Survey of Likely Voters Statewide in Ohio

Topline Summary Report Nov. 1, 2012

Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters in Ohio regarding the November election. The survey included 1,281 respondents and was conducted Oct. 30-31, 2012. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

1. There is a general election coming up in November in which we will vote for U.S. President, U.S. Senate, and many other offices. How likely are you to vote in that election?
LIKELY TO VOTE Frequency ALREADY VOTED VERY LIKELY Valid SOMEWHAT LIKELY Total 38 1281 2.9 100.0 2.9 100.0 100.0 465 778 Percent 36.3 60.7 Valid Percent 36.3 60.7 Cumulative Percent 36.3 97.1

2. Thinking about how things are going here in Ohio, would you say things are, generally speaking, headed in the right direction, or do you think they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT-WRONG TRACK Frequency RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK Valid NOT SURE Total 89 1281 6.9 100.0 6.9 100.0 100.0 573 619 Percent 44.7 48.4 Valid Percent 44.7 48.4 Cumulative Percent 44.7 93.1

3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

OBAMA FAVS Frequency VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE Valid VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 513 6 1281 40.0 .4 100.0 40.0 .4 100.0 99.6 100.0 539 126 98 Percent 42.1 9.8 7.6 Valid Percent 42.1 9.8 7.6 Cumulative Percent 42.1 51.9 59.5

4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

ROMNEY FAVS Frequency VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE Valid VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 350 26 1281 27.3 2.0 100.0 27.3 2.0 100.0 98.0 100.0 587 177 141 Percent 45.8 13.8 11.0 Valid Percent 45.8 13.8 11.0 Cumulative Percent 45.8 59.6 70.7

5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sherrod Brown?

BROWN FAVS Frequency VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE Valid VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 506 41 1281 39.5 3.2 100.0 39.5 3.2 100.0 96.8 100.0 427 179 129 Percent 33.3 13.9 10.1 Valid Percent 33.3 13.9 10.1 Cumulative Percent 33.3 47.2 57.3

6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Josh Mandel?

MANDEL FAVS Frequency VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE Valid VERY UNFAVORABLE NO OPINION Total 374 67 1281 29.2 5.3 100.0 29.2 5.3 100.0 94.7 100.0 430 242 168 Percent 33.5 18.9 13.1 Valid Percent 33.5 18.9 13.1 Cumulative Percent 33.5 52.4 65.5

7. If the election for President was today, and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Jill Stein of the Green Party, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Virgil Goode of the Constitution Party, for whom would you vote?
PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT Frequency OBAMA ROMNEY STEIN JOHNSON Valid GOODE SOMEONE ELSE NOT SURE Total 12 3 17 1281 .9 .2 1.3 100.0 .9 .2 1.3 100.0 98.5 98.7 100.0 585 629 5 31 Percent 45.6 49.1 .4 2.4 Valid Percent 45.6 49.1 .4 2.4 Cumulative Percent 45.6 94.7 95.1 97.5

8. If the election for U.S. Senator was today, and the candidates were Republican Josh Mandel and Democrat Sherrod Brown, for whom would you vote?
SENATE BALLOT Frequency MANDEL BROWN Valid NOT SURE Total 64 1281 5.0 100.0 5.0 100.0 100.0 643 574 Percent 50.2 44.8 Valid Percent 50.2 44.8 Cumulative Percent 50.2 95.0

9. Thinking about the choice you just made for U.S. Senate, how firm would you say you are in your selection?
SENATE FIRM Frequency VERY FIRM SOMEWHAT FIRM Valid VERY OPEN TO CHANGE Total 43 1281 3.3 100.0 3.3 100.0 100.0 1148 91 Percent 89.6 7.1 Valid Percent 89.6 7.1 Cumulative Percent 89.6 96.7

PARTY Frequency DEM GOP Valid INDY Total 389 1281 30.4 100.0 30.4 100.0 100.0 477 414 Percent 37.3 32.4 Valid Percent 37.3 32.4 Cumulative Percent 37.3 69.6

PHILOSOPHY Frequency VERY LIBERAL LIBERAL MODERATE Valid CONSERVATIVE VERY CONSERVATIVE Total 305 271 1281 23.8 21.1 100.0 23.8 21.1 100.0 78.9 100.0 157 242 306 Percent 12.3 18.9 23.9 Valid Percent 12.3 18.9 23.9 Cumulative Percent 12.3 31.2 55.1

GENDER Frequency MEN Valid WOMEN Total 628 653 1281 Percent 49.0 51.0 100.0 Valid Percent 49.0 51.0 100.0 Cumulative Percent 49.0 100.0

REGION Frequency NW OHIO NE OHIO CENTRAL OHIO Valid SW OHIO SE OHIO Total 205 90 1281 16.0 7.0 100.0 16.0 7.0 100.0 93.0 100.0 231 448 307 Percent 18.0 35.0 24.0 Valid Percent 18.0 35.0 24.0 Cumulative Percent 18.0 53.0 77.0

2008 VOTE Frequency OBAMA McCAIN Valid NOT SURE Total 65 1281 5.1 100.0 5.1 100.0 100.0 640 576 Percent 49.9 45.0 Valid Percent 49.9 45.0 Cumulative Percent 49.9 94.9

AGE Frequency UNDER AGE 30 30s 40s Valid 50s 60s 70 + Total 154 167 218 243 269 231 1281 Percent 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 Valid Percent 12.0 13.0 17.0 19.0 21.0 18.0 100.0 Cumulative Percent 12.0 25.0 42.0 61.0 82.0 100.0

INCOME Frequency $50K OR LESS $50K TO $75K $75K TO $125K Valid $125K OR MORE REFUSED Total 159 87 1281 12.4 6.8 100.0 12.4 6.8 100.0 93.2 100.0 531 271 233 Percent 41.5 21.2 18.2 Valid Percent 41.5 21.2 18.2 Cumulative Percent 41.5 62.6 80.8