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Interested Parties Project New America and USAction November 3, 2012 New Statewide Poll in Ohio Shows President Obama Leading by Four Points

A statewide telephone survey of 500 likely voters in Ohio was conducted by Grove Insight November 1-2, 2012 using professional interviewers. Quotas were set to ensure calling into cell phone only households. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.

The President is starting to see daylight in overall support and on key factors deciding this race Barack Obama is currently ahead of Mitt Romney by four percentage points (49% to 45%). This is due, in part, to his lead in several key factors driving vote choice in this race. By a margin of eight points, voters view Obama as the man with the plan to move our country forward. He is also seen as candidate who will work to re-build the middle class economy (+8 over Romney).

Presidential Vote Ohio

80% 60% 40% 20%

+4 49% 45%

1%
0%
Obama 46% Other

4%
Undecided

Lean Obama 3% The president has also seen a meaningful uptick in Romney 40% his job approval ratings in the past several days, Lean Romney 5% which could be a function of his response to Superstorm Sandy. His positive approval numbers are up by five points and his disapproval numbers have dropped by four.

Claims of inaccuracy of the Romney Jeep ad may also be hurting the challengers credibility. Ohio voters believe Romney is better described as the candidate who you cant really believe what he says (+7 for Romney). The President also has a big lead among the early vote (56% to 39%)indication that the Democrats ground game is working.

Who does it better describe Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? [Names rotated] Obama Romney 42 41 45

Will work to re-build the middle class economy Has a concrete plan to move our country forward You cant really believe what he says

50 49 38

Demographic comparisons between this Grove Insight poll, the voterfile and other recent public surveys conducted in Ohio
Grove Insight Poll November 1-2 The actual voter file PPP Poll October 29-30 Survey USA October 26-29

Voters under age 30 Voters age 30-49 Voters over age 50 White voters Black Voters Other Women Men Self IDd Republican Self IDd independent Self IDd Democrat

15 34 52 84 12 3 52 48 36 21 43

19 35 46 84 14 3 53 47 NA NA NA

16 NA NA 82 11 7 54 46 36 19 45

50 50 85 11 NA 51 49 32 26 38

www.projectnewamerica.com @PNAmerica

www.usaction.org @USAction