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Customers: how are customers changing the way they buy and use books? What do they want from publishers? Authors: how are authors responding to the new opportunities of self-publishing and having more direct relationships with readers? How are their relationships with publishers changing?
Platforms: which platforms should be taken note of for distribution, creation and community-building? Business models: what business models are emerging and which deserve analysis and development?
Attention should be paid to where trends and behaviours have become mainstream and also to the edge cases - where early adopters are developing new ideas and behaviours. It can help to visualise the trends that are relevant to a business. At Brilliant Noise we use a radar map approach to this, plotting trends by a set of themes and asking whether they are of relevance now (requiring immediate action), near (requiring closer analysis) or far (things to keep an eye on). The visualisation below shows a sample from a working session looking at a business publishers strategy.
Take a look at three of the trends we can see emerging from this picture:
Diverse business models: there are many new business models emerging in publishing. Not all may become widespread, but the importance of models which were recently edge concepts - e.g. crowdfunding - is growing and may be adopted by existing publishers in some form.
Fragmentation and blurring of authors and readers: from fan ction to niche business bloggers who may or may not become authors in future, the roles of authors, readers and critics have become more complex.
Social reading: Amazons Kindle social network and other reader networks. Bookmarking communities have formed around web content, but so far social reading of books has been a niche or edge activity. This could be an opportunity for publishers to learn more about readers and develop new services.
Move as fast as customers: customers reading and wider media consumption habits are changing fast as they become used to ebooks, social media and the wider web. There are opportunities for publishers in understanding and meeting those needs, for instance: shareable content, access from multiple devices, content in multiple formats (audio and text).
Pilot at the edge: competitive advantage will come from being ahead of the curve, rather than moving as part of the pack (one minute everyone develops apps, the next everyone rolls out subscriptions). This will mean innovating with readers and authors who are outliers or edge cases in their approach.
Ask what value only they can provide: if the competitive threat is coming from giants like Amazon and Apple, then a strong response will be to be closer to customers, being more agile, developing value that cant be assimilated by an ecosystem player.
Build community: building strong communities of interest around topics and authors will provide some un-replicable value as well as a source of both customer insight and online distribution for content and marketing messages.
Develop their content supply chain: re-thinking how content is created and distributed online with a supply chain analogy can reveal both new opportunities and better ways of measuring performance.
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