Trump Poll, December 2013

the polling company, inc.
/WomanTrend on behalf of CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND TOPLINE DATA
Statewide Survey of 600 Likely Voters in New York

Field Dates: December 10-11, 2013 Margin of Error: 3.9%
**PLEASE NOTE: Individual response categories may not equal 100% due to rounding**
SCREENER 1. Are you currently 18 years of age or older and currently registered to vote here in New York, registered in a different state, or not registered at all? 100% 2. REGISTERED TO VOTE IN NEW YORK (CONTINUE)
Next year there will be an election for Governor as well as for other offices like Congress and the state legislature. Which of the following best describes your plans at this time (READ CHOICES) 70% 12% 7% 12% I WILL DEFINITELY VOTE IN THE 2014 GENERAL ELECTION I WILL PROBABLY VOTE IN THE 2014 GENERAL ELECTION IM NOT SURE YET BECAUSE THE ELECTION IS TOO FAR AWAY IM NOT SURE YET BECAUSE I DONT KNOW WHOS RUNNING
3.
Into which of the following broad categories does your age fall? (READ CATEGORIES) 6% 5% 14% 14% 39% 23% 1% 18-24 25-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ REFUSED
4.
Gender 47% 53% MALE FEMALE
the polling company, inc./WomanTrend on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund Survey of 600 Likely Voters in New York TOPLINE DATA December 2013
5.
Would you describe your racial or ethnic background as: 67% 16% 7% 3% 1% * 5% WHITE/CAUCASIAN BLACK/AFRICAN-AMERICAN HISPANIC/LATINO ASIAN NATIVE AMERICAN OTHER REFUSED
6.
Region 42% 24% 13% 11% 10% NEW YORK CITY OUTER NYC/LONG ISLAND WEST NY CENTRAL NY EAST NY
7.
Do you think things here in New York are headed in the right direction, or do you think things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? 43% 42% 14% 1% RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
NAME RECOGNITION AND FAVORABILITY RATINGS Switching topics slightly for a moment, I am going to read you the names of a few people. After I read each name, first please tell me if you have heard of that person, and then tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion of a person, or have never heard of a particular person, just tell me and well move on. (RANDOMIZE NAMES) (ASK FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE): And do you have a STRONGLY (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person, or just a SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable) opinion of that person? (RANDOMIZE Q8-11) 8. Andrew Cuomo 58% 26% 32% 27% 11% 16% 10% 2% 2% 1% 9. Donald Trump 34% 12% 21% 48% 14% 34% 12% 3% 2% 1% TOTAL FAVORABLE STRONGLY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE TOTAL UNFAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF/NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF DO NOT KNOW REFUSED TOTAL FAVORABLE STRONGLY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE TOTAL UNFAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF/NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
10.
Rob Astorino 6% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 10% 74% 6% 1% TOTAL FAVORABLE STRONGLY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE TOTAL UNFAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF/NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
11.
Hillary Clinton 66% 44% 22% 25% 8% 17% 6% 1% 1% 1% TOTAL FAVORABLE STRONGLY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE TOTAL UNFAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF/NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
2014 GOVERNORS RACE 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? 53% 33% 21% 41% 9% 32% 2% 3% 2% 13. TOTAL APPROVE STRONGLY APPROVE SOMEWHAT APPROVE TOTAL DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE STRONGLY DISAPPROVE OTHER DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Andrew Cuomo is doing as Governor of New York? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? 63% 28% 35% 27% 10% 17% 1% 8% 1% TOTAL APPROVE STRONGLY APPROVE SOMEWHAT APPROVE TOTAL DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE STRONGLY DISAPPROVE OTHER DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
14.
In the election for Governor of New York next year, do you plan to vote for the (ROTATE) Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? 17% 42% 6% 32% 3% REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE OTHER DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
15.
Andrew Cuomo will run for re-election next year. Do you think that Andrew Cuomo deserves to be re-elected to another four-year term or is it time to give a new person the chance to do the job? PROBE: And is that definitely (re-elect/elect a new person) or probably? 40% 24% 16% 37% 14% 23% 21% 3% TOTAL RE-ELECT CUOMO DEFINITELY RE-ELECT CUOMO PROBABLY RE-ELECT CUOMO TOTAL ELECT A NEW PERSON PROBABLY ELECT A NEW PERSON DEFINITELY ELECT A NEW PERSON DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
16.
If the election for Governor were held tomorrow, would you vote for (ROTATE) Donald Trump, the Republican, or Andrew Cuomo, the Democrat? (PROBE THOSE WHO SAY TRUMP OR CUOMO: And would that be DEFINITELY or PROBABLY vote for [TRUMP/CUOMO]?) (PROBE THOSE WHO SAY UNDECIDED OR DO NOT KNOW: Toward which candidate do you lean? 26% 18% 7% 1% 61% 48% 12% 2% 8% 3% 2% TOTAL DONALD TRUMP DEFINITELY DONALD TRUMP PROBABLY DONALD TRUMP LEAN DONALD TRUMP TOTAL ANDREW CUOMO DEFINITELY ANDREW CUOMO PROBABLY ANDREW CUOMO LEAN ANDREW CUOMO HARD UNDECIDED/DONT KNOW OTHER REFUSED
17.
If the election for Governor were held tomorrow, would you vote for (ROTATE) Rob Astorino, the Republican, or Andrew Cuomo, the Democrat?
(PROBE THOSE WHO SAY ASTORINO OR CUOMO: And would that be DEFINITELY or PROBABLY vote for [ASTORINO/CUOMO]?) (PROBE THOSE WHO SAY UNDECIDED OR DO NOT KNOW: Toward which candidate do you lean? 22% 13% 7% 2% 58% 40% 16% 2% 15% 2% 2% 18. TOTAL ROB ASTORINO DEFINITELY ROB ASTORINO PROBABLY ROB ASTORINO LEAN ROB ASTORINO TOTAL ANDREW CUOMO DEFINITELY ANDREW CUOMO PROBABLY ANDREW CUOMO LEAN ANDREW CUOMO HARD UNDECIDED/DONT KNOW OTHER REFUSED
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare? PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? 43% 25% 18% 45% 8% 36% 11% 2% TOTAL FAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE TOTAL UNFAVORABLE SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE DO NOT KNOW/NO DIFFERENCE (DO NOT READ) REFUSED
19.
As you may know, President Obama said that if you like your health care, you can keep it. This promise ended up being not true, and over 100,000 New Yorkers have had their health care plans cancelled. Despite this, Andrew Cuomo has refused the Administrations plan to allow New Yorkers to keep their health care plan if cancelled. Knowing this, are you more likely or less likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo for Governor? PROBE: Is that much (more/less) likely or somewhat? 35% 20% 14% 47% 21% 26% 16% 3% TOTAL MORE LIKELY MUCH MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY TOTAL LESS LIKELY SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY MUCH LESS LIKELY DO NOT KNOW/NO DIFFERENCE (DO NOT READ) REFUSED
20.
Andrew Cuomo supports expanding Medicaid in New York, at a cost of $66 billion to federal and state taxpayers over the next ten years. 1 Knowing this, are you more likely or less likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo for Governor? PROBE: Is that much (more/less) likely or somewhat? 44% 28% 17% 42% 15% 27% 12% 2% TOTAL MORE LIKELY MUCH MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY TOTAL LESS LIKELY SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY MUCH LESS LIKELY DO NOT KNOW/NO DIFFERENCE (DO NOT READ) REFUSED
http://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/8384.pdf 8
21.
Under Andrew Cuomo, New Yorkers are the most taxed people in the country, ranking first in total state and local taxes per person as a percentage of income, as well as paying the most in sales taxes. At the same time, New York is ranked last in the country in business climate by the Tax Foundation. 2 Knowing this, are you more likely or less likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo for Governor? PROBE: Is that much (more/less) likely or somewhat? 32% 19% 13% 50% 23% 28% 15% 3% TOTAL MORE LIKELY MUCH MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY TOTAL LESS LIKELY SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY MUCH LESS LIKELY DO NOT KNOW/NO DIFFERENCE (DO NOT READ) REFUSED
22.
Andrew Cuomo has refused to support drilling for natural gas here in New York, as neighboring states have done, passing on the opportunity to create thousands of jobs and revitalize local economies in Upstate New York while reducing our dependence on foreign sources of energy. Knowing this, are you more likely or less likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo for Governor? PROBE: Is that much (more/less) likely or somewhat? 45% 31% 14% 40% 16% 24% 13% 2% TOTAL MORE LIKELY MUCH MORE LIKELY SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY TOTAL LESS LIKELY SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY MUCH LESS LIKELY DO NOT KNOW/NO DIFFERENCE (DO NOT READ) REFUSED
http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2013/03/tax_foundation_new_york_taxes.html 9
23.
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: New York has the highest amount of state and local debt per capita in the United States. We need a Governor who has created jobs, balanced budgets, and run successful businesses in the private sector. PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? 70% 49% 21% 21% 9% 12% 8% 1% TOTAL AGREE STRONGLY AGREE SOMEWHAT AGREE TOTAL DISAGREE SOMEWHAT DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
24.
How important is it to you that New York elects a Governor who has business leadership experience and a proven ability to cut through red tape and bureaucracy to get things done cheaper and more efficiently for New Yorkers? (n=298) 82% 59% 23% 14% 8% 7% 3% 1% TOTAL IMPORTANT VERY IMPORTANT SOMEWHAT IMPORTANT TOTAL NOT IMPORTANT NOT TOO IMPORTANT NOT IMPORTANT AT ALL DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
25.
Thinking again about Donald Trump would you rather see Donald Trump run for Governor of New York in 2014 or President of the United States in 2016? (n=298) 27% 12% 2% 47% 8% 4% GOVERNOR OF NEW YORK PRESIDENT OF THE U.S. BOTH (VOLUNTEERED) NEITHER (VOLUNTEERED) DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
10
Moving on 26. Would you favor or oppose a proposal that allows oil and gas companies to drill for natural gas in New York, a process known as fracking, if those energy companies would fully fund a statewide pre-kindergarten program? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? (n=298) 47% 27% 20% 38% 6% 32% 13% 2% 27. TOTAL FAVOR STRONGLY FAVOR SOMEWHAT FAVOR TOTAL OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
Would you favor or oppose a proposal that allows oil and gas companies to drill for natural gas in New York, a process known as fracking, if it would substantially reduce the amount of money that New Yorkers pay in taxes, tolls, and fees? PROBE: Is that strongly or somewhat? (n=298) 55% 39% 17% 37% 6% 32% 6% 1% TOTAL FAVOR STRONGLY FAVOR SOMEWHAT FAVOR TOTAL OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
11
DEMOGRAPHICS Finally, we have just a few confidential statistical questions for classification purposes only that will not be revealed.. 28. Thinking for a moment about your social, economic, and political viewsDo you consider yourself to be (ROTATE) a conservative, moderate or liberal? [IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK] And would you consider yourself to be VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal?)] 31% 13% 18% 35% 26% 13% 12% -8% 29. TOTAL CONSERVATIVE VERY CONSERVATIVE SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE MODERATE TOTAL LIBERAL SOMEWHAT LIBERAL VERY LIBERAL LIBERTARIAN DO NOT KNOW/REFUSED
In politics today, do you consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent or Democrat? (IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, ASK: Are you a strong (Republican/Democrat) or a not-so-strong (Republican/Democrat)? (IF INDEPENDENT ASK: Which way do you lean, or usually vote, the Democratic or Republican Party?) 29% 12% 11% 7% 14% 50% 9% 10% 31% 1% 2% 4% TOTAL REPUBLICAN STRONG REPUBLICAN NOT-SO-STRONG REPUBLICAN INDEPENDENT LEANING REPUBLICAN INDEPENDENT TOTAL DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT LEANING DEMOCRAT NOT-SO-STRONG DEMOCRAT STRONG DEMOCRAT OTHER DO NOT KNOW REFUSED
12

Trump Poll, December 2013

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Description:

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Trump Poll, December 2013

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

the polling company, inc.

/WomanTrend on behalf of CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND TOPLINE DATA

Statewide Survey of 600 Likely Voters in New York

Gender 47% 53% MALE FEMALE

You might also like