Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Dealers Diary
Domestic Indices
The Indian market is expected to open flat to positive mirroring similar opening in
SGX Nifty.
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
BSE Sensex
Nifty
(0.6)
(33.8)
6,049
The US markets moved higher over the course of the trading day on Tuesday, on
the back of a positive reaction to the latest earnings news, although buying interest
was somewhat subdued. The major European markets ended the day in the red on
Tuesday for a third consecutive session after the Bank of Japan disappointed
investors hoping for a bolder policy by introducing a 2% inflation target and
announced additional easing steps; but investors appeared somewhat
disappointed that additional asset buying will not start until 2014. However, the
stronger than expected German economic sentiment helped to curb market losses.
MID CAP
(0.9)
(65.3)
7,090
SMALL CAP
(0.8)
(59.4)
7,312
BSE HC
(0.5)
(37.8)
7,997
BSE PSU
(0.9)
(71.4)
7,779
BANKEX
(0.6)
(84.9) 14,435
AUTO
(0.5)
(56.7) 11,206
METAL
(0.7)
(79.8) 10,689
(0.6)
(59.0)
9,637
The Indian markets snapped three days of gains on Tuesday, weighed down by
weak European cues as investors waited for key US earnings and housing data for
directional cues. Going ahead investors would be watchful of the earnings data
coupled with reports on weekly jobless claims, leading economic indicators, and
new and existing home sales.
BSE IT
(0.8)
(51.4)
6,345
(Pts)
(Close)
Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 20,030 / 6,063 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 20,108 20,234 / 6,086 6,124 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
20,030 / 6,063 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
19,904 19,826 / 6,026 6,003 levels.
Global Indices
Dow Jones
Chg (%)
0.4
53.7 13,650
NASDAQ
(0.0)
(1.3)
3,135
FTSE
(0.0)
(2.4)
6,179
Nikkei
(0.4)
(37.8) 10,710
Hang Seng
Straits Times
Shanghai Com
0.3
(0.1)
(0.6)
68.1 23,659
(1.5) 3,220
(13.1) 2,315
Indian ADR
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
INFY
(0.4)
(0.2)
$52.0
Indices
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
WIT
SENSEX
19,826
19,904
20,030
20,108
20,234
0.1
0.0
$9.2
IBN
NIFTY
6,003
6,026
6,063
6,086
6,124
1.9
0.8
$45.0
HDB
1.8
0.7
$40.3
News Analysis
Purch
Sales
Net
MTD
YTD
FII
3,441
2,578
863
14,585
14,585
613
863
(250)
(2,198)
(2,198)
Sales
Net
Index Futures
850
883
(33)
7,586
Stock Futures
2,264
2,366
(102)
33,987
Open Interest
Gainers / Losers
Gainers
Losers
Price (`)
chg (%)
Pantaloon Retail
266
9.7
HDIL
Berger Paints
167
3.2
CRISIL
1,027
Asian Paints
ACC
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Advances
853
424
1,479
1,103
676
64
Volumes (` cr)
` cr
Company
NSE
Unchanged
` cr
BSE
Declines
MFs
Advances / Declines
Company
Price (`)
chg (%)
112
(7.0)
Dish TV India
74
(5.0)
2.4
Indian Bank
201
(4.8)
4,400
2.4
Gail India
371
(4.5)
1,363
2.0
REC
242
(4.5)
BSE
2,435
NSE
12,363
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Y/E
Sales
OPM
March
(` cr)
(%)
PAT EPS
(` cr)
ROE
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
25,350
84.5
32.7
25.9
29.5
3.9
FY2014E
28,974
75.8
28.2
18.3
25.2
3.4
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
3,576
3.1
605
9.3
70.7
0.6
14.0
6.4
0.8
FY2014E
3,893
3.1
765
12.0
79.8
0.7
16.1
4.9
0.7
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Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Court of Delhi against revocation of BG by the MoC till April 11, 2013, it
continues to remain an overhang on the stock. At CMP, the stock is currently
trading at a P/B of 0.7x for FY2014E, which we believe is attractive. Hence, we
maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of `379 based
on a target P/B of 0.8x for FY2014E.
Y/E
Sales
OPM
March
(` cr)
(%)
FY2013E
782
FY2014E
818
PAT EPS
ROE
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
16.5
95 61.8
30.6
5.0
0.7
1.5
0.2
17.0
101 65.4
30.1
4.7
0.7
0.9
0.2
(` cr)
Sales
OPM
PAT EPS
(` cr)
ROE
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
(` cr)
(%)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
1,942
77.2
692 17.6
25.8
24.2
6.0
10.7
8.3
FY2014E
2,237
75.5
751 19.1
25.2
22.3
5.4
9.5
7.2
Op. Inc
NIM
PAT
EPS
ABV
ROA
ROE
P/E
P/ABV
(` cr)
(%)
(` cr)
(`)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(x)
FY2013E
6,810
3.0
1,687
28.0 155.1
0.9
19.4
5.0
0.9
FY2014E
7,807
3.0
1,637
27.2 175.9
0.7
16.4
5.1
0.8
March
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
Net sales
5,281
4,737
11
4,634
14
EBITDA
1,684
1,383
22
1,467
15
31.9
29.2
Net profit
162
242
31.7
(33)
132
23
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
912
755
21
923
(1)
218
EBITDA
231
216
25.3
28.6
Net profit
173
138
26
187
(8)
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
2,474
2,880
(14)
3,222
(23)
EBITDA
189
210
(10)
334
(44)
7.6
7.3
Net profit
12
67
(83)
143
(92)
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
Net sales
16,157
13,999
15
13,195
22
EBITDA
1,672
1,343
24
1,405
19
10.3
9.6
Net profit
1,089
992
23.6
10.4
10.6
10
1,137
(4)
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
288
(14)
(690)
249
2,604
(90)
EBITDA
(34)
1,085
(103)
(14)
41.7
Net profit
580
692
(16)
522
11
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
10,871
7,664
42
8,070
35
EBITDA
861
417
106
509
69
7.9
5.4
Net profit
494
206
2.0
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6.3
140
227
118
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
1,284
457
181
1,079
19
EBITDA
441
140
215
393
12
34.3
30.6
Net profit
246
204
Net sales
36.4
21
240
3QFY13E
3QFY12
y-o-y (%)
2QFY13
q-o-q (%)
354
303
17
338
Corporate News
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Result Calendar
Date
Company
Larsen & Toubro, Sesa Goa, Andhra Bank, Ashok Leyland, Vijaya Bank
Maruti, Reliance Power, Shriram Trans., Oriental Bank, LMW, Sarda Energy
Persistent
Mundra Port, Bank of India, Adani Power, JSW Steel , Reliance Infra., Amara Raja Batteries, KPIT Cummins
Sterlite Inds, Idea Cellular, Dabur India, Crompton Greaves, Reliance Capital, Glenmark Pharma., United Phosphorus,
Areva, Indoco Remedies
Titan Inds., Power Fin.Corpn., Nalco, Colgate, Central Bank, IOB, Ipca labs, Dena Bank, Jyoti Structures, PVR
ICICI Bank, Punjab Natl.Bank, Siemens, Grasim Inds, Lupin, Union Bank, Godrej Consumer, Cummins India,
Mahindra Satyam, Allahabad Bank, Tata Global, Thermax, Jagran Prakashan
Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Adani Enterp., IDFC, Marico, Corporation Bank, TVS Motor, Hind. Const.
Time
Unit
Period
Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
3:00PM
UK
GDP (YoY)
8:30PM
US
8:30PM
US
Consumer Confidence
11:00AM
India
7:00PM
US
7:00PM
US
Unnemployment rate
3:00PM
UK
PMI Manufacturing
5:30PM
UK
11:00AM
China
% Change
4Q A
0.20
Millions
Dec
5.04
5.10
S.A./ 1985=100
Jan
65.10
65.50
Jan 29
4.25
4.25
% Change
4Q A
3.10
1.00
Jan
7.80
7.80
Value
Jan
51.40
--
% Ratio
Feb 7
0.50
0.50
% Change
Jan
2.50
--
3:00PM
UK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Jan
2.70
--
12:00PM
India
% Change
Jan
7.18
--
3:30PM
% Change
4Q A
(0.10)
--
7:00PM
US
Housing Starts
Thousands
Jan
954.00
--
7:00PM
US
% Change
Jan
8:30PM
Value
Jan A
(26.50)
(26.00)
3:30PM
Jan
2.20
--
11:00AM
India
% Change
4Q
5.30
--
11:00AM
China
% Change
Feb
10.30
--
7:00PM
US
Thousands
Jan 19
335.00
355.00
2:00PM
Value
Jan A
52.00
52.00
3:00PM
UK
% Change
Dec
(3.00)
0.50
8:30PM
US
Thousands
Dec
377.00
385.00
11:00AM
India
Jan 29
8.00
7.75
11:00AM
India
Jan 29
7.00
6.75
2:25PM
Thousands
Jan
3.00
--
February 1, 2013
February 7, 2013
February 8, 2013
February 11, 2013
--
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
(%)
(%)
11.2
10.0
8.5
7.6
7.5
8.2
6.0
8.0
6.7
5.7
6.1
4.0
5.3 5.5 5.3
3.5
2.5
4.3
2.7
2.0
1.0
2.0
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
Aug-12
(0.7)
(0.1)
(%)
Mfg. PMI
60.0
8.0
7.7
7.5
7.4
(2.0) (0.1)
(2.8) (1.3)
7.7
May-12
(4.0)
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
(2.0)
Dec-11
2QFY13
1QFY13
4QFY12
3QFY12
2QFY12
1QFY12
4QFY11
3QFY11
2QFY11
1QFY11
4QFY10
3QFY10
2QFY10
1QFY10
7.6
7.6
Services PMI
8.1
58.0
7.5
56.0
7.5
7.2
54.0
6.9
52.0
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
48.0
Dec-11
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
Jan-12
50.0
Dec-11
8.2
8.0
7.8
7.6
7.4
7.2
7.0
6.8
6.6
6.4
6.2
8.3
8.0
9.2
9.0
4QFY09
12.0
11.0
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
(%)
9.00
30.0
CRR
8.00
8.00
7.00
15.0
7.00
6.00
www.angelbroking.com
4.25
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
Feb-12
4.00
Jan-12
Dec-12
Nov-12
Oct-12
Sep-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
5.00
Dec-11
(30.0)
Jun-12
May-12
Apr-12
Mar-12
(15.0)
Feb-12
Jan-12
0.0
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Neutral
139
2,703
1,466
1,686
14.8
14.8
7.0
8.1
19.9
17.2
4.2
3.6
22.6
22.5
1.9
1.7
United Phosphorus
Buy
140
170
6,183
8,421
9,263
16.5
16.5
15.0
17.0
9.3
8.2
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.5
0.8
0.7
Neutral
294
5,029
2,911
3,321
16.2
16.2
17.3
19.8
17.0
14.8
4.7
3.7
31.1
27.6
1.7
1.4
Apollo Tyres
Accumulate
86
96
4,330
13,713
15,341
11.2
11.2
12.5
14.8
6.9
5.8
1.3
1.1
20.2
19.9
0.5
0.4
Ashok Leyland
Buy
26
31
6,825
14,226
16,256
9.4
10.0
2.1
2.8
12.2
9.1
2.2
1.9
12.9
16.0
0.6
0.5
Automotive Axle#
Neutral
385
582
1,103
1,240
11.0
11.3
39.1
45.0
9.9
8.6
1.8
1.7
19.5
22.8
0.6
0.5
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
2,063
59,692
20,775
23,889
18.5
19.0
107.6
126.4
19.2
16.3
7.9
6.3
45.8
42.8
2.5
2.1
Bharat Forge
Accumulate
246
278
5,729
6,754
7,565
15.5
15.7
18.8
23.2
13.1
10.6
2.3
1.9
18.5
19.7
1.0
0.9
Bosch India*
Neutral
9,153
28,739
9,973
11,320
17.8
18.0
396.2
455.7
23.1
20.1
4.4
3.7
18.8
18.2
2.5
2.1
CEAT
Buy
109
163
373
4,989
5,634
8.2
8.5
27.1
40.8
4.0
2.7
0.5
0.4
13.2
17.2
0.3
0.2
Exide Industries
Neutral
126
10,727
6,112
7,074
13.1
14.9
6.1
8.2
20.6
15.4
3.2
2.7
16.0
18.8
1.4
1.2
FAG Bearings*
Accumulate
1,645
1,807
2,734
1,715
1,939
17.6
18.4
127.7
150.6
12.9
10.9
2.6
2.1
21.7
21.1
1.3
1.1
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
1,764
1,923
35,225
23,990
27,038
13.8
14.6
105.8
120.2
16.7
14.7
6.7
5.4
44.3
41.0
1.2
1.0
JK Tyre
Buy
121
165
497
7,517
8,329
6.6
6.6
37.2
41.3
3.3
2.9
0.6
0.5
18.8
17.8
0.3
0.3
882
998
54,153
40,035
46,272
11.5
11.6
54.4
62.1
16.2
14.2
3.6
3.0
24.2
23.2
1.1
0.9
Maruti
Neutral
1,570
45,362
43,384
51,903
7.3
8.6
67.3
94.6
23.3
16.6
2.7
2.3
12.1
15.1
0.9
0.7
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
201
11,798
24,285
27,317
6.7
7.2
8.1
10.6
24.9
19.0
5.3
4.3
22.9
24.7
0.6
0.6
Subros
Buy
29
35
172
1,286
1,479
9.4
9.7
2.6
5.1
11.1
5.7
0.6
0.6
5.6
10.3
0.4
0.4
Tata Motors
Accumulate
319
337
12.8
13.1
35.5
42.5
9.0
7.5
2.4
1.9
30.2
27.6
0.5
0.4
TVS Motor
Neutral
45
2,114
7,298
8,123
6.1
6.4
4.6
5.8
9.8
7.7
1.6
1.4
17.4
19.4
0.3
0.2
Capital Goods
ABB*
Sell
683
573
14,471
7,790
9,653
4.5
7.8
8.7
22.1
78.5
30.9
5.4
4.8
7.1
16.5
1.8
1.5
BGR Energy
Neutral
257
1,856
3,567
4,357
11.8
10.9
24.6
26.8
10.5
9.6
1.5
1.4
30.7
26.3
1.0
0.9
BHEL
Neutral
230
56,405
47,801
43,757
18.5
18.0
24.6
21.8
9.4
10.6
2.8
2.4
33.5
24.5
1.0
1.2
Blue Star
Buy
171
224
1,538
2,538
2,681
4.6
5.7
7.3
11.3
23.3
15.1
3.4
2.9
15.6
20.7
0.7
0.6
Crompton Greaves
Buy
112
135
7,191
12,320
14,390
5.5
7.2
4.3
7.8
26.1
14.4
1.9
1.7
7.4
12.6
0.6
0.6
Jyoti Structures
Buy
42
51
348
2,794
3,048
10.6
10.6
9.2
11.7
4.6
3.6
0.5
0.4
11.9
13.5
0.3
0.3
KEC International
Buy
64
78
1,645
6,909
7,907
6.2
7.2
5.4
8.8
11.9
7.3
1.4
1.2
17.0
23.6
0.4
0.4
LMW
Reduce
2,265
1,992
2,551
2,369
2,727
11.7
11.7
143.4
166.0
15.8
13.6
2.6
2.4
17.4
18.4
0.6
0.4
Thermax
Neutral
577
6,875
5,552
5,767
9.3
10.2
28.3
30.9
20.4
18.7
3.7
3.2
19.3
18.4
1.1
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,361
25,552
11,012
12,333
21.1
20.9
77.0
80.3
17.7
16.9
3.3
3.0
19.5
18.7
2.0
1.7
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
198
30,535
10,210
11,811
26.0
25.7
11.2
12.6
17.7
15.7
3.8
3.4
20.3
20.7
2.6
2.1
India Cements
Neutral
87
2,657
4,293
4,666
17.7
18.1
8.6
10.8
10.1
8.1
0.7
0.7
7.5
9.0
1.0
0.9
J K Lakshmi Cements
Neutral
144
1,758
2,171
2,544
22.5
22.5
21.6
23.2
6.7
6.2
1.2
1.0
19.0
17.8
0.9
1.2
Madras Cements
Neutral
230
5,476
3,814
4,045
28.8
27.1
18.3
18.7
12.6
12.3
2.3
2.0
19.4
17.0
2.1
1.8
Shree Cements^
Neutral
4,470
15,572
5,701
6,210
29.7
28.1
240.7
260.7
18.6
17.2
4.5
3.7
27.1
23.6
2.2
1.8
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
1,956
53,613
20,466
23,017
23.3
24.3
100.0
117.1
19.6
16.7
3.5
3.0
19.6
19.5
2.6
2.4
199
286
1,048
2,032
2,311
22.4
22.4
27.0
31.6
7.4
6.3
0.9
0.8
13.0
13.4
1.9
2.2
Construction
Ashoka Buildcon
Buy
Consolidated Co
Neutral
17
307
2,262
2,522
5.9
6.3
0.9
1.6
18.1
10.7
0.5
0.5
2.7
4.6
0.4
0.4
IRB Infra
Buy
128
164
4,264
3,843
4,212
43.1
43.6
16.8
17.8
7.6
7.2
1.3
1.2
18.3
17.0
3.2
3.5
ITNL
Accumulate
209
225
4,054
6,564
7,054
27.2
27.4
26.3
29.0
8.0
7.2
1.3
1.1
17.0
16.3
2.7
2.8
IVRCL Infra
Neutral
42
1,292
4,249
6,897
7.8
8.2
0.3
3.4
136.5
12.4
0.6
0.6
0.4
4.4
0.9
0.6
Jaiprakash Asso.
Accumulate
90
100
19,362
13,842
15,863
26.9
26.4
3.7
4.6
24.6
19.7
1.5
1.4
6.2
7.3
2.9
2.6
Accumulate
1,553
1,748
95,498
61,031
69,753
11.2
11.6
73.8
85.5
21.1
18.2
3.3
2.9
13.5
14.1
1.7
1.5
Nagarjuna Const.
Neutral
54
1,395
5,947
6,569
8.5
8.6
3.1
4.1
17.5
13.2
0.6
0.5
3.3
4.2
0.6
0.6
Punj Lloyd
Neutral
54
1,787
11,892
13,116
9.0
9.0
1.8
3.2
29.7
16.7
0.6
0.6
2.0
3.5
0.6
0.5
Sadbhav Engg.
Buy
129
168
1,947
2,344
2,804
10.6
10.7
7.2
8.7
17.9
14.8
2.1
1.9
13.0
13.5
1.2
1.0
Simplex Infra
Buy
197
251
974
6,882
8,032
9.1
9.1
23.2
31.3
8.5
6.3
0.7
0.7
9.1
11.2
0.5
0.4
Unity Infra
Buy
43
59
316
2,180
2,455
13.7
13.4
13.3
15.0
3.2
2.9
0.4
0.3
12.5
12.5
0.5
0.5
Financials
Allahabad Bank
Accumulate
182
199
9,113
6,403
7,186
2.7
2.8
30.5
33.6
6.0
5.4
0.9
0.8
14.9
14.6
Andhra Bank
Neutral
121
6,774
4,706
5,444
2.9
3.0
21.4
22.4
5.7
5.4
0.9
0.8
15.1
14.2
Axis Bank
Buy
1,388
1,641
59,302
15,959
18,660
3.2
3.2
119.2
139.0
11.7
10.0
2.2
1.9
20.3
20.1
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
872
35,831
15,284
18,032
2.5
2.6
109.6
137.7
8.0
6.3
1.2
1.0
15.5
17.1
Bank of India
Neutral
373
21,376
12,568
14,758
2.2
2.4
41.6
64.1
9.0
5.8
1.1
1.0
11.6
16.0
Bank of Maharashtra
Accumulate
59
64
3,479
3,576
3,893
3.1
3.1
9.3
12.0
6.4
4.9
0.8
0.7
14.0
16.1
Canara Bank
Neutral
503
22,272
10,828
12,005
2.1
2.2
64.7
80.4
7.8
6.3
1.1
0.9
13.2
14.7
Central Bank
Neutral
87
6,412
7,252
8,236
2.5
2.6
16.8
21.4
5.2
4.1
0.9
0.8
13.1
14.8
Corporation Bank
Buy
464
551
6,874
4,835
5,570
2.0
2.2
105.0
99.8
4.4
4.7
0.8
0.7
17.5
14.8
Dena Bank
Accumulate
117
132
4,101
3,125
3,457
2.7
2.8
26.2
24.2
4.5
4.9
0.8
0.7
19.6
15.6
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Financials
Federal Bank
Accumulate
504
576
8,608
2,682
2,968
3.3
3.2
48.6
51.7
10.4
9.8
1.4
1.2
13.8
13.2
HDFC
Neutral
814
125,524
7,336
8,802
3.5
3.5
31.5
37.8
25.8
21.5
5.2
4.6
34.8
32.1
HDFC Bank
Neutral
ICICI Bank
Buy
IDBI Bank
653
154,729
21,615
26,671
4.4
4.5
28.7
35.9
22.8
18.2
4.4
3.7
20.7
22.0
1,170
1,397
134,535
22,219
26,447
2.9
3.0
69.1
82.9
16.9
14.1
2.1
1.9
14.2
15.6
Accumulate
110
119
14,050
7,990
9,279
1.8
2.1
16.8
22.1
6.5
5.0
0.8
0.7
11.7
13.9
Indian Bank
Buy
207
252
8,885
5,902
6,563
3.2
3.2
41.3
43.2
5.0
4.8
0.8
0.7
18.4
16.8
IOB
Buy
J & K Bank
Neutral
85
98
6,751
7,063
8,308
2.3
2.5
12.6
20.4
6.7
4.2
0.6
0.6
9.0
13.3
1,300
6,303
2,830
2,910
3.6
3.6
234.8
197.4
5.5
6.6
1.3
1.1
25.1
18.0
Buy
281
328
14,156
1,799
2,255
2.3
2.4
20.3
27.3
13.8
10.3
2.2
1.9
16.9
19.7
Oriental Bank
Accumulate
333
369
9,716
6,330
7,105
2.6
2.7
58.4
65.1
5.7
5.1
0.8
0.7
14.5
14.4
Punjab Natl.Bank
Accumulate
882
933
29,914
19,688
22,497
3.2
3.3
138.9
164.5
6.4
5.4
1.1
1.0
16.7
17.3
South Ind.Bank
Buy
28
34
3,755
1,583
1,789
3.0
2.9
3.5
4.1
8.1
6.9
1.3
1.2
19.1
17.7
St Bk of India
Accumulate
2,462
2,600
165,211
60,677
69,712
3.3
3.3
224.3
257.3
11.0
9.6
1.9
1.6
17.6
17.7
Syndicate Bank
Accumulate
139
158
8,385
6,810
7,807
3.0
3.0
28.0
27.2
5.0
5.1
0.9
0.8
19.4
16.4
UCO Bank
Neutral
Union Bank
Accumulate
United Bank
80
5,344
5,235
6,086
2.3
2.4
12.0
14.9
6.7
5.4
1.1
0.9
12.0
13.5
262
286
14,400
9,963
11,536
2.8
2.9
40.8
46.8
6.4
5.6
1.1
0.9
16.2
16.4
Buy
76
90
2,729
3,498
3,858
2.5
2.8
15.1
21.6
5.0
3.5
0.6
0.5
12.5
16.1
Vijaya Bank
Accumulate
62
66
3,062
2,333
2,728
2.0
2.2
7.3
10.4
8.5
6.0
0.8
0.8
9.3
12.1
Yes Bank
Accumulate
508
576
18,164
3,364
4,260
2.8
3.0
36.3
42.6
14.0
11.9
3.1
2.6
24.6
23.6
4,392
42,129
11,198
13,184
15.4
15.7
117.1
141.5
37.5
31.0
12.3
9.7
36.4
35.0
3.7
3.1
FMCG
Asian Paints
Neutral
Britannia
Buy
490
584
5,857
5,627
6,581
4.9
5.7
18.3
24.7
26.8
19.9
9.8
7.5
39.1
42.7
1.0
0.8
Colgate
Neutral
1,479
20,113
3,146
3,573
20.6
21.4
36.4
42.5
40.7
34.8
37.6
31.5
102.0
98.5
6.2
5.4
Dabur India
Neutral
130
22,606
6,124
7,101
17.0
16.8
4.7
5.4
27.9
24.0
11.8
9.2
44.5
41.5
3.7
3.1
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
3,781
15,901
3,084
3,617
15.3
15.5
101.2
118.3
37.4
32.0
11.4
9.2
33.5
31.9
4.8
4.0
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
702
23,891
6,355
7,548
16.7
17.4
20.3
25.4
34.6
27.6
7.3
6.1
23.2
25.1
4.0
3.3
HUL
Neutral
479
103,515
25,350
28,974
13.3
13.5
14.7
17.1
32.5
28.1
25.7
18.2
84.5
75.8
3.9
3.4
ITC
Neutral
288
227,091
29,148
34,191
35.7
36.1
9.4
11.1
30.8
26.0
10.2
8.5
35.9
35.7
7.5
6.3
Marico
Neutral
224
14,441
4,840
5,643
13.6
13.6
6.4
8.1
34.8
27.6
6.9
5.6
26.3
23.3
3.1
2.5
Nestle*
Neutral
4,695
45,267
8,487
10,081
21.2
22.1
113.0
142.5
41.6
33.0
24.9
17.1
70.5
61.6
5.4
4.4
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Neutral
152
9,387
7,207
7,927
9.1
9.5
6.9
8.2
22.0
18.6
2.3
2.2
8.9
9.8
1.2
1.1
HCL Tech^
Neutral
697
48,439
24,453
27,269
19.8
18.7
45.0
50.0
15.5
13.9
3.7
3.1
24.4
22.6
1.9
1.7
Hexaware*
Buy
88
118
2,613
1,941
2,118
20.8
19.0
10.7
10.7
8.2
8.2
2.0
1.8
25.3
22.0
1.1
0.9
Infosys
Neutral
2,778
159,534
40,746
44,283
28.9
28.8
162.6
172.9
17.1
16.1
4.0
3.4
23.5
21.3
3.3
2.9
Infotech Enterprises
Accumulate
175
191
1,954
1,900
2,064
18.2
17.8
19.1
21.2
9.2
8.3
1.4
1.2
15.2
14.6
0.7
0.5
KPIT Cummins
Accumulate
116
130
2,226
2,221
2,390
16.1
15.9
11.3
13.0
10.3
8.9
2.3
1.8
21.9
20.9
1.0
0.9
Mahindra Satyam
Neutral
117
13,771
7,670
8,308
20.3
19.3
9.9
10.8
11.9
10.8
3.3
2.5
28.0
23.5
1.4
1.2
Mindtree
Neutral
786
3,239
2,339
2,502
20.9
18.4
75.4
78.1
10.4
10.1
2.5
2.0
24.6
20.3
1.1
1.0
Mphasis&
Accumulate
375
396
7,873
5,531
5,874
17.6
17.5
35.4
37.7
10.6
9.9
1.6
1.3
14.7
13.5
0.9
0.8
NIIT
Buy
28
36
460
1,048
1,161
9.1
10.9
4.1
6.2
6.8
4.5
0.7
0.6
10.3
14.1
0.3
0.2
Persistent
Reduce
572
539
2,289
1,277
1,398
26.8
25.2
48.0
53.9
11.9
10.6
2.3
1.9
19.0
17.9
1.5
1.3
TCS
Accumulate
1,318
1,465
257,962
62,954
70,871
29.0
28.9
71.6
79.1
18.4
16.7
6.1
5.0
33.2
29.7
3.9
3.4
Tech Mahindra
Accumulate
977
1,087
12,488
6,671
7,290
19.8
19.0
94.1
106.4
10.4
9.2
2.5
2.0
24.0
21.6
1.9
1.7
Wipro
Accumulate
399
421
98,170
43,231
47,241
20.0
20.0
26.2
28.1
15.3
14.2
2.9
2.5
19.3
17.9
1.9
1.7
D B Corp
Accumulate
237
264
4,337
1,581
1,784
23.3
25.0
11.6
14.4
20.4
16.4
4.0
3.4
21.0
22.3
2.6
2.3
HT Media
Buy
105
121
2,468
2,111
2,272
15.0
15.2
7.4
8.3
14.3
12.7
1.5
1.4
11.3
11.4
0.8
0.7
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
108
126
3,416
1,503
1,681
23.1
23.1
6.4
7.3
16.9
14.9
4.2
3.7
25.8
26.5
2.5
2.1
PVR
Neutral
262
758
682
786
17.3
16.9
17.6
19.7
14.9
13.3
1.8
1.5
14.9
14.5
1.4
1.2
Sun TV Network
Neutral
424
16,717
1,942
2,237
77.2
75.5
17.6
19.1
24.1
22.2
5.8
5.2
25.8
25.2
8.1
7.0
Bhushan Steel
Neutral
434
9,841
11,307
14,287
29.5
29.1
45.1
51.0
9.6
8.5
1.1
1.0
12.2
12.2
2.9
2.3
Coal India
Neutral
351
221,578
66,666
70,292
25.7
27.3
24.2
26.6
14.5
13.2
4.3
3.5
33.1
29.1
2.4
2.1
Electrosteel Castings
Buy
25
34
875
1,984
2,074
10.6
11.6
1.8
2.6
14.4
9.8
0.5
0.2
3.6
5.1
0.6
0.6
Hind. Zinc
Accumulate
131
145
55,394
12,446
13,538
52.3
52.9
15.0
16.4
8.8
8.0
1.7
1.5
21.4
19.7
2.6
1.9
Hindalco
Neutral
119
22,870
79,148
89,258
9.4
9.0
15.0
15.6
8.0
7.7
0.7
0.6
8.8
8.4
0.7
0.6
JSW Steel
Neutral
857
19,121
39,586
41,459
17.6
17.0
78.7
90.1
10.9
9.5
1.1
1.0
10.2
10.7
0.9
0.9
MOIL
Neutral
256
4,297
941
1,019
47.3
48.3
25.8
28.1
9.9
9.1
1.6
1.4
16.7
16.2
2.2
1.8
Monnet Ispat
Buy
267
344
1,702
2,501
3,264
22.2
24.6
41.8
55.2
6.4
4.8
0.7
0.6
11.3
13.4
1.8
1.3
Nalco
Reduce
49
44
12,577
6,898
7,841
9.9
14.7
2.0
3.2
24.6
15.3
1.1
1.0
4.3
6.8
1.4
1.3
NMDC
Buy
160
198
63,515
11,209
12,525
78.4
78.3
18.5
20.6
8.7
7.8
2.1
1.8
27.0
24.6
3.7
3.1
FMCG
Tata Global
IT
Media
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
EV/Sales(x)
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
Neutral
91
37,402
47,252
60,351
14.2
14.8
9.6
11.7
9.5
7.7
0.9
0.8
9.4
10.6
1.2
1.0
Sesa Goa
Neutral
185
16,052
4,551
6,640
32.8
34.4
33.7
39.3
5.5
4.7
0.9
0.8
18.3
18.3
4.2
2.8
Sterlite Inds
Neutral
113
37,908
43,185
45,442
23.3
23.7
16.8
17.9
6.7
6.3
0.7
0.7
11.6
11.2
0.9
0.8
Tata Steel
Accumulate
409
463
8.3
9.5
22.0
44.5
18.6
9.2
0.9
0.8
4.9
9.3
0.6
0.5
Sarda
Buy
128
153
459
1,442
1,494
17.6
17.3
27.2
28.7
4.7
4.5
0.5
0.5
11.5
11.0
0.7
0.6
Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas
Buy
49
73
664
2,694
2,906
14.6
16.6
16.4
20.8
3.0
2.4
0.3
0.3
11.4
12.8
0.5
0.3
Buy
116
143
367
2,342
2,470
13.7
15.3
27.7
33.8
4.2
3.4
0.4
0.4
10.9
11.4
0.6
0.6
Cairn India
Buy
332
382
63,355
17,567
17,643
76.2
72.3
61.1
56.8
5.4
5.8
1.1
1.0
22.0
17.5
2.8
2.4
GAIL
Neutral
371
47,067
46,652
54,142
15.7
15.7
34.0
35.3
10.9
10.5
1.9
1.7
18.5
16.8
0.8
0.6
ONGC
Reduce
337
312
33.9
33.7
30.7
32.3
11.0
10.4
1.9
1.7
18.3
17.2
1.7
1.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
920
8.9
8.9
68.1
71.5
13.5
12.9
1.5
1.3
12.4
11.8
0.8
0.8
Gujarat Gas*
Neutral
310
3,976
3,128
3,707
13.2
11.7
22.8
23.5
13.6
13.2
4.1
3.6
33.2
29.2
1.2
0.9
Indraprastha Gas
Neutral
267
3,735
3,213
3,643
23.3
23.5
24.3
25.7
11.0
10.4
2.5
2.1
25.0
22.1
1.3
1.1
Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals
Accumulate
157
179
11,775
32,210
41,362
6.1
5.8
15.4
15.6
10.2
10.1
2.7
2.2
29.1
24.1
0.4
0.4
76
4,262
1,079
1,034
91.8
91.9
8.8
8.4
8.6
9.0
1.4
1.3
17.9
15.0
3.7
3.8
Alembic Pharma
Buy
70
95
1,310
1,490
1,714
16.2
17.1
7.4
9.5
9.4
7.3
2.6
2.0
30.7
30.2
1.0
0.8
Aurobindo Pharma
Accumulate
189
208
5,504
5,463
6,279
15.0
15.0
12.4
14.0
15.2
13.5
2.0
1.7
18.8
17.8
1.6
1.4
Aventis*
Neutral
2,302
5,302
1,482
1,682
17.5
16.6
82.9
87.8
27.8
26.2
4.3
3.5
16.3
14.8
3.4
2.9
Cadila Healthcare
Accumulate
880
926
18,018
6,148
7,386
18.6
19.6
32.7
44.8
26.9
19.6
5.9
4.7
23.7
26.6
3.3
2.7
Cipla
Neutral
404
32,474
8,151
9,130
25.8
24.8
20.2
21.6
20.0
18.7
3.6
3.1
19.4
17.6
3.8
3.3
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
1,913
32,479
10,696
11,662
20.7
21.0
83.7
92.9
22.9
20.6
4.7
3.9
22.4
20.8
3.3
2.9
Dishman Pharma
Buy
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
Indoco Remedies
Buy
Ipca labs
Neutral
107
145
859
1,280
1,536
20.2
20.2
10.4
14.5
10.2
7.3
0.9
0.8
8.7
11.0
1.4
1.1
2,146
18,180
2,651
2,993
31.7
31.2
76.0
82.4
28.2
26.1
8.2
7.3
20.1
26.3
6.1
5.3
63
89
577
685
837
15.2
15.2
7.4
8.9
8.5
7.0
1.3
1.1
16.4
17.0
1.0
0.8
Neutral
526
6,634
2,850
3,474
21.0
21.0
29.9
37.3
17.6
14.1
4.2
3.3
26.7
26.4
2.5
2.1
Lupin
Accumulate
585
655
26,183
8,426
10,082
19.7
20.0
26.1
31.1
22.4
18.8
5.2
4.2
25.8
24.7
3.2
2.7
Ranbaxy*
Neutral
474
20,029
12,046
11,980
16.0
15.8
37.3
32.1
12.7
14.8
4.9
4.0
45.3
29.7
1.7
1.6
Sun Pharma
Neutral
711
73,464
9,902
12,313
42.6
42.6
26.7
29.1
26.6
24.4
5.1
4.3
20.7
19.1
6.8
5.3
71
78
1,078
1,523
1,568
30.3
30.3
5.4
11.5
13.2
6.2
0.7
0.7
5.6
11.3
1.2
1.0
Power
GIPCL
Accumulate
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Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
OPM(%)
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
164
135,349
72,809
81,951
23.0
23.7
12.0
13.4
13.7
12.3
1.7
1.5
12.5
12.9
2.5
2.4
Power
NTPC
Neutral
Real Estate
Anant Raj
Neutral
88
2,604
657
875
52.0
56.1
8.4
12.7
10.5
6.9
0.6
0.6
6.3
8.9
5.2
3.9
DLF
Neutral
254
43,087
9,878
12,033
44.7
46.1
9.6
13.4
26.5
18.9
1.7
1.6
6.4
8.7
6.9
5.6
HDIL
Neutral
112
4,701
2,441
3,344
55.1
48.2
22.7
26.6
4.9
4.2
0.4
0.4
8.8
9.4
3.8
2.8
MLIFE
Neutral
415
1,694
813
901
26.2
26.6
32.0
37.1
13.0
11.2
1.4
1.2
10.4
11.0
2.5
2.1
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
351
133,312
80,353
86,654
30.9
31.3
8.6
11.8
41.0
29.7
2.5
2.3
6.1
7.8
2.4
2.2
Idea Cellular
Neutral
117
38,882
21,797
23,142
26.9
27.7
3.1
4.7
37.4
25.2
2.8
2.5
7.4
9.8
2.2
2.1
Rcom
Neutral
87
18,029
21,032
22,084
31.8
30.2
2.9
4.0
29.8
21.9
0.5
0.5
1.6
2.2
2.5
2.3
Telecom
zOthers
Abbott India
Accumulate
1,446
1,590
3,073
1,629
1,886
11.8
13.3
60.8
79.5
23.8
18.2
4.9
4.1
22.0
24.4
1.7
1.4
Bajaj Electricals
Accumulate
198
217
1,976
3,497
3,968
6.6
7.6
9.8
15.5
20.2
12.8
2.6
2.2
12.7
17.4
0.6
0.5
Cera Sanitaryware
Buy
429
495
543
460
596
16.4
16.2
34.7
45.0
12.4
9.5
3.0
2.4
27.7
27.8
1.2
1.0
Cravatex
Buy
CRISIL
Neutral
Finolex Cables
Accumulate
Force Motors
423
545
109
272
308
7.2
7.3
37.5
45.4
11.3
9.3
2.7
2.1
23.7
22.7
0.5
0.5
1,028
7,217
982
1,136
34.3
34.3
34.3
40.0
29.9
25.7
13.6
10.8
50.9
46.9
6.9
5.8
57
61
873
2,304
2,552
9.9
9.1
8.2
10.1
7.0
5.7
1.0
0.8
13.7
14.7
0.3
0.3
Buy
455
537
593
2,318
2,700
5.0
5.7
45.0
67.0
10.1
6.8
0.5
0.5
5.0
7.0
0.1
0.1
Goodyear India
Accumulate
320
360
739
1,494
1,607
6.4
7.8
23.9
33.0
13.4
9.7
2.1
1.8
16.5
20.1
0.3
0.2
Greenply Industries
Sell
428
309
1,033
1,925
2,235
10.6
10.9
29.6
44.1
14.5
9.7
2.4
1.9
16.8
21.0
0.8
0.7
Hitachi
Neutral
152
350
873
989
4.4
6.5
6.4
12.2
24.0
12.5
1.9
1.7
8.3
14.4
0.5
0.4
2,580
2,842
2,281
1,809
2,117
5.5
7.5
84.9
135.3
30.4
19.1
3.3
2.8
11.3
16.0
1.2
1.0
Accumulate
693
744
1,219
1,059
1,116
8.5
9.5
36.0
42.0
19.3
16.5
2.8
2.4
15.4
16.0
1.2
1.1
ITD Cementation
Buy
240
334
276
1,455
1,630
12.4
12.6
29.8
40.5
8.1
5.9
0.6
0.6
8.2
9.8
0.6
0.6
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
152
2,443
1,228
1,443
9.0
10.9
3.9
6.4
39.0
23.7
3.9
3.6
10.1
15.6
2.5
2.1
MCX
Neutral
1,401
7,145
553
624
65.3
66.3
62.5
72.0
22.4
19.5
6.2
5.3
27.5
27.4
9.9
8.3
MRF
Neutral
13,398
5,682
13,030
14,405
10.3
9.5
8.0
1.7
1.4
19.1
18.7
0.5
0.5
Page Industries
Accumulate
3,401
3,602
3,793
836
1,023
20.2
20.6
105.6
133.4
32.2
25.5
16.4
11.6
59.3
53.2
4.6
3.7
Relaxo Footwears
Accumulate
862
933
1,035
1,019
1,208
11.0
12.5
47.0
66.7
18.4
12.9
4.6
3.4
28.2
30.1
1.2
1.0
Sintex Industries
Accumulate
69
79
2,071
4,751
5,189
16.3
16.6
13.6
15.8
5.1
4.4
0.7
0.6
12.9
13.2
0.8
0.7
Buy
297
366
278
1,043
1,149
12.3
12.9
65.7
73.3
4.5
4.1
0.9
0.7
21.0
19.6
0.5
0.5
S. Kumars Nationwide
Neutral
13
400
6,765
7,393
18.1
18.0
6.4
7.5
2.1
1.8
0.1
0.1
6.1
6.7
0.6
0.6
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
Stock Watch
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( cr )
( )
Price ( )
( cr )
FY13E
FY14E
OPM(%)
FY13E
EPS ( )
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
FY13E
EV/Sales(x)
FY14E
FY13E
FY14E
zOthers
SpiceJet
Reduce
47
43
2,255
5,720
6,599
5.3
6.8
3.6
5.4
12.9
8.7
18.7
5.9
0.5
0.4
TAJ GVK
Buy
69
108
435
300
319
35.8
36.2
7.9
9.1
8.8
7.6
1.2
1.0
13.9
14.4
1.8
1.5
Buy
309
384
476
750
803
18.6
18.4
65.4
69.1
4.7
4.5
0.7
0.6
16.5
15.3
0.2
0.2
TTK Healthcare
Buy
532
643
413
374
425
7.9
9.5
24.1
32.7
22.1
16.3
19.7
22.5
0.9
0.8
TVS Srichakra
Buy
257
322
196
1,461
1,625
6.9
8.2
24.6
53.7
10.4
4.8
1.3
1.1
12.9
24.9
0.4
0.3
United Spirits
Neutral
1,754
22,941
10,289
11,421
12.8
12.8
26.0
45.3
67.5
38.7
3.1
2.9
5.8
7.6
2.6
2.3
Vesuvius India
Neutral
345
700
560
611
16.1
17.0
24.7
28.8
14.0
12.0
2.1
1.8
15.8
16.2
1.1
1.0
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on January 22, 2013
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Market Outlook
January 23, 2013
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