FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 9, 2016

Contact: Megan Conner

M.Conner@OwensHarkey.com

Poll: Biggs Has Early Lead in Arizonas

Fifth Congressional District
Donald Trump Polls Low Among LDS Community
PHOENIX (June 9, 2016) Arizonas 5th Congressional District, which holds the
reputation of one of the securest Republican seats in the country, is set to elect a new
congressman this November. With preliminary indications, Arizona Senate Majority Leader
Andy Biggs has an early lead.
However, in a survey of 462 likely special election voters, 57 percent said they are
undecided on who to vote for as their next Congressman. Even with the high undecideds
Andy Biggs has as two to one lead over all of his opponents.

AZ 5th Congressional District GOP Primary

June 2, 2016 Results

Andy Biggs

21%

Don Stapley

10%

Christine Jones

7%

Justin Olson

5%

Unsure/Undecided

57%

The LDS community has a 35 percent undecided rate which is the lowest in all
demographic categories. Catholic, Christian Evangelical and Protestant voters are
approximately 60 percent undecided, Mike Noble, Pollster & Managing Partner of OH
Predictive Insights said. Clearly Biggs lead is significantly larger among LDS voters and
he is dominating in every major religious category. When it comes to Biggs base, it is a
melting pot of support.
Religious Breakdown of
Support

Protestant Catholic

Christian

Latter Day

Evangelical

Saints

Andy Biggs

17%

24%

23%

30%

Don Stapley

9%

6%

8%

19%

Christine Jones

7%

1%

2%

12%

Justin Olson

8%

5%

7%

4%

Unsure/Undecided

59%

64%

60%

35%

Christian

Latter Day

Evangelical

Saints

Donald Trump fav/unfav by

religion

Protestant Catholic

Favorable

67%

76%

74%

60%

Unfavorable

30%

20%

21%

37%

No Opinion

3%

4%

4%

3%

Noble added, It is evident that Donald Trump is not a popular candidate among the LDS
community despite him being the GOPs presumptive presidential nominee. If the LDS
community is not motivated to vote due to Trumps presence on the ticket, it could
negatively impact voter turnout for the states congressional election.
Methodology: This automated survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights on June
2nd, 2016, from a sample of likely Republican Primary voters across Arizona who first
answered they were likely or very likely to vote in the upcoming Arizona Republican
Primary for Congress. The sample size was 462 completed surveys, with a Margin of

Error of +/-4.56%
About OH Predictive Insights
With Owens Harkey Advertisings marketing and creative service resources coupled with
OH Strategic Communications unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise,
OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and
advanced targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF
Consulting brings proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive
Insights providing clients with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading
professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH
Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their
footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call
602-254-5159.

###

OH Predictive Insight
3550 N Central Ave Suite 1710 | Phoenix, AZ
85012