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From Brown Duck Ridge (10,000 ft) looking across Lake Fork, January, 2014
Photo by Kent Sutcliffe, NRCS
Current % Capacity
Statewide Utah
2/1/2014
Snowpack in Utah is below average at 75% of normal, compared to 92% last year. Precipitation in January was much below average at 63%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Jan) to 72% of average. Soil moisture is at 51% compared to 46% last year. Reservoir storage is at 48% of capacity, compared to 57% last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range from 28% to 104% of average.
Snowpack
30 25 20 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
Statewide
80 Percent of Average
60
40
20
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Percent normal
# *
5
# * # * # * # * # *
# *
# * # * # * # *
0 15 30 60 90 120 Miles
68
Logan !
81
Weber Ogden
Bear River
! !
Ogden
76
^ ! ( _
Northeastern Uintahs
80
81
Duchesne River
81
TooeleVernon
81
69
! !
77
! !
Roosevelt
Provo
ProvoUtahJordan
59
San Pitch
71
67
70
! !
Moab
* Data unavailable at time of posting or measurement is not representative at this time of year
73
Beaver River
15
74
89
Dirty Devil
77
Southwestern Utah
67
St. George
! !
108
Escalante River
Southeastern Utah
10 20
40
60
80
Miles 100
The snow water equivalent percent of normal represents the current snow water equivalent found at selected SNOTEL sites in or near the basin compared to the average value for those sites on this day. Data based on the first reading of the day (typically 00:00).
Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center Portland, Oregon http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/gis/ Based on data from http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/reports/ Science contact: Jim.Marron@por.usda.gov 503 414 3047
Utah SNOTEL Water Year (Oct 1) to Date Precipitation % of Normal Raft River
Feb 05, 2014
68
Logan !
75
Weber Ogden
Bear River
! !
Ogden
71
^ ! ( _
Northeaster Uintahs
80
75
Duchesne River
90
TooeleVernon
73
69
! !
76
! !
Roosevelt
Provo
ProvoUtahJordan
83
San Pitch
83
79
70
! !
Moab
81
Beaver River
15
75
87
Dirty Devil
75
Southwestern Utah
57
St. George
! !
90
Escalante River
Southeastern Utah
10 20
40
60
80
Miles 100
The water year to date precipitation percent of normal represents the accumulated precipitation found at selected SNOTEL sites in or near the basin compared to the average value for those sites on this day. Data based on the first reading of the day (typically 00:00).
Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center Portland, Oregon http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/gis/ Based on data from http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/reports/ Science contact: Jim.Marron@por.usda.gov 503 414 3047
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
35 30 25 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 20 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
WOODRUFF CREEK
80 Percent of Average
WOODRUFF NARROWS
60
PORCUPINE
40
HYRUM
20
BEAR LAKE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Forecast Period
APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 BEAR LAKE HYRUM RESERVOIR PORCUPINE RESERVOIR WOODRUFF CREEK WOODRUFF NARROWS RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper Bear Middle Bear Lower Bear Logan Current (KAF) 655.3 9.7 5.4 1.0 14.4 685.7 5 # of Sites 3 7 3 7 Last Year (KAF) 761.4 9.7 6.2 2.0 7.7 787.1 5 % Median 89% 88% 63% 78% Average (KAF) 584.8 10.2 6.0 2.4 29.0 632.4 5 Last Year % Median 89% 87% 79% 81% Capacity (KAF) 1421.0 15.3 11.3 4.0 57.3 1508.9 5
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Bear River
536
55
591
-1.72
29
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Woodruff Narrows
14.4
94.0
108.4
-1.45
33
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Little Bear
9.7
24.0
33.7
-0.91
39
Bear basin
! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! (
# *
# *! (
15
84
Tremonton5
Logan
# 5 * # * # * # *
# *
Percent normal
15
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
5 Ogden
5 Evanston
84
80
# *
V U
150
! (
Cities
10
20
30
40 Miles
Snowpack
50 45 40 35 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
120% 100% Saturation, volume % Max Avg Min WY 2014 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Percent of Average
Monthly
Year-to-Date
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Raft # of Sites 1 % Median Last Year % Median 69% 103%
Raft basin
V U
16
V U
42
V U
30
! ( # *
5
V U
30
Park Valley
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
Cities
0 1.5 3
12 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
40 35
Soil Moisture
100%
80% Saturation, volume % Max Avg Min WY 2014 30 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 25 20 15 10 20% 5 0 0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
60%
40%
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
SMITH AND MOREHOUSE ROCKPORT ECHO
80 Percent of Average
60
40
20
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
90% (KAF) 17.7 14.7 45 51 44 5.1 17.4 0.36 0.3 0.56 1.12 2.6 0.13
% Avg
30% (KAF) 30 345 131 113 130 43 160 11.6 12.8 15.5 41 76 4.5
10% (KAF) 36 485 168 139 166 59 220 17.4 19.5 25 61 119 6.5
30yr Avg (KAF) 33 315 126 117 123 41 179 12.1 15.2 28 56 86 5.8
82% 79% 84% 81% 85% 78% 66% 64% 54% 43% 48% 53% 55%
APR-JUL Rockport Reservoir Inflow Chalk Ck at Coalville APR-JUL Echo Reservoir Inflow
2 2
APR-JUL
APR-JUL Lost Ck Reservoir Inflow APR-JUL East Canyon Ck nr Jeremy Ranch APR-JUL East Canyon Ck nr Morgan SF Ogden R nr Huntsville
2 2
APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 CAUSEY RESERVOIR EAST CANYON RESERVOIR ECHO RESERVOIR LOST CREEK RESERVOIR PINEVIEW RESERVOIR ROCKPORT RESERVOIR WILLARD BAY SMITH AND MOREHOUSE RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper Weber Lower Weber Ogden Lost Creek Current (KAF) 4.1 21.9 21.9 10.8 34.9 27.6 75.5 4.0 200.7 8 # of Sites 9 7 17 3 Last Year (KAF) 4.0 27.3 19.7 15.4 45.9 28.2 124.8 3.0 268.3 8 % Median 82% 76% 76% 83% Average (KAF) 3.2 34.7 46.3 12.3 51.4 34.5 133.7 3.6 319.7 8 Last Year % Median 85% 92% 83% 75% Capacity (KAF) 7.1 49.5 73.9 22.5 110.1 60.9 215.0 81.0 620.0 8
Reservoirs + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Weber River
162
250
412
-1.81
28
February 1, 2014 Basin or Region January EOM* Pine View & Causey
KAF^
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Ogden River
39.0
46.0
85.0
-2.39
11
Weber-Ogden basin
! ( ( ! (! ! ( ! ( ! (
5
* # # * Ogden # *
# *
! (
! (
80
# *
5 Layton
Percent normal
! ( ! ( ! ( * # ! (
# *
# *
# * # *
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( ! ( ! ( # *
80
! ( # *
# *
! ( ! ( ! (
15
! (
Cities
0 2.5 5
10
15
20 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
40 35
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
UTAH LAKE
80
JORDANELLE
Percent of Average
60
DEER CREEK
40
UPPER STILLWATER
20
STRAWBERRY
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Forecast Period
90% (KAF)
70% (KAF)
50% (KAF)
% Avg
30% (KAF)
10% (KAF)
0.28 2.8 45 41 37 0.23 5.3 0.04 19.9 11.3 0.192 0.32 0.165 0.04 0.79
63% 70% 81% 72% 70% 44% 62% 68% 79% 67% 69% 69% 58% 55% 71%
17.2 136 128 126 125 32 278 2.5 42 37 6.6 19.2 8.6 5.2 10.1
9.5 69 100 108 116 32 265 1.76 38 36 6.4 14.2 5.5 4 7.7
APR-JUL W Canyon Ck nr Cedar Fort APR-JUL Little Cottonwood Ck nr SLC Big Cottonwood Ck nr SLC2 APR-JUL Mill Ck nr SLC APR-JUL Parleys Ck nr SLC2 APR-JUL Dell Fk nr SLC APR-JUL Emigration Ck nr SLC APR-JUL City Ck nr SLC2 APR-JUL
2
APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 DEER CREEK RESERVOIR STRAWBERRY RESERVOIR UTAH LAKE JORDANELLE RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper Provo Jordan Utah Lake Spanish Fork Six Creeks Cottonwoods Current (KAF) 109.9 830.3 619.6 155.4 1715.3 4 # of Sites 6 15 15 5 15 7 Last Year (KAF) 119.7 896.5 698.1 184.9 1899.1 4 % Median 66% 69% 69% 64% 67% 61% Average (KAF) 107.7 658.4 752.5 242.0 1760.6 4 Last Year % Median 96% 93% 93% 92% 86% 83% Capacity (KAF) 149.7 1105.9 870.9 320.0 2446.5 4
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Provo River
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
265
81
346
-3.70
04,03,02,92
# *
( ! (!
# * ! (
! ( ! ( ! (
80
# * # *
! (
# * # *
# *
# *
# * ! (
! (
# * ! ( ! (
5Provo
# *
15
! ( ! ( ! ( # *
5 Nephi
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
Cities
0 2.5 5 10 15 20 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
40 35
Soil Moisture
100%
80% Saturation, volume % Max Avg Min WY 2014 30 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
60%
40%
20%
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Reservoir Storage
VERNON CREEK
Percent of Average
SETTLEMENT CANYON
GRANTSVILLE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Forecast Period
90% (KAF)
70% (KAF)
50% (KAF)
% Avg
30% (KAF)
10% (KAF)
0.028 0.12
0.31 1.21
0.7 1.8
50% 58%
1.23 2.7
2.1 3.8
1.39 3.1
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 VERNON CREEK RESERVOIR SETTLEMENT CANYON RESERVOIR GRANTSVILLE RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Tooele NW Utah Current (KAF) 0.2 0.4 1.8 2.3 3 # of Sites 3 2 Last Year (KAF) 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 3 % Median Average (KAF) 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.9 3 Capacity (KAF) 0.6 1.0 3.3 4.9 3
80
Tooele 5
* ! (#
! (
15
TooeleVernon basin
Percent normal
5 Vernon
! (
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
# *
! (
Cities
Snowpack
25
Soil Moisture
100%
80%
15
60%
10
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
140 120 100 Percent of Average 80
Reservoir Storage
MEEKS CABIN
STATELINE
60 40 20 0
FLAMING GORGE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
APR-JUL Uinta R bl Powerplant Diversion nr Neola APR-JUL Whiterocks R nr Whiterocks APR-JUL Ashley Ck nr Vernal APR-JUL Big Brush Ck ab Red Fleet Reservoir APR-JUL Lake Fork R ab Moon Lake Reservoir APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 FLAMING GORGE RESERVOIR STATELINE RESERVOIR MEEKS CABIN RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Blacks Fk Upper Green Lower Green Ashley Brush Current (KAF) 2849.3 6.8 13.1 2869.1 3 # of Sites 3 2 2 4 Last Year (KAF) 2982.8 4.6 6.7 2994.1 3 % Median 86% 115% 76% 80% Average (KAF) 3049.0 5.4 11.9 3066.3 3 Last Year % Median 86% 114% 98% 108% Capacity (KAF) 3749.0 12.0 32.5 3793.5 3
Northeastern Utah
# * # * ! (
! ( ! (
Manila5
! ( ! (
! ( ! (
! (
# *
V U
44
! (
! (
Percent normal
191
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
Cities
0 2.5 5
10
15
20 Miles
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Blacks Fork
6.9
74.0
80.9
-0.91
39
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Smiths Fork
6.8
24.0
30.8
3.06
87
10, 01, 11
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
30 25 20 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
STRAWBERRY
80 Percent of Average
60
40
20
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Forecast Period
% Avg 72% 46% 36% 61% 58% 74% 70% 78% 77% 78% 77% 60%
APR-JUL Duchesne R ab Knight Diversion 2 APR-JUL WF Duchesne R at VAT Diversion APR-JUL Rock Ck nr Mountain Home 2 APR-JUL Yellowstone R nr Altonah APR-JUL Upper Stillwater Reservoir Inflow APR-JUL Lake Fk R Bl Moon Lk nr Mountain Home Currant Ck Reservoir Inflow
2 2
APR-JUL APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 STEINAKER RESERVOIR RED FLEET RESERVOIR BIG SAND WASH RESERVOIR UPPER STILLWATER RESERVOIR STARVATION RESERVOIR MOON LAKE RESERVOIR CURRANT CREEK RESERVOIR STRAWBERRY RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Strawberry Lakefork Yellowstone Uintah Whiterocks Current (KAF) 10.6 10.7 22.3 9.3 146.1 23.1 14.8 830.3 1067.2 8 # of Sites 5 6 2 Last Year (KAF) 11.5 13.2 14.4 8.9 130.7 9.4 14.9 896.5 1099.4 8 % Median Average (KAF) 21.7 17.9 18.5 8.6 138.8 24.4 14.9 658.4 903.2 8 Capacity (KAF) 33.4 25.7 25.7 32.5 165.3 35.8 15.5 1105.9 1439.8 8
February 1, 2014 Basin or Region January EOM* Red Fleet & Steinaker
KAF^
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
Eastern Uintah
#
21.3
54.0
75.3
-2.74
17
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
February 1, 2014 Basin or Region January EOM* Starvation & Upper Stillwater
KAF^
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI
Percentile
%
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Western Uintah
155
147
302
-0.09
49
Duchesne basin
! ( ! (
191
! ( ! (
! ( ( # *!
! (
# * ! (
40
# *
! (
* ! ( ! (# # ( * ! # * # *
# *
# *
Vernal 5
# *
! (
# * # * * # *#
5
Duchesne
Roosevelt
40
# * ! (
# *
# *
! ( Percent normal
191
" ) < 50% " 50 - 69% ! ( " ) ) " ) * " ) 70 - 89% # " ) 90 - 109% " ) 110 - 129% " ) 130 - 149% 5 " ) > 150% " ) no % avail.
10
20
30
40 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
35 30 25 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 20 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
120% 100% Saturation, volume % Max Avg Min WY 2014 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
80 Percent of Average
60
SEVIER BRIDGE
40
20
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
28%
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 SEVIER BRIDGE RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Lower Sevier Current (KAF) 116.1 116.1 1 # of Sites 1 Last Year (KAF) 144.2 144.2 1 % Median Average (KAF) 155.7 155.7 1 Capacity (KAF) 236.0 236.0 1
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Lower Sevier
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
116.1
72
188
-0.30
46
08,01,96,07
15
5 Nephi
# *
! (
5 Delta
# *! (
Fillmore
! (
15
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
Cities
0 2.5 5 10 15 20 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
30 25 20 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
80 Percent of Average
PANGUITCH LAKE
60
OTTER CREEK
40
20
PIUTE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
71%
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 PIUTE RESERVOIR OTTER CREEK RESERVOIR PANGUITCH LAKE Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper Sevier Middle Sevier E Fk Sevier Current (KAF) 52.7 39.7 8.2 100.6 3 # of Sites 13 8 4 Last Year (KAF) 44.5 27.4 6.8 78.7 3 % Median Average (KAF) 49.2 35.0 12.7 96.9 3 Capacity (KAF) 71.8 52.5 22.3 146.6 3
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Upper Sevier
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
92.3
45
137
-1.17
36
68,93,59,09
! ( ! (
5 Richfield
# *
! ( ! ( ! (
70
# * ! ( ! ( ! ( ! (
Beaver 5
# * # *# *
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
15
! ( ! ( ! (
! (
! ( ! ( ! ( ! (
# *
! (
Cities
10
20
30
40 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
40 35
Soil Moisture
100%
80% Saturation, volume % Max Avg Min WY 2014 30 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
60%
40%
20%
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
140 120 100 Percent of Average 80 60 40 20 0
Reservoir Storage
GUNNISON RESERVOIR
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
78%
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 GUNNISON RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper San Pitch Lower San Pitch Current (KAF) 0.5 0.5 1 # of Sites 2 5 Last Year (KAF) 0.5 0.5 1 % Median Average (KAF) 11.4 11.4 1 Capacity (KAF) 20.3 20.3 1
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
San Pitch
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
0.5
13.0
13.5
-3.27
11
90,02,03,04
! (
89
Ephraim 5
Percent normal
! (
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
( ! (!
# *
! (
# *
Gunnison
! (
! (
! (
Cities
2.5
10
15
20 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
35 30
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
120 100
Reservoir Storage
SCOFIELD
MILLER FLAT
Percent of Average
80
CLEVELAND LAKE
60 40 20
JOES VALLEY HUNTINGTON NORTH MILLSITE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
APR-JUL
APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 JOES VALLEY RESERVOIR MILLSITE HUNTINGTON NORTH RESERVOIR CLEVELAND LAKE MILLER FLAT RESERVOIR SCOFIELD RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Price San Rafael Current (KAF) 30.0 11.3 3.0 3.0 2.5 14.5 64.2 6 # of Sites 6 6 Last Year (KAF) 34.6 7.0 3.0 2.5 1.7 27.8 76.7 6 % Median Average (KAF) 39.9 10.1 2.7 3.0 2.4 29.9 88.1 6 Capacity (KAF) 61.6 16.7 4.2 5.4 5.2 65.8 158.9 6
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Joe's Valley
#
30.0
40.0
70.0
-1.70
30
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Streamflow
Reservoir
120
100
Thousand Acre-ft
80
60
40
20
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Price River
#
14.5
27.0
41.5
-3.15
12
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Streamflow
Reservoir
140
120
Thousand Acre-ft
100
80
60
40
20
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Ferron Creek
#
11.3
28.0
39.3
-0.29
47
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Reservoir
100
80
Thousand Acre-ft
60
40
20
# *
# *
! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! ( ! (! (
5 Price
! (! (
# *
Castle Dale
# * # *
5 # *Green River
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
70
SNOTEL sites
( Forecast points!
Rivers Highways
Cities
10
20
30
40 Miles
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
30 25 20 Snow Water Equivalent (in) 15 10 5 0
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
140 120 100 Percent of Average 80
Reservoir Storage
KEN'S LAKE
60 40 20 0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
APR-JUL
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 KEN'S LAKE Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Lasal Mtns Lower San Juan Lower Green Current (KAF) 1.1 1.1 1 # of Sites 1 1 2 Last Year (KAF) 0.3 0.3 1 % Median Average (KAF) 1.1 1.1 1 Capacity (KAF) 2.3 2.3 1
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Moab
#
1.1
3.2
4.3
-0.89
39
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Streamflow
Reservoir
10
Thousand Acre-ft
Southeastern Utah
Vernal
5 Price
! (
Green River 5
70
# *
Moab
! # *! ( (
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
5 Monticello ! (* ! (#
* #
SNOTEL sites Forecast points Rivers Highways
Cities
0 5 10
20
30
40 Miles
Snowpack
25
Soil Moisture
100%
80%
15
60%
10
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Percent of Average
Monthly
Year-to-Date
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Muddy Fremont # of Sites 3 3 % Median Last Year % Median 75% 96% 91% 97%
! ( * #
70
! ( # * ! (
Hanksville Torrey
! ( ! ( Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
Cities
10
20
30
40 Miles
Snowpack
25
Soil Moisture
100%
80%
15
60%
10
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
240 220 200 180 Percent of Average 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Escalante Paria # of Sites 3 2 % Median Last Year % Median 108% 99% 132% 122%
Escalante basin
! (
! (
V U
12
! (
5 Boulder
! (
# *
Escalante
89
# *
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
Cities
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
30 25
Soil Moisture
80%
Saturation, volume %
40%
20%
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
140 120 100 Percent of Average 80 60 40 20 0
Reservoir Storage
MINERSVILLE RESERVOIR
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 MINERSVILLE RESERVOIR Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Beaver Current (KAF) 10.6 10.6 1 # of Sites 2 Last Year (KAF) 10.6 10.6 1 % Median Average (KAF) 13.4 13.4 1 Capacity (KAF) 23.3 23.3 1
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Beaver
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
10.6
20.0
30.6
-0.62
43
65,62,12,10
Beaver basin
15
70
Milford
Beaver 5
# *
! (
! (
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
0 1.5 3
12 Miles
Cities
Current % Capacity
Snowpack
35 30
Soil Moisture
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2014
Avg
Precipitation
100
Reservoir Storage
QUAIL CREEK
80 Percent of Average
60
40
UPPER ENTERPRISE
20
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
% Avg
94%
1) 90% and 10% exceedance probabilities are actually 95% and 5% 2) Forecasts are for unimpaired flows. Actual flow will be dependent on management of upstream reservoirs and diversions 3) Median value used in place of average Reservoir Storage End of January, 2014 LAKE POWELL LOWER ENTERPRISE UPPER ENTERPRISE KOLOB RESERVOIR GUNLOCK SAND HOLLOW RESERVOIR QUAIL CREEK Basin-wide Total # of reservoirs Watershed Snowpack Analysis February 1, 2014 Upper Virgin Lower Virgin Cedar City Parowan Current (KAF) 9843.0 0.8 1.0 1.7 9.7 34.0 26.4 9916.6 7 # of Sites 8 2 4 Last Year (KAF) 12190.0 0.6 2.2 5.3 6.4 36.0 23.1 12263.6 7 % Median Average (KAF) 17338.0 0.6 3.1 4.0 6.5 39.3 26.0 17417.5 7 Capacity (KAF) 24322.0 2.6 10.0 5.6 10.4 50.0 40.0 24440.6 7
Basin or Region
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Virgin River
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
36.1
32
69
-1.29
34
12,87,96,08
Southwestern Utah
15
Cedar City
! (
5# *
! ( ! ( ! (! (
! (
! ( ! ( ! ( # *
! (
! (
! (! (
# *
St. George 5
# *
Hurricane
Percent normal
< 50% 50 - 69% 70 - 89% 90 - 109% 110 - 129% 130 - 149% > 150% no % avail.
! ( # *
10 15 20 Miles
Cities
0 2.5 5
Reservoir + Streamflow
KAF
SWSI#
Percentile
%
Years with similar SWSI 28, 45, 29, 30 94, 76, 91, 00 12, 02, 94, 10 03, 88, 01, 13 91, 89, 08, 12 04,03,02,92 76, 08, 87, 73 94, 04, 94, 03 01, 03, 13, 06 10, 01, 11 90, 77, 91, 02 92, 94, 13, 04 03, 12, 78, 01 00, 13, 06, 08 68,93,59,09 90,02,03,04 08,01,96,07 65,62,12,10 12,87,96,08
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, surface water supply index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Bear River Woodruff Narrows Little Bear Ogden River Weber River Provo West Uintah Basin East Uintah Basin Blacks Fork Smiths Fork Price River Joe's Valley Ferron Creek Moab Upper Sevier River San Pitch Lower Sevier River Beaver River Virgin River
536 14.4 9.7 39.0 162 265 155 21.3 6.9 6.8 14.5 30.0 11.3 1.1 92 0.5 116 10.6 36.1
55 94.0 24.0 46.0 250 81 147 54.0 74.0 24.0 27.0 40.0 28.0 3.2 45 13 72 20.0 32
591 108.4 33.7 85.0 412 346 302 75.3 80.9 30.8 41.5 70.0 39.3 4.3 137 14 188 30.6 69
-1.72 -1.45 -0.91 -2.39 -1.81 -3.70 -0.09 -2.74 -0.91 3.06 -3.15 -1.70 -0.29 -0.89 -1.17 -3.27 -0.30 -0.62 -1.29
29 33 39 11 28 6 49 17 39 87 12 30 47 39 36 11 46 43 34
The Surface Water Supply Index (SWSI) is a predictive indicator of total surface water availability within a watershed for the spring and summer water use seasons. The index is calculated by combining pre-runoff reservoir storage (carryover) with forecasts of spring and summer streamflow which are based on current snowpack and other hydrologic variables. SWSI values are scaled from +4.1 (abundant supply) to -4.1 (extremely dry) with a value of zero (0) indicating median water supply as compared to historical analysis. SWSI's are calculated in this fashion to be consistent with other hydroclimatic indicators such as the Palmer Drought Index and the Precipitation index. Utah Snow Surveys has also chosen to display the SWSI value as well as a PERCENT CHANCE OF NON-EXCEEDANCE. While this is a cumbersome name, it has the simplest application. It can be best thought of as a scale of 1 to 99 with 1 being the drought of record (driest possible conditions) and 99 being the flood of record (wettest possible conditions) and a value of 50 representing average conditions. This rating scale is a percentile rating as well, for example a SWSI of 75% means that this years water supply is greater than 75% of all historical events and that only 25% of the time has it been exceeded. Conversely a SWSI of 10% means that 90% of historical events have been greater than this one and that only 10% have had less total water supply. This scale is comparable between basins: a SWSI of 50% means the same relative ranking on watershed A as it does on watershed B, which may not be strictly true of the +4 to -4 scale. For more information on the SWSI go to: www.ut.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/ on the water supply page. The entire period of historical record for reservoir storage and streamflow is available.
Issued by Jason Weller Chief Natural Resources Conservation Service U.S. Department of Agriculture Prepared by Snow Survey Staff Randall Julander, Supervisor Troy Brosten, Assistant Supervisor Beau Uriona, Hydrologist Jordan Clayton, Hydrologist Jeffrey OConnell, Hydrologist Bob Nault, Electronics Technician Kent Sutcliffe, Soil Scientist
Released by David Brown State Conservationist Natural Resources Conservation Service Salt Lake City, Utah
YOU MAY OBTAIN THIS PRODUCT AS WELL AS CURENT SNOW, PRECIPITATION, TEMPERATURE AND SOIL MOISTURE, RESERVOIR, SURFACE WATER SUPPLY INDEX, AND OTHER DATA BY VISITING OUR WEB SITE @: http://www.ut.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/
Snow Survey, NRCS, USDA 245 North Jimmy Doolittle Road Salt Lake City, UT 84116
(801) 524-5213