)

(11)

(23)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Statements Ted Cruz

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%
32%

66%
34%

69%
31%

42%
58%

67%
33%

69%
31%

81%
19%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(364)

(355)

(84)

(160)

(316)

(159)

(681)

(5)

(11)

(23)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Candidate Statements John Kasich

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

30%
70%

37%
63%

29%
71%

35%
65%

33%
67%

35%
65%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(364)

(356)

(85)

(160)

(316)

(159)

(682)

(5)

(11)

(23)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

25. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

37%
26%
11%
26%

40%
23%
11%
26%

34%
29%
10%
27%

12%
26%
4%
58%

33%
30%
12%
24%

43%
24%
11%
22%

42%
25%
12%
21%

37%
26%
11%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(368)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(157)

(682)

(5)

(11)

(23)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

26. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

22%
35%
26%
17%

27%
35%
21%
18%

17%
35%
31%
17%

25%
36%
27%
12%

20%
38%
22%
19%

23%
34%
28%
16%

20%
34%
24%
21%

21%
35%
26%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(364)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(316)

(155)

(681)

(3)

(11)

(21)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

27. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

15%
47%
28%
10%

15%
46%
29%
9%

15%
47%
27%
11%

31%
44%
15%
10%

7%
55%
29%
8%

13%
42%
33%
12%

20%
47%
22%
10%

16%
47%
27%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(718)

(366)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(155)

(681)

(3)

(11)

(23)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

28. Monitoring of Muslim Communities

Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

77%
23%

78%
22%

77%
23%

38%
62%

80%
20%

83%
17%

83%
17%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(159)

(683)

(5)

(11)

(23)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

29. Betrayed by GOP

Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

65%
18%
17%

71%
12%
17%

58%
23%
18%

32%
38%
30%

59%
22%
18%

71%
15%
14%

74%
8%
18%

64%
18%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(321)

(161)

(690)

(5)

(11)

(23)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

30. Republican Voter History

Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
34%
13%
4%
2%

45%
36%
15%
3%
2%

48%
31%
12%
6%
3%

54%
22%
24%
1%
1%

52%
33%
6%
6%
3%

46%
33%
15%
4%
2%

38%
43%
12%
4%
2%

47%
34%
13%
5%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(368)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(690)

(5)

(11)

(23)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

31. Republican Wives

What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%

16%

19%

23%

13%

22%

11%

17%

70%
13%

73%
11%

66%
14%

58%
20%

68%
19%

67%
11%

83%
6%

70%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(369)

(358)

(85)

(160)

(321)

(161)

(688)

(5)

(11)

(23)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

729 Likely Republican Primary Voters

March 29 - April 1, 2016

5%

1. Direction of the Economy

How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Ideology
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
21%
4%
1%

86%
12%
1%
1%

74%
24%
3%
0%

64%
28%
8%
0%

86%
14%
0%
0%

67%
27%
6%
1%

75%
21%
3%
1%

74%
22%
4%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(184)

(263)

(234)

(283)

(446)

(254)

(432)

Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

74%
21%
4%
1%

74%
21%
3%
1%

73%
22%
4%
0%

50%
41%
9%
0%

68%
23%
10%
0%

77%
20%
1%
1%

86%
12%
1%
1%

77%
20%
3%
0%

64%
29%
7%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(568)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Pennsylvania?
Ideology
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
I already voted early in-person or by
mail (absentee)
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

90%
6%
3%
0%
0%

97%
2%
1%
0%
0%

92%
5%
2%
1%
0%

85%
8%
5%
0%
1%

97%
2%
0%
0%
0%

85%
8%
5%
1%
0%

88%
9%
1%
1%
0%

92%
4%
3%
0%
1%

0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
1%

0%
0%

0%
1%

0%
1%

0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(184)

(263)

(234)

(283)

(446)

(254)

(432)

Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
I already voted early in-person or by
mail (absentee)
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

90%
6%
3%
0%
0%

95%
3%
1%
1%
1%

85%
10%
5%
0%
0%

64%
21%
12%
3%
0%

89%
7%
3%
0%
1%

96%
2%
1%
0%
0%

94%
6%
1%
0%
0%

91%
5%
2%
0%
0%

82%
11%
6%
0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
1%

0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
1%

0%
0%

0%
0%

0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(568)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

3. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Pennsylvania Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

29%
22%
47%
2%

45%
7%
45%
3%

30%
24%
44%
2%

17%
31%
49%
4%

44%
6%
48%
2%

19%
31%
46%
3%

42%
13%
43%
3%

22%
27%
49%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(184)

(260)

(234)

(281)

(446)

(254)

(430)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

29%
22%
47%
2%

30%
19%
47%
3%

28%
24%
46%
3%

36%
44%
19%
2%

35%
19%
46%
1%

27%
17%
52%
5%

24%
22%
52%
2%

32%
19%
47%
3%

18%
35%
45%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(727)

(366)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(320)

(161)

(568)

(122)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

4. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

49%
33%
16%
2%

60%
29%
10%
1%

42%
34%
20%
4%

45%
37%
17%
0%

60%
29%
11%
0%

41%
36%
19%
3%

50%
32%
16%
2%

48%
35%
16%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(179)

(254)

(225)

(275)

(431)

(247)

(420)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

49%
33%
16%
2%

55%
30%
12%
3%

42%
36%
20%
2%

30%
36%
31%
4%

52%
32%
14%
3%

54%
32%
13%
2%

46%
37%
16%
1%

47%
35%
16%
2%

49%
29%
21%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(355)

(351)

(85)

(158)

(304)

(158)

(551)

(119)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

5. Perception of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

26%
34%
40%

30%
33%
37%

24%
31%
45%

27%
34%
40%

32%
33%
36%

23%
35%
43%

24%
34%
42%

27%
33%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(184)

(262)

(231)

(282)

(443)

(252)

(431)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

26%
34%
40%

28%
35%
38%

25%
33%
42%

10%
17%
72%

28%
33%
39%

28%
41%
32%

31%
31%
39%

26%
35%
39%

25%
33%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(368)

(359)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(158)

(566)

(125)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

6. Perception of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

24%
39%
37%

35%
37%
28%

26%
43%
31%

15%
39%
46%

34%
39%
27%

18%
39%
43%

29%
47%
24%

21%
35%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(182)

(259)

(231)

(278)

(443)

(250)

(427)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

24%
39%
37%

30%
33%
38%

18%
46%
36%

42%
35%
23%

22%
42%
36%

22%
41%
38%

21%
36%
43%

26%
42%
32%

17%
24%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(86)

(160)

(318)

(157)

(563)

(123)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

7. Perception of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

27%
51%
22%

17%
46%
37%

27%
55%
19%

40%
48%
12%

13%
50%
37%

36%
51%
13%

20%
51%
28%

33%
48%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(181)

(258)

(231)

(277)

(441)

(249)

(426)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

27%
51%
22%

26%
48%
26%

29%
54%
18%

40%
53%
7%

22%
59%
19%

27%
45%
29%

27%
53%
19%

26%
52%
22%

38%
44%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(364)

(355)

(86)

(160)

(316)

(157)

(560)

(124)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

8. Interest in This Republican Primary

When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

73%

76%

76%

69%

75%

71%

76%

70%

27%

24%

24%

31%

25%

29%

24%

30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(697)

(177)

(247)

(225)

(273)

(424)

(242)

(419)

Gender
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

73%

73%

72%

85%

82%

68%

65%

78%

59%

27%

27%

28%

15%

18%

32%

35%

22%

41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(697)

(349)

(348)

(85)

(155)

(301)

(156)

(543)

(119)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Presidential Trait

If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
39%

41%
34%

21%
37%

5%
43%

34%
33%

11%
42%

33%
30%

14%
43%

29%

23%

32%

31%

29%

30%

30%

29%

12%

2%

10%

21%

4%

17%

7%

13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(184)

(260)

(234)

(281)

(446)

(253)

(430)

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

20%
39%

23%
35%

17%
42%

21%
47%

23%
44%

16%
34%

24%
38%

22%
39%

15%
39%

29%

30%

29%

16%

25%

36%

30%

29%

30%

12%

12%

12%

16%

9%

14%

8%

10%

16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(366)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(319)

(161)

(568)

(122)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Response to Trump

If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Ideology
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%

38%

46%

50%

37%

50%

46%

44%

38%
17%

42%
20%

38%
16%

34%
16%

45%
18%

33%
17%

34%
20%

41%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(389)

(100)

(149)

(120)

(149)

(240)

(145)

(223)

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

45%

40%

51%

74%

48%

32%

44%

45%

41%

38%
17%

44%
16%

31%
18%

22%
4%

35%
17%

46%
22%

38%
18%

36%
18%

45%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(389)

(194)

(195)

(70)

(87)

(156)

(76)

(302)

(69)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidates Traits Donald Trump

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

58%
42%

53%
47%

57%
43%

60%
40%

53%
47%

54%
46%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(723)

(183)

(260)

(233)

(280)

(443)

(252)

(428)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
44%

58%
42%

54%
46%

27%
73%

54%
46%

61%
39%

64%
36%

57%
43%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(723)

(366)

(357)

(85)

(160)

(320)

(158)

(563)

(125)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidates Traits Ted Cruz

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
49%

67%
33%

58%
42%

35%
65%

67%
33%

40%
60%

64%
36%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(184)

(261)

(232)

(278)

(446)

(252)

(428)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

51%
49%

54%
46%

47%
53%

56%
44%

53%
47%

49%
51%

50%
50%

56%
44%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(724)

(365)

(359)

(85)

(160)

(320)

(159)

(564)

(125)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidates Traits John Kasich

For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

73%
27%

67%
33%

81%
19%

77%
23%

73%
27%

74%
26%

68%
32%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(722)

(183)

(261)

(232)

(277)

(445)

(251)

(428)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

73%
27%

74%
26%

72%
28%

70%
30%

67%
33%

74%
26%

80%
20%

75%
25%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(722)

(365)

(357)

(85)

(160)

(319)

(158)

(563)

(123)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Performance Terrorism

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
30%
17%

50%
44%
6%

48%
32%
20%

59%
17%
24%

51%
42%
7%

55%
21%
24%

46%
46%
8%

55%
22%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(184)

(255)

(223)

(279)

(426)

(248)

(415)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

53%
30%
17%

51%
31%
18%

56%
28%
16%

31%
43%
26%

54%
32%
14%

57%
27%
16%

55%
26%
19%

53%
32%
16%

57%
20%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(706)

(364)

(342)

(77)

(158)

(315)

(155)

(554)

(116)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Performance Changing the political system

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

67%
24%
9%

68%
28%
4%

65%
26%
8%

68%
19%
13%

68%
32%
1%

67%
19%
14%

63%
34%
4%

69%
19%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(183)

(257)

(224)

(278)

(429)

(246)

(419)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

67%
24%
9%

69%
26%
5%

65%
22%
13%

37%
57%
6%

67%
26%
7%

73%
17%
9%

69%
20%
11%

66%
26%
8%

70%
18%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(363)

(345)

(77)

(159)

(315)

(157)

(557)

(116)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Performance Immigration

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

60%
24%
16%

60%
33%
7%

57%
28%
15%

63%
12%
25%

62%
33%
5%

58%
18%
25%

53%
37%
9%

62%
17%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(184)

(259)

(227)

(280)

(434)

(250)

(422)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

60%
24%
16%

60%
26%
14%

59%
22%
19%

33%
36%
31%

54%
29%
16%

69%
19%
13%

59%
22%
19%

60%
25%
15%

55%
20%
24%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(715)

(366)

(349)

(77)

(159)

(319)

(159)

(561)

(118)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Performance Foreign policy

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

40%
33%
27%

40%
47%
13%

36%
38%
27%

42%
21%
38%

40%
46%
14%

40%
24%
36%

36%
48%
16%

41%
24%
35%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(183)

(256)

(226)

(280)

(428)

(248)

(417)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

40%
33%
27%

36%
39%
25%

45%
27%
28%

26%
34%
40%

44%
36%
20%

41%
34%
25%

42%
27%
31%

41%
35%
24%

39%
25%
36%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(708)

(363)

(345)

(77)

(158)

(313)

(159)

(556)

(116)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Performance Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

46%
28%
25%

44%
43%
13%

42%
31%
28%

51%
15%
34%

47%
42%
11%

46%
20%
35%

40%
44%
16%

49%
20%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(711)

(184)

(257)

(225)

(280)

(431)

(249)

(420)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

46%
28%
25%

46%
31%
23%

47%
25%
28%

17%
34%
49%

43%
33%
23%

50%
30%
20%

56%
18%
26%

47%
31%
23%

44%
19%
37%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(711)

(364)

(346)

(77)

(159)

(316)

(158)

(560)

(116)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Performance Bringing back jobs

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
22%
19%

60%
31%
10%

56%
23%
21%

59%
14%
27%

60%
32%
8%

58%
16%
27%

52%
35%
13%

62%
14%
24%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(183)

(257)

(224)

(277)

(429)

(248)

(418)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

59%
22%
19%

57%
24%
20%

61%
20%
19%

26%
43%
31%

55%
26%
19%

66%
18%
16%

64%
14%
21%

58%
23%
19%

60%
17%
23%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(360)

(347)

(77)

(158)

(316)

(156)

(555)

(116)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Performance Defeating Hillary Clinton in November

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

56%
25%
19%

49%
39%
12%

50%
25%
25%

67%
15%
18%

50%
40%
11%

60%
15%
25%

57%
34%
9%

54%
20%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(182)

(257)

(223)

(279)

(426)

(249)

(414)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

56%
25%
19%

51%
25%
23%

62%
24%
15%

43%
27%
30%

57%
24%
19%

59%
23%
17%

55%
27%
18%

56%
26%
19%

59%
21%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(705)

(363)

(342)

(77)

(159)

(315)

(154)

(555)

(116)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

21. Republican Candidate Performance Trade policy

Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
24%
19%

56%
35%
9%

53%
24%
23%

58%
17%
25%

58%
33%
9%

56%
18%
26%

51%
38%
11%

59%
16%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(183)

(255)

(224)

(278)

(428)

(248)

(416)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
24%
19%

54%
27%
19%

59%
21%
20%

31%
32%
37%

56%
30%
15%

61%
24%
16%

63%
14%
23%

55%
25%
19%

62%
17%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(707)

(363)

(344)

(77)

(158)

(313)

(158)

(555)

(116)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Statements Donald Trump

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

86%
14%

82%
18%

89%
11%

88%
12%

83%
17%

88%
12%

87%
13%

86%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(184)

(261)

(231)

(282)

(439)

(253)

(425)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

86%
14%

84%
16%

89%
11%

95%
5%

87%
13%

82%
18%

89%
11%

87%
13%

84%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(86)

(157)

(319)

(159)

(566)

(122)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Statements Ted Cruz

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

57%
43%

70%
30%

72%
28%

57%
43%

74%
26%

58%
42%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(184)

(260)

(229)

(279)

(440)

(250)

(425)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

68%
32%

66%
34%

69%
31%

42%
58%

67%
33%

69%
31%

81%
19%

67%
33%

70%
30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(719)

(364)

(355)

(84)

(160)

(316)

(159)

(561)

(122)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Candidate Statements John Kasich

Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

41%
59%

30%
70%

25%
75%

40%
60%

29%
71%

40%
60%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(183)

(260)

(231)

(280)

(440)

(250)

(427)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
67%

30%
70%

37%
63%

29%
71%

35%
65%

33%
67%

35%
65%

34%
66%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(364)

(356)

(85)

(160)

(316)

(159)

(562)

(122)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

25. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

37%
26%
11%
26%

41%
23%
18%
18%

34%
28%
10%
28%

33%
27%
7%
33%

46%
21%
12%
22%

31%
29%
10%
30%

32%
25%
11%
32%

38%
27%
10%
24%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(183)

(261)

(232)

(280)

(439)

(251)

(427)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

37%
26%
11%
26%

40%
23%
11%
26%

34%
29%
10%
27%

12%
26%
4%
58%

33%
30%
12%
24%

43%
24%
11%
22%

42%
25%
12%
21%

38%
25%
11%
26%

30%
33%
9%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(720)

(368)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(157)

(559)

(125)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

26. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

22%
35%
26%
17%

38%
35%
18%
10%

24%
40%
21%
14%

8%
29%
37%
26%

40%
38%
13%
9%

11%
33%
34%
22%

31%
43%
18%
8%

18%
30%
30%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(182)

(260)

(230)

(277)

(439)

(249)

(425)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

22%
35%
26%
17%

27%
35%
21%
18%

17%
35%
31%
17%

25%
36%
27%
12%

20%
38%
22%
19%

23%
34%
28%
16%

20%
34%
24%
21%

23%
39%
26%
13%

16%
20%
28%
36%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(716)

(364)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(316)

(155)

(556)

(125)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

27. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

15%
47%
28%
10%

9%
40%
33%
17%

18%
49%
25%
7%

19%
49%
23%
9%

12%
40%
34%
15%

17%
51%
24%
8%

8%
49%
33%
10%

20%
45%
24%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(718)

(183)

(260)

(230)

(278)

(439)

(251)

(425)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

15%
47%
28%
10%

15%
46%
29%
9%

15%
47%
27%
11%

31%
44%
15%
10%

7%
55%
29%
8%

13%
42%
33%
12%

20%
47%
22%
10%

14%
47%
30%
9%

24%
47%
15%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(718)

(366)

(352)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(155)

(558)

(125)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

28. Monitoring of Muslim Communities

Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

77%
23%

89%
11%

77%
23%

70%
30%

84%
16%

73%
27%

83%
17%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(184)

(260)

(232)

(278)

(443)

(249)

(429)

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

77%
23%

78%
22%

77%
23%

38%
62%

80%
20%

83%
17%

83%
17%

82%
18%

58%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(721)

(365)

(356)

(85)

(160)

(318)

(159)

(562)

(123)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

29. Betrayed by GOP

Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

65%
18%
17%

79%
11%
11%

62%
12%
26%

59%
28%
13%

79%
8%
12%

55%
24%
21%

63%
21%
16%

67%
16%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(184)

(263)

(234)

(283)

(445)

(254)

(432)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

65%
18%
17%

71%
12%
17%

58%
23%
18%

32%
38%
30%

59%
22%
18%

71%
15%
14%

74%
8%
18%

61%
19%
20%

78%
13%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(728)

(369)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(321)

(161)

(568)

(125)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

30. Republican Voter History

Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

46%
34%
13%
4%
2%

75%
20%
3%
1%
1%

47%
42%
9%
2%
0%

24%
37%
28%
8%
3%

56%
34%
9%
1%
0%

40%
34%
16%
7%
3%

45%
38%
12%
4%
0%

45%
32%
14%
4%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(184)

(263)

(234)

(283)

(446)

(254)

(432)

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

46%
34%
13%
4%
2%

45%
36%
15%
3%
2%

48%
31%
12%
6%
3%

54%
22%
24%
1%
1%

52%
33%
6%
6%
3%

46%
33%
15%
4%
2%

38%
43%
12%
4%
2%

55%
35%
8%
2%
0%

13%
34%
40%
7%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(729)

(368)

(360)

(86)

(160)

(322)

(161)

(568)

(124)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Pennsylvania Likely Republican Voters

31. Republican Wives

What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

17%

23%

14%

19%

19%

17%

19%

17%

70%
13%

68%
9%

74%
12%

65%
16%

70%
12%

70%
13%

67%
14%

72%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(184)

(262)

(234)

(281)

(445)

(252)

(432)

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

17%

16%

19%

23%

13%

22%

11%

17%

18%

70%
13%

73%
11%

66%
14%

58%
20%

68%
19%

67%
11%

83%
6%

71%
11%

63%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(726)

(369)

(358)

(85)

(160)

(321)

(161)

(566)

(125)

31