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The information contained in this presentation may include statements which constitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in the companys filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only for the date on which they are made.
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Fibria's Strategy
Closing Remarks
Agenda
Fibrias Strategy
Fibrias Strategy
OPERATING EXCELLENCE
LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
Cost control Capex discipline Working capital improvement Free cash flow generation Productivity gains
Liquidity events and FCF of R$ 2.9 billion in 2012 Gross debt reduction Cost of debt reduction Leverage reduction Rating revised to BB+/Positive by Fitch (Feb/13) and BB+/Stable by S&P (Mar/13) Asset light
Pulp: growth with discipline Industry Consolidation Bio-Energy Other Opportunities (Portocel/Land and Forest)
Operating Excellence
Better results achieved by efficiency improvement
PRODUCTION AND SALES VOLUME (000 t) CASH COST (R$/ton)
5,141 5,299
5,357
518
503 471
448
473
2012 Inflation Effect**
2010* Production
2011 Sales
2012
2010*
686
34%
36%
594
1,964
2,253
2011
Liability Management
Net debt at the lowest level since Fibrias creation and leverage reduced to 3.4x
Net Debt/EBITDA (x) US$*
3.1 2.9
3.4 3.2
4.2 3.8
4.8 4.2
5.2 4.8
4.7 4.2
4.5 4.2
3.4 3.3
18% debt reduction (in R$) 25% debt reduction (in US$)
- Dec/12 vs Dec/11: R$1.8 billion net debt reduction, despite the 9% FX impact. - Debt (in US$): > 90% of total
11.0
9.8 8.0
8.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.6
2009
2010
Mar/11
Jun/11
Sep/11
Dec/11
Mar/12
Jun/12
Sep/12
Dec/12
FX Rate(R$/US$)
Avg LTM EOP 2.00 1.74 1.76 1.67 1.73 1.63 1.69 1.56 1.65 1.85 1.67 1.88 1.70 1.82 1.96 2.02 2.02 2.03 1.95 2.04
*From June 30, 2012 on, net debt/EBITDA ratio for covenant purposes are calculated in US Dollars and the limit is 4.5x
Hedging Strategy
DERIVATIVES NOTIONAL(1) (US$ Million)
1,230 45
1,084 162 923 151 791 141 580 433 112 321 410 170 Dec/12
Sep/11
Dec/11
Mar/12 NDF
Sep/12
% of exposure hedged
56%
53%
54%
18%
29%
The increase in Zero cost collar operations is linked to the reduced FX volatility This operation minimizes negative impacts in the event of a sudden depreciation of the Real
(1)
5.0 4.6
Mar/10
Jun/10
Set/10
Dec/10
Mar/11
Jun/11
Set/11
Dec/11
Mar/12
Jun/12
Set/12
Dec/12
Debt Profile
3,132
2013 Bond
2014
2015 Pre-Payment
2016
2017 BNDES
2018 ECN*
2019
2020
2021
Export Credit/Other
*ECN Export Credit Note
Debt by Currency
5.5% 5.2%
7%
93%
Local Currency Foreign Currency
Dec/11
Dec/12
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Liability Management
R$ 2.9 billion in free cash flow generation and liquidity events in 2012
2013E Capex: R$ 1.250 bn
(R$ Billion)
0.5
2.9
2.3
1.4
0.2
(1.1) (0.5)
0.2 (0.1)
Working Capital Taxes
(2)
0.8
EBITDA
CAPEX (1)
Interest
FCF
Equity Offering
Forest Sale
(3)
Losango Sale
(4)
Total
Liquidity
Asset Light
(1) Includes advance to forest partner program | (2) IR/CS and other | (3) Forestry assets and land in the south of Bahia State | (4) Considers only the receipt of the first payment of R$470 million
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Growth
Fibria is seeking value creation for its shareholders with capital discipline
PULP
- Growth with discipline - Best portfolio of projects
INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION ?
OTHER OPPORTUNITIES
Portocel Land and forest
12
15.0
2010
*MAI: Mean annual increment
2015
2020
2025
Expected results in the new forests planted in Fibrias own forests, adopting classical breeding + molecular markers technologies.
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117,611
114,507
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Developed Markets
Emerging Markets
37,250
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Developed Markets
(1) Source: RISI
Emerging Markets
16
000 ton
1996
2006
2016
Growth 20072016
27%
Hardwood
14.3
22.4
29.9
Eucalyptus
5.4
11.1
21.4
106%
67%
Softwood
16.4
22.0
24.1
35%
7%
Market Pulp
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
30.8
44.4
54.0
Hardwood
Softwood
Source: PPPC
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Gross capacity addition should not be counted as the only factor influencing pulp price volatility
New Price Increase:
(as of Mar/13)
1.000 900
Eldorado
2,0 1,8
Guaba II
US$ 820/ton
800
700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
APP Hainan Nueva Aldea Santa F Valdivia Kerinci PL3 Fray Bentos Mucuri Veracel
Trs Lagoas
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Rizhao
Maranho
1,6
-85
-105
-1180 -1260
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E
19
564
72 126 492 435 484 43 86 422 44 450 35 434 36 377 47 330 64 314 52 318 63 62 260 227
289
Delivery (US$/t)
Source: Hawkins Wright (Outlook for Market Pulp, December 2012) | Fibrias 2012 cash cost divided by FX considered in the report R$/US$ 2.08
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21
China
Per Capita Consumption of Tissue by Region, 2012(1)
Kg/capita
24.3
14.8
20 Growth Potential 15 10
4.4 2.2 L. America N&M East 0.8 Asia Far East
5
0.6
0
W. Europe Oceania N. America E. Europe Africa Japan China
1996
2001
2011
W.Europe China
(1) Source:
RISI
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China
Chinas Market Share of Market Pulp Shipments (%)(1)
8.000 26% 25% 6.000 21% 18% 4.000 14% 17% 2.000 12% 15% 16% 15% 19% 20% 26% 26% 25% 26%
Eucaplyptus ('000 t)
Hardwood ('000 t)
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Closing Remarks
Leverage reduction
Investor Relations
E-mail: ir@fibria.com.br Phone: +55 11 2138-4565 Website: www.fibria.com.br/ir
THANK YOU
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