WISCONSIN

1st CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION
2016

Survey conducted May 9 through May 10, 2016. 442 likely 2016 Republican Primary Election voters
participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2016
Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/- 4.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not
always equal 100% due to rounding.

Q: What is your opinion of Paul Ryan?

Favorable: 78%
Unfavorable: 15%
No opinion: 7%
Q: What is your opinion of Donald Trump?
Favorable: 41%
Unfavorable: 43%
No opinion: 16%
Q: What is your opinion of Sarah Palin?
Favorable: 24%
Unfavorable: 54%
No opinion: 22%
Q: The candidates in the Republican primary election for United States Congress are Paul Ryan and Paul
Nehlen. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Paul Ryan: 78%
Paul Nehlen: 14%
Undecided: 8%

Q: What is your opinion of Paul Ryan?

BY DMA
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Madison, WI
75%
19%
6%

Milwaukee, WI
78%
15%
7%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
79%
13%
8%

Male
76%
17%
7%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-39
73%
20%
7%

40-49
89%
7%
4%

50-69
74%
17%
8%

Moderate
68%
24%
8%

Liberal
59%
41%
0%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Conservative
Favorable
82%
Unfavorable
11%
No opinion
7%

70+
80%
14%
6%

Q: What is your opinion of Donald Trump?

BY DMA
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Madison, WI
40%
39%
21%

Milwaukee, WI
41%
43%
16%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
37%
44%
18%

Male
43%
41%
15%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-39
36%
41%
24%

40-49
41%
49%
9%

50-69
40%
42%
18%

Moderate
42%
43%
15%

Liberal
29%
58%
13%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Conservative
Favorable
40%
Unfavorable
42%
No opinion
18%

70+
43%
41%
16%

Q: What is your opinion of Sarah Palin?

BY DMA
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Madison, WI
22%
54%
24%

Milwaukee, WI
24%
53%
22%

BY GENDER
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

Female
24%
57%
19%

Male
24%
51%
25%

BY AGE
Column %
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion

18-39
34%
34%
33%

40-49
13%
67%
20%

50-69
28%
55%
18%

Moderate
13%
68%
19%

Liberal
14%
74%
12%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Conservative
Favorable
28%
Unfavorable
48%
No opinion
24%

70+
20%
52%
28%

Q: The candidates in the Republican primary election for United States Congress are Paul Ryan and Paul
Nehlen. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

BY DMA
Column %
Paul Ryan
Paul Nehlen
Undecided

Madison, WI
79%
16%
5%

Milwaukee, WI
78%
13%
8%

BY GENDER
Column %
Paul Ryan
Paul Nehlen
Undecided

Female
81%
12%
7%

Male
76%
15%
9%

BY AGE
Column %
Paul Ryan
Paul Nehlen
Undecided

18-39
76%
20%
4%

40-49
83%
11%
6%

50-69
75%
15%
10%

Moderate
66%
22%
13%

Liberal
59%
28%
12%

BY IDEOLOGY
Column %
Conservative
Paul Ryan
84%
Paul Nehlen
10%
Undecided
6%

70+
82%
10%
8%

DEMOGRAPHICS

DMA
%
10%
90%

Madison, WI
Milwaukee, WI
GENDER

%
47%
53%

Female
Male
AGE
18-39
40-49
50-69
70+

%
11%
14%
48%
27%

IDEOLOGY
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal

%
72%
25%
3%