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Today, Republicans in the House have a hard-fought majority over Democrats. In 2012, the Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF) successfully helped elect Republicans in the most contested seats on the map. So much so that the Sunlight Foundation rated CLFs expenditures the highest return on investment of any GOP super PAC in 2012. Were not taking anything for granted and already were preparing for 2014. This memo contains key information on the national landscape, our top pick-up opportunities, and the path to victory in 2014, so we can retain and expand the House Republican majority. If you find this memo helpful, we simply ask that you share with a friend. (Heres the link for them to sign up.)
The Landscape
Political Pulse
By comparison, Democrats enjoyed a 5.6 point advantage a month ago. Based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) Poll Average of the Generic Congressional Vote Democrats have a one point advantage over Republicans in a generic ballot and the separation is narrowing following the disastrous rollout of Obamacare.
Source: RCP
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Poll RCP Average Rasmussen Reports FOX News Quinnipiac PPP (D) GWU/Battleground
Date 10/27 - 11/17 11/11 - 11/17 11/10 - 11/12 11/6 - 11/11 10/29 - 10/31 10/27 - 10/31
Polling Data
Democrats 41.2 39 40 39 44 44
Republicans 40.2 40 43 39 38 41
The generic ballot test is a statistical dead heat at this point, but it is one of the key indicators we monitor.
Cash On Hand
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The Battlelines
The launch of Obamacare continues to be a disaster and Democrats in Congress own it. Voters are angry at congressional Democrats for lying to them about being able to keep their health plans and doctors if they like them. Enrollment in the health exchanges falls below President Obamas goals and attempts to fix broken pieces of Obamacare (from the website to canceled plans) have failed. Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress continue to hold the President and his administration accountable to the American people, fight for a plan to get our nations debt under control, and work to grow the economy with fewer regulations and more jobs.
Next Steps
Were already taking the fight to the Democrats and making sure voters in their district know about their records. Heres how you can stay up to date with the very latest in the most heavily contested congressional races this cycle: Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Sign up for Email Updates
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