Table 7.

Actual
and projected
percentage
changes in K–8
enrollment in
public schools,
by region and
National Center for Education Statistics
state: Selected
Table 7. years,
Table
fall 7. to
1996 Actual
fall and projected percentage changes in PK–8 enrollment in public schools, by region and
Table
2014 7. state: Selected years, fall 1998 through fall 2016
Projected
Region and state Actual 1998–2004 2004-2010 2010-2016

United States ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

2.5 4.1 6.6

Northeast ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-2.2 -1.4 1.9
Connecticut ………………………………………………………………………………………………..
1.2 -1.8 0.4
Maine ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-10.0 -1.5 4.0
Massachusetts ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.2 -0.8 0.6
New Hampshire ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-4.4 -0.6 7.4
New Jersey ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
4.2 1.6 2.4
New York ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.2 -2.6 1.2
Pennsylvania ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-2.6 -1.8 2.7
Rhode Island ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-4.8 -6.2 3.0
Vermont ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-10.0 -4.9 5.0

Midwest ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-1.7 0.8 3.1
Illinois ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
2.2 -0.1 2.2
Indiana ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
3.3 1.4 0.9
Iowa ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-3.7 6.0 3.6
Kansas ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-1.9 4.1 4.4
Michigan ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-2.7 -2.5 1.6
Minnesota ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-4.8 4.7 8.5
Missouri ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-3.4 3.2 5.1
Nebraska ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-2.5 7.2 5.3
North Dakota ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-12.7 -6.2 2.5
Ohio ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-2.6 -0.5 1.2
South Dakota ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-7.7 1.2 5.3
Wisconsin ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-3.8 -0.1 5.7

South ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
5.4 9.0 8.8
Alabama ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-3.8 0.9 0.2
Arkansas ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
2.8 7.1 4.4
Delaware ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
4.6 5.9 7.6
District of Columbia …………………………………………………………………………………………………………
0.7 -7.0 10.4
Florida …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
9.0 11.1 12.4
Georgia ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
8.6 13.6 9.5
Kentucky …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
4.6 5.1 1.4
Louisiana …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-4.4 3.1 3.5
Maryland …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-1.5 0.6 9.3
Mississippi …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-1.2 2.5 0.8
North Carolina …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
7.0 9.4 8.3
Oklahoma ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
1.1 5.1 4.6
South Carolina ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
5.5 3.4 3.5
Tennessee …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
0.9 6.9 6.6
Texas …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
11.0 14.8 13.3
Virginia ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
3.0 5.8 8.1
West Virginia ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-4.0 2.6 -0.6

West ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
5.6 3.4 9.0
Alaska ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-5.2 2.4 14.4
Arizona …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
16.0 10.6 15.8
California …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
5.6 -0.4 8.0
Colorado ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
7.8 8.5 7.2
Hawaii ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-4.4 9.4 12.9
Idaho ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
5.7 13.9 11.2
Montana ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-9.9 3.0 8.6
Nevada ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
25.9 16.6 16.0
New Mexico ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-2.0 1.7 6.5
Oregon ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
-0.8 2.4 8.3
Utah …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
8.2 18.7 6.4
Washington ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
-0.1 -0.1 6.9
Wyoming …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
-10.4 5.9 5.4
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2,
appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public
Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 1998–99 through 2004–05; and State Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004.
(This table was prepared December 2006.)
c schools, by region and

Projected
2004-2016

10.9

0.4
-1.4
2.4
-0.1
6.8
4.1
-1.5
0.9
-3.4
-0.1

4.0
2.1
2.3
9.7
8.8
-1.0
13.7
8.4
12.9
-3.8
0.8
6.5
5.6

18.5
1.1
11.8
14.0
2.7
24.9
24.4
6.6
6.7
9.9
3.3
18.5
9.9
7.0
14.0
30.1
14.3
2.0

12.7
17.2
28.2
7.6
16.4
23.5
26.6
11.8
35.3
8.3
10.9
26.3
6.8
11.6
statistics can be found in table A2,

“State Nonfiscal Survey of Public

ary Enrollment Model, 1980–2004.