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Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that reflect the Companys current views with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Words such as expects, anticipates, projects, intends, plans, believes, estimates, variations of such words, and similar expressions are also intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forwardlooking statements are and will be, as the case may be, subject to many risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the Companys operations and business environment, all of which may cause the Companys actual results to be materially different from any future results, expressed or implied, in these forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, the Companys ability to accurately forecast quarter and year -end results; economic volatility; the price and availability of aircraft fuel; fluctuations in demand for transportation in the markets in which the Company operates; the Companys dependence on tourist travel; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; and the Companys ability to implement its growth strategy and related cost reduction goals. The risks, uncertainties and assumptions referred to above that could cause the Companys results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements also include the risks, uncertainties and assumptions discussed from time to time in the Companys other public filings and public announcements, including the Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012 and the Companys Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, as well as other documents that may be filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements included in this document are based on information available to the Company on the date hereof. The Company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date hereof even if experience or future changes make it clear that any projected results expressed or implied herein will not be realized.
Inflection point for Hawaiian Fleet plan drives lower growth and investment Positive implications for balance sheet Higher unit revenues expected as routes mature Good cost control All of which lead to improving ROI
58%
Neighbor Islands
North America
International
North America
Neighbor Island
International
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
Growth moderates with fleet plan B767 replacement continues Final 3 A330s in 2015
Wide-body
A330
B767 Narrow-body B717 Turbo-prop ATR 42 Total
5
16 16 37
9
16 18 2 45
14
12 18 3 47
19
10 18 3 50
22
7 18 3 50
2.
3.
6.7 yrs.
6.3 yrs.
4 2 0 (2)
5 3
(2) (4)
2012A
A330 Commitments
(3)
2015E
2011A
2013E
2014E
15.0%
10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2010 2011 2012
2013E
2014E
[a] Full year effects of 2013 new routes to Taipei, Sendai and Auckland. [b] Beijing, China (beginning in April 2014 pending government approval) and seasonal service from Lihue / Kona to Oakland / Los Angeles
Prefunded
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total CAPEX
# of A330 deliveries
Based on our existing fleet plan. Utilized the mid-point of the Total CAPEX range for 2013E, 2014E, 2015E and 2016E.
$0
Free Cash Flow = Cash Flow from Operations less CAPEX, excluding financing
110%
66%
4.8x 4.6x 45% 53%
4.2x
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
LUV
ALK
JBLU
HA
LCC
UAL
DAL
Class B
$116,280,000
B1 / BB- / BB 71.5% 4.95% 6.9 years January 15 and July 15
Proceeds of the offering will be held in escrow with the Depositary institution and withdrawn from time to time to purchase Equipment Notes as the aircraft are financed
10
1. Initial Loan to Value is calculated as of January 15, 2015, the first Regular Distribution Date after which all aircraft are expected to be financed. In calculating these percentages, we have assumed that the aggregate value of all such aircraft is $601,950,700 as of January 15, 2015, the first Regular Distribution Date after all aircraft have been delivered. Please refer to the Prospectus Supplement for further details.
Delivered
Year Period Q2 2010 Q2 Q4 Q2 2011 Q4 Q1 Q2 2012 Q2 Q2 Q1 Q1 2013 Sale-Leaseback Leased Sale-Leaseback Bank Debt 2015 Bank Debt Bank Debt Bank Debt Method Leased Leased Leased Bank Debt 2014 Year 2013
Pending Deliveries
Period Q4 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q4 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q4 Method Prefunded EETC Prefunded EETC Prefunded EETC Prefunded EETC Prefunded EETC Prefunded EETC TBD TBD TBD
Q2
Q2
Sale-Leaseback
Bank Debt
11
9.0 8.8
25.0
8.6
CASM Ex-Fuel in cents 18.6% 8.4 Down 6% 8.2 8.0 7.8 5.0 7.6 4.5% 14.0% 15.0
Down 3%
Near Flat
10.0
7.4
2010 2011 CASM Ex-Fuel 2012 ASM growth 2013E 2014E
0.0
12
2013E CASM ex-fuel assume midpoint of guided ranges 2011 CASM ex-fuel and $70.0 lease termination charge
22.0%
20.0
13
1.
Non-operating expense
Future Expectations Moderating growth Lower investment Strengthening balance sheet More mature routes Low-cost hedging program Lower start-up costs
Rapid growth Heavy investment Balance sheet steady Many developing routes High-cost hedging program High start-up costs
Growth-limited ROI
Improving ROI
14
Mahalo.
Appendix
17
18
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS ($ in thousands) RECONCILATION OF NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED NET INCOME Net Income (Loss) (GAAP) Adjustment for Non-Recurring Items Adjustment for Unrealized (Gains)/Losses on Fuel Derivative Contracts ADJUSTED NET INCOME (LOSS) RECONCILATIONOF NET INCOME TO ADJUSTED EBITDAR Net Income (Loss) (GAAP) Income Tax Expense (Benefit) Interest expense and Amortization of Debt Costs Adjustment for Litigation Settlement Adjustment for Lease Termination Fee Adjustment for Unrealized (Gains)/Losses on Fuel Derivative Contracts ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT Depreciation & Amortization ADJUSTED EBITDA Aircraft Rent ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILATION OF DEBT &CAPITAL LEASE OBLIGATIONS TO TOTAL DEBT Debt & capital Lease Obligations (GAAP) Operating Lease Expense, Capitalized at 7.0X TOTAL DEBT $188,772 789,047 $977,819 $461,971 790,181 $1,252,152 $661,240 691,502 $1,352,742 $762,738 748,671 $1,511,409 $110,255 (28,266) 16,835 --(3,840) $94,984 57,712 $152,696 112,721 $265,417 ($2,649) 1,567 24,521 -70,014 6,432 $99,885 66,262 $166,147 112,883 $279,030 $53,237 32,549 43,522 --3,958 $133,266 85,599 $218,865 98,786 $317,651 $31,367 20,702 48,796 --5,487 $106,352 82,905 $189,257 106,953 $296,210 $110,255 (62,546) (2,304) $45,405 ($2,649) 42,008 3,859 $43,218 $53,237 -2,375 $55,612 $31,367 -3,292 $34,659 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 3Q13 TTM
19
Item Cost per ASM Excluding Fuel (cents)................................................... Passenger Revenue Per ASM (cents).................................................... Operating Revenue Per ASM (cents).................................................... ASMs (millions)........................................................................................ Gallons of jet fuel consumed (millions)..................................................
20
Committed Financings
Enhanced Equipment Trust Certificates (EETC) - $445M 6 aircraft (Nov 2013 2014) $445M total facility Class A = 3.9% fixed interest rate and maturity in 2027 Class B = 4.95% fixed interest rate and maturity in 2023
Other
Revolving Credit Facility - $76M Undrawn $70M available balance Maturity in 2014 Convertible Notes Fixed interest rate of 5% Maturity in 2016
21
WACC 6% to 6.5%
4.0%
2.0%
22
ROIC = Adjusted for 2011 lease termination charge of $70M. Aircraft rent capitalized at 7.0x.
$0
$91,278,66 $112,721,000 ($28,405,692) $196,514 $175,789,822
$70,013,645
$90,296,526 $112,882,876 ($28,446,485) $247,595 $174,980,512
$0
$129,400,002 $98,783,750 ($24,893,505) $294,392 $203,584,638
$0
$112,138,131 $106,953,016 ($26,952,160) $317,592 $192,456,578
$101,488,697
$122,130,425
$115,454,701
Average Total Debt and Capital Leases Common Equity Average Capitalized Operating Leases Remove Average Excess Cash
3
$1,123,289,986
$1,354,170,586
$1,442,401,184
$,598,782,061
15.6% 9.7%
12.9% 7.5%
14.1% 8.5%
12.0% 7.2%
1. 2. 3.
All unrestricted cash removed from invested capital, except for working capital required to operate the business, defined as unrestricted cash equal to 15% of TTM total revenue Assumes 25 years useful life of aircraft and 10% salvage value Average capitalized operating leases equals TTM rent multiplied by 7
23
Key Metrics
Unrestricted Cash / Revenue
23.0%
Return on Equity
50.0%
41.1% 40.4%
22.0%
21.0% 20.0% 19.0% 18.0% 17.0%
21.8% 20.7% 20.9% 40.0% 30.0% 18.4% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 3Q13 TTM
38.8%
14.2%
16.0%
2010
2011
2012
3Q13 TTM
20.0%
15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2010
16.9%
16.2% 14.0%
2011
2012
3Q13TTM
24
ROE adjusted for lease termination charge of $70M in 2011. Calculated using monthly average debt and equity balances. Debt / Cap Ratio includes capitalized aircraft rent expense at 7.0x. Adjusted Debt / EBITDAR = Includes capitalized rent expense at 7.0x and $70M lease termination charge excluded from EBITDAR
$7.00
Share Price
25
With the purchase and sale of the call spread / warrants, the conversion price is effectively $10.
Labor Statistics
Represented By
Association of Flight Attendants (AFA)
Number of Employees*
1,646
Percent
31%
603
12%
September 2015
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers - Mechanics, Cleaners, Line Service (IAM-M)
713
14%
April 2014
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers - CSA, Ramp, Office, Clerical (IAM-C)
1,511
29%
December 2013
39
1%
October 2013
4,512
86%
Non-Contract
719
14%
Total Employees
5,231
26