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03 June 2013

Contents
Introduction .................................................................................................................................3
Value ...........................................................................................................................................4
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................4
RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets ....................................................................................4
How to use the report .................................................................................................................5
Under Valued .....................................................................6
Aerospace & Defence
Under Valued ......................................................................6

Automobiles & Parts


Banks
Beverages

Over Valued .........................................................................................6


Under Valued ..................................................................................6

Under Valued ..................................................................................6


Under Valued ....................................................7
Construction & Building Materials

Chemicals

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Engineering & Machinery
Food & Drug Stores

Under Valued ..................................................7


Over Valued ...............................................................8

Over Valued .......................................................................8


Under Valued ........................................................8

Food Producers & Processors


Over Valued ..............................................................................9
General Retail
Over Valued .........................................................................................9
Heath
Over Valued ..........................................................9
Over Valued ...............................................9

Household Goods & Textiles

Information Technology & Hardware


Under Valued ................................................................................... 10
Insurance
Over Valued ..................................................................... 10
Leisure & Hotels
Life Assurance

Under Valued .................................................................... 10


Under Valued ................................................................ 11

Media & Entertainment


Under Valued ...................................................................................... 11
Mining
Under Valued ................................................................................... 11
Oil & Gas
Personal Care & Household Products

Over Valued .......................................... 12


Under Valued ................................................ 12

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Under Valued ............................................................................... 12
Real Estate
Under Valued .................................................... 13
Software & Computer Services
Speciality & Other Finance
Support Services

Under Valued .......................................................... 13


Under Valued ..................................................................... 14

Under Valued ....................................................... 15


Telecommunication Services
Under
Valued
Transport
................................................................................... 15
Under
Valued
Utilities
....................................................................................... 15

DISCLAIMER ........................................................................................................................... 16
RISK WARNING ...................................................................................................................... 17

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 2 of 17

Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will identify those
shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and information noisy trading
environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically, before the
official open of the London Stock Markets.
Putting aside luck, Intellisys recognises that the timing and value of an investment are the two primary
drivers behind a successful portfolio performance.
Timing
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that influence
investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been established as rules that reflect
market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
Through this discipline, Intellisys has removed the emotional and sentimental factors as well as the daily
pressures exerted upon primary stock promoters (analysts and traders) to find stories for their investment
meetings.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading indicators
appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as well as some 74%
accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%

120.0%

110.0%

110.0%

100.0%

100.0%

90.0%

90.0%

80.0%

80.0%

70.0%

70.0%

60.0%

60.0%

50.0%

50.0%

40.0%

40.0%

30.0%

30.0%

20.0%

20.0%
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell

Trend

Source: Intellisys

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 3 of 17

Value
A similar discipline has been applied to the process of establishing Target Indications. On a daily basis,
Intellisys analyses as broad an array of historic data from not only the Consolidated Income Statement but
also the Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement and then utilises this data within its proprietary valuation
models.
Intellisys architect, Philip Morrish, has successfully applied these disciplines to his investment research for
the last 15+ years. Additionally, these investment valuation techniques lend themselves to accurate crossborder analysis.
The resultant Target is also discounted to a Net Present Value to make the Target as realistically valid as
possible.
Nevertheless, Intellisys recognises that Target Indication delivery is not only a function of market levels but
a management teams ability to establish and maintain a value generating operating environment set
against a constantly changing global background.
The typical investment analysts approach to determining target prices is to start with a modest range of
some 6 8 valuation measures and remove those that are not providing the intuitive result. Intellysis
approach is the opposite we use as many valuation methodologies as possible.
Further, Intellisys recognises that some target Indications may appear strange or extreme. However,
subscribers should not dismiss these outcomes but use them as starting points to challenge their
established or perceived valuation opinion of a stock.
In short, this disciplined approach provides an investment reality check to assist investors from falling in
love with a stock or becoming mesmerised by management cults.
Conclusion
No investment methodology is 100% successful and like all trading and investment systems active position
monitoring is critical for maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommends that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not separate
from subscribers existing investment systems as well as discussing investment options with their financial
advisers.
Philip Morrish (philip.morrish@intellisys.uk.com)

RISK WARNING Ratings and Targets


Intellisys does not make personal recommendations. The information in this publication is provided solely to
enable you to make your own investment decisions. If you are unsure about dealing in shares and other
equity investments, you should contact your financial adviser as these types of investments may not be
suitable for everyone. The value of stocks and shares, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise
and you may not get back the full amount you originally invested. If denominated in a foreign currency,
fluctuations in the exchange rate will also affect the value of stocks and shares and the income from them.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 4 of 17

How to use the report


This daily report is typically available for download as a PDF from 7am - well in advance of the markets
open - and is based upon previous days closing prices.
We have kept the report deliberately simple for quick reading and identification of the shares most likely to
be active as can be seen from the following:

Longer term action based


upon implied target price
Todays action
Sector

Implied target
price based upon
49 valuation
metrics

Closing price

General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS SUSP - 24/09/12
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENCER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERCARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES

Company

Price
29.00
266.70
1136.00
675.00
21.16
6.36
23.50
324.70
0.40
731.00
57.25
269.80
377.90
55.00
212.00
3576.00
951.50
49.25

12M Lo
18.50
222.40
1000.00
375.00
9.36
2.20
19.50
189.00
0.24
570.00
38.00
237.20
302.70
31.25
127.30
2540.00
633.00
21.50

12M Hi
29.50
282.70
1586.00
728.50
21.69
6.55
82.00
342.30
17.00
863.00
110.60
313.80
389.50
55.00
227.00
3644.00
1017.00
51.75

ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral

Latest 12 month Hi/Lo for


the share price

LT Rec
Neutral
Buy
Sell
Sell
Strong Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Buy
Sell
Strong Buy
Strong Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell

Target
30
298
739
268
38
4
112
415
-62
1341
321
365
448
61
97
2798
542
29

Beta
0.72
0.52
1.30
0.97
1.56
0.94
1.05
0.67
0.88
0.47
1.28
0.97
0.74
1.04
0.44
0.72
0.56
1.31

eta measures a shares


volatility/risk relative to
market (see below)

Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility or risk relative to its market. The market has a beta
of 1.0 and individual shares are attributed a beta according to how much they deviate from
the market. This can be summarised as:
eta <1.0

Share should move by less than market (i.e., less risk/lower reward)

eta =1.0

Share should move in line with the market (i.e., market neutral)

eta >1.0

Share should move by more than market (i.e., higher risk/higher reward)

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 5 of 17

Under Valued

Aerospace & Defence


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BAE SYSTEMS

405.10

270.90

427.00

Neutral

Buy

Target
588

Beta
0.67

CHEMRING GROUP

282.40

217.00

414.70

Neutral

Buy

339

0.66

COBHAM

285.80

190.10

293.40

Neutral

Neutral

291

0.82

MEGGITT

532.50

364.30

534.50

Neutral

Neutral

518

1.32

ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS

1205.00

780.75

1225.00

Neutral

Neutral

1174

1.07

SMITHS GROUP

1379.00

979.50

1390.00

Neutral

Sell

1136

0.71

ULTRA ELECTRONICS HDG.

1758.00

1424.00

1843.00

Neutral

Neutral

1673

0.51

Unde r V a lue d

Automobiles & Parts


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GKN

298.90

173.60

311.90

Neutral

Neutral

298

2.02

INCHCAPE

549.00

305.20

577.50

Neutral

Neutral

566

1.48

LOOKERS

103.75

56.50

110.00

Neutral

Neutral

100

1.23

25.50

13.50

26.50

Neutral

Buy

35

1.11

PENDRAGON

Target

Over Valued

Banks
Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

BARCLAYS

320.45

150.55

333.85

Neutral

Sell

-817

1.94

HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)

725.90

503.20

769.90

Neutral

Buy

862

1.17

62.11

25.72

62.96

Sell

Sell

1.89

LLOYDS BANKING GROUP


ROYAL BANK OF SCTL.GP.

336.60

196.60

367.80

Neutral

Sell

-125

1.35

STANDARD CHARTERED

1537.00

1228.50

1837.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3384

1.70

Under Valued

Beverages
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

555.00

348.00

588.50

Neutral

Neutral

588

0.55

DIAGEO

1951.00

1516.50

2085.00

Neutral

Sell

1737

0.55

SABMILLER

3330.00

2348.50

3657.00

Neutral

Buy

3836

0.95

BARR (AG)

Target

Beta

Under Valued

Chemicals
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ALENT

370.60

305.00

397.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3448

#NA

AZ ELECTRONIC MATS.(DI)

320.10

240.00

406.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

494

1.23

CARCLO

370.00

356.00

503.00

Neutral

Sell

121

0.73

2463.00

2125.00

2841.00

Neutral

Buy

3348

1.04

235.20

179.00

275.00

Neutral

Buy

298

0.99
1.45

CRODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY

2561.00

2080.27

2696.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4481

VICTREX

1702.00

1185.00

1765.00

Neutral

Sell

1359

1.14

SYNTHOMER

204.50

127.40

225.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

339

1.16

ZOTEFOAMS

200.00

157.00

225.00

Neutral

Buy

253

1.00

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 6 of 17

Under Valued

Construction & Building Materials


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ALUMASC GROUP

93.00

61.50

104.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

Target
282

Beta
0.51

BALFOUR BEATTY

233.10

207.60

320.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

829

0.80

BARRATT DEVELOPMENTS

319.80

114.00

346.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

626

1.58

BELLWAY

1277.00

693.00

1377.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2869

1.15

BERKELEY GROUP HDG.(THE)

2117.00

1205.00

2207.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3276

0.66

BOOT (HENRY)

189.00

115.50

201.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

407

0.83
1.20

BOVIS HOMES GROUP

751.50

399.30

778.50

Neutral

Buy

1051

CARILLION

256.90

235.50

331.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1564

1.12

CLARKE (T)

54.25

40.00

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

464

0.82

COSTAIN GROUP

255.50

188.00

306.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1067

0.57

1396.00

1052.00

1540.00

Neutral

Sell

869

1.14

GALLIFORD TRY

956.00

583.00

999.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2998

1.01

KELLER

948.00

348.25

978.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2446

1.26

1239.00

1106.00

1408.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5440

0.97

67.00

50.00

76.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.07
1.39

CRH

KIER GROUP
LOW & BONAR
MARSHALLS

141.00

76.00

141.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

417

MORGAN SINDALL GROUP

568.00

508.00

695.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4621

0.87

16.75

10.38

18.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

61

1.15

NORCROS

1220.00

496.69

1280.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1990

1.20

REDROW

PERSIMMON

224.10

107.30

238.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

462

1.09

SIG

176.60

82.30

179.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

539

1.79

1.88

1.88

14.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

37

0.88

SUPERGLASS HOLDINGS

99.15

40.28

103.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

228

1.67

TRAVIS PERKINS

TAYLOR WIMPEY

1611.00

906.50

1611.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4242

2.01

WOLSELEY

3378.00

2121.32

3483.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6124

1.46

Under Valued

Electronics & Electrical Equipment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1294.00

978.00

1365.00

Neutral

Sell

820

0.75

DOMINO PRINTING SCIENCES

680.00

509.00

717.00

Neutral

Buy

892

1.18

E2V TECHNOLOGIES

127.13

105.50

144.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

261

1.29

INVENSYS

397.80

198.90

402.70

Neutral

Sell

351

1.41

LAIRD

210.60

177.00

249.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

328

2.13

OXFORD INSTRUMENTS

1683.00

1135.00

1752.00

Neutral

Sell

1266

1.00

RENISHAW

1750.00

1260.00

2081.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2635

1.26

SPECTRIS

2087.00

1427.00

2470.00

Neutral

Buy

2809

1.52

0.07

0.07

0.13

Neutral

Sell

0.84

TT ELECTRONICS

173.00

114.00

178.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

319

1.58

XAAR

652.00

185.00

695.00

Neutral

Sell

236

1.11

DIALIGHT

BIOME TECHNOLOGIES

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 7 of 17

Over Valued

Engineering & Machinery


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AGA RANGEMASTER GROUP

83.38

54.25

91.75

Neutral

Buy

125

1.28

BODYCOTE

550.00

310.30

563.00

Neutral

Buy

656

1.60

CASTINGS

339.00

277.75

358.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

651

0.99

VESUVIUS

380.60

263.19

402.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

975

2.20

FENNER

345.00

329.30

435.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

532

1.42

HALMA

517.00

375.00

538.50

Neutral

Sell

370

0.75

HILL & SMITH

434.00

297.00

480.00

Neutral

Sell

353

1.37

1293.00

776.00

1359.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6355

1.41

293.00

220.30

305.00

Neutral

Sell

146

1.82

2860.00

1859.00

3037.00

Neutral

Sell

1437

1.00

274.40

177.00

280.80

Neutral

Sell

238

1.64
0.79

IMI
MORGAN ADVANCED MATERIAL
ROTORK
SENIOR
SEVERFIELD-ROWEN

Target

Beta

50.13

35.40

89.40

Neutral

Sell

39

SPIRAX-SARCO

2835.00

1900.00

2923.00

Neutral

Sell

2040

0.84

VITEC GROUP

604.00

586.50

740.00

Neutral

Sell

430

1.39

WEIR GROUP

2331.00

1397.00

2474.00

Neutral

Sell

2123

1.38

Over Valued

Food & Drug Stores


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GREGGS

407.20

398.00

523.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

700

0.47

MORRISON(WM)SPMKTS.

273.80

248.60

296.40

Neutral

Sell

162

0.39

SAINSBURY (J)

374.30

283.50

396.50

Neutral

Sell

195

0.57

TESCO

365.45

299.25

387.75

Neutral

Sell

260

0.68

94.63

18.88

100.50

Neutral

Sell

67

0.84

THORNTONS

Beta

Under Valued

Food Producers & Processors


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ASSOCIATED BRIT.FOODS

1812.00

1167.00

2031.00

Neutral

Buy

2106

0.62

CRANSWICK

1127.00

732.50

1127.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2079

0.43

DAIRY CREST

486.30

316.00

503.50

Neutral

Neutral

508

0.94

DEVRO

325.00

278.00

380.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

513

0.32

72.00

54.50

125.75

Neutral

Sell

-177

1.25

PREMIER FOODS
TATE & LYLE
UNILEVER (UK)

816.50

633.50

875.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1546

0.71

2775.00

2013.00

2885.00

Neutral

Neutral

2750

0.58

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 8 of 17

Over Valued

General Retail
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS

29.00

20.50

29.50

Neutral

Buy

34

0.69

458.50

224.40

465.60

Neutral

Sell

346

0.54

1453.00

1000.00

1541.00

Neutral

Sell

944

1.27

612.00

585.00

728.50

Neutral

Sell

281

0.95

41.52

12.67

42.90

Neutral

Neutral

44

1.51

164.00

55.20

186.00

Neutral

Sell

58

1.13

32.50

19.50

34.00

Sell

Strong Buy

105

0.99

HALFORDS GROUP

329.00

189.00

405.20

Neutral

Buy

490

0.68

JD SPORTS FASHION

911.50

606.50

911.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1504

0.53

BROWN (N) GROUP


BURBERRY GROUP
CARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENCH CONNECTN.GROUP

DARTY

Target

Beta

71.25

38.00

72.50

Neutral

Buy

102

1.25

KINGFISHER

345.60

254.10

349.70

Neutral

Neutral

363

0.94

MARKS & SPENCER GROUP

470.90

312.20

485.00

Neutral

Neutral

512

0.65

55.50

43.00

71.00

Neutral

Buy

62

1.04

349.75

189.25

364.00

Neutral

Buy

442

0.47

NEXT

4619.00

2991.00

4749.00

Sell

Neutral

4511

0.67

TED BAKER

1425.00

855.00

1490.00

Neutral

Sell

642

0.55

68.50

38.00

70.00

Neutral

Sell

53

1.50

MOSS BROTHERS GROUP


MOTHERCARE

TOPPS TILES

Over Valued

Heath
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIOQUELL

141.00

126.50

160.00

Neutral

Sell

Target
117

0.46

CONSORT MEDICAL

792.00

585.00

831.50

Neutral

Sell

575

0.39

OPTOS

126.37

122.25

222.75

Neutral

Buy

158

1.18

SMITH & NEPHEW

771.50

590.50

794.50

Neutral

Sell

698

0.43

Over Valued

Household Goods & Textiles


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

GAMES WORKSHOP

717.50

562.50

742.00

Neutral

Neutral

698

0.44

HEADLAM GROUP

375.00

263.00

375.00

Neutral

Sell

317

0.92

77.00

55.25

88.50

Neutral

Buy

108

0.77

HORNBY

Target

Over Valued

Information Technology & Hardware


Stock

Beta

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ARM HOLDINGS

988.00

469.00

1097.00

Neutral

Sell

501

0.74

CSR

552.00

200.30

570.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1589

1.18

FILTRONIC
IMAGINATION TECHNOLOGIES

Target

Beta

62.00

25.00

83.25

Neutral

Sell

26

0.90

351.40

296.00

624.00

Neutral

Neutral

381

1.08

SPIRENT COMMUNICATIONS

134.10

122.00

170.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

484

0.94

WOLFSON MICROELECTRONICS

213.50

170.00

230.00

Neutral

Sell

-650

0.90

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 9 of 17

Under Valued

Insurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1338.00

1019.00

1374.00

Neutral

Sell

-497

0.53

AMLIN

417.30

312.90

435.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1576

0.46

BEAZLEY

236.20

132.50

241.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

978

0.60

CATLIN GROUP

503.00

399.00

552.50

Neutral

Sell

464

0.30

HISCOX

554.50

398.36

600.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1957

0.48

JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON

888.00

671.00

914.50

Neutral

Buy

1252

0.31

RSA INSURANCE GROUP

115.20

97.65

136.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

747

0.41

NOVAE GROUP

494.25

345.00

507.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3527

0.48

ADMIRAL GROUP

Over Valued

Leisure & Hotels


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

2245.00

2062.00

2628.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4126

1.01

ENTERPRISE INNS

113.10

55.50

123.80

Neutral

Neutral

112

1.61

TUI TRAVEL

358.50

158.00

373.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

799

1.01

FULLER SMITH 'A'

855.00

700.00

855.00

Neutral

Sell

696

0.39

GREENE KING

764.00

478.20

789.50

Neutral

Sell

671

0.93

LADBROKES

206.80

152.70

243.10

Neutral

Buy

259

0.93

1907.00

1471.72

2039.00

Neutral

Sell

1517

1.18

CARNIVAL

ICTL.HTLS.GP.
MILLENNIUM & CPTH.HTLS.

560.00

455.40

582.50

Neutral

Buy

635

1.40

MITCHELLS & BUTLERS

380.00

217.40

408.50

Neutral

Sell

328

1.12

BWIN PARTY DIGITAL ENTM.

128.50

91.90

156.00

Neutral

Sell

43

1.25

13.25

5.61

13.75

Neutral

Strong Buy

53

1.27

148.80

115.00

177.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

517

1.00
0.76

PUNCH TAVERNS
RANK GROUP
RESTAURANT GROUP

518.50

280.80

531.00

Neutral

Sell

403

WETHERSPOON (JD)

658.50

385.00

661.50

Neutral

Buy

764

0.69

WHITBREAD

2883.00

1824.00

2897.00

Sell

Sell

2051

0.99

WILLIAM HILL

442.70

246.35

452.80

Neutral

Sell

264

0.87

MARSTON'S

143.00

94.70

154.70

Neutral

Sell

19

1.21

Under Valued

Life Assurance
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

AVIVA

333.80

255.30

388.40

Neutral

Neutral

325

1.25

CHESNARA

256.25

155.25

270.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

476

0.70

LEGAL & GENERAL

179.00

106.00

187.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

454

1.71

OLD MUTUAL

205.40

138.70

221.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

397

1.57

PRUDENTIAL

1117.00

660.00

1203.00

Neutral

Neutral

1141

1.71

587.50

307.50

640.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

6508

0.85

ST.JAMES'S PLACE

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 10 of 17

Under Valued

Media & Entertainment


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BLOOMSBURY PBL.

130.00

102.00

146.50

Neutral

Sell

-661

0.37

BRITISH SKY BCAST.GROUP

780.50

656.00

899.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1787

0.54

CENTAUR MEDIA

Target

Beta

33.75

28.50

60.00

Neutral

Sell

-22

1.03

DAILY MAIL 'A'

765.00

363.50

770.00

Sell

Strong Buy

4291

1.14

EUROMONEY INSTL.INVESTOR

942.00

708.00

1030.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7876

1.00

INFORMA

508.00

340.00

537.00

Neutral

Sell

-64

1.53

ITE GROUP

293.60

180.00

299.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

284

1.45

ITV

131.10

69.45

134.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

1335

1.54

17.25

4.88

19.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

822

1.27

1229.00

1119.00

1294.00

Neutral

Buy

354

0.63

80.00

36.25

84.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2754

0.79

274.25

265.00

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

949

0.16

34.50

26.85

36.45

Neutral

Sell

-647

0.50

STV GROUP

135.50

81.50

146.88

Neutral

Sell

274

0.79

ST.IVES

161.00

67.50

166.50

Neutral

Sell

259

1.50

TRINITY MIRROR

122.00

25.50

122.25

Neutral

Sell

-302

1.59

UBM

728.50

511.00

788.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1961

1.31
0.84

JOHNSTON PRESS
PEARSON
PHOTO-ME INTL.
PINEWOOD SHEPPERTON
THOMSON REUTERS

WILMINGTON GROUP

163.50

82.00

164.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1416

WPP

1128.00

743.00

1190.00

Neutral

Sell

-540

1.35

HIBU

0.35

0.26

2.18

Neutral

Strong Buy

847

1.07

Under Valued

Mining
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

1526.50

1526.50

2215.00

Neutral

Sell

1192

1.74

ANGLO PACIFIC GROUP

245.75

215.00

290.00

Neutral

Neutral

236

0.96

ANTOFAGASTA

945.50

884.00

1381.00

Neutral

Sell

857

1.41

1915.50

1694.50

2236.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2959

1.43

GLENCORE XSTRATA

323.10

293.55

397.85

Buy

Strong Buy

994

#NA

LONMIN

295.00

240.84

421.26

Neutral

Buy

357

2.03

RANDGOLD RESOURCES

5230.00

4545.00

7775.00

Neutral

Sell

3044

0.34

RIO TINTO

2857.00

2715.50

3757.00

Neutral

Sell

2330

1.50

3.38

10.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

168

0.89

832.50

1335.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2128

2.20

ANGLO AMERICAN

BHP BILLITON

COALFIELD RESOURCES
VEDANTA RESOURCES

1262.00

Under Valued

Oil & Gas


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

1213.00

1000.50

1350.50

Neutral

Sell

896

0.80

BP

473.45

401.60

483.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

1008

1.03

CAIRN ENERGY

273.10

248.20

309.40

Buy

Sell

-21

1.32

7.97

7.66

12.50

Neutral

Buy

11

0.82

869.00

688.00

941.00

Neutral

Sell

573

1.31
1.36

BG GROUP

FORTUNE OIL
HUNTING
JKX OIL & GAS
PREMIER OIL
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL B
SOCO INTERNATIONAL
TULLOW OIL
WOOD GROUP (JOHN)

Beta

60.75

55.00

120.00

Neutral

Sell

-60

359.90

321.30

401.20

Neutral

Buy

409

1.43

2280.50

2068.00

2366.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

8361

0.84

386.10

276.50

404.30

Neutral

Buy

496

0.53

1045.00

977.00

1531.00

Neutral

Sell

706

1.04

851.50

651.50

879.50

Neutral

Sell

738

1.35

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 11 of 17

Over Valued

Personal Care & Household Products


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

MCBRIDE

103.00

101.00

144.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

237

0.84

PZ CUSSONS

373.70

297.20

415.60

Neutral

Sell

305

0.69

4722.00

3300.00

4926.00

Neutral

Neutral

4765

0.36

RECKITT BENCKISER GROUP

Beta

Under Valued

Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology


Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

0.41

0.36

3.58

Buy

Sell

-1

1.01

3388.00

2592.00

3521.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

6511

0.47

BTG

359.50

300.30

423.00

Neutral

Sell

169

0.58

DECHRA PHARMACEUTICALS

684.00

469.50

780.00

Neutral

Neutral

746

0.25

1713.50

1317.50

1782.00

Neutral

Neutral

1691

0.49

OXFORD BIOMEDICA

2.30

1.55

2.88

Buy

Sell

0.64

PHYTOPHARM SUSP - 21/05/13

1.33

1.05

12.75

Buy

Strong Buy

0.95

2170.00

1727.00

2213.00

Neutral

Sell

1448

0.66

ARK THERAPEUTICS GP.


ASTRAZENECA

GLAXOSMITHKLINE

SHIRE

Target

Beta

SKYEPHARMA

50.00

43.50

101.50

Neutral

Sell

32

0.73

VERNALIS

22.38

21.75

27.38

Neutral

Sell

10

0.91

Under Valued

Real Estate
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BIG YELLOW GROUP

413.60

276.30

426.70

Neutral

Sell

-661

1.18

BRITISH LAND

609.00

475.40

658.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1787

1.06

CAPITAL & REGIONAL

Target

Beta

35.50

22.75

37.00

Sell

Sell

-22

0.85

970.00

595.00

995.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

4291

0.70

DERWENT LONDON

2388.00

1740.00

2542.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

7876

1.24

DEVELOPMENT SECS.

203.00

121.75

203.00

Neutral

Sell

-64

0.99

GRAINGER

154.50

83.10

157.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

284

1.58

CLS HOLDINGS

GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES

554.00

367.80

598.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1335

1.10

HAMMERSON

513.00

409.20

554.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

822

1.19

HELICAL BAR

265.00

173.00

297.50

Neutral

Buy

354

0.77

LAND SECURITIES GROUP

933.50

706.00

994.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2754

1.16

INTU PROPERTIES

338.90

305.00

366.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

949

1.09

MCKAY SECURITIES

153.88

127.00

153.88

Neutral

Sell

-647

0.73

MUCKLOW (A & J) GROUP

397.50

325.00

437.50

Neutral

Sell

274

0.42

PRIMARY HEALTH PROPS.

322.00

311.17

363.53

Neutral

Sell

259

0.35

75.00

32.50

79.25

Sell

Sell

-302

1.19

SAVILLS

593.50

315.80

601.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1961

0.77

SHAFTESBURY

615.50

492.00

668.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1416

1.05

SEGRO

279.40

209.40

302.80

Neutral

Sell

-540

1.73

ST MODWEN PROPS.

288.00

145.50

329.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

847

1.59

QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.

TOWN CENTRE SECURITIES

212.50

147.00

223.00

Neutral

Sell

1.01

UNITE GROUP

361.20

180.75

387.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2293

1.79

WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPACE GROUP

1.41

1.00

2.75

Sell

Sell

-1147

1.03

402.40

220.00

418.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1354

1.05

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 12 of 17

Under Valued

Software & Computer Services


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

ANITE

128.70

112.25

162.00

Neutral

Neutral

127

0.73

2418.00

1550.00

2420.00

Neutral

Sell

1366

1.40

AVEVA GROUP

Target

Beta

COMPUTACENTER

462.70

292.40

567.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1346

1.00

KOFAX

330.00

242.00

335.00

Neutral

Neutral

336

1.11

27.50

18.25

27.50

Sell

Sell

25

0.85

MICRO FOCUS INTL.

686.00

431.48

710.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1036

0.76

PHOENIX IT GROUP

152.37

130.00

222.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

323

0.74

68.75

68.00

85.50

Neutral

Sell

-98

0.52

1951.00

1275.00

2047.00

Neutral

Buy

2192

0.76

365.10

247.70

368.10

Neutral

Buy

435

0.72

INNOVATION GROUP

RM
FIDESSA GROUP
SAGE GROUP

Under Valued

Speciality & Other Finance


Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ABERDEEN ASSET MAN.

466.00

237.30

492.10

Neutral

Strong Buy

1288

1.09

BREWIN DOLPHIN

244.70

136.30

244.70

Sell

Strong Buy

679

0.73

9815.00

9250.00

11105.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

98539

0.84

CAMELLIA
CHARLES STANLEY GROUP

385.00

247.50

406.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

1334

0.97

CHARLES TAYLOR

187.00

141.00

190.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1183

0.69

CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP

992.00

673.50

1107.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5215

0.86

F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT

96.35

71.50

110.40

Neutral

Sell

75

0.89

3.10

0.55

3.70

Neutral

Sell

-124

0.69

HENDERSON GROUP

168.20

90.55

180.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

812

1.44

HELPHIRE GROUP
ICAP

367.50

280.80

376.60

Neutral

Strong Buy

1833

1.07

INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GP.

468.00

241.10

501.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3383

1.70

INVESTEC

465.20

326.50

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1842

1.56

1406.00

930.00

1434.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3524

1.15

115.50

63.25

134.40

Neutral

Sell

-4464

1.32

RATHBONE BROTHERS

1550.00

1186.00

1557.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

5695

0.75

SCHRODERS

2368.00

1180.00

2560.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

8620

1.30

SCHRODERS NV

1840.00

966.00

2000.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

11431

1.27

LONDON STOCK EX.GROUP


MAN GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 13 of 17

Under Valued

Support Services
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

Target

Beta

ACAL

221.50

157.75

242.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1292

0.92

AGGREKO

1787.00

1557.00

2400.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3503

1.05

AMEC

1025.00

923.00

1172.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

3434

1.04

631.00

212.20

671.00

Neutral

Buy

920

1.63

1160.00

840.50

1205.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2315

0.48

555.00

324.00

580.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

2068

0.76

1284.00

999.50

1342.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2912

0.55

UK MAIL GROUP

507.50

214.00

525.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1495

0.39

CAPITA

962.00

605.50

1018.00

Neutral

Sell

239

0.51

ASHTEAD GROUP
BABCOCK INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL

COMMUNISIS

54.50

25.34

56.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

493

0.78

COMPASS GROUP

866.50

622.00

910.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2055

0.74

BERENDSEN

763.50

462.00

812.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2960

1.05

DE LA RUE

955.00

891.50

1075.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1827

#NA

DIGNITY

1353.00

803.50

1462.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2134

0.22

DIPLOMA

532.00

417.10

627.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1429

0.96

ELECTROCOMP.

269.30

195.20

278.40

Neutral

Strong Buy

1083

1.04

FILTRONA

697.50

428.00

750.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1339

1.13

G4S

246.60

240.00

313.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

937

0.58

HAYS

93.90

66.40

101.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

440

1.10

HOMESERVE

264.70

137.50

265.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1285

0.94

INTERSERVE

488.40

296.00

513.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

3460

1.28

3215.00

2558.00

3453.00

Neutral

Buy

4618

0.78

47.00

26.50

47.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

362

1.17
0.72

INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVICE GROUP
MANAGEMENT CNSL.GP.

30.38

21.25

32.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

220

MENZIES (JOHN)

727.00

542.00

801.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

2256

1.43

MICHAEL PAGE INTL.

384.80

341.40

451.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

843

1.42

MITIE GROUP

259.90

253.90

300.80

Neutral

Strong Buy

1318

0.55

86.00

86.00

156.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

735

0.33

OFFICE2OFFICE
PAYPOINT

970.00

642.00

970.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1779

0.71

PREMIER FARNELL

213.10

153.20

236.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

787

1.33

REGUS

167.80

82.65

177.50

Neutral

Sell

67

1.46

90.90

69.40

100.70

Neutral

Strong Buy

325

1.25

REXAM

530.00

395.69

547.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

1805

0.90

RICARDO

404.00

304.50

431.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1678

0.86

ROBERT WALTERS

232.00

176.25

233.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1188

1.24

RPC GROUP

401.30

365.40

477.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

1903

0.78

RPS GROUP

210.00

197.00

274.20

Neutral

Strong Buy

1070

1.51

SERCO GROUP

612.00

516.50

647.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

2419

0.60

SHANKS GROUP

86.50

73.00

98.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

717

1.46

RENTOKIL INITIAL

SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG

57.25

22.25

61.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

263

1.26

165.00

82.00

166.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

562

0.63

57.00

39.50

59.25

Neutral

Strong Buy

340

0.93

348.00

245.50

354.88

Neutral

Strong Buy

2091

0.86

81.00

42.00

81.00

Sell

Strong Buy

540

0.79

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 14 of 17

Under Valued

Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
CABLE & WIRELESS COMMS.
INMARSAT
KCOM GROUP
TELECOM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

302.10

200.70

322.30

Neutral

Buy

359

0.91

43.48

27.30

46.29

Neutral

Strong Buy

89

0.70

613.00

436.00

749.00

Neutral

Sell

483

0.53

83.85

67.00

88.30

Neutral

Strong Buy

139

1.24

1325.00

735.00

1325.00

Sell

Sell

778

0.09

191.95

154.45

199.90

Neutral

Neutral

183

0.54

Beta

Under Valued

Transport
Stock

Target

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

BBA AVIATION

280.40

178.00

288.40

Neutral

Sell

Target
184

Beta
1.30

BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.

429.75

309.50

429.75

Neutral

Neutral

467

0.98

CLARKSON

1716.00

1150.00

1716.00

Sell

Sell

1196

0.80

EASYJET

1266.00

484.90

1300.00

Neutral

Sell

709

0.77

FIRST GROUP

124.90

118.00

260.50

Neutral

Strong Buy

591

0.91

FISHER(JAMES)& SONS

975.50

545.00

1110.00

Neutral

Sell

425

0.77

GO-AHEAD GROUP

1537.00

1110.00

1588.00

Neutral

Buy

1898

0.90

NATIONAL EXPRESS

200.90

164.50

230.50

Neutral

Buy

266

1.35
1.41

NORTHGATE

340.75

159.60

350.00

Neutral

Strong Buy

710

STAGECOACH GROUP

295.80

230.40

319.60

Neutral

Buy

386

0.89

71.00

31.00

78.50

Sell

Sell

-46

0.90

WINCANTON

Under Valued

Utilities
Stock

Price

12M Lo

12M Hi

ST Rec

LT Rec

CENTRICA

380.00

306.30

394.90

Neutral

Strong Buy

597

0.47

NATIONAL GRID

784.50

641.00

847.50

Neutral

Buy

901

0.50

PENNON GROUP

683.50

598.00

796.00

Neutral

Buy

822

0.59

SSE

1554.00

1294.00

1676.00

Neutral

Buy

2201

0.42

SEVERN TRENT

2052.00

1513.00

2090.00

Neutral

Sell

1613

0.35

756.00

646.00

787.50

Neutral

Neutral

733

0.50

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP

Intellisys Intelligent Analysis Limited

www.intellisys.uk.com

Target

Beta

03 June 2013
+44 20 3239 8994

Page 15 of 17

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