Professional Documents
Culture Documents
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
% of Sales
16.0%
40.0%
7.0%
8.2%
35.0%
29.4
13.0%
40.0%
6.9%
8.1%
35.0%
29.4
11.0%
40.0%
6.8%
8.0%
35.0%
29.4
42.1%
6.5%
7.7%
33.9%
28.8
26.3%
43.5%
6.7%
7.9%
35.0%
29.3
24.3%
42.1%
6.9%
8.1%
35.0%
29.0
19.8%
37.9%
7.1%
8.3%
35.0%
29.0
$73.84
$41.83
$32.01
$93.28
$58.39
$34.89
$115.93
$75.49
$40.44
$138.84
$89.83
$49.01
$161.05
$100.28
$60.77
$181.99
$113.32
$68.67
$202.01
$125.78
$76.23
$6.58
$5.91
$19.52
$7.28
$6.37
$21.24
$8.56
$7.31
$24.57
$10.21
$9.86
$28.94
$12.66
$11.37
$36.74
$14.31
$12.85
$41.51
$15.88
$14.26
$46.08
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 1
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Actual
$4.76
$6.21
$8.55
39.60
$0.22
Actual
$5.23
$6.96
$9.05
40.36
$0.22
Actual
$6.69
$7.52
$10.36
44.93
$0.23
Actual
Forecast Forecast Forecast % of Sales
$8.88
$11.37
$12.34
$13.62
$7.60
$10.15
$11.67
$12.98
$12.46
$15.22
$17.51
$19.48
53.91
59.87
65.22
69.02
$0.23
$0.25
$0.27
$0.28
$2.90
$5.65
$3.17
$5.88
$3.63
$6.73
$4.36
$8.10
$5.33
$9.89
$6.13
$11.38
$6.82
$12.66
$4.27
$20.58
$26.73
$51.58
$6.38
$24.39
$30.45
$61.22
$7.62
$28.77
$36.75
$73.14
$8.83
$34.11
$43.27
$86.21
$10.29
$41.63
$53.03
$104.95
$11.63
$47.05
$59.92
$118.60
$12.91
$52.22
$66.52
$131.65
$331.64
$98.72
$232.92
$423.92
$105.09
$318.83
$503.87
$112.40
$391.47
$613.28
$122.26
$491.02
$676.62
$133.63
$542.98
$760.05
$146.48
$613.57
$841.81
$160.74
$681.07
Ave Hist.
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 2
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
Actual
$284.50
Actual
$380.05
Actual
$464.61
Actual
$577.23
Forecast
$647.93
Forecast
$732.17
Forecast
$812.72
% of Sales
$63.43
$43.03
$106.46
$83.84
$64.85
$148.69
$94.41
$79.49
$173.90
$101.23
$80.98
$182.21
$114.39
$91.50
$205.90
$126.98
$101.57
$228.54
Long-term Debt
Total Liabilities
$40.00
$102.69
$45.90
$152.36
$51.50
$200.19
$70.81
$244.71
$83.32
$266.53
$92.48
$298.38
$107.71
$336.26
Shareholders' Equity
Paid-in Capital
Retained Earnings
Total Shareholders' Equity
$90.00
$91.81
$181.81
$130.00
$97.69
$227.69
$160.00
$104.42
$264.42
$220.00
$112.52
$332.52
$260.00
$112.41
$362.14
$300.00
$133.79
$433.79
$330.00
$146.45
$476.45
$284.50
$380.05
$464.61
$577.23
$647.94
$732.17
$812.71
Total Assets
28.0%
$6.21
28.1%
$6.57
$58.07
30.6%
$6.68
$57.42
31.1%
$6.71
$93.95
30.1%
$7.47
$53.99
29.8%
$7.89
$59.69
30.5%
$8.30
$55.30
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 3
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
% of Sales
100.0%
56.6%
43.4%
100.0%
62.6%
37.4%
100.0%
65.1%
34.9%
100.0%
64.7%
35.3%
100.0%
62.3%
37.7%
100.0%
62.3%
37.7%
100.0%
62.3%
37.7%
100.0%
62.3%
37.7%
8.9%
8.0%
26.4%
7.8%
6.8%
22.8%
7.4%
6.3%
21.2%
7.4%
7.1%
20.8%
7.9%
7.1%
22.8%
7.9%
7.1%
22.8%
7.9%
7.1%
22.8%
7.9%
7.1%
22.8%
Interest Expense
Taxes
Net Income
Shares Outstanding (Millions)
Earnings Per Share
6.4%
8.4%
11.6%
53.6%
0.3%
5.6%
7.5%
9.7%
43.3%
0.2%
5.8%
6.5%
8.9%
38.8%
0.2%
6.4%
5.5%
9.0%
38.8%
0.2%
7.1%
6.3%
9.5%
37.2%
0.2%
6.8%
6.4%
9.6%
35.8%
0.1%
6.7%
6.4%
9.6%
34.2%
0.1%
6.1%
7.0%
9.8%
43.6%
0.2%
3.9%
7.7%
3.4%
6.3%
3.1%
5.8%
3.1%
5.8%
3.3%
6.1%
3.4%
6.3%
3.4%
6.3%
3.4%
6.4%
5.8%
27.9%
36.2%
69.9%
6.8%
26.1%
32.6%
65.6%
6.6%
24.8%
31.7%
63.1%
6.4%
24.6%
31.2%
62.1%
6.4%
25.9%
32.9%
65.2%
6.4%
25.9%
32.9%
65.2%
6.4%
25.9%
32.9%
65.2%
6.4%
25.9%
32.9%
65.2%
449.1%
133.7%
315.4%
454.5%
112.7%
341.8%
434.6%
97.0%
337.7%
441.7%
88.1%
353.7%
420.1%
83.0%
337.1%
417.6%
80.5%
337.1%
416.6%
79.6%
337.1%
445.0%
107.8%
337.1%
Total Assets
385.3%
407.4%
400.8%
415.8%
402.3%
402.3%
402.3%
402.3%
68.0%
72.3%
68.0%
62.9%
62.9%
62.9%
62.9%
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 4
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Short-term Debt
Total Current Liabilities
Actual
41.8%
84.9%
Actual
46.1%
114.1%
Actual
55.9%
128.3%
Actual
Forecast Forecast Forecast % of Sales
57.3%
50.3%
50.3%
50.3%
50.3%
125.3%
113.1%
113.1%
113.1%
113.1%
Long-term Debt
Total Liabilities
54.2%
139.1%
49.2%
163.3%
44.4%
172.7%
51.0%
176.3%
51.7%
164.9%
50.8%
164.0%
53.3%
166.5%
49.7%
162.8%
Shareholders' Equity
Paid-in Capital
Retained Earnings
Total Shareholders' Equity
121.9%
124.3%
246.2%
139.4%
104.7%
244.1%
138.0%
90.1%
228.1%
158.5%
81.0%
239.5%
161.4%
76.0%
237.4%
164.8%
73.5%
238.4%
163.4%
72.5%
235.9%
139.4%
100.0%
239.5%
385.3%
407.4%
400.8%
415.8%
402.3%
402.3%
402.3%
402.3%
$9.05
$6.37
($3.81)
($3.72)
$31.60
$39.49
$10.36
$7.31
($4.38)
($6.30)
$20.41
$27.40
$12.46
$9.86
($5.34)
($6.52)
$10.57
$21.03
$15.22
$11.37
($7.52)
($9.76)
$6.82
$16.13
$17.51
$12.85
($5.42)
($6.89)
$13.16
$31.21
$19.48
$14.26
($5.17)
($6.60)
$12.59
$34.56
($92.28)
($92.28)
($79.95) ($109.41)
($79.95) ($109.41)
($63.34)
($63.34)
($83.43)
($83.43)
($81.76)
($81.76)
Ave Hist.
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 5
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
Actual
Cash Flow From Financing Activities
+ Inc in Long-term Debt
+ Inc in Short-term Debt
+ Inc in Paid in Capital
- Dividends Paid
Cash Flow From Financ Act
Actual
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
% of Sales
$5.90
$12.17
$40.00
($3.17)
$54.90
$5.60
$21.82
$30.00
($3.63)
$53.79
$19.31
$14.64
$60.00
($4.36)
$89.59
$12.51
$1.49
$40.00
($5.33)
$48.67
$9.16
$10.52
$40.00
($6.13)
$53.55
$15.23
$10.07
$30.00
($6.82)
$48.48
$2.11
$4.27
$6.38
$1.24
$6.38
$7.62
$1.21
$7.62
$8.83
$1.46
$8.83
$10.29
$1.33
$10.29
$11.62
$1.28
$11.63
$12.91
22.8%
21.2%
20.8%
Financial Ratios
Profitability
Return On Sales (ROS)
26.4%
22.8%
22.8%
22.8%
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 6
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
Actual
Actual
6.4%
4.4%
Actual
5.8%
4.2%
Actual
Forecast Forecast Forecast % of Sales
5.6%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
4.2%
4.4%
4.4%
4.3%
Asset Turnover
Receivables Turnover
Inventory Turnover
Asset Turnover
414.9%
204.2%
28.1%
436.2%
224.7%
27.5%
441.6%
224.5%
26.7%
425.3%
208.3%
26.3%
410.4%
200.7%
26.4%
407.0%
199.0%
26.2%
24.9%
410.1%
23.4%
406.1%
25.0%
367.3%
26.0%
325.9%
25.4%
323.1%
25.1%
336.5%
25.8%
338.3%
82.3%
39.6%
57.5%
28.9%
49.2%
24.5%
49.6%
24.7%
57.6%
28.5%
57.6%
28.5%
57.6%
28.5%
28.76
135.3%
29.30
116.5%
28.97
113.5%
29.03
108.8%
29.38
123.5%
29.22
118.6%
29.64
120.2%
Financial Leverage
Debt
Times Interest Earned
Liquidity
Current
Quick
Market Value
Price to Earnings
Market to Book
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 7
An Integrated System
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ave Hist.
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Forecast
Forecast
% of Sales
Data Table: Sensitivity of the External Funds Needed to the 2007 Sales Growth Rate
$53.99
0.0%
($19.44)
24.0%
$90.71
Output Formula:
External Funds Needed
$60
$40
$20
$0
($20)
($40)
0.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
16.0%
20.0%
24.0%
No. 4
Finance 305, FALL 2012
HW 20
Page 8
Full-Scale Estimation
44.7%
1.0%
2.3%
29.1%
62.3
Actual
14.5%
34.8%
2.1%
3.9%
19.0%
39.6
Actual
12.1%
34.9%
3.4%
3.8%
19.5%
35.4
5/31/2006
Actual
8.8%
35.0%
5.1%
5.1%
20.9%
29.5
5/31/2007
Forecast
7.0%
35.0%
4.5%
5.5%
21.0%
30.0
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast
Forecast
6.0%
35.0%
4.5%
5.5%
22.0%
31.0
5.0%
35.0%
4.5%
5.5%
23.0%
32.0
$3,702.0
$74.7
$0.0
$177.4
$1,475.0
$14,954.9
$8,190.7
$6,764.2
$16,001.7
$8,901.8
$7,100.0
$16,961.8
$9,435.9
$7,526.0
$17,809.9
$9,907.7
$7,902.3
$4,221.7
$29.1
$0.0
$28.0
$1,864.6
$4,477.8
$4.4
$0.0
$177.2
$2,104.8
$4,809.0
$63.9
$99.5
$203.5
$1,924.0
$5,097.6
$67.8
$105.5
$215.7
$2,039.4
$5,352.5
$71.1
$110.8
$226.5
$2,141.4
$42.9
$382.9
$474.0
527.2
$0.90
$25.0
$504.4
$945.6
526.2
$1.80
$4.8
$648.2
$1,211.6
522.2
$2.32
($36.8)
$749.6
$1,392.0
512.0
$2.72
$24.5
$664.8
$1,234.6
512.0
$2.41
$48.3
$696.9
$1,294.3
512.0
$2.53
$55.8
$730.0
$1,355.6
512.0
$2.65
$137.8
$336.2
$179.2
$766.4
$236.7
$974.9
$290.9
$1,101.1
$259.3
$975.4
$284.7
$1,009.5
$311.8
$1,043.8
$634.0
$0.0
$2,101.1
$1,514.9
$163.7
$828.0
$400.8
$2,120.2
$1,633.6
$165.0
$1,388.1
$436.6
$2,262.1
$1,811.1
$110.2
$954.2
$1,348.8
$2,395.9
$2,076.7
$203.3
$1,110.0
$618.8
$2,777.5
$2,182.7
$201.6
$1,260.6
$655.9
$2,944.2
$2,313.7
$213.7
$1,415.4
$688.7
$3,091.4
$2,429.4
$224.3
of Sales
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 9
Full-Scale Estimation
5/31/2006
Prepaid Expenses
Total Current Assets
Actual
$266.2
$4,679.9
Actual
$364.4
$5,512.0
Actual
$343.0
$6,351.1
Actual
$380.1
$7,359.0
$1,620.8
$118.2
$65.6
$229.4
$6,713.9
$1,586.9
$366.3
$135.4
$291.0
$7,891.6
$1,605.8
$406.1
$135.4
$295.2
$8,793.6
$6.6
$146.0
$763.8
$974.4
$118.2
$2,009.0
Long-term Debt
Deferred Inc. Taxes & Other
Redeemable Preferred Stock
Total Liabilities
$551.6
$156.1
$0.3
$2,723.2
Shareholders' Equity
Common Stock Class A
Common Stock Class B
Capital in Excess of Stated
Unearned Stock Compen.
Accum. Other Comp. Loss
Retained Earnings
Total Shareholders' Equity
Total Liab. & Share. Equity
Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Market Price / Share
External Funds Needed
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast
$420.1
$7,310.6
Forecast
$445.3
$7,833.3
Forecast of Sales
$467.5
$8,316.7
$1,657.7
$405.5
$130.8
$316.6
$9,869.6
$2,035.2
$390.5
$143.2
$351.4
$10,230.9
$2,157.3
$413.9
$151.7
$372.5
$10,928.8
$2,265.2
$434.6
$159.3
$391.2
$11,567.0
$6.2
$69.8
$843.9
$984.3
$95.0
$1,999.2
$255.3
$43.4
$952.2
$1,286.9
$85.5
$2,623.3
$149.2
$107.8
$964.0
$1,343.2
$129.2
$2,693.4
$158.1
$114.3
$1,021.8
$1,423.8
$137.0
$2,855.0
$166.0
$120.0
$1,072.9
$1,495.0
$143.8
$2,997.7
$682.4
$418.2
$0.3
$3,109.9
$687.3
$462.6
$0.3
$3,149.4
$410.7
$550.1
$0.3
$3,584.4
$789.2
$476.8
$0.4
$3,959.7
$921.5
$505.4
$0.4
$4,282.2
$371.6
$530.6
$0.4
$3,900.4
$0.2
$2.6
$589.0
($0.6)
($239.7)
$3,639.2
$3,990.7
$0.1
$2.7
$887.8
($5.5)
($86.3)
$3,982.9
$4,781.7
$0.1
$2.7
$1,182.9
($11.4)
$73.4
$4,396.5
$5,644.2
$0.1
$2.7
$1,451.4
($4.1)
$121.7
$4,713.4
$6,285.2
$0.2
$2.6
$650.0
($6.4)
($63.9)
$5,688.8
$6,271.2
$0.2
$2.6
$20.0
($6.8)
($67.7)
$6,698.3
$6,646.6
$0.2
$2.6
$0.0
($7.2)
($71.1)
$7,742.1
$7,666.7
$6,713.9
$7,891.6
$8,793.6
$9,869.6
17.3%
$55.99
14.9%
$71.15
$642.9
11.9%
$82.20
$408.3
10.1%
$80.31
$650.8
5/31/2007
$10,230.9
14.3%
$72.34
($626)
$10,928.8
15.2%
$78.36
($369.5)
$11,567.0
7.9%
$84.73
($456.7)
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 10
Full-Scale Estimation
Actual
Actual
5/31/2006
Actual
5/31/2007
Forecast
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast
Forecast
of Sales
100.0%
56.8%
43.2%
100.0%
55.7%
44.3%
100.0%
55.3%
44.7%
100.0%
54.8%
45.2%
100.0%
55.6%
44.4%
100.0%
55.6%
44.4%
100.0%
55.6%
44.4%
100.0%
55.6%
44.4%
29.3%
0.7%
2.5%
2.3%
8.4%
30.2%
0.6%
0.0%
1.4%
12.0%
30.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
13.6%
29.9%
0.0%
0.0%
1.2%
14.1%
30.1%
0.4%
0.6%
1.3%
12.0%
30.1%
0.4%
0.6%
1.3%
12.0%
30.1%
0.4%
0.6%
1.3%
12.0%
30.1%
0.4%
0.6%
1.3%
12.0%
0.4%
3.6%
4.4%
4.9%
0.0%
0.2%
4.1%
7.7%
4.3%
0.0%
0.0%
4.7%
8.8%
3.8%
0.0%
-0.2%
5.0%
9.3%
3.4%
0.0%
0.2%
4.2%
7.7%
3.2%
0.0%
0.3%
4.1%
7.6%
3.0%
0.0%
0.3%
4.1%
7.6%
2.9%
0.0%
0.1%
4.4%
7.6%
4.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
3.1%
0.0%
1.5%
6.3%
0.0%
1.7%
7.1%
0.0%
1.9%
7.4%
0.0%
1.6%
6.1%
0.0%
1.7%
6.0%
0.0%
1.8%
5.9%
0.0%
1.6%
6.0%
5.9%
0.0%
19.6%
14.2%
1.5%
2.5%
43.7%
6.8%
3.3%
17.3%
13.3%
1.3%
3.0%
45.0%
10.1%
3.2%
16.5%
13.2%
0.8%
2.5%
46.2%
6.4%
9.0%
16.0%
13.9%
1.4%
2.5%
49.2%
6.9%
3.9%
17.4%
13.6%
1.3%
2.6%
45.7%
7.4%
3.9%
17.4%
13.6%
1.3%
2.6%
46.2%
7.9%
3.9%
17.4%
13.6%
1.3%
2.6%
46.7%
7.3%
3.9%
17.4%
13.6%
1.3%
2.6%
46.0%
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 11
Full-Scale Estimation
5/31/2006
5/31/2007
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast of Sales
12.7%
12.7%
2.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.9%
2.2%
2.2%
64.9%
64.3%
Actual
15.2%
1.1%
0.6%
2.1%
62.8%
Actual
13.0%
3.0%
1.1%
2.4%
64.4%
Actual
11.7%
3.0%
1.0%
2.1%
64.0%
Actual
11.1%
2.7%
0.9%
2.1%
66.0%
Forecast
12.7%
2.4%
0.9%
2.2%
63.9%
Forecast
12.7%
2.4%
0.9%
2.2%
64.4%
0.1%
1.2%
6.2%
8.0%
1.0%
16.4%
0.0%
0.5%
6.1%
7.2%
0.7%
14.6%
1.7%
0.3%
6.4%
8.6%
0.6%
17.5%
0.9%
0.7%
6.0%
8.4%
0.8%
16.8%
0.9%
0.7%
6.0%
8.4%
0.8%
16.8%
0.9%
0.7%
6.0%
8.4%
0.8%
16.8%
0.9%
0.7%
6.0%
8.4%
0.8%
16.8%
Long-term Debt
Deferred Inc. Taxes & Other
Redeemable Preferred Stock
Total Liabilities
5.2%
1.5%
0.0%
25.5%
5.6%
3.4%
0.0%
25.4%
5.0%
3.4%
0.0%
22.9%
2.7%
3.7%
0.0%
24.0%
4.9%
3.0%
0.0%
24.7%
5.4%
3.0%
0.0%
25.2%
2.1%
3.0%
0.0%
21.9%
4.6%
3.0%
0.0%
24.4%
Shareholders' Equity
Common Stock Class A
Common Stock Class B
Capital in Excess of Stated
Unearned Stock Compen.
Accum. Other Comp. Loss
Retained Earnings
Total Shareholders' Equity
0.0%
0.0%
5.5%
0.0%
-2.2%
34.0%
37.3%
0.0%
0.0%
7.2%
0.0%
-0.7%
32.5%
39.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8.6%
-0.1%
0.5%
32.0%
41.1%
0.0%
0.0%
9.7%
0.0%
0.8%
31.5%
42.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4.1%
0.0%
-0.4%
35.6%
39.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
-0.4%
39.5%
39.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-0.4%
43.5%
43.0%
0.0%
0.0%
7.8%
0.0%
-0.4%
32.5%
39.9%
62.8%
64.4%
64.0%
66.0%
63.9%
64.4%
64.9%
64.3%
$1,211.6
$257.2
$0.0
$21.3
$1,392.0
$282.0
$0.0
($26.0)
$1,234.6
$1,294.3
$1,355.6
$322.1
$99.5
$24.3
$341.4
$105.5
$25.8
$358.5
$110.8
$27.0
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 12
Full-Scale Estimation
Actual
Actual
Amortization and other
$23.2
$58.3
Inc Tax Ben Exer Options
$12.5
$47.2
Changes in Certain Working Capital Components:
(Inc) dec in Inventories
($102.8)
($55.9)
(Inc) dec in Accounts Rec.
($136.3)
$82.5
Dec (inc) in Prepd & Ot CA
$60.9
($103.5)
Inc (dec.) in Account Pay,
Accr Liab., & Inc Tax Pay.
$30.1
$269.1
Cash Provided By Operations
$917.4
$1,514.4
Actual
$30.5
$63.1
($103.3)
($93.5)
$71.4
$112.4
$1,570.7
Actual
$8.9
$54.2
($200.3)
($85.1)
($37.2)
5/31/2007
Forecast
$39.0
$53.0
($140.4)
($74.0)
($0.2)
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast
$41.3
$56.1
Forecast of Sales
$43.4
$58.9
($148.8)
($78.5)
($0.2)
($156.2)
($82.4)
($0.2)
$279.4
$1,667.9
$206.6
$1,764.5
$219.0
$1,855.9
$229.9
$1,945.4
($2,619.7)
$1,709.8
($333.7)
$1.6
($30.3)
($4.3)
$0.0
($1,276.6)
($1,276.3)
$891.8
($303.5)
$11.8
($54.2)
$2.5
($108.1)
($836.1)
($1,352.9)
$945.3
($321.7)
$12.6
($57.5)
$2.6
($114.6)
($886.2)
($1,420.5)
$992.5
($337.8)
$13.2
($60.4)
$2.7
($120.3)
($930.5)
$0.0
($9.2)
($81.7)
$226.8
($556.2)
($236.7)
($657.0)
$0.0
($6.0)
($18.2)
$225.3
($761.1)
($290.9)
($850.9)
$84.0
($92.6)
($159.6)
$225.6
($576.0)
($256.8)
($775.3)
$89.1
($98.2)
($169.1)
$239.2
($610.6)
($272.2)
($821.9)
$93.5
($103.1)
($177.6)
$251.1
($641.1)
($285.8)
($863.0)
$25.7
($433.9)
$2.6
$155.8
$2.8
$150.6
$2.9
$154.8
$954.2
$1,110.0
$1,110.0
$1,260.6
$1,260.6
$1,415.4
5/31/2006
($38.1)
$58.5
$24.6
$194.0
$6.8
$560.1
$575.5
$634.0
$634.0
$828.0
$828.0
$1,388.1
$1,388.1
$954.2
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 13
Full-Scale Estimation
Actual
Actual
5/31/2006
Actual
5/31/2007
Forecast
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast
Forecast
of Sales
8.8%
9.3%
7.7%
7.6%
7.6%
7.6%
1.9%
0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
0.5%
1.9%
0.0%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
-0.8%
-0.7%
0.5%
0.0%
0.8%
11.4%
-1.3%
-0.6%
-0.2%
0.0%
1.9%
11.2%
-0.9%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
11.0%
-0.9%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
10.9%
-0.9%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
10.9%
-0.9%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
1.3%
10.9%
-3.3%
0.0%
-1.7%
0.1%
-0.4%
0.0%
-2.4%
-7.7%
-11.1%
10.9%
-1.9%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.1%
-0.3%
-2.6%
-17.5%
11.4%
-2.2%
0.0%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
-8.5%
-8.0%
5.6%
-1.9%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.0%
-0.7%
-5.2%
-8.0%
5.6%
-1.9%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.0%
-0.7%
-5.2%
-8.0%
5.6%
-1.9%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.0%
-0.7%
-5.2%
-8.0%
5.6%
-1.9%
0.1%
-0.3%
0.0%
-0.7%
-5.2%
0.0%
-0.1%
-0.6%
1.7%
-4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-0.1%
1.5%
-5.1%
0.5%
-0.6%
-1.0%
1.4%
-3.6%
0.5%
-0.6%
-1.0%
1.4%
-3.6%
0.5%
-0.6%
-1.0%
1.4%
-3.6%
0.5%
-0.6%
-1.0%
1.4%
-3.6%
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 14
Full-Scale Estimation
5/31/2006
5/31/2007
5/31/2008
5/31/2009 Ave. %
Forecast of Sales
-1.6%
-1.6%
-4.8%
-4.8%
Actual
-1.3%
-5.7%
Actual
-1.5%
-3.3%
Actual
-1.7%
-4.8%
Actual
-1.9%
-5.7%
Forecast
-1.6%
-4.8%
Forecast
-1.6%
-4.8%
-0.4%
0.5%
0.2%
1.6%
0.0%
4.1%
0.2%
-2.9%
0.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.9%
0.0%
0.9%
0.0%
0.8%
5.4%
5.9%
5.2%
6.8%
6.0%
10.1%
9.3%
6.4%
6.0%
6.9%
6.5%
7.4%
7.1%
7.9%
6.5%
7.3%
8.4%
12.0%
20.2%
21.6%
13.6%
22.4%
23.2%
14.1%
22.6%
23.3%
12.0%
19.1%
19.7%
12.0%
19.3%
20.0%
12.0%
19.0%
18.9%
5.8
4.3
1.7
6.3
4.4
1.6
6.4
4.2
1.6
6.2
4.2
1.6
5.9
4.2
1.6
5.9
4.2
1.6
12.4%
21.0
10.6%
59.0
8.7%
388.5
7.2%
-57.2
10.2%
78.4
10.9%
42.3
5.7%
38.4
Liquidity
Current
Quick
232.2%
135.7%
274.4%
146.7%
317.7%
182.6%
280.5%
127.7%
271.4%
144.3%
274.4%
147.3%
277.4%
150.3%
Market Value
Price to Earnings
Market to Book
62.3
739.7%
39.6
783.0%
35.4
760.5%
29.5
654.2%
30.00
590.6%
31.00
603.7%
32.00
565.8%
Financial Ratios
Profitability
Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Equity (ROE)
Asset Turnover
Receivables Turnover
Inventory Turnover
Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
Debt
Times Interest Earned
No. 12
Finance 305; FALL 2012
HW 24
Page 15
Problems
2003
2004
2005
2006
Actual
Actual
Actual
Actual
40.5%
6.3%
7.4%
26.1%
8.6
38.8%
6.3%
7.4%
25.9%
8.4
21.4%
38.2%
6.4%
7.5%
26.8%
8.7
19.3%
36.0%
6.5%
7.6%
24.4%
9.3
$185.76
$109.81
$75.95
$194.29
$112.25
$82.04
$235.84
$138.97
$96.87
$281.38
$171.57
$109.81
$12.73
$11.66
$51.56
$13.54
$12.39
$56.11
$16.87
$14.58
$65.42
$19.94
$18.37
$71.50
Interest Expense
Taxes
$14.23
$15.12
$15.69
$15.68
$23.88
$15.87
$24.55
$16.92
Problems
2003
2004
2005
2006
Net Income
Shares Outstanding (Millions)
Earnings Per Share
Actual
$22.21
2.03
$10.94
Actual
$24.74
2.10
$11.78
Actual
$25.67
2.15
$11.94
Actual
$30.03
2.44
$12.31
$5.80
$16.41
$6.41
$18.33
$6.87
$18.80
$7.33
$22.70
Assets
Current Assets
Cash & Equivalents
Receivables
Inventories
Total Current Assets
$8.56
$41.63
$52.11
$102.30
$13.97
$49.52
$60.94
$124.43
$15.34
$57.37
$73.49
$146.20
$17.75
$68.91
$86.32
$172.98
$663.29
$189.20
$474.09
$846.39
$201.59
$644.80
$910.34
$216.17
$694.17
$958.31
$234.54
$723.77
Total Assets
$576.39
$769.23
$840.37
$896.75
Problems
2003
2004
2005
2006
Accounts Payable
Short-term Debt
Total Current Liabilities
Actual
$62.46
$202.12
$264.58
Actual
$90.48
$307.87
$398.35
Actual
$134.32
$304.96
$439.28
Actual
$174.57
$312.85
$487.42
Long-term Debt
Total Liabilities
$40.00
$304.58
$55.74
$454.09
$62.15
$501.43
$17.69
$505.11
Shareholders' Equity
Paid-in Capital
Retained Earnings
Total Shareholders' Equity
$180.00
$91.81
$271.81
$205.00
$110.14
$315.14
$210.00
$128.94
$338.94
$240.00
$151.64
$391.64
$576.39
$769.23
$840.37
$896.75
47.1%
$94.58
53.6%
52.0%
$99.12 $103.47
$146.49
$8.50
45.8%
$114.95
($6.57)