Professional Documents
Culture Documents
com
Warren Buffett Stock Portfolio Analysis - 2009 Q2 13-F
Ben
Current DCF Multiples
No. Ticker Company Name Industry Remarks Graham
Price Value Valuation
Formula
American Express Company (American Express) is a global payments and travel company.
The Company�s principal products and services are charge and credit payment card
products, and travel-related services offered to consumers and businesses around the
1 AXP American Express Co world. The Company�s Global Consumer Group offers a range of products and services, (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $34.09
including charge and lending (credit) card products for consumers and small businesses
worldwide; consumer travel services, and stored value products, such as Travelers Cheques
and pre-paid products. The Global Business-to-Business Group provides, among other
products and services, business travel, corporate cards, and other expense management
Bank of America Corporation (Bank of America) is a bank holding company and a financial
holding company. Through its banking subsidiaries and various non-banking subsidiaries
throughout the United States and in selected international markets, it provides a diversified
2 BAC Bank of America Corp range of banking and non-banking financial services and products through three business (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $17.04
segments: Global Consumer and Small Business Banking, Global Corporate and Investment
Banking and Global Wealth and Investment Management. Bank of America operates in 50
states, the District of Columbia and more than 40 foreign countries. Bank of America has
* Gross, operating and net margins steadily increasing
even in recessionary environment
* FCF positive for more than 10 years
* Inventory turnover consistent but margins have
Becton, Dickinson and Company (BD) is a medical technology company engaged in the increased. Leads to higher efficiency and profit.
manufacture and sale of a range of medical supplies, devices, laboratory equipment and * ROA and ROE increasing steadily
diagnostic products used by healthcare institutions, life science researchers, clinical * Reduced debt
3 BDX Becton Dickinson & Co $70.35 $87.00 $110.00 $76.00
laboratories, industry and the general public. The segments in which the Company operates * Has plenty of FCF to pay down debt rather than issue
include BD Medical, BD Diagnostics and BD Biosciences. On May 12, 2008, the Company stock or seek loans
acquired Cytopeia Inc. * CROIC is very steady at 17%. Company makes 17c off
every $1 of cash invested
* FCF/sales = 12%. Converts 12c of every dollar in sales
to FCF.
Comdisco Holding Company, Inc. (Comdisco Holding) was formed for the purpose of selling,
collecting or otherwise reducing to money in an orderly manner the remaining assets of the Using Ben Graham Net Net Spreadsheet, the liquidation
Company and all of its direct and indirect subsidiaries, including Comdisco, Inc. The value looks to be worth $8.38 while the current price is at
Company's business purpose is limited to the orderly sale or run-off of all its remaining $7.50. With most of the assets in cash, this would have
assets. Comdisco Holding Company, Inc., as the successor company to Comdisco, Inc., been a pretty good liquidation play had the spread been
Comdisco Holdings
8 CDCO emerged from bankruptcy effective August 12, 2002. Pursuant to the Company�s first wider. $7.55 NA NA NA
Company Inc
amended joint plan of reorganization, Comdisco, Inc. emerged as a wholly owned subsidiary
of Comdisco Holding. Since emerging from bankruptcy proceedings, the Company has Since the company emerged from bankruptcy in 2002, it
focused on the monetization of its remaining assets. Prior to the bankruptcy, Comdisco, Inc. doesn’t seem like CDCO is in a hurry to sell the remaining
provided technology services worldwide to help its customers maximize technology assets.
functionality, predictability and availability.
General Electric Company (GE) is a diversified technology, media and financial services
* Plenty of cash from all of its operations
company. Its products and services include aircraft engines, power generation, water
* High debt ratio and increasing past 2-3 years
processing, security technology, medical imaging, business and consumer financing, media
* Average CROIC of 3%
content and industrial products. As of December 31, 2008, GE operated in five segments:
13 GE General Electric Co * FCF/Sales is pretty good at 8% $14.87 $15.64 $43.89 $18.75
Energy Infrastructure, Technology Infrastructure, NBC Universal, Capital Finance and
* Stable inventory turnover in line with past 10 years
Consumer & Industrial. In January 2009, the Company acquired Interbanca S.p.A., an Italian
* Maybe a good company but not great
corporate bank. In April 2008, Oil & Gas completed the acquisition of the Hydril Pressure
Controls business from Tenaris. In September 2008, the Company announced the sale of its
Japanese consumer finance business to Shinsei Bank. During the year ended December 31,
GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK) is a global healthcare group, which is engaged in the creation and
discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of pharmaceutical products, including * Lots of FCF but slow growth
vaccines, over-the-counter (OTC) medicines and health-related consumer products. GSK�s * Excellent CROIC above 30%. Able to make returns of
principal pharmaceutical products include medicines in the therapeutic areas, such as over 30% from their use of cash.
respiratory, central nervous system, anti-virals, anti-bacterials, metabolic, vaccines, * Pharma companies also are able to drop the sales
Glaxosmithklineadr cardiovascular and urogenital, oncology and emesis. It has operations in some 114 countries figures directly to the FCF line
14 GSK $39.22 $43.79 NA $32.00
ADR rep 2 ord shs and products sold in over 150 countries. The Company operates in two segments: * High margins and returns as expected from drug
Pharmaceuticals (prescription pharmaceuticals and vaccines) and Consumer Healthcare. On companies
October 14, 2008, it acquired the Egyptian mature products business of Bristol Myers * Big drop is tangible shareholders equity due to
Squibb Company (BMS). In July 2009, BMS' branded generics business, which comprises a goodwill fr0m acquisition activity
portfolio of 13 branded pharmaceuticals was acquired by the Company. In July 2009, GSK
acquired Stiefel Laboratories, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc.is a home improvement retailer. The Home Depot stores sell an
* Struggled with the housing bust
assortment of building materials, home improvement and lawn and garden products, and
* Low growth
provide a number of services. The Home Depot stores average approximately 105,000
* Slowed down opening new stores dramatically if you
square feet of enclosed space, with approximately 24,000 additional square feet of outside
look at capex further
15 HD Home Depot Inc garden area. During the fiscal year ended February 1, 2009 (fiscal 2008), the Company had $27.38 $27.23 $26.39 $25.00
* Plenty of FCF
2,233 The Home Depot stores located throughout the United States, including the
* Average CROIC, FCF/Sales, Revenue growth, earning
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the territories of the United States Virgin Islands and
growth
Guam, Canada, China and Mexico. On January 26, 2009, the Company announced the closing
of its EXPO, THD Design Center and Yardbirds stores.
Ingersoll-Rand plc, formerly Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited, along with its subsidiaries, is a
* Big increase in goodwill in 2008
diversified, global company that provides products, services and solutions to enhance the
* FCF positive yet erratic at times. Median of 11% FCF
quality of air in homes and buildings, transport and protect food and perishables, secure
growth
homes and commercial properties, and enhance industrial productivity. The Company has
* Excellent CROIC. Buffett sure does a good job of
four segments: Air Conditioning Systems and Services, Climate Control Technologies,
16 IR Ingersoll-Rand plc picking effective management at the helm $31.78 $20.00 $51.30 Fair
Industrial Technologies and Security Technologies. The Company generates revenue
* Consistency in ROA and ROE when looking at multiple
primarily through the design, manufacture, sale and service of a diverse portfolio of
timeframes
industrial and commercial products that include brand names, such as Club Car, Hussmann,
* Revenue growth on the low side
Ingersoll-Rand, Schlage, Thermo King and Trane. On June 5, 2008, the Company completed
the acquisition of Trane Inc.
Iron Mountain Incorporated (IMI) provides information protection and storage services.
These services can be divided into three service categories: records management services, * Lost more FCF than it made throughout the past 10
data protection and recovery services, and information destruction services. The Company years
offers both physical services and technology solutions in each of these categories. Media * None or very low FCF growth, CROIC, returns
17 IRM Iron Mountain Inc $28.10 NA $20.79 $13.40
formats can be divided into physical and electronic records. Physical records include paper * Steady increase in sales but can’t convert it to FCF
documents, as well as all other non-electronic media such as microfilm and microfiche, * Doesn’t look like a Buffett pick at all
master audio and videotapes, film, X-rays and blueprints. Electronic records include email
and various forms of magnetic media such as computer tapes and hard drives and optical
disks. IMI&derives
Johnson Johnsonmost of its revenues
is engaged from theand
in the research storage of paper documents
development, manufactureand storage-
and sale of a
range of products in the healthcare field. Johnson & Johnson has more than 250 operating
companies. The Company operates in three segments. The Consumer segment includes a
range of products used in the baby care, skin care, oral care, wound care and women�s Good to excellent everything as I mentioned in the JNJ
18 JNJ Johnson & Johnson $60.92 $70.27 $109.84 Fair
healthcare fields, as well as nutritional and over-the-counter pharmaceutical products. The analysis.
Pharmaceutical segment includes products in the therapeutic areas, such as anti-infective,
antipsychotic, cardiovascular, contraceptive, dermatology, gastrointestinal, hematology,
immunology, neurology, oncology, pain management, urology and virology. The Medical
Devices and Diagnostics segment includes a range of products distributed to wholesalers,
Kraft Foods Inc. (Kraft) is engaged in manufacturing and marketing packaged food products,
including snacks, beverages, cheese, convenient meals and various packaged grocery * Margins decreasing for more than 7 years straight
products. During the year ended December 31, 2008, the Company have operations in more * Inventory turnover has been improving
than 70 countries and sell the products in approximately 150 countries. The Company * No FCF growth
19 KFT Kraft Foods Inc manages and operates, through two commercial units: Kraft North America and Kraft * Makes 22c of every $1 invested (CROIC=22%) $26.85 NA $19.96 $24.00
International. Kraft North America operates in the United States and Canada. On August 4, * Growth is minimal
2008, the Company completed the spin-off of its post cereals business. The brands of the * Increasing debt
Company span five consumer sectors: snacks, beverages, cheese, grocery and convenient
meals.
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a wholesale power generation company. NRG is engaged in the * Had a big year in 2008
ownership, development, construction and operation of power generation facilities, the * Big margins increase in 2008 and since 2005
transacting in and trading of fuel and transportation services, and the trading of energy, * Increase in short term and long term debt
capacity and related products in the United States and select international markets. As of * Company is able to make money but its returns are ont
December 31, 2008, NRG had a total portfolio of 189 active operating generation units at 48 he low side.
power generation plants, with an aggregate generation capacity of approximately 24,005 * Mean ROA and CROIC of 2.7% and 5% respectively.
23 NRG NRG Energy Inc $26.70 $37.11 $34.00 $58.00
megawatt, and approximately 550 megawatt under construction, which includes partners� Lower than competition
interests of 275 megawatt. In addition, NRG has ownership interests in two wind farms * FCF isn’t consistent.
representing an aggregate generation capacity of 270 megawatt, which includes partner * Huge increase in capex in 2008
interests of 75 megawatt. On April 28, 2008, NRG completed the sale of its 100% interest in * Large amount of taxes deferred.
Tosli Acquisition B.V. In May 2009, Reliant Energy, Inc. completed the sale of its Texas retail * Still converts 12% of sales into FCF
business to NRG.
NIKE, Inc. (NIKE) is engaged in the design, development and worldwide marketing of
footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessory products. NIKE sells athletic footwear and
* Great company, leader, innovator, huge moat
athletic apparel. It sells its products to retail accounts, through NIKE-owned retail, including
* Drop in margins in 2008 but increased inventory
stores and Internet sales, and through a mix of independent distributors and licensees, in
turnover
over 170 countries around the world. Running, training, basketball, soccer, sport-inspired
* Low debt with plenty of cash
25 NKE NIKE Inc casual shoes, and Kid�s shoes are its footwear categories. It also markets shoes designed $55.35 $65.00 $77.00 $56.00
* Can pay off debt with FCF easily
for aquatic activities, baseball, cheerleading, football, golf, lacrosse, outdoor activities,
* Don’t have to go in detail with numbers. They are just
skateboarding, tennis, volleyball, walking, wrestling, and other athletic and recreational
too good.
uses. It sells a line of performance equipment under the NIKE brand name, including bags,
socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, electronic devices, bats, gloves, protective
equipment, golf clubs, and other equipment designed for sports activities.
Norfolk Southern Corporation (Norfolk Southern) controls a freight railroad, Norfolk * Looks to be a better company than BNI
Southern Railway Company. Norfolk Southern Railway Company is primarily engaged in the * Good top line growth
rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products and finished goods primarily in * Decrease in gross profit but managed to increase net
the southeast, east and Midwest and, via interchange with rail carriers, to and from the rest margins
26 NSC Norfolk Southern Corp of the United States. Norfolk Southern also transports overseas freight through several * Lots of FCF and excellent FCF growth $48.39 $61.00 $120.00 $54.00
Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports. The Company provides logistics services and offers an * Low end for CROIC at 4%
intermodal network in the eastern half of the United States. Norfolk Southern and CSX * Debt can be handled with FCF rather than taking on
Corporation (CSX) jointly own Conrail Inc. (Conrail), whose primary subsidiary is additional debt
Consolidated Rail Corporation (CRC).
The Procter & Gamble Company (P&G) is focused on providing branded consumer packaged
goods. The Company�s products are sold in over 180 countries worldwide primarily through
mass merchandisers, grocery stores, membership club stores, drug stores and in high- * Wrote about PG briefly in the Best Stocks to retire list
frequency stores, the neighborhood stores, which serve consumers in developing markets. * FCF growth above 18%
As of June 30, 2009, the Company was organized into three Global Business Units: Beauty; * CROIC at 60%! Mindblowing.
Health and Well-Being, and Household Care. The Company had six business segments under * Only negative is big drops in tangible shareholders
27 PG Procter & Gamble Co $53.76 $76.00 $97.00 $67.00
United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP): Beauty; Grooming; Health equity
Care; Snacks and Pet Care; Fabric Care and Home Care, and Baby Care and Family Care. In * Stable margins. Net margins even increased in 2008
August 2009, AnimalScan, LLC announced that it has acquired Iams Pet Imaging, LLC from * Good stable dividend
The Procter & Gamble Company and ProScan Imaging. In November 2008, the Company
completed the divestiture of its Coffee business through the merger of its Folgers coffee
subsidiary into The J.M. Smucker Company.
SunTrust Banks, Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company whose businesses
provide a range of financial services to consumer and corporate clients. The Company
operates in four business segments: retail and commercial, wholesale banking, mortgage,
29 STI SunTrust Banks Inc and wealth and investment management. On May 1, 2008, the Company completed the (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $21.13
acquisition of GB&T Bancshares, Inc. (GB&T). On May 30, 2008, the Company sold its
interests in First Mercantile Trust Company (First Mercantile), a retirement plan services
subsidiary. On September 2, 2008, the Company sold its fuel card business, TransPlatinum
Torchmark Corporation (Torchmark) is an insurance holding company. Torchmark through
its subsidiaries provides a variety of life and health insurance products and annuities to a
broad base of customers. Torchmark is the holding company for a group of insurance
30 TMK Torchmark Corp companies, which market primarily individual life and supplemental health insurance, and to (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $42.33
a limited extent annuities, to middle income households throughout the United States. Its
primary subsidiaries are American Income Life Insurance Company (American Income),
Liberty National Life Insurance Company (Liberty), Globe Life And Accident Insurance
U.S. Bancorp operates as a financial holding company and a bank holding company. U.S.
Bancorp provides a range of financial services, including lending and depository services,
cash management, foreign exchange, and trust and investment management services. It
31 USB US Bancorp (Del) also engages in credit card services, merchant and Automated Teller Machine (ATM) (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $21.75
processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing. U.S. Bancorp�s banking
subsidiaries are engaged in the general banking business, principally in domestic markets.
The subsidiaries provide a range of products and services to individuals, businesses,
* Huge moat.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a package delivery company. The Company delivers * Stock price affected by high oil price.
packages each business day for 1.8 million shipping customers to 6.1 million consignees in * Reducing capex past 2 years. How will it affect future
over 200 countries and territories. During the year ended December 31, 2008, UPS delivered results?
an average of 15.5 million pieces per day worldwide, or a total of 3.92 billion packages. Its * Past 5 years hasn't been great for UPS. Went no
primary business is the time-definite delivery of packages and documents worldwide. UPS where.
United Parcel Service
34 UPS operates in three segments: U.S. Domestic Package operations, International Package * Good stable CROIC at 11% $55.43 $52.72 $85.00 $35-40
Inc
operations, and Supply Chain & Freight operations. U.S. Domestic Package operations * Earnings YOY isn't good. Shows a decline.
include the time-definite delivery of letters, documents, and packages throughout the * Margins are good but there are huge overhead costs as
United States. International Package operations include delivery to more than 200 countries expected. 75+% gross margin but only 6-9% net margin.
and territories worldwide. Supply Chain & Freight includes its forwarding and logistics * Big rise in debt
operations, UPS Freight, and other related business units. * Still better than FDX
The Washington Post Company is a diversified education and media company. The * Media has been one of the worst industries in the past
Company�s Kaplan, Inc. (Kaplan) subsidiary provides a variety of educational services, both year. Especially with everyone believing that newspapers
domestically and outside the United States. The Company�s media operations consist of thewill become extinct.
ownership and operation of cable television systems, newspaper publishing (principally The * Fiscal 2008 saw a big decline in everything. Sales,
Washington Post), television broadcasting (through the ownership and operation of six profit, cash, book value, ROE, ROA
television broadcast stations) and magazine publishing (principally Newsweek). The * Management still used its cash effectively with a CROIC
38 WPO Washington Post Co $435.45 $293-$358 $240-$492 NA
Company�s operations in geographic areas outside the United States consist primarily of of 12.2%
Kaplan�s foreign operations and the publication of the international editions of Newsweek. * FCF positive with stable capex.
During the year ended December 31, 2008, these operations accounted for approximately * Capital expenditures have been steady for 4-5 years
13% of the Company�s consolidated revenues, and the identifiable assets attributable to now.
foreign operations represented approximately 13% of the Company�s consolidated assets, * Tells me that most of the current $280mil in capex is
during 2008. due to maintenance rather than growth.
Wells Fargo & Company (Wells Fargo) is a financial holding company and a bank holding
company. The Company is a diversified financial services company providing retail,
commercial and corporate banking services through banking stores located in 39 states and
39 WFC Wells Fargo & Co the District of Columbia. It provides other financial services through subsidiaries engaged in (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $27.68
various businesses, principally wholesale banking, mortgage banking, consumer finance,
equipment leasing, agricultural finance, commercial finance, securities brokerage and
investment banking, insurance agency and brokerage services, computer and data
WellPoint, Inc. (WellPoint) is a health benefits company serving 35 million medical
members, as of December 31, 2008. The Company is an independent licensee of the Blue
Cross and Blue Shield Association (BCBSA), an association of independent health benefit * Again, Buffett likes to buy in pairs.
plans. It serves its members as the Blue Cross licensee for California and as the Blue Cross * Much like UNH. Great cash flow, great numbers.
40 WLP WellPoint Inc $52.84 $52.84 $86.91 $64-70
and Blue Shield (BCBS), licensee for Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, * By the numbers, I prefer UNH.
Maine, Missouri (excluding 30 counties in the Kansas City area), Nevada, New Hampshire, * Dependent on macro factors.
New York, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin. In a majority of these service areas, it does
business as Anthem Blue Cross, Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield or Empire Blue Cross Blue
Shield. The
Wesco Company
Financial also serves
Corporation its members
is engaged throughout
in three the country through
principal businesses, as UniCare. WellPoint
its direct or
indirect wholly owned subsidiaries: the insurance business, through Wesco-Financial
Insurance Company (Wes-FIC) and engages in the property and casualty insurance business,
41 WSC Wesco Financial Corp and The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (KBS) purchased by Wes-FIC in 1996 and provides (Financials are outside my circle of competence) $302.00
specialized insurance coverages for banks; the furniture rental business, through CORT
Business Services Corporation (CORT), which traces its presence to the combination of five
regional furniture rental companies in 1972 and was purchased by Wesco in 2000, and the