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OPTIONS STRATEGIES
LAB
BY JOHN SUMMA
Note: A version of this article originally appeared in the March 2005 ronments such as the one the market was in during much of
issue of Active Trader magazine. 2004 (which carries the possibility of a sudden volatility
increase), offer a special edge not available with a conven-
“vertical” credit spread consists of a short out- tional vertical credit spread.
TABLE 1 — VERTICAL PUT CREDIT SPREAD TABLE 2 — PROFITING FROM TIME DECAY
Because you are selling a more expensive option and buying Because the position’s net theta is positive, it means the
a cheaper one, the vertical put spread creates a net credit. spread profits from time decay as expiration approaches.
Typically, most S&P 500 futures-option spreaders will $68.40 in time decay per day, which means the spread is
write options with two to six weeks remaining until expira- profiting at a rate of $44.70 per day. Because time value
tion and strike prices at least one standard deviation from decays at an accelerating rate, the potential gains increase
the underlying price. These parameters generally provide with each passing day, all other factors remaining the same.
for the necessities of position management while offering Because the options can only decline to zero, regardless
enough premium relative to transaction costs. However, of the time decay rate, the maximum profit potential of the
should the underlying move too far, there is potential for standard vertical put spread is always the initial net credit.
large losses if position adjustments are not made. Assuming both options remain out of the money, the profit
Table 1 shows an example of a vertical put spread. With before commissions and fees would be $287.50. This is the
the December 2004 S&P 500 futures (SPZ04) at 1189.40, the shortcoming of this strategy –– you can only achieve this
spread consisted of a long December 1135 put and a short profit if these options expire worthless, regardless of the
December 1155 put for a credit of 1.15, or $287.50. (Each volatility level or underlying price movement.
point of S&P 500 option premium is worth $250.) The short continued on p. 16
leg of the spread is just
less than 35 points out of FIGURE 1 — PROFITABILITY AND PROBABILITY
the money, which is just
shy of two standard devi- The diagonal put spread has an expected profit of $388, $100 or so more than the original
vertical put spread. Also, as you move lower along the price axis, the positions vega increases.
ations. (The hypothetical
position expired prof-
itably on Friday, Dec. 16,
2004, 10 trading days
after they were selected.) Profit/loss
At the prevailing volatili- at December
ty levels and distance expiration
from the money (approx-
imately two standard
deviations), this trade has
an expected probability
of profit of 97 percent.
Table 2 shows the theta
values for each option in
the spread and under-
scores how this strategy
makes money. The long
December 1135 put loses
$23.70 in time decay per
day but the short Source: OptionVue5 Option Analysis Software (www.optionvue.com)
December 1155 put gains
If the S&P is at 1160 at expiration (which represents an approximately 3-percent drop from
where the index was when the diagonal spread was established), the maximum profit
increases to $900 from the original vertical spread’s $287.50 profit. The increased profit If the S&P corrects,
occurs because the January 1070 put can capitalize on both the additional volatility and say, 1 to 3 percent, as it
downside price movement. has periodically through-
out the past few years
since its bullish move off
the 2002 lows, any mod-
est volatility spikes
Profit/loss
(volatility rises when
at December
expiration equity futures decline)
can quickly add value to
put options. A diagonal
put spread has the ability
to turn these events into
potential profits, while a
vertical put spread
remains limited to the
premium collected when
the spread was placed.
— CONTACT —
Bob Dorman Allison Chee Mark Seger
Ad sales East Coast and Midwest Ad sales West Coast and Southwest Account Executive
bdorman@activetradermag.com achee@activetradermag.com seger@activetradermag.com
(312) 775-5421 (415) 272-0999 (312) 377-9435