Illinois 13th Congressional District Survey Results

Q1 Rodney Davis of Taylorville is the incumbent Congressman in your district, serving his first term in office. Thinking about Congressman Davis running for re-election, are you certain to vote for him, certain to vote for someone else, or are you undecided?
Certain to vote for Davis ................................. 28% Certain to vote for someone else .................... 31% Undecided....................................................... 41%

Q5

(Asked only of those who chose a candidate in Q4:) Are you committed to your candidate choice, or might you still change your mind between now and next November?
Committed to your candidate .......................... 69% Might still change your mind ........................... 31%

Q6

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 53% Man ................................................................. 47%

Q2

There are two candidates running in the Democratic Congressional primary next March. One of them will likely run against Rodney Davis in November. Let me tell you a little about each of them. Ann Callis is a former judge from Troy known as a judicial reformer. She opened up legal files to the public, allowed cameras in Madison County courtrooms, and founded a veterans court. If Ann Callis is the Democratic nominee running against Rodney Davis, would you vote for Callis or Davis?
Ann Callis........................................................ 35% Rodney Davis ................................................. 40% Undecided....................................................... 25%

Q7

If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 32% Republican ...................................................... 33% Independent/Other .......................................... 35%

Q8

If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic .......................................................... 4% White .............................................................. 82% African-American ............................................ 5% Other ............................................................... 8%

Q3

(Asked only of those who chose a candidate in Q2:) Are you committed to your candidate choice, or might you still change your mind between now and next November?
Committed to your candidate .......................... 67% Might still change your mind ........................... 33%

Q9

If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29 ........................................................... 6% 30 to 45 ........................................................... 22% 46 to 65 ........................................................... 43% Older than 65 .................................................. 29%

Q4

The other candidate for the Democrats is George Gollin of Champaign. Gollin is a scientist and professor at the University of Illinois who has also helped state and federal agencies break up a diploma-mill fraud ring. If George Gollin is the Democratic nominee running against Rodney Davis, would you vote for Gollin or Davis?
George Gollin.................................................. 33% Rodney Davis ................................................. 41% Undecided....................................................... 26%

October 7-8, 2013

Survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change your m ind Base your candidate Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 35% Davis Certain to vote for 36% som eone else Undecided 28% 45% 38% 17% 17% 32% 51%

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind Callis/Davis Ann Callis 46% Rodney Davis 54% 41% 59% 57% 43%

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change your m ind Base your candidate Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 67% candidate Might still change 33% your m ind 100% 100%
Gollin/Davis George Gollin 41% Rodney Davis 51% Undecided 9%

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind

40% 57% 3%

43% 37% 19%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 73% candidate Might still change 27% your m ind 95% 5% 17% 83% Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 37% Davis Certain to vote for 37% som eone else Undecided 26%

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind

47% 37% 16%

15% 37% 48%

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind Callis/Davis Ann Callis 43% Rodney Davis 50% Undecided 8% 40% 57% 3% 49% 32% 19% Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 71% candidate Might still change 29% your m ind

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind

93% 7%

13% 87%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind Gollin/Davis George Gollin 45% Rodney Davis 55% 42% 58% 52% 48% Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 69% candidate Might still change 31% your m ind

Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to Might still change Base your candidate your m ind

100% -

100%

Gender Base Wom an Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 28% Davis Certain to vote for 31% som eone else Undecided 41% 27% 29% 44% 29% 34% 37% Man

Gender Base Wom an Callis/Davis Ann Callis 35% Rodney Davis 40% Undecided 25% 34% 39% 28% 36% 42% 22% Man

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 67% candidate Might still change 33% your m ind 67% 33% 66% 34% Man Gollin/Davis George Gollin 33% Rodney Davis 41% Undecided 26%

Gender Base Wom an Man

33% 39% 28%

34% 43% 24%

Gender Base Wom an Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 69% candidate Might still change 31% your m ind 68% 32% 70% 30% Man
Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 28% Davis Certain to vote for 31% som eone else Undecided 41%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

10% 56% 34%

51% 8% 40%

23% 29% 48%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Callis/Davis Ann Callis 35% Rodney Davis 40% Undecided 25% 65% 13% 22% 11% 70% 19% 30% 38% 32%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 67% candidate Might still change 33% your m ind 64% 36% 74% 26% 61% 39%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Gollin/Davis George Gollin 33% Rodney Davis 41% Undecided 26% 64% 15% 20% 7% 70% 23% 30% 36% 35% Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 69% candidate Might still change 31% your m ind

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

65% 35%

78% 22%

62% 38%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Race AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 28% Davis Certain to vote for 31% som eone else Undecided 41% 12% 37% 51% 30% 31% 39% 2% 43% 55% 29% 22% 49%
Callis/Davis Ann Callis 35% Rodney Davis 40% Undecided 25%

Race AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other

47% 20% 33%

33% 43% 23%

46% 10% 44%

38% 38% 24%

Race AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 67% candidate Might still change 33% your m ind 60% 40% 68% 32% 70% 30% 56% 44% Gollin/Davis George Gollin 33% Rodney Davis 41% Undecided 26%

Race AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other

41% 29% 30%

33% 43% 24%

46% 11% 44%

26% 35% 39%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Race AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 69% candidate Might still change 31% your m ind 62% 38% 69% 31% 60% 40% 75% 25%

Age Base Davis Generic Reelect Certain to vote for 28% Davis Certain to vote for 31% som eone else Undecided 41% 36% 27% 36% 25% 40% 35% 24% 32% 44% 34% 24% 42% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Callis/Davis Ann Callis 35% Rodney Davis 40% Undecided 25% 55% 36% 9% 40% 38% 22% 34% 38% 28% 28% 46% 26% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 67% candidate Might still change 33% your m ind 60% 40% 73% 27% 63% 37% 67% 33% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters

Crosstabs

Age Base Gollin/Davis George Gollin 33% Rodney Davis 41% Undecided 26% 17% 50% 33% 40% 40% 20% 36% 35% 29% 28% 47% 25% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Com m itted or May Change Your Mind? Com m itted to your 69% candidate Might still change 31% your m ind Base

Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

75% 25%

70% 30%

65% 35%

73% 27%

October 7-8, 2013

survey of 738 IL-13 voters