FOR

IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Biggs Has Early Lead in Arizonas Fifth Congressional District

Donald Trump Polls Low Among LDS Community

PHOENIX (June 9, 2016) Arizonas 5th Congressional District, which holds the reputation of
one of the securest Republican seats in the country, is set to elect a new congressman this
November. With preliminary indications, Arizona Senate Majority Leader Andy Biggs has an
early lead.

However, in a survey of 462 likely special election voters, 57 percent said they are undecided on
who to vote for as their next Congressman. Even with the high undecideds Andy Biggs has as
two to one lead over all of his opponents.

AZ 5th Congressional District GOP Primary June 2, 2016 Results

Andy Biggs
21%

Don Stapley
10%


Christine Jones
7%
Justin Olson
5%

Unsure/Undecided
57%


The LDS community has a 35 percent undecided rate which is the lowest in all demographic
categories. Catholic, Christian Evangelical and Protestant voters are approximately 60 percent
undecided, Mike Noble, Pollster & Managing Partner of OH Predictive Insights said. Clearly
Biggs lead is significantly larger among LDS voters and he is dominating in every major religious
category. When it comes to Biggs base, it is a melting pot of support.

Religious Breakdown of Support Protestant

Catholic

Christian
Evangelical

Latter Day
Saints

Andy Biggs

17%

24%

23%

30%

Don Stapley

9%

6%

8%

19%

Justin Olson

7%

1%

2%

12%

Christine Jones

8%

5%

7%

4%

Unsure/Undecided

59%

64%

60%

35%

Donald Trump fav/unfav by

religion

Protestant

Catholic

Chrisitan
Evangelical

Latter-Day
Saints

Favorable

67%

76%

74%

60%

Unfavorable

30%

20%

21%

37%

No Opinion

3%

4%

5%

3%

Noble added, It is evident that Donald Trump is not a popular candidate among the LDS
community despite him being the GOPs presumptive presidential nominee. If the LDS
community is not motivated to vote due to Trumps presence on the ticket, it could negatively
impact voter turnout for the states congressional election.


Methodology: This automated survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights on
June 2nd, 2016, from a sample of likely Republican Primary voters across Arizona who first
answered they were likely or very likely to vote in the upcoming Arizona Republican
Primary for Congress. The sample size was 462 completed surveys, with a Margin of Error of +/4.56%

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About OH Predictive Insights
With Owens Harkey Advertisings marketing and creative service resources coupled with OH
Strategic Communications unparalleled messaging and strategic planning expertise, OH
Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced
targeted marketing. Leading Arizona pollster Michael Noble from MBQF Consulting brings
proprietary social statistics software and services to OH Predictive Insights providing clients
with tools to solve their most challenging problems. With leading professionals in the
advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service
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