Competitive Polling2

Seat
AZ-02
CA-03
CA-47
FL-22
FL-26
IL-08
KY-06
MD-06
ME-02
NY-25
WA-01
Likely Democrat Races (May Become Competitive)

Seat Details
Polling Details
Incumbent
Obama Polster
Client
Dem GOP
Und / Oth Obama
OPEN (Giffords)
49% Greenberg Quilan RosnerRon Barber
53% 40%
47%
5%
OnMessage Inc
Martha McSally
50% 45%
N/A
6%
Grove Insight
DCCC
54% 40%
N/A
Garamendi (D)
55% GBA Strategies
HMPAC
54% 39%
N/A
DCCC IVR
DCCC
52% 37%
11%
N/A
OPEN (Richardson)
58% Probolsky Research
DeLong
44% 41%
N/A
DCCC IVR
DCCC
47% 36%
17%
N/A
Goodwin Simon
Lowenthal
51% 31%
56%
Probolsky Research
DeLong
44% 53%
N/A
OPEN (West)
57% DCCC IVR
DCCC
49% 39%
13%
53%
PPP
47% 44%
9%
51%
Voter Survey Services (GOP)
47% 47%
6%
N/A
Anzalone Liszt
Frankel Campaign
47% 37%
50%
Riviera (R.)
50% Benenson Strategy Group
Garcia
49% 40%
11%
50%
Dario Moreno
Rivera Campaign
38% 44%
19%
50%
GBA Strategies
HMPAC
50% 41%
54%
PPP
DFA
46% 39%
16%
52%
McLaughlin & AssociatesNRCC
44% 33%
19%/5%
51%
Benenson Strategy Group
Garcia
46% 35%
15%/3%
N/A
Walsh (R.)
62% PPP
Credo
50% 41%
9%
N/A
Tarrance Group
Walsh Campaign
47% 45%
N/A
PPP
LCV
52% 38%
10%
53%
DCCC IVR
DCCC
52% 42%
6%
N/A
Anzalone Liszt
LCV
54% 39%
7%
53%
Chicago Tribune
50% 40%
9%
52%
PPP
Credo
54% 40%
5%
N/A
Chandler (D)
45% Public Opinion StrategiesBarr
49% 42%
N/A
Mellman Poll
Chandler
54% 30%
16%
47%
Public Opinion StrategiesBarr
47% 42%
N/A
Mellman Poll
Chandler
52% 37%
3%
N/A
Bartlett (R.)
56% Garin Hart Young SurveyDelaney
48% 39%
13%
N/A
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
HMPAC
44% 42%
8%/6%
51%
Opinion Works
Baltimore Sun
42% 41%
10%/6%
42%
Michaud (D)
55% Maine Peoples ResourceN/A
Centre
55.9% 37.4% 6.7%
N/A
Critical Insights
Maine Today Media
54% 39%
8%
46%
Pan Atlantic/SMS
52% 32%
N/A
Eaton River Strategies Raye Campaign
47% 40%
N/A
Normington Petts
Michaud Campaign
58% 33%
N/A
Critical Insights
Maine Today Media
55% 39%
10%
N/A
Slaughter (D)
59% Sienna Research InstituteSienna College
52% 42%
5%/1%
53%
Sienna Research InstituteSienna College
49% 44%
6%
52%
GBA Strategies
DCCC
53% 43%
54%
52% 42%
53%
40%
16%
OPEN (Inslee)
56% SurveyUSA
KING-TV
42% 42%
50%
SurveyUSA
42% 46%
N/A
SurveyUSA
47% 44%
48%
Romney
46%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
35%
N/A
43%
44%
N/A
43%
40%
42%
41%
46%
43%
N/A
N/A
N/A
40%
N/A
41%
41%
N/A
N/A
42%
N/A
N/A
N/A
42%
45%
N/A
41%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
39%
39%
40%
6%
40%
N/A
45%
Und / Oth Date

17-22 July
N/A
7-8 Aug
N/A
27-30 Sept
N/A
26-27 Aug
N/A
25 Jul
N/A
28 Jun-3 Jul
N/A
18 July
16-19 Aug
N/A
28 Jun-3 Jul
10 Oct
4%
15-16 Oct
N/A
14-16 Oct
18-21 Oct
10%
20-22 Aug
8%
13 - 16 Sept
8 - 13 Sept
2%
?
Sept
N/A
9-11 Oct
N/A
13-14 Aug
N/A
13 - 15 Aug
7%
18 - 20 Sept
N/A
4 Oct
16-18 Oct
20-24 Oct
N/A
25-26 Oct
N/A
20-21 Feb
11%
26-28 Mar
N/A
24-26 June
N/A
10-13 Sept
N/A
9-11 April
23-25 July
20-25 Oct
N/A
15 - 17 Sep
12-16 Sept
N/A
24-28 Sept
N/A
10-11 Oct
N/A
8-9 Oct
N/A
30-31 Oct
7%/1%
24-26 Sep
9%
7-11 Oct
17-18 Oct
6%/1%
29-30 Oct
4%/6%
August
N/A
13-15 Sep
19-21 Oct
LVs
503
400
400
400
303
400
259
400
400
450
500
750
501
400
422
400
?
400
400
500
400
508
315
400
600
500
400
400
400
400
402
400
610
410
400
1200
400
634
800
400
624
563
593
610
MOE
4.4%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
5.6%
4.9%
CTABS POLL
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.6% No
X
Yes
X
3.57% No
X
4.5% No
X
4.9%
X
Yes
X
4.9%
X
?
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
Yes
X
No
X
Yes
X
5.5% No
X
4.9% No
X
4%
No
X
Yes
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
5%
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.0% No
X
Yes
X
X
4.9% No
X
2.8% No
X
4.9% No
X
5.6% No
X
3.9% Yes
X
3.5% Yes
X
4.9% No
X
3.9% Yes
X
Yes
X
4.1% No
X
4.0% No
X
X
Lean Democrat Races (Competitive)

Seat
AZ-01
AZ-09
CA-09
CA-24
CA-26
CA-41
CT-05
IL-10
Seat Details
Incumbent
Obama Polster
Client
OPEN (Gosar)
48% North Star Opinion Research
Paton
NRCC IVR
NRCC
OPEN-New
51% GBA Strategies
HMPAC
Anzalone Lizst
DCCC
The Summit Group
Parker
McNerney (D)
56% Lake Research Partners McNerney
Tarrance Group
Gill
Tarrance Group
Gill
Global Strategy Group DCCC
Capps (D)
56% Public Opinion Strategoes
Maldonado
DCCC IVR
DCCC
Public Opinion StrategiesMaldonado
OPEN (Gallegly)
56% Tulchin Research
Brownly
OPEN-New
59% EMC Research (for Takano)
OPEN (Murphy)
56% Global Strategy Group DCCC
National Research Inc Roraback
National Research Inc Roraback
Garin Hart Young
Esty Campaign
Dold (R.)
63% Greenberg Quilan RosnerHMPAC
McLaughlin & AssociatesDold Campaign
DCCC IVR
DCCC
Dem
46%
45%
45%
48%
42%
49%
47%
45%
47%
48%
51%
44%
48%
42%
44%
35%
39%
46%
46%
44%
44%
GOP
43%
50%
41%
43%
44%
33%
45%
46%
38%
46%
40%
45%
44%
38%
35%
42%
45%
42%
46%
37%
43%
Polling Details
Und / Oth Obama
12%
35%
5%
46%
50%
50%
14%
N/A
53%
9%
N/A
9%
N/A
51%
N/A
9%
N/A
N/A
50%
N/A
N/A
15%
50%
46%
12%
53%
N/A
20%
N/A
13%
54%
Romney
58%
51%
44%
46%
N/A
38%
N/A
N/A
42%
N/A
N/A
N/A
45%
N/A
N/A
46%
46%
42%
N/A
N/A
42%
Und / Oth Date

25-26 July
3%
4 Oct
8-10 Sep
9-11 Sep
N/A
15th Oct
8-11 July
N/A
24-26 July
N/A
30 Sep-2 Oct
8-10 Oct
N/A
26-28 June
N/A
23 July
N/A
1-3 Oct
15-19 July
N/A
8-12 Aug
N/A
21-23 Aug
3-4th Sep
22-23 Oct
21-22 Oct
N/A
8-12 Aug
N/A
11-12 Sept
N/A
14 Oct
LVs
400
501
400
400
600
504
402
409
400
400
379
400
400
500
402
400
400
400
400
?
452
MOE
4.9%
4.3%
4.9%
4.9%
4.2%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
5.0%
4.9%
4.9%
4.4%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
?
4.6%
CTABS POLL
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
IL-11
Biggert (R.)
IL-12
OPEN (Costello)
IL-17
Schilling (R.)
MI-01
Benishek (R.)
MN-08 Craavack (R.)
NH-01 Guinta (R.)
NH-02 Bass (R.)
NV-04 OPEN-New
NY-01 Bishop (D)
NY-21 Owens (D)
NY-24 Buerkle (R.)
RI-01
Cicilone (D)
Dold Campaign
36%
61% Global Strategy Group Foster
42%
Garin Hart Young
HMPAC
49%
55% Beneson Strategy GroupHMPAC/SEIU
49%
We Are America
40%
60% GBA Strategies
Bustos Campaign
35%
Public Opinion StrategiesSchilling Campaign
35%
37%
GBA Strategies
Bustos Campaign
45%
44%
Anzalone Lizst
DCCC
45%
GBA Strategies
Bustos Campaign
49%
50% PPP
League CV
44%
Garin Hart Young
HMPAC / LCE / AFCSME 49%
DCCC
43%
45%
GBA Strategies
HMPAC
47%
SurveyUSA
46%
Victoria Research
Nolan Campaign
48%
42%
Pulse Opinion Research (Ras)
Minneapolis Star Tribune 50%
OnMessage
Cravaack Campaign
40%
PPP
Credo
48%
SurveyUSA
47%
53% PPP
DKE
41%
Watchdog.org
41%
UNH Poll
WMUR
44%
PPP
47%
Grove Insight Opinion Strategy
DCCC
45%
PPP
DFA
48%
PPP
PCCC
48%
Public Opinion StrategiesNRCC
43%
UNH Poll
47%
Global Strategy Group Shea-Porter Campaign
46%
UNH Poll
38%
PPP
Credo
47%
New England College
41%
UNH Poll
43%
56% PPP
DKE
42%
Watchdog.org
35%
UNH Poll
WMUR
40%
PPP
42%
PPP
DFA
47%
PPP
PCCC
51%
UNH Poll
42%
UNH Poll
39%
New England College
47%
UNH Poll
47%
56% Public Opinion StrategiesAmerican Action Network 35%
SurveyUSA
8 News Now / LVRJ
42%
Precision Opinion
36%
Tarrance Group
Tarkanian Campaign
40%
SurveyUSA
42%
51% Global Strategy Group Bishop
53%
Garin Hart Young
HMPAC
56%
Pulse Opinion Research Altschuler
43%
Global Strategy Group Bishop
53%
52%
Fabrizio McLaughlin
Altschuler Campaign
46%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAltschuler
43%
52% Anzalone Lizst
Owens Campaign
50%
Siena Research InstituteSiena College
49%
Global Strategy Group Owens Campaign
50%
Public Opinion StrategiesDoheny Campaign
45%
Global Strategy Group Owens Campaign
47%
Public Opinion StrategiesDoheny Campaign
44%
44%
56% McLaughlin & AssociatesBuerkle
38%
Normington Petts
HMPAC
44%
Grove Insight
DCCC
48%
43%
Grove Insight
DCCC
46%
Lake Research Partners DFA
46%
67% Fleming & Associates WPRI
34%
DCCC IVR
DCCC
49%
Benenson Strategies
DCCC
46%
46%
43%
45%
41%
44%
44%
51%
50%
47%
51%
44%
45%
42%
40%
40%
44%
44%
45%
44%
42%
43%
50%
44%
45%
48%
41%
39%
43%
39%
44%
47%
51%
38%
43%
41%
48%
48%
43%
43%
39%
39%
42%
43%
46%
41%
36%
41%
40%
46%
45%
44%
50%
47%
36%
32%
47%
39%
39%
49%
48%
38%
36%
36%
40%
40%
43%
43%
42%
40%
42%
43%
38%
44%
49%
43%
35%
N/A
N/A
46%
41%
N/A
39%
41%
N/A
41%
44%
40%
41%
49%
N/A
48%
N/A
N/A
47%
N/A
N/A
46%
50%
N/A
44%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
47%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
45%
45%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
45%
45%
N/A
43%
N/A
N/A
48%
43%
44%
54%
45%
47%
N/A
54%
N/A
45%
N/A
N/A
43%
N/A
49%
N/A
39%
N/A
36%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9%/4%
20%
11%/5%
6%/4%
7%/7%
9% / 7%
4%/6%
N/A
N/A
51%
50%
N/A
52%
51%
N/A
54%
50%
51%
53%
46%
N/A
48%
N/A
N/A
45%
N/A
N/A
47%
44%
N/A
49%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
46%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
50%
50%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
50%
50%
N/A
52%
N/A
N/A
48%
51%
49%
40%
50%
47%
N/A
42%
N/A
50%
N/A
N/A
49%
N/A
45%
N/A
49%
N/A
55%
N/A
N/A
16%
8%
11% / 8%
N/A
N/A
61%
N/A
N/A
31%
N/A
N/A
15%
6%
10%
14%
?%/9%
8%
7%
10%
8%
8%
10%
16%
10%
7% / 9%
9%
4%
12%/2%
5%/6%
17%/4%
5%
9%/2%
14%
15%
20%
15%
11%
4%
16%/2%
22%/3%
11%/1%
13%
6% /8%
5%/6%
11%
12%
8%
9%
5%
9%
8%/4%
8%/6%
13%
9%
N/A
N/A
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%/4%
N/A
N/A
6%
N/A
3%/4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%/2%
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%/2%
5%
N/A
2%/3%
N/A
N/A
2%/2%
5%/1%
N/A
4%
N/A
4%/1%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7%/2%
N/A
N/A
11-12 Oct
27-29 Aug
16-18 Oct
11-13th Sep
?
30 Jan-1 Feb
20-22 May
8-9 Aug
24-26 Sep
14-15 Oct
2-4 Oct
16-18 Oct
18-19 Sep
18-20 Sept
29 Sep-1 Oct
21-23 Aug
26-27 Aug
7-9 Oct
7-8 Oct
21-23 Aug
16 Oct
24-25 Oct
25-26 Oct
1-3 Nov
30 Jun-5 Jul
Jan
9-20 Apr
10-13 May
7-9 Aug
7-8 Aug
24-25 Sep
24-25 Sep
27-30 Sep
13-16 Oct
17-21 Oct
25-26 Oct
29-31 Oct
1-4 Nov
30 Jun-5 Jul
Jan
9-20 Apr
10-13 May
7-8 Aug
24-25 Sep
27-30 Sep
17-21 Oct
29-31 Oct
1-4 Nov
7-9 Aug
Sept
Sept
9-11 Oct
26-28 Oct
20-25 Mar
17-18 Jul
29th July
26-28 Aug
5-10 Sep
10-11 Oct
14-15 Oct
29-31 Jul
4-6 Sep
30 Sep-1 Oct
1-2 Oct
21-23 Oct
3 Oct
29-30 Oct
16-17 Apr
16-18 Jul
26-28 Aug
5-10 Sep
23-24 Sep
15-17 Oct
400
401
402
400
?
400
400
400
600
400
400
450
866
402
400
405
400
578
400
405
1000
400
1020
585
299
500
230
502
400
736
401
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
?
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.0%
4.9%
4.9%
4.6%
273
401
364
654
511
366
363
500
251
642
855
461
325
408
511
423
400
646
5.9%
4.9%
5.1%
Feb
10 Sep
13-16 Sep
250 6.2%
578 4.1%
400 4.9%
422
648
402
407
1000
402
624
400
400
400
628
400
400
403
400
629
400
400
400
625
400
425
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.2%
4.9%
4.9%
3%
4.9%
4.1%
5.7%
4.5%
6.5%
4.4%
4.9%
4.9%
4.3%
5.1%
5.1%
4.5%
6.2%
3.9%
4.6%
5.4%
4.9%
4.3%
4.8%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.9%
3%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.6%
No
No
No
No
?
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Feldman Group
Fleming & Associates
Brown University
OnMessage
Fleming & Associates
Seat
CA-07
CA-10
CA-36
CA-52
CO-03
CO-06
FL-18
GA-12
IA-03
IL-13
NC-07
NV-03
NY-18
NY-19
NY-27
OH-06
OH-16
Cicilline
WPRI
Doherty Campaign
WPRI TV
46%
44%
46%
39%
42%
36%
38%
40%
45%
41%
11% / 7%
10%/6%
7%/7%
11%/6%
N/A
N/A
58%
55%
N/A
Toss-Up Races (Competitive)

Seat Details
Polling Details
Incumbent
Obama Polster
Client
Dem GOP
Und / Oth Obama
Lungren (R.)
51% Garin Hart Young
HMPAC etc
47% 47%
6%
52%
N/A
PPP
Credo
46% 46%
8%
41%
48%
12%
47%
Denham (R.)
50% PPP
DFA
46%
44%
11%
N/A
DCCC IVR
DCCC
44%
47%
9%
48%
Bono-Mack (R.)
50% PPP
DFA
46%
43%
9%
Lake Research
N/A
38%
55%
7%
Finkelstein and Associates
Bono Mack Campaign
N/A
47%
46%
7%
49%
PPP
DFA
48%
42%
7%
Lake Research
Ruiz Campaign
N/A
Bilbray (R.)
55% Grove Insight Opinion Strategy
Scott Peters
40% 40%
19%
N/A
USD Center for Education Policy
38% and
47%
Law/U-T
13%San Diego54%
Bilbray Campaign
44% 48%
N/A
Grove Insight Opinion Strategy
Scott Peters
45% 40%
15%
N/A
SurveyUSA
KGTV-TV San Diego
46% 46%
8%
45%
Tipton (R.)
48% Grove Insight Opinion Strategy
DCCC
42% 39%
13%/5%
N/A
Coffman (R.)
54%
DFA
36% 40%
15%/9%
52%
DCCC IVR
DCCC
39% 42%
19%
N/A
OPEN
51% Frederick Polls
Murphy
45% 45%
10%
46%
Grove Insights
DCCC
47% 46%
7%
N/A
Public Opinion StrategiesWest
41% 52%
44%
Garin Hart Young
HMPAC
52% 43%
5%
52%
Kimball Political Consulting
49% 45%
6%
52%
PPP
FLDemocracy/WPTV/ TCPalm
42% 51%
8%
45%
Voter Survey Service
Sunshine State News
48% 49%
3%
N/A
Frederick Polls
Murphy
47% 47%
6%
48%
PPP
Credo
48% 47%
5%
N/A
44%
43%
13%
53%
Barrow (D)
44% McLaughlin & AssociatesAnderson
48%
45%
N/A
HMPAC
50%
44%
6%
43%
Insight for a Better Georgia
Dems
Boswell (D)
52% Beneson Strategies
DCCC
45% 45%
3% / 7%
52%
41%
31%
N/A
OPEN (Johnson)
55% Victoria Research
Gill for Congress
36%
30%
25%/9%
N/A
Victoria Research
Gill for Congress
40%
39%
13%/8%
N/A
Victoria Research
Gill for Congress
43%
37%
13%
48%
DCCC IVR
DCCC
48%
39%
N/A
Anzalone Lizst
DCCC
McIntyre (D)
42% Publix Opinion StategiesRouzer
44% 40%
15%
36%
Grove Insight
DCCC
53% 34%
N/A
North Star Opinion Research
YG Action
49% 40%
32%
Heck (R.)
54% SurveyUSA
Las Vegas Review Journal &40%
KLAS TV
53%
4%/4%
N/A
38% 42%
47%
WPA Research
Heck Campaign
37% 48%
?/4%
44%
Oceguera Campaign
40% 45%
5%/10%
49%
Precision Opinion
38% 49%
N/A
SurveyUSA
Las Vegas Review Journal &40%
KLAS TV
50%
5%/5%
N/A
Hayworth (R.)
52% Greenberg Quilan RosnerHMPAC & SEIU
45% 48%
49%
Tarrance Group
Hayworth
42% 51%
7%
N/A
33% 46%
11%/10% 45%
PPP
AFL-CIO
43% 43%
14%
50%
Global Strategy Group Maloney Campaign
42% 44%
46%
42% 49%
0%/9%
46%
Gibson (R.)
53% Global Strategy Group Schriebman
32% 42%
46%
Public Opinion StrategiesGibson
36% 53%
N/A
36% 52%
11%
49%
OnMessage Inc
NRCC
39% 47%
16%
N/A
39% 50%
45%
Grove Insight
DCCC
41% 43%
16%
N/A
43% 48%
8%/1%
50%
39% 49%
N/A
Hochul (D)
44% Siena Research InstituteSiena College
45% 47%
8%
41%
47% 47%
6%
42%
46%
46%
8%
N/A
Johnson (R.)
45% Anzalone Lizst Research Charlie Wilson
39%
47%
39%
Public Opinion StrategiesNRCC / Johnson
49%
43%
47%
Anzalone Lizst Research Charlie Wilson
Renacci (R.)
47% Normington, Petts & Associates
HMPAC & SEIU
41% 38%
?%/4%
N/A
GBA Strategies
Sutton
42% 40%
?%/12%
N/A
OnMessage Inc
Renacci Campaign
41% 51%
7%
N/A
N/A
N/A
32%
34%
N/A
N/A
N/A
10%
Romney
44%
N/A
47%
N/A
48%
N/A
N/A
48%
N/A
N/A
38%
N/A
N/A
48%
N/A
43%
N/A
49%
N/A
51%
45%
45%
50%
N/A
48%
N/A
40%
N/A
54%
45%
N/A
N/A
N/A
43%
N/A
53%
N/A
61%
N/A
46%
51%
47%
N/A
N/A
47%
N/A
49%
42%
48%
49%
39%
N/A
45%
N/A
46%
N/A
42%
N/A
53%
51%
Und / Oth Date

LVs
21-23 Aug 401
N/A 25-26 Oct
792
6%
7-9 Aug
751
N/A
10 Sep
382
4%
12-13 Sep 1251
2-4 Oct
406
N/A
300
N/A
3%
12-14 Oct 1364
20-22 Oct 409
N/A
N/A
16-18 July 400
14-17 Oct
374
N/A
15-18 Oct
470
N/A
19-21 Oct
400
5%/2%
28-30 Oct
628
N/A
25-27 Sep 400
5%
7-8th Aug
669
N/A
13 Sep
350
4%
6-8 May
500
N/A
21-24 Aug 400
24-25 Sep 400
26-27 Sep
3%
28 Sep
408
15-16 Oct
500
N/A
16-17 Oct
752
4%
16-17 Oct
333
N/A
25-26 Oct
631
30 Aug
400
N/A
8-10 Oct 400
2%
29-31 Oct 450
18 - 20 Sept 400
N/A
11-13 Apr 400
N/A
4-7 Aug
400
N/A
26-27 Sep 400
11-13 Oct 458
N/A
18-21 Oct 400
22-23 July 400
N/A
26-30 Jul
400
12-13th Aug 400
N/A
10-12 Sep 663
27-30 Sep 405
2%/2%
7-8 Oct
400
4%
1-3 Oct
400
N/A
Sept
N/A
21-23 Oct
502
25-29 Jul
500
N/A
26-28 Aug 408
5%/1%
12-16 Sep 628
8%
19 - 20 Sept 602
4-7 Oct
403
1%/4%
16-17 Oct
615
18-22 July 402
N/A
25-26 Jul
400
17-18 Sept 635
N/A
30 Sep -1 Oct 400
9-10 Oct
400
N/A
5-7 Oct
400
7%/1%
27-28 Oct
649
N/A
24-25 Oct
400
5%
12-14 Aug 628
7%
1-4 Oct
633
N/A
52%
48%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13-17 Sep
26-30 Sep
26Sep-5Oct
24-25 Oct
24-27 Oct
500
501
236
400
300
9-12 Sep 500

26-27 Sept 400
8-10 Oct 500
26-28 June 400
15-19 July 500
25 Oct
400
6.2%
6.3%
4.9%
5.7%
MOE
5%
No
No
No
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
CTABS POLL
No
X
Yes
X
Yes
X
5% No
X
No
X
4.9% No
X
5.6% No
X
Yes
X
4.9% No
X
4.4% No
X
5%
No
X
4.5% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.0% Yes
X
4.9% No
X
3.6% Yes
X
5.2% No
X
4.3% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.8% Yes
X
4.0% No
X
3.6% Yes
X
5.3% No
X
Yes
X
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.6%
X
4.9% No
X
No
X
No
X
No
X
4.6% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.5% Yes
X
4.4% No
X
4.9% No
X
3.9% Yes
X
Yes
X
4.9% No
X
4.0% Yes
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
3.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9% No
X
3.8% Yes
X
4.9% No
X
3.9% Yes
X
3.9% Yes
X
X
4.4% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.4% No
X
4.9% No
X
4.4% No
X
4.9% No
X
PA-12
TX-23
UT-04
Critz (D)
Canesco (D)
Matheson (D)
45% Global Strategy Group Critz

HMPAC/ SEIU
Anzalone Liszt
DCCC
McLaughlin & AssociatesRothfus Campaign
Anzalone Lizst
Critz
Public Opinion Strategies Rothfus Campaign
50% Anzalone Lizst
Sierra Club
OnMessage Inc
Canesco
41% Dan Jones & Associates Deseret News / KSL
Global Strategy Group HMPAC / Centre Forward
Public Opinion StrategiesMia Love for Congress
Dan Jones & Associates Deseret News / KSL
Global Strategy Group HMPAC / Centre Forward
Key Research
Salt Lake City Tribune
Mason Dixon
46%
44%
50%
38%
52%
40%
43%
37%
51%
51%
36%
43%
48%
43%
36%
38%
40%
38%
41%
42%
38%
47%
38%
31%
51%
49%
41%
43%
40%
52%
24%
7%
N/A
N/A
42%
39%
46%
41%
46%
N/A
N/A
51%
53%
51%
54%
45%
N/A
N/A
9%
8%/8%
13-15 Jun
9-11 Jul
31 Jul-2 Aug
19-20 Sep
23-25 Sep
30Sep-1Oct
12-17 Sep
23-25 Sep
402
400
400
400
400
400
500
400
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.4%
4.9%
No
No
No
No
No
No
400
400
414
407
200
4.9%
4.9%
5%
4.9%
7%
No
No
No
No
No
625 4%
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
8%
14%
N/A
25%
N/A
N/A
20%
N/A
73%
N/A
N/A
71%
N/A
N/A
N/A
9%
26-29 Jul
10 - 11 Sep
26-29 Sep
9-10 Oct
9-13 Oct
N/A
N/A
N/A
29-31 Oct
Romney
N/A
39%
47%
47%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Und / Oth Date

8-9 Oct
N/A
13-15 Oct
11%
15-17 Sep
22-25 Sep
N/A
11-14 Oct
23-24 Sep
N/A
22-25 Sep
N/A
24-25 Sep
N/A
LVs
400
400
401
402
401
N/A
N/A
43%
N/A
37%
45%
N/A
N/A
50%
N/A
48%
49%
52%
47%
50%
N/A
52%
52%
54%
N/A
49%
54%
55%
44%
N/A
45%
49%
56%
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
41%
N/A
N/A
N/A
10%
N/A
14%/2%
8%
N/A
N/A
5%
N/A
400 4.9%
409 4.8%
Lean Republican Races (Competitive)

Seat Details
Polling Details
Seat
Incumbent
Obama Polster
Client
Dem GOP
Und / Oth Obama
33%
53%
11%/3% N/A
CA-21 OPEN (Cardoza)
52% Moore Information
Valadao Campaign
37%
41%
22%
FM3
Hernandez
50%
FL-02 Southerland (R.)
47% Lester and Associates DCCC
43% 43%
46%
FL-10 Webster (R.)
41% 46%
47%
41% 43%
N/A
41%
48%
IA-04 King (R.)
48% American Viewpoint
American Future Fund
N/A
44%
46%
?%/4% N/A
Vilsack Campaign
45%
48%
7%
PPP
Credo Mobile
N/A
IN-08 Buschon (R.)
48%
MA-06 Tierney (D)
57% McLauglin & Associates Tisei
33% 40%
27%
N/A
Global Stratey Group Tierney
46% 31%
N/A
YG Action Fund
45% 43%
13%
48%
Stinson Strategies
NRCC
35% 47%
N/A
MassINC
46% 34%
12%/7%
47%
YG Action Fund
37% 45%
48%
UNH
Boston Globe
31% 37%
30%
N/A
27%
33%
40%
N/A
MT-AL OPEN (Rehberg)
47% PPP
37%
40%
15%/9%
45%
PPP
38%
46% 14% / 2%
N/A
Mason Dixon
Lee Newspapers
34%
36%
44%
Mellman Group
Jet PAC (DGA)
23%
36%
38%/3%
35%
Montana State Uni - Billings
34%
43% 12%/10%
41%
PPP
41%
47%
11%
41%
Pharos Research
45%
52%
4%
43%
Pharos Research
40%
51%
8%/1%
N/A
Mason Dixon
44%
48%
4%/3%
45%
PPP
35%
49%
?%/6%
39%
ND-AL OPEN (Berg)
45% Mason Dixon
37%
49%
12%/2%
40%
Mason Dixon
32%
52%
N/A
Essman Research
42%
54%
3%
39%
Pharos Research
50%
40%
Mason Dixon
NBC North Dakota News 40%
41%
55%
5%
38%
Pharos Research
32%
47%
46%
NY-11 Grimm (R.)
48% Global Strategy Group Mark Murphy
36%
48%
N/A
Global Strategy Group Mark Murphy
38%
45%
8% / 6%
49%
34%
52%
9%/5%
46%
TN-04 DesJarlais (R.)
36% Myers Research
Stewart Campaign
44% 49%
38%
N/A
Public Opinion Strategies DesJarlais Campaign
36% 49%
N/A
TX-14 OPEN (Paul)
42% Anzalone Liszt Research Lampson
44% 40%
N/A
Anzalone Liszt Research Lampson
43% 46%
WI-07 Duffy (R.)
53% PPP
Credo
44% 48%
7%
N/A
FM3
Kreitlow
41% 44%
15%
52%
NMB Research
Duffy Campaign
40% 51%
N/A
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
MOE CTABS POLL

5%
No
X
4.9% No
X
4.9%
No
X
4.9%
No
X
4.9%
No
X
4.9%
No
X
400 4.9%
No
X
577
Yes
X
X
2-3 May
Jan ?
No
No
X
X
X
8-10 Sep
25-26 Sep
21-27 Sept
26-29 Apr
10-11 Sep
23-26 Sep
27-30 Sep
8-10 Oct
19-21 Oct
26-28 Oct
29-31 Oct
2-3 Nov
June
5%/1%
3-% Oct
N/A
12-15 Oct
11%
19-21 Oct
26-28 Oct
8%
26-28 Oct
22-25 Jun
N/A 13-16th Aug
19-23 Sept
4%/1%
27-28 Oct
14-15 Oct
N/A 22-23 Oct
N/A 14-17 May
N/A 14-19 Aug
N/A
24-25 Sep
25-26 Sep
N/A
30 Sep-1 Oct
10%/3%
6%
11%
7%
N/A
3%
561
401
400
371
934
656
625
600
477
737
828
799
625
836
625
625
500
807
625
752
403
402
621
627
400
400
502
500
694
509
400
4.1%
4.9%
4.9%
5.1%
3.2%
3.8%
4%
4%
5%
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
3.4%
Yes
3.5%
Yes
4.0%
No
Yes
4.0%
4.0%
3.4%
4.0%
3.6%
4.9%
4.9%
3.9%
3.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.4%
4.4%
4.4%
4.9%
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Likely Republican Races (May Become Competitive)

Seat Details
Polling Details
Seat
Incumbent
Obama Polster
Client
Dem GOP
Und / Oth Obama
38%
49%
N/A
FL-16 Buchanon (R.)
48% Sea Polling
Fitzgerald
36%
58%
N/A
Public Opinion StrategiesBuchanan
36%
44%
19%
44%
PPP
Fitzgerald
32%
54%
N/A
Public Opinion StrategiesBuchanan
IN-02 OPEN (Donnelly)
50%
N/A
MI-03 Amash (R.)
50% Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Steve Pestka
39% 50%
N/A
Steve Pestka
42% 50%
Romney Und / Oth Date

N/A
N/A
12-18 Feb
N/A
N/A 20-21 March
49%
18-19 July
N/A
N/A
15-16 July
LVs MOE CTABS POLL

400 4.9%
No
X
400 4.9%
No
X
586 4.1%
No
X
400 4.9%
No
X
X
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13-15 Feb
18-21 Aug
400
501 4.4%
No
No
X
X
MI-11 OPEN (McCotter)

MN-02 Kline (D)
MN-06 Bachmann (R.)
NC-08 Kissell (D)
NC-11 OPEN (Schuler)

NE-02 Terry (R.)
NJ-03
OH-07
OK-02
PA-06
PA-08
SD-AL
Runyon (R.)
Gibbs (R.)
OPEN (Boren)
Gerlach (R.)
Fitzpatrick (R.)
Noem (R.)
VA-02 Riggell (R.)
WI-08 Ribble (R.)

Steve Pestka
44%
Glengariff Group. Inc Detroit News
35%
Public Opinion StrategiesAmash Campaign
36%
39%
50% Foster McCollum White/Baydoun
50% SurveyUSA
41%
43% Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Jim Graves
43%
Jim Graves
46%
SurveyUSA
KSTP TV
41%
Jim Graves
45%
Minneapolis Star Tribune 45%
46%
42% Anzalone Lizst Research Kissell
43%
Anzalone Lizst Research Kissell
38%
OnMessage Inc
Hudson
41%
NRCC IVR
NRCC
40%
Anzalone Lizst Research Kissell
40%
50% We Ask America
Ewing
40%
Wiese Research Associates
Omaha World Herald
39%
DCCC IVR
DCCC
44%
Wiese Research Associates
Omaha Word Herald
43%
Gravis
Northstar Campaign Systems
43%
34%
51% McLaughlin & AssociatesRunyan Campaign
47%
33%
34% Oklahoma Poll
53% WPA Opinion Research Gerlach Campaign
30%
53%
45% Nielson Brothers Polling
46%
Nielson Brothers Polling
42%
44%
44%
41%
32%
49% Public Opinion StrategiesRiggell Campaign
Hirschbiel Campaign
40%
32%
Christopher Newport University
54% Normington, Petts & Associates
Wall Campaign
41%
48%
34%
50%
47%
49%
48%
48%
50%
47%
51%
36%
39%
37%
50%
39%
28.5%
9%/5%
11%
9%
9%
7%
4%
25%
9%
21%
N/A
44%
N/A
N/A
48%
N/A
N/A
36%
N/A
39%
N/A
N/A
N/A
38%
N/A
N/A
41.5%
N/A
N/A
44%
N/A
N/A
53%
N/A
54%
N/A
N/A
N/A
59%
N/A
N/A
9.5%
N/A
N/A
4%/4%
N/A
N/A
5%/5%
N/A
2%/4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
6%
N/A
8-9 Oct
17-18 Oct
18-21 Oct
22-23 Oct
17-18 Oct
12-14 Jun
29-30 Aug
9-11 Oct
3-4 Oct
16 Oct
15-20 Mar
6-9 Aug
20-21 Aug
25 Sept
25-27 Sep
400
400
400
392
565
505
401
598
403
1000
500
500
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.9%
4.2%
4.4%
4.9%
4.1%
4.9%
3%
4.4%
4.4%
784
400
3.5%
4.9%
47%
N/A
41%
N/A
39%
N/A
43%
N/A
53%
N/A
61%
N/A
9%/1%
N/A
1097
400*
525
400
1168
400
3.0%
4.9%
4.3%
4.9%
N/A
August
17-20 Sept
14 Oct
23-25 Oct
28 Oct
17 - 18 Sept
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
25-31 Oct
20-21 Aug
300
400
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
46%
51%
48%
47%
57%
51%
14%
12%
5%/2%
11%
16%
N/A
No
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
5.7%
4.9%
No
No
X
X
4.2%
4.3%
3.55%
3.9%
No
No
No
No
400 4.9%
400 4.9%
766 3.5%
400 4.9%
No
No
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
No
No
No
45%
18%/4%
54%
17%
47%
51%
49%
50%
54%
54%
49%
44%
47%
7%
0%/6%
7%
6%
43%
39%
41%
42%
N/A
N/A
12%
21%/3%
45%
12%
46%
49%
54%
52%
50%
N/A
N/A
44%
47%
8%
7%
7%
8%
19-23 July 541

29 Aug -6 Sept509
1-5 Oct
762
28-31 Oct
671
N/A
1-2 Oct
N/A 20-23 Sept
8%/3%
2-8 Oct
18-19 Sep
No
No

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Competitive Polling2

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Seat

Likely Democrat Races (May Become Competitive)

Und / Oth Date

Lean Democrat Races (Competitive)

Und / Oth Date

MN-08 Craavack (R.)

NH-01 Guinta (R.)

NH-02 Bass (R.)

NY-01 Bishop (D)

NY-21 Owens (D)

NY-24 Buerkle (R.)

Toss-Up Races (Competitive)

Und / Oth Date

9-12 Sep 500

45% Global Strategy Group Critz

Und / Oth Date

Lean Republican Races (Competitive)

MOE CTABS POLL

Likely Republican Races (May Become Competitive)

Romney Und / Oth Date

LVs MOE CTABS POLL

MI-11 OPEN (McCotter)

NC-08 Kissell (D)

NC-11 OPEN (Schuler)

VA-02 Riggell (R.)

WI-08 Ribble (R.)

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner

19-23 July 541

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