Maurice Carroll, Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 582-5334 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 19, 2013

BIG RACIAL GAP IN DE BLASIO BLOWOUT IN NEW YORK CITY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; DEM TIES LHOTA ON TAXES AND LEADS EVERY OTHER MEASURE
There are yawning racial gaps on many issues as Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, the Democratic candidate for New York City mayor, leads Republican candidate Joe Lhota on every measure except taxes and has a commanding 66 25 percent lead among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll completed last night and released today. Independence Party candidate Adolfo Carrion gets 2 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. De Blasio leads 52 40 percent among white voters, 90 3 percent among black voters and 68 18 percent among Hispanic voters. He leads 63 29 percent among men and 69 21 percent among women and has leads of 30 percent or higher among every income, education and age group. Lhotas only lead is among Republicans, 79 15 percent, while de Blasio leads 82 11 percent among Democrats and 53 36 percent among independent voters. Taxes is the only issue or character measure on which the candidates are close: If de Blasio wins, taxes will go up, 36 percent of voters say, while 6 percent say they will go down and 46 percent say they will be the same. If Lhota wins, taxes will go up, 36 percent of voters say, while 5 percent say they will go down and 44 percent say they will be the same. The same kind of coalition that won Public Advocate Bill de Blasio the Democratic primary is working for him in the general election campaign, said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Hes OK among white voters and gang-busters among black and Hispanic voters. In these opening days of the campaign, Independence Party candidate Adolfo Carrion is no more than a footnote. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/September 19, 2013 page 2 New York City likely voters have a 63 - 21 percent favorable opinion of de Blasio. Lhota gets a negative 30 35 percent favorability and 32 percent havent heard enough about him to form an opinion. For Carrion, 78 percent dont know enough to form an opinion. Republican candidate Joe Lhotas first job is to simply tell people who he is. About one third of voters dont know enough to say if they like him or not, Carroll said. Voters give Mayor Michael Bloomberg a 46 45 percent approval rating and say 61 30 percent that the city needs to take a new direction from Mike Bloomberg. There are wide racial gaps as white voters approve of Bloomberg 60 34 percent, while disapproval is 63 25 percent among black voters and 50 43 percent among Hispanic voters. Fifty percent of white voters want a new direction, compared to 77 percent of black voters and 68 percent of Hispanic voters. Looking at de Blasios qualities, New York City likely voters say: 64 16 percent that hes honest and trustworthy; 65 24 percent that he has the right kind of experience to be mayor; 67 23 percent that he understands their problems; 67 18 percent that he has strong leadership qualities. Looking at Lhotas qualities, voters say: 39 29 percent that hes honest and trustworthy; 47 35 percent that he has the right kind of experience to be mayor; 51 30 percent that he does not understand their problems; 47 28 percent that he has strong leadership qualities. Voters say 50 27 percent that de Blasio would do a better job than Lhota keeping them safe and say 61 17 percent that the Democrat would do a better job improving public schools. Stop and frisk is excessive and harasses innocent people, 55 percent of voters say, while 39 percent say it is an acceptable way to make New York City safer. Again, there is a huge racial divide on this question. The New York Police Department has treated Muslims appropriately, 50 percent of voters say, while 33 percent say police have unfairly targeted Muslims. From September 15 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 891 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, Joe Lhota the Republican, and Adolfo Carrion, the Independence Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward de Blasio, Lhota, or Carrion? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio Lhota Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA 66% 25 2 1 6 15% 79 1 5 82% 11 2 1 4 53% 36 3 8 63% 29 2 1 5 69% 21 2 1 8 52% 40 1 1 6 90% 3 1 6 68% 18 7 1 6

COLLEGE DEG Yes No de Blasio Lhota Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA 67% 24 2 7 66% 25 2 1 6

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 70% 20 2 1 6 74% 21 3 2 63% 31 1 1 4

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 69% 26 2 3 71% 23 1 1 3 65% 24 2 8

DIRECTION Q14 New Same de Blasio Lhota Carrion SMONE ELSE(VOL) DK/NA 79% 15 1 1 4 40% 47 3 1 8

STOP AND FRISK Q20 Excssv Accptbl 84% 8 1 6 43% 48 3 1 5

2. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 63% 21 14 2 23% 64 13 75% 11 12 2 51% 29 19 1 62% 25 12 1 64% 17 16 3 51% 35 12 1 84% 5 7 4 52% 11 32 5

3. Is your opinion of Joe Lhota favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30% 35 32 3 74% 12 14 18% 43 36 4 42% 27 30 1 33% 39 26 2 28% 32 37 4 47% 32 19 2 13% 44 41 2 14% 31 50 5

4. Is your opinion of Adolfo Carrion favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 9% 10 78 3 8% 11 79 2 11% 10 76 3 4% 9 86 1 10% 11 77 3 9% 9 79 3 7% 8 84 2 10% 10 77 3 14% 12 69 6

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve Disapprove DK/NA 46% 45 8 58% 41 1 42% 49 8 52% 39 9 49% 42 9 45% 48 7 60% 34 6 25% 63 12 43% 50 7

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Approve Disapprove DK/NA 53% 40 7 41% 50 9

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 35% 56 9 43% 48 9 63% 34 3

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 46% 53 1 44% 50 6 51% 38 11

6. (INTRO Q6-13: Now, I'd like to ask whether you think each of these qualities describes each candidate in the election for mayor.) Would you say that Bill de Blasio - is honest and trustworthy or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 64% 16 20 37% 50 13 73% 9 18 54% 22 24 66% 19 16 63% 15 23 65% 22 13 72% 10 19 57% 12 32

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 67% 16 17 61% 17 22

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 64% 14 22 72% 15 13 67% 20 14

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 68% 14 18 62% 19 19 66% 15 18

7. Do you think Bill de Blasio - has the right kind of experience to be Mayor of New York City or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 65% 24 12 39% 57 3 74% 15 11 53% 33 14 66% 26 9 64% 22 14 56% 37 7 80% 8 12 72% 13 15

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 61% 27 11 67% 21 12

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 74% 17 10 68% 22 10 60% 32 8

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 75% 17 8 66% 23 10 62% 25 13

8. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - understands the problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 67% 23 10 29% 65 6 78% 11 11 58% 38 5 66% 26 8 68% 21 11 60% 36 5 81% 9 9 67% 14 19

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 68% 24 8 66% 22 11

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 73% 17 9 72% 21 7 65% 31 4

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 74% 20 7 71% 20 9 67% 24 9

9. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - has strong leadership qualities or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 67% 18 14 41% 46 13 78% 10 12 56% 28 15 65% 22 12 69% 15 16 57% 29 14 83% 8 9 79% 6 15

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 64% 20 16 70% 17 13

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 72% 15 13 74% 17 9 61% 25 14

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 81% 12 7 69% 19 12 64% 19 17

10. Would you say that Joe Lhota - is honest and trustworthy or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 39% 29 32 66% 18 17 32% 33 35 46% 23 30 43% 33 24 35% 26 40 57% 20 23 20% 38 41 26% 40 34

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 43% 28 29 35% 30 35

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 30% 32 38 41% 35 24 50% 25 24

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 49% 32 19 36% 37 27 37% 24 39

11. Do you think Joe Lhota - has the right kind of experience to be Mayor of New York City or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 47% 35 18 77% 16 7 37% 43 20 60% 24 16 51% 37 12 43% 33 24 62% 25 13 27% 52 21 38% 39 23

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 52% 32 16 43% 37 20

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 35% 40 25 46% 40 14 62% 30 9

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 53% 37 11 47% 37 16 43% 34 22

12. Would you say that Joe Lhota - understands the problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 30% 51 19 75% 21 4 18% 60 22 44% 40 15 32% 54 14 28% 48 24 44% 40 17 15% 64 20 23% 54 23

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 31% 50 19 30% 51 19

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 24% 52 23 27% 60 13 39% 46 15

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 40% 49 11 28% 55 17 29% 49 22

13. Would you say that Joe Lhota - has strong leadership qualities or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes No DK/NA 47% 28 25 81% 10 9 39% 34 26 53% 21 26 49% 32 20 46% 25 29 61% 18 21 26% 41 33 47% 31 22

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Yes No DK/NA 50% 27 23 45% 29 27

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 40% 31 30 48% 33 19 55% 25 20

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 53% 32 15 51% 29 20 43% 26 31

14. Which comes closer to your point of view, would you say the city needs to take a new direction from Mike Bloomberg's, or the city should continue in the direction in which Mike Bloomberg has been leading? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp New direction Bloomberg direction BOTH(VOL) DK/NA 61% 30 5 4 48% 47 3 1 68% 24 4 5 51% 38 7 4 58% 32 5 4 64% 28 4 4 50% 43 5 3 77% 10 6 7 68% 25 5 2

COLLEGE DEG Yes No New direction Bloomberg direction BOTH(VOL) DK/NA 55% 36 5 4 66% 25 4 5

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 72% 20 4 4 67% 24 3 5 51% 43 5 1

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 63% 30 3 4 65% 27 3 5 59% 33 6 3

STOP AND FRISK Q20 Excssv Accptbl New direction Bloomberg direction BOTH(VOL) DK/NA 76% 16 5 3 45% 48 4 3

15. Regardless of who you support in the election for mayor, do you think Bill de Blasio or Joe Lhota would do a better job keeping you and your family safe? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio Lhota DK/NA 50% 27 23 15% 80 5 61% 14 24 38% 39 23 50% 32 18 50% 24 27 38% 43 19 69% 6 25 57% 23 20

COLLEGE DEG Yes No de Blasio Lhota DK/NA 51% 28 22 49% 27 23

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 53% 23 24 58% 24 18 47% 36 17

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 58% 27 15 52% 30 18 48% 25 27

16. Regardless of who you support in the election for mayor, do you think Bill de Blasio or Joe Lhota would do a better job improving the public schools? LIKELY VOTERS................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp de Blasio Lhota DK/NA 61% 17 21 20% 60 21 74% 8 19 49% 26 25 62% 21 17 61% 15 25 53% 28 20 74% 6 20 64% 15 21 HvKids InPubSch 69% 10 21

COLLEGE DEG Yes No de Blasio Lhota DK/NA 61% 17 21 61% 18 22

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 66% 13 20 65% 16 19 62% 24 14

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 69% 16 15 61% 18 21 61% 18 22

17. If Bill de Blasio is elected Mayor, do you think your taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 36% 6 46 11 68% 2 25 4 27% 8 53 11 45% 5 42 8 40% 4 46 9 34% 8 46 12 47% 4 42 8 26% 14 48 12 23% 4 58 16

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 42% 4 47 8 32% 8 46 14

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 28% 10 51 11 34% 4 57 5 50% 3 42 5

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 29% 5 59 6 38% 8 47 7 38% 5 43 14

18. If Joe Lhota is elected Mayor, do you think your taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 36% 5 44 15 23% 4 65 7 42% 4 38 16 28% 7 52 13 33% 4 51 12 39% 5 38 18 24% 6 59 11 57% 1 25 16 41% 4 32 23

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Go up Go down Stay about the same DK/NA 31% 6 53 10 40% 4 37 19

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 43% 7 33 18 43% 2 44 10 26% 4 63 6

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 38% 9 43 10 36% 5 49 10 36% 2 40 21

19. When Michael Bloomberg leaves office, do you think that the next mayor should retain complete control of the public schools or share control of the public schools with other elected leaders? LIKELY VOTERS................................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Retain control Share control DK/NA 24% 69 7 32% 64 4 22% 71 7 28% 65 7 35% 58 8 15% 78 7 30% 61 9 17% 78 5 21% 71 8 HvKids InPubSch 21% 74 5

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Retain control Share control DK/NA 30% 63 7 19% 73 7

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 17% 77 6 22% 72 5 37% 57 6

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 24% 73 4 26% 68 6 23% 67 9

20. As you may know, there is a police practice known as stop and frisk, where police stop and question a person they suspect of wrongdoing and, if necessary, search that person. Do you think stop and frisk is excessive and innocent people are being harassed, or do you think stop and frisk is an acceptable way to make New York City safer? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Excessive Acceptable DK/NA 55% 39 6 17% 81 2 63% 30 7 52% 44 4 51% 41 8 58% 38 4 43% 52 5 74% 17 9 54% 42 4

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Excessive Acceptable DK/NA 59% 35 6 52% 43 5

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 57% 40 4 57% 39 4 58% 37 6

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 57% 41 3 59% 35 6 54% 39 6

21. Do you think the New York City Police Department has unfairly targeted Muslims to combat terrorism or has acted appropriately? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Unfair Appropriate DK/NA 33% 50 17 13% 82 6 38% 44 18 32% 50 18 34% 54 12 32% 46 21 25% 62 14 42% 33 24 29% 57 15

COLLEGE DEG Yes No Unfair Appropriate DK/NA 38% 47 15 29% 52 19

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 33% 51 16 39% 46 15 37% 50 14

AGE IN YRS....... 18-34 35-54 55+ 49% 44 8 34% 50 17 29% 50 21

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