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Plot of NEURO-FUZZY and Online RBF performance (20 test data)
In these plots we observe that number hits for twenty data points tested in part of test case after training
phase of 1000 data are 8 and 4 and the hit ratios are 8/20 =0.40 and 4/20=0.2 for Neuro-fuzzy and online RBF
model respectively. The Neuro-fuzzy model out performs in case of very short term predictions. This
experiment when further extended to Flann model yielded 5/20=0.25. Thus Neuro fuzzy model is best for very
short term predictions in case of low SVI values.
4(a) 4(b)
Fig 4(a), 4(b). Plot of very short term prediction problem in NEURO-FUZZY model and Online RBF model
5.3 Discussion
The experiment for long term prediction shows that various performance measures like normalized root
mean square error, mean absolute percentage error, average mean absolute percentage error over US-RUPEE
dataset in case of long term prediction problem that online RBF performs at par with FLANN but, NEURO-
FUZZY model doesnt work well over US-RUPEE data set. Online RBF works well in both cases of data set
with less volatility (low SVI) and high volatility but FLANN is used only in case of low SVI value.
In experiment for very short term prediction, the case is very short term prediction problem , hit ratio which is
taken as measure of performance and accuracy says that NEURO-FUZZY model works well in case of very
short term prediction problem. The results of experiment indicate that NEURO-FUZZY outstands Online-RBF
model for SVI data sets. Flann model also can be preferred in case of high SVI value sets after further
experiments. Thus the tabulated results are proved valid.
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