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PENNSYLVANIA STATEWIDE

May 3-4, 2009 N=700 Likely Voters + N=179 Additional Republicans


Project: #09154 Margin of Error (700) = +3.7% / (450) = +4.62%

CORE: N=700 Likely Voters Statewide


GOP: N=450 GOP Voters Statewide
(N=271 from CORE & N=179 Oversample)

C. And, even though the 2010 election for United States Senator, Governor and Congress is a long
ways off, how interested are you in voting in that election?

CORE GOP
77% 81% VERY LIKELY
23% 19% SOMEW HAT LIKELY

Now, before we begin, just to be sure we hav e a representative sample...

D. In what year were you born?

CORE GOP
3% 2% 18 - 24
13% 7% 25 - 34
29% 17% 35 - 44
16% 21% 45 - 54
17% 23% 55 - 64
21% 30% 65 AND ABOVE

1% * REFUSED
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May 3-4, 2009

E. Now , regardless of your present feelings about politics and current events, do the voter
registration records cu rrently show y ou to be reg istered as...

a Republican,
a Democrat,
...or something else?

CORE GOP
22% 59% STRONG REPUBLICAN
15% 41% NOT-SO-STRONG REPUBLICAN

2% -- LEAN REPUBLICAN
5% -- SOMETHING ELSE/INDEPENDENT
3% -- LEAN DEMOCRATIC

17% -- NOT-SO-STRONG DEMOCR AT


34% -- STRONG DEMOCR AT

2% -- REFUSED

37% 100% TOTAL REPUBLICAN


51% – TOTAL DEMOCRAT
10% – TOTAL LEAN/INDEPENDENT

1. Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right
direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?

CORE GOP
50% 23% RIGHT DIRECTION
44% 68% WRONG TRACK

5% 7% D ON ’T KN OW
2% 2% REFUSED
09154 PA Statewide Page 3
May 3-4, 2009

And, thinking about things in Washington ...

2. Do you approve or disap prove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?

CORE GOP
41% 14% STRONGLY APPROVE
25% 22% SOMEWHAT APPROVE
11% 18% SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE
20% 40% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

2% 4% D ON ’T KN OW
1% 1% REFUSED

65% 36% TOTAL APPROVE


31% 59% TOTAL DISAPPROVE

Now, I w ould like to read you some nam es of different people active in politics. For each one, please tell
me, first whether you've heard of the person; then, if so, please tell me whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. If I name someone you don't know too much about, just tell me
and we'll go on to the next one.

TOT TOT VERY SMWT SMWT VERY NO NVR DK/


FAV UNFAV FAV FAV UNFAV UNFAV OPIN HRD REF

3. Arlen Specter
CORE 50% 40% 22% 29% 12% 28% 6% 3% --
GOP 30% 65% 14% 16% 15% 50% 4% 1% --

4. Pat Toomey
CORE 29% 13% 9% 20% 7% 6% 26% 32% 1%
GOP 42% 8% 19% 22% 6% 2% 27% 23% *

5. Tom Ridge
CORE 67% 18% 29% 38% 11% 7% 9% 6% *
GOP 80% 8% 41% 39% 5% 3% 9% 3% *

6. Peg Luksik
CORE 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 12% 79% 1%
GOP 9% 2% 2% 7% 2% * 17% 71% 1%

7. Joe Sestak, U.S. Congressman from Delaware and C hester Counties (CORE ONLY)
CORE 15% 3% 5% 10% 2% 1% 15% 66% 1%
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May 3-4, 2009

Thinkin g ahead to next year’s Rep ublican primary election for United States Sen ator...
If that election were being held today...
GOP ONLY
8. For whom would y ou vote if the candidates were...

Pat Toomey
Tom Ridge ...and...
Peg Luksik

10% DEFINITELY TOOMEY


11% PROBABLY TOOM EY

30% DEFINITELY RIDGE


29% PROBABLY RIDGE

1% DE FINITELY LUKSIK
2% PROB AB LY LUKSIK

1% LEAN TOOMEY
3% LEAN RIDGE
* LEAN LUKSIK
13% HARD UNDECIDED

* REFUSED

21% TOTAL TOOMEY


59% TOTAL RIDGE
2% TOTAL LUK SIK
17% TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED
09154 PA Statewide Page 5
May 3-4, 2009

GOP ONLY
9. And, for whom would y ou vote if the candidates were...

Pat Toomey
... and ...
Tom Ridge

10% DEFINITELY TOOMEY


12% PROBABLY TOOM EY

1% LEAN TOOMEY
12% HARD UNDECIDED/NOT SURE
4% LEAN RIDGE

28% PROBABLY RIDGE


33% DEFINITELY RIDGE

1% REFUSED

23% TOTAL TOOMEY


60% TOTAL RIDGE
16% TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED
09154 PA Statewide Page 6
May 3-4, 2009

DEM FROM COR E ON LY (N=357)


Thinkin g ahead to next year’s Democratic primary election for United States Senator...
If that election were being held today...
10. For whom would y ou vote between...

Arlen Specter
... and ...
Joe Sestak

32% DEFINITELY SPECTER


25% PROBABLY SPECTER

5% LEAN SPECTER
14% HARD UNDECIDED/NOT SURE
4% LEAN SESTAK

12% PROBABLY SESTAK


8% DEFINITELY SESTAK

1% REFUSED

57% TOTAL SPECTER


20% TOTAL SESTAK
22% TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED
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May 3-4, 2009

Now, lookin g ahead to the 2010 general election...


If the election for United States Sen ator w ere being held today...

CORE ONLY
11. And, for whom would y ou vote for U.S. Senator if the candidates were...

Pat Toomey, Repub lican


... and ...
Arlen Specter, Democrat

28% DEFINITELY TOOMEY


12% PROBABLY TOOM EY

2% LEAN TOOMEY
6% HARD UNDECIDED/NOT SURE
2% LEAN SPECTER

20% PROBABLY SPECTER


29% DEFINITELY SPECTER

1% REFUSED

40% TOTAL TOOMEY


49% TOTAL SPECTER
10% TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED
09154 PA Statewide Page 8
May 3-4, 2009

CORE ONLY
12. And, for whom would y ou vote for U.S. Senator if the candidates were...

Tom R idge, Republican


... and ...
Arlen Sp ecter, D emocrat?

35% DEFINITELY RIDGE


13% PROBABLY RIDGE

2% LEAN RIDGE
6% HARD UNDECIDED/NOT SURE
3% LEAN SPECTER

15% PROBABLY SPECTER


26% DEFINITELY SPECTER

1% REFUSED

48% TOTAL RIDGE


41% TOTAL SPECTER
10% TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED
09154 PA Statewide Page 9
May 3-4, 2009

Now, I have just a few m ore questions for statistical purp oses only ...
13. And, thinking a little about y our political attitudes... Do you consider yourself to be...

Conservative
Moderate
...OR ...
Liberal

CORE GOP
18% 32% VERY CONSERVATIVE
20% 27% SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE
40% 34% MODERATE
11% 5% SOMEWHAT LIBERAL
8% 1% VERY LIBERAL

2% 2% NOT SURE
* -- REFUSED

38% 59% TOTAL CONSERVATIVE


59% 39% TOTAL MODERATE/LIBERAL

14. Other than being an American, what is your main racial or ethnic heritage?

CORE GOP
82% 96% CAUCASIAN OR WHITE
13% 1% AFRICAN-AMERICAN OR BLACK
1% 1% HISPANIC
1% 2% ASIAN
1% * OTHER
2% 1% REFUSED
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May 3-4, 2009

15. Regardless of how you may feel today...for which of the following candidates did you vote for
President...

CORE GOP
41% 73% John M cCain
52% 20% Barack Obama
1% 1% Ralph Nader
...OR ...
1% 1% Bob Barr

* * SOMEONE ELSE
2% 2% DID NOT VOTE
1% 1% DON’T KNOW/DON’T RECALL
2% 2% REFUSED

16. Gender. Are you employed outside of the home, are you a homemaker, or are you retired?

CORE GOP
31% 32% MALE/EMPLOYED
* * MALE/HOMEM AKER
13% 14% MALE/RETIRED
3% 3% MALE/NOT IN LABOR FORCE

27% 25% FEMALE/EMPLOYED


10% 8% FEMALE/HOMEMA KER
12% 16% FEMALE/RETIRED
3% 1% FEMALE/NOT IN LABOR FORCE

* -- MALE REFUSED

* * FEMALE REFUSED

48% 50% TOTAL MALE


52% 50% TOTAL FEMALE

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