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Avista Partners
December 2010
Avista Partners
Avista Partners is an independent investment banking firm that brings deep sector expertise, global relationships, and world class transaction experience in the digital media and luxury sectors. Our global network is based on strong relationships with senior management at companies and media investors in our core sectors including venture capitalists, private equity firms, hedge funds, family offices & institutional investors. We provide our clients with the following services: Capital Markets Advisory; Mergers & Acquisitions; Restructuring; and Financial & Strategic Advisory.
This note has been prepared and issued by Avista Partners LLP which is authorized and regulated by the FSA. Any information in this note is based on data obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by Avista Partners with regard to the accuracy of the data. This note is for information purposes, it is not intended to be and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to acquire, or dispose of, any of the securities mentioned in this note. This note is intended solely for distribution to professional and business contacts of Avista Partners. It is not intended to be distributed to private investors or private customers. Avista Partners accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of or in any way connected with the use of all or any part of this report. No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without Avista Partners LLP's prior written consent.
Contact Information: Tel: +44 207 193 6780 Fax: +44 207 691 7112 Email: info@avistapartners.com 8 Grafton Street London W1S 4EL United Kingdom www.avistapartners.com
December 2010
Avista Partners
Recent Review Highlights: Market Cap for all public companies in global game sector is $112.1 billion Over $340m of M&A deals in global sector (Nov. 1 to Dec. 20) Over $200m raised in global sector (Nov. 1 to Dec. 20) The Payment Index is the best performing game sector index at +45.0% (LTM to 20 Dec) The Asia Game Index is the best performing regional game index at +11.0% (LTM to 20 Dec) Online Game/ Virtual World Universe has 260+ companies generating over $14.5 billion in annual revenue plus we are tracking 400+ additional new companies Recent M&A Deals
Total Transaction Date Target/Issuer Dizzywood Beijing Julun Network Information Funtank TirNua Nclipse China Cyber Port Co., Ltd. (75%) APB: All Points Bulletin Game & CJ Internet Corp AppStrip Making Fun 3GUU Mobile Entertainment (70%) Newtoy Phonetic Arts Quazal Longtail Quebec Studio Value ($mm) Buyers/Investors 2.3 18.0 293.9 29.6 SecretBuilders Giant Interactive Publishers Clearing House Rockyou Nexon China Communication Investment Reloaded Productions (Gamersfirst) O Media Holdings Co., Ltd. Tapjoy News Corp VODone LIMITED Zynga Google Ubisoft Ubisoft Implied Enterprise Implied Enterprise Value ($mm) 2.3 24.0 175.6 42.3 Value/Revenues 0.8x Implied Enterprise Value/EBITDA 3.5x Implied Enterprise Value/EBIT 4.0x 45.5x -
Online Games
12/17/2010 12/10/2010 12/06/2010 12/03/2010 12/03/2010 12/01/2010 11/16/2010 11/16/2010 11/09/2010 11/05/2010
Mobile Games
12/06/2010 12/02/2010
Game Technology
12/03/2010 11/04/2010
PC/Console Games
11/03/2010
December 2010
Avista Partners
Investors Legion Enterprises and Oak Investment Partners Stelt Holding Nv Tiger Management, Accel Partners, Intel Capital, General Catalyst Partners CJ Internet Mission Ventures Sherpalo Ventures & Ron Conway Sequoia Capital, Softbank Capital, Vodafone Ventures and Novel TMT Ventures Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Oak Investment Partners, and Infinity I-China SPIL Games B.V. Temasek Holdings, Oak Investments, Hearst Corporation, Revolution Ventures, Pelion Ventures & the Abu Dhabi Media Company Grupo Intercom de Capital, SCR, S.A. angel investors Blumberg Capital, Seraph Group and Ergo Media Xange, KfW and Bertelsmann Digital Media Investments Sequoia Capital, Michael Dearing, Jeff Fluhr and Omar Hamoui Mitsui Ventures, BRM Capital, and Baruch Lebanon Columbia Capital, Greylock Partners and Novak Biddle Venture Partners FTV Capital, Bertelsmann Digital Media Investments, DCM and ONSET Ventures Sparbankstiftelsen Sknes Riskkapitalstiftelse
Location USA China Norway USA USA USA USA USA USA UK USA Germany USA Spain USA USA Germany USA Israel USA USA UK Sweden Sweden
Online Games
12/20/2010 12/14/2010 12/13/2010 12/07/2010 11/29/2010 11/29/2010 11/22/2010 11/19/2010 11/17/2010 11/16/2010 11/10/2010 11/08/2010 11/05/2010 11/04/2010 11/04/2010 11/03/2010
Mobile Games
12/20/2010 12/15/2010 11/22/2010 11/08/2010 11/01/2010 11/10/2010
December 2010
Avista Partners
December 2010
Avista Partners
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00 Dec-212009 Jan-212010 Feb-212010 Mar-212010 Apr-212010 May-212010 Jun-212010 Jul-212010 Aug-212010 Sep-212010 Oct-212010 Nov-212010
game Distributor/ Accessory Index Game Outsourcing Index Online Game Index
Note: the companies making up each index are those listed in the corresponding comps in the following pages. The indexes are based on a weighted market cap and are rebased to 100 at the start.
Game Index Performance by region (LTM) The Asia Game Index is the best performing regional game index at +11.0% December 2010
Source: Capital IQ, Company Filings, Brokers & Press 7
Avista Partners
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00 Dec-212009 Jan-212010 Feb-212010 Mar-212010 Apr-212010 May-212010 Jun-212010 Jul-212010 Aug-212010 Sep-212010 Oct-212010 Nov-212010
Note: the companies making up each index are those listed in the corresponding comps in the following pages. The indexes are based on a weighted market cap and are rebased to 100 at the start.
December 2010
Avista Partners
Ganymede Roblox Games2win Cafe.com Fish Oberon Big Feerik Alawar Fettspielen Microsoft Online 51wan GameDuell Zynga Geewa Motion Twin Jagex Popcap 9you
Moli Group
NcSoft
CJ Internet
Softstar Sing-Gium Chinese Gamer Gameon CIB Net Station Lizard Nexon Perfect World GameCyber WeMade Entertainment Snail Game Upjers Neowiz Games Sonokong Roc Works Gonzo Rosso SGN IGS Online Games DMII IP e-games High5 Asiasoft Burda Interactive China Cyber Port Windysoft Userjoy CDC Games Actoz Slide Linekong SZ Network Mycnx M-Etel Kingsoft Games Goorm GoodGame Ferry Game VTC Game Headlock K2/ Gamers Outspark First Aruon Garena Lyto Gravity Goa Joymax Anipark Artix OnNet X-legend Innogames Barunson Weilai Ongame Beemoov JC Entertainment Cubizone GamesCampus Ini3 Ndoors Five Minutes Gameus Gamehi Travian Shiji Tiancheng L&K C&C Media Flowplay Unalis Storm Entertainment Logic Korea Crowdstar Imperia Online Dragonfly Ogplanet Mygame.ph Cyberstep Games Masters Ankama Subagames Owlient GCREST Frogster Jumpstart Kog Studios Ntreev Object Three Rings CITVC Netempire IAHGames Redduck Software 100sea Apaja Wiseon Exagame Gamasoft Dream Execution EYA Interactive Imazic Ymir Galaxy Gate Northstar Wooga Lager Network Codemasters Online Hive7 G10 Barunson Interactive Softnyx InixsoftH-win Cipsoft Hi-win Hattrick Gamelabs NetTimeSoft Dreamwork Power Challenge Cave Min Communications Aramaru Taewool Plinga Crspace Expotato Digitalic Nowcom Games Young Internet Sulake F4 Gameart Studio CCR YedangOnline Gaia Online Allm Radiance YNK Korea G-Bits Entropia Watagame Urban Rivals Cedar Online Digipark Ice Entertainment Gnisoft Maiet IMVU Funcom ESTsoft games Apeha.ru Indy21 Entwell Wisecat Seedc Stardoll Alt1 Tri-d Second Life Wizard101 Softon IMC Games Rhaon Atoonz Zwinky Ons On Soft Fusion Fall Mind Candy eRepublik Cartoon Doll Emporium Webkinz Least Diverse Casual Casual to Hardcore Focus
Weeworld
Guangyu Huaxia
CCP
Hardcore
December 2010
Avista Partners
P/E CY 2010E 30.0x 16.2x 31.6x 12.1x 15.4x NM 31.2x NA NA 14.4x 19.3x 13.0x NM NA NA 13.2x NM NA NA NA NM NM NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.3x NA 1.3x 31.6x 18.0x 15.4x CY 2011E 16.7x 15.0x 19.6x 10.2x 15.2x 30.9x 15.9x NA NA 7.6x 15.5x 11.3x 15.4x NA NA 8.2x NM NA NA NA 6.9x 5.2x NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.9x NA 0.9x 30.9x 13.0x 15.0x
Note: stock comps are based on calendar years and not fully diluted
December 2010
10
Avista Partners
P/E CY 2010E 8.8x 10.7x NA NA NA 11.3x 7.9x 7.9x 11.3x 9.7x 9.7x CY 2011E 7.8x NA NA NA NA 9.0x 7.4x 7.4x 9.0x 8.1x 7.8x
CY 2008 2.3x 4.4x 5.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.6x 0.4x 5.3x 2.2x 1.5x NA NA 0.1x NA 0.1x 0.1x 0.1x 0.1x 0.4x 0.2x 0.2x 0.4x 0.3x 0.3x
CY 2009 2.2x NA NA 0.4x 0.4x NA 0.4x 2.2x 1.0x 0.4x 2.5x 2.0x NA NA 2.0x 2.5x 2.3x 2.3x 0.4x 0.2x 0.2x 0.4x 0.3x 0.3x
CY 2010 1.7x NA NA 0.5x 0.6x NA 0.5x 1.7x 0.9x 0.6x 2.7x 1.9x NA 3.6x 1.9x 3.6x 2.7x 2.7x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x
CY 2008 12.2x 14.3x 29.2x 3.9x 3.5x 4.2x 3.5x 29.2x NA NA NA NA 8.3x NA 8.3x 8.3x 8.3x 8.3x 4.0x 1.9x 1.9x 4.0x 3.0x 3.0x
CY 2009 NA NA NA NA 28.4x NA 28.4x 28.4x 28.4x 28.4x 9.4x 16.8x NA NA 9.4x 16.8x 13.1x 13.1x 4.1x 2.2x 2.2x 4.1x 3.1x 3.1x
CY 2010 NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.0x 0.0x #DIV/0! #NUM! 14.8x 11.1x NA 141.3x 11.1x 141.3x 55.7x 14.8x 3.9x 3.5x 3.5x 3.9x 3.7x 3.7x
CY 2008 NA NA NA 53.8x NM NA 53.8x 53.8x 53.8x 53.8x 19.7x 36.7x NA NA 19.7x 36.7x 28.2x 28.2x 9.4x 3.4x 3.4x 9.4x 6.4x 6.4x
CY 2009 21.3x NA NA 45.1x NM NA 21.3x 45.1x 33.2x 33.2x 39.6x 15.2x NA NM 15.2x 39.6x 27.4x 27.4x 8.0x 7.2x 7.2x 8.0x 7.6x 7.6x
CY 2010 15.1x NA NA 19.9x 6.9x NA 6.9x 19.9x 14.0x 15.1x NA NA NA NA 0.0x 0.0x NA NA 7.3x 6.0x 6.0x 7.3x 6.6x 6.6x
December 2010
11
Avista Partners
CY 2009
CY 2010
1.07
35.5%
137.5%
17.0
26.4
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
3,095.00 1,123.00 4.96 28,200.00 13,200.00 1.93 1.03 314.00 49,450.00 0.34
99.7% 71.1% 95.6% 67.5% 68.4% 70.2% 60.2% 63.7% 45.3% 53.1%
184.4% 128.3% 165.3% 117.3% 128.8% 227.1% 147.1% 130.3% 247.3% 226.7%
5,577.0 3,053.4 487.0 134.7 108.9 86.0 65.7 108.1 66.9 12.3
5,054.4 2,850.3 456.0 98.0 75.7 74.8 66.2 61.3 42.4 13.9 Min Max Average Median
12.6x NA 2.8x 8.1x 3.2x 0.8x 3.0x 0.3x NA 0.6x 0.3x 12.6x 3.9x 2.9x
12.2x 10.9x 2.6x NA 2.8x 0.9x NA 0.3x NA NA 0.3x 12.2x 5.0x 2.7x
4.2x 5.2x 2.5x 3.8x 2.2x 1.2x 1.7x NA NA NA 1.2x 5.2x 3.0x 2.5x
26.9x NA 33.3x 19.2x 9.5x NM 5.1x 1.6x NA NM 1.6x 33.3x 15.9x 14.3x
17.4x 17.2x 34.1x 10.3x 12.8x NM 4.5x NA NA NA 4.5x 34.1x 16.0x 15.0x
13.2x 12.6x 24.6x 7.9x 8.9x NM 3.8x NA NA NA 3.8x 24.6x 11.8x 10.7x
December 2010
12
Avista Partners
CY 2010E 14.9x 22.7x 21.3x 9.4x 8.6x 8.6x 12.4x 21.5x 13.0x 8.7x NA 59.6x 17.1x NA 17.6x 28.6x 19.6x 8.8x 12.1x 59.0x 21.3x 12.7x 7.6x NA 6.6x 24.1x 3.6x NA NA 36.1x NM NM NA NA NA NA NM NA NM NA NA NA NA 1.6x NM 1.6x 59.6x 18.3x 13.9x
CY 2011E 12.0x 15.9x 17.7x 9.1x 7.6x 7.9x 10.0x 16.3x 11.2x 7.3x NA 47.5x 14.3x NA 15.9x 18.5x 10.0x 5.4x 8.6x 11.6x 10.8x 11.4x 6.5x NA 5.2x NA 2.9x NA NA 14.9x 6.2x 7.9x NA NA NA NA NM NA 14.8x NA NA NA NA 9.1x NM 2.9x 47.5x 12.0x 10.4x
December 2010
13
Avista Partners
December 2010
14
Avista Partners
December 2010
15
Avista Partners
December 2010
16
Avista Partners
December 2010
17
Avista Partners
03/30/2010 Cyber Planet Interactive Company Limited (6.82%) 03/26/2010 C&C Media Co., Ltd. 03/22/2010 Red 5 Studios (majority stake) 03/03/2010 northworks Software 03/03/2010 Mindjolt 03/03/2010 Offbeat Creations 02/24/2010 Big Six Games 02/23/2010 Game Advertising Online 02/22/2010 Raxco Assets Corp. 02/18/2010 YNK Japan (31.6%) 02/11/2010 FileFront 02/11/2010 Serious Business 02/03/2010 Alawar (23%) 02/03/2010 Seed9 Entertainment (56.33%) 02/02/2010 YNK Japan (35%) 01/29/2010 Enemy Unknown AB 01/21/2010 Professional Interactive Entertainment (GGL) 01/13/2010 01/11/2010 Thriller New Media Mochi Media
01/11/2010 Linden Research (undisclosed stake) 01/08/2010 Shanghai Hongli Digital Technology (Goldcool Games) 12/21/2009 Chesspark.com (domain name)
December 2010
18
Avista Partners
Value ($mm) 3.8 0.2 150.0 40.0 5.5 1.2 3.0 5.3 0.5 1.0 5.4 400.6 -
Investors Sparbankstiftelsen Sknes Riskkapitalstiftelse Alpha Capital AG ; Whalehaven Capital Fund Limited Providence Equity Societe Generale de Financement du Quebec AQR Capital Management, LLC , AQR Funds - Diversified Arbitrage Fund, CNH CA Master Account L.P. , Cnh Partners & Terry Phillips Angel Investors Investment AB Spiltan Dot Corp Dveloppement & Partenariat Value8 NV Jerry Bruckheimer
Location Sweden Sweden USA USA France USA UK Thailand France Sweden USA USA France Japan Netherlands USA
December 2010
19
Avista Partners
Investors FTV Capital, Bertelsmann Digital Media Investments, DCM and ONSET Ventures Investitionsbank Berlin (IBB) Vodafone Ventures, Softbank Bodhi Fund, Menlo Ventures, Novel TMT Ventures, STIC, and others T-Venture, Kreos Capital and Easton Capital Michael van Swaaij & other investors Ilan Shiloah and Nir Tarlovsky Altos Ventures, Maverick Capital and Larry Braitman Hasso Plattner Ventures, Kite Ventures, and Team Europe Ventures Andreessen Horowitz Matrix Partners angel investors Jameson Hsu, Greg Thomson, Mike Sego, Naval Ravikant and Extreme Venture Partners angel investors Kodiak Capital Group Maveron LLC Betaworks, Lerer Media Ventures and RRE Ventures True Ventures, Maples Investments, Endeavor Capital Management, Fenwick & West, LLP, Kapor Capital & angel investors Javelin Venture Partners, Accelerator Ventures, First Round Capital, Freestyle Capital, Nueva Ventures & Soft Tech VC DAG Ventures, Benchmark Capital, Index Ventures, and Khosla Ventures LTI Global, Inc and PayLetter, Inc.
Location USA Germany USA USA UK Israel USA Germany USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA South Korea USA USA USA USA
December 2010
20
Avista Partners
Location Germany USA Israel USA USA USA China Hong Kong Japan USA USA UK USA Ghana Vietnam USA USA Finland USA USA USA China USA USA USA USA USA Japan China USA USA USA USA USA
December 2010
21
Avista Partners
Location UK Israel Belgium Germany UK UK USA France USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA Sweden UK USA Canada
December 2010
22
Avista Partners
Location USA China Norway USA USA USA USA USA USA UK USA Germany USA Spain USA USA USA Argentina USA France UK USA Germany USA USA USA France UK USA Spain USA China USA China UK Germany USA USA USA USA USA Canada
December 2010
23
Avista Partners
Investors Insight Venture Partners SIG Partners Kielvest Capital and SeventySix Capital & other investors Notion Capital, Harald Ludwig & other investors Andreessen Horowitz, Founder Collective, SV Angel, betaworks, Lerer Ventures, First Round Capital, CrossCut Ventures, Joshua Schachter & Gary Vaynerchuck Peter Mead,Fru Hazlitt and Eric Fellner Crosslink Capital and Mohr Davidow Rocket Internet, Robert Klingel GmbH + Co KG, Seventure Partners &Presse-Druck- Und Verlags-Gmbh Union Square Ventures, Naval Ravikant and Chris Dixon OTC Asset Management, R Capital Management, Seventure Partners, Entrepreneur Venture & new investors Steamboat Ventures, Bessemer Venture Partners and New World Ventures Tomorrow Ventures and Lars Hinrichs Angel investors Softbank Corp. Redpoint Ventures Softbank John Griffin and Ian Smith Wekix, Kima Ventures and angel investors Nairbo Investment Inc.; McLean Capital, LLC Rocket Internet and Holtzbrinck Ventures CM-CIC Capital Priv SAM Venture Partners, Tomorrow Ventures and angel investors Fidelity Growth Partners Prime Technology Ventures Harrison Metal Capital iNovia Capital and ID Capital Sequoia Capital China angel investors TrustBridge Partners, ICON Dongli, Shenzhen Fortune Venture Capital & Chengdu Xinxing Business Start-up angel investors angel investors Intel Capital Accel Partners and Andreessen Horowitz EM Media SoftTech VC, Kima Ventures, CapISF, Laurent Kratz, Pierre Gerard, Jacques-Antoine Granjon and Ilan Benhaim
Location USA China USA UK USA UK USA Germany USA France USA USA USA USA USA USA UK Israel USA USA Germany France USA Germany UK USA Canada Korea Korea China China China USA USA USA USA UK USA
December 2010
24
Avista Partners
Investors The Entrepreneurs Fund III and angel investors Northern Light Venture Capital Swiss RapidTainment AG and German High-Tech Grunderfonds Kolohala Ventures and Henk Rogers Jerusalem Venture Partners Playdom JAFCO Ventures, Battery Ventures, Panorama Capital DST, 1C Company and Sergey Orlovskiy Delixi Group Corporation IQ Capital Partners LLP and Benchmark Capital Parta Group Band of Angels and other angel investors Angel Investors Austin Ventures Seventure Partners Angel Investors Full Ocean Development Limited and Amazing International Holdings Alsop Louie Partners and TL Ventures Venture Accelerator Nelson and Seed Co-Investment Fund Mangrove Capital Partners and ABRT Fund Insight Venture Partners Shenzhen Fortune Venture Capital Management K-net Investment and Stone Bridge Capital various angels including: Franois Derbaix, Jos Luis Vallejo, Juan Pan, Carlos Blanco and Axel Serena Google Ventures & Highland Capital Ventech Capital, AGF Private Equity, and SoftTech VC Seedcamp and city of Viennas Departure program Fonds d'Investissement de Bretagne, S.A.S. and Galia Gestion Toby Rowland
Location Hong Kong USA China Germany USA China USA USA USA Russia China Russia USA USA USA Germany USA USA USA China South Korea New Zealand Russia Hong Kong China China USA Iceland USA South Korea Spain USA USA Austria France China London, UK
December 2010
25