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Mergers & Acquisitions

VOLUME 4

ISSUE 5

January 31, 2008


Defensive Acquisition with Upside
INSIDE
directors. The addition of Messrs. Molaris, Mende,
On Tuesday, just a week after Quintana’s press release Robertson and Cornell will increase the size of the board
announcing the termination of the sale process, Excel and to 13 of which seven will be independent, presuming no

Mergers & Acquisitions


Quintana jointly announced that Excel had, over the week- further changes are made. Make no mistake Excel is in
end, agreed to acquire Quintana pursuant to a definitive control, but from the standpoint of the economics
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merger agreement whereby Quintana would become a Quintana got its fair share.

Market Commentary
wholly owned subsidiary of Excel. The purchase price will
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be approximately $2.2 billion (based upon Excel’s closing This is a transformational transaction for Excel. Not only
price of $33.00), including net debt of Quintana and other did it create one of the world’s largest bulk owners and

Back to the Futures


costs operators by DWT, it married two different operating
page 12 philosophies, which will provide for an interesting give and
Under the terms of the agreement, Quintana shareholders take. But from Mr. Panayotides viewpoint, the transaction
Deal Tables & will receive a combination of cash and stock. Each “enhances the financial stability of Excel.”
Bond Prices Quintana share will receive $13.00 in cash and 0.4084
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shares of Class A common stock in Excel. Based upon From Quintana’s perspective, their goal of unlocking

Conference Schedule
Monday’s closing price, the offer represents a total value of shareholder value has been accomplished. In light of
$26.48 per share, representing a 57% premium to
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diminished valuation due to the long-term charter con-
Quintana’s closing price on that day of $16.89 and a 34% tracts, they receive a reasonable price in light of the fleet
premium to Quintana’s 30-day average price. The agree- NAV and recent share trading levels. More importantly,
ment provides for a cap of $31.38 based upon an Excel the share portion now provides upside, which was limited
EDITORIAL STAFF share price of $45.00 as well as price adjustments for divi- by the Quintana model.
Nora Huvane, Managing Editor dend payments.
nhuvane@marinemoney.com
George Weltman, Publisher
In terms of the combined fleet, the new company will
gweltman@marinemoney.com As of September 30, 2007, Excel’s balance sheet shows operate 47 vessels on the water (3.7 million DWT) and 8
BUSINESS AND 19,893,556 Class A and 135,326 Class B shares outstand- newbuild capsizes (1.4 million DWT) to be delivered
SUBSCRIPTION OFFICE
UNITED STATES
ing. The holders of Class A shares are entitled to one vote between 2008 and 2010. The company now has the capa-
One Stamford Landing per share on each matter requiring the approval of the bility of offering the full spectrum of dry bulk vessels to its
Suite 214
62 Southfield Avenue holders of common shares while each Class B share is enti- first class customers which include, cargo interests, such as
Stamford, CT 06902 USA
Phone: +1.203.406.0106 tled to 1,000 votes per share. To accomplish the transac- EDF, BHPBilliton, Bunge, Cargill and operators such as
Fax: +1.203.406.0110
Email: info@marinemoney.com tion, Excel will issue another 23,907,759 Class A shares to COSCO, Oldendorff, Armada and Daeyang. The aver-
To learn more about shareholders of Quintana’s outstanding shares, unvested age age of the fleet is 8.1 years with the capesize and kam-
subscribing, please contact us
via your preferred restricted stock and warrants. This will give Qunitana eco- sarmax being younger and the panamax and handymax the
medium at the office listed
above. Annual Subscription is nomic ownership of 55% of the Class A or public shares eldest. The newbuilding capesizes are interesting in that
$995 US plus postage.
with the Panayotides family’s indirect holding diluted to they are ordered from Japanese and Korean yards and the
Freshly Minted may be photocopied
by license only. Electronic or physi- approximately 11.5%. However, control of the Class B risk is spread, on all but one, through joint ownership with
cal reproduction or forwarding of
this document in whole or in part shares remains with Mr. Panayotides’ family interests. In AMCIC, a company controlled by Quintana’s principals.
is strictly prohibited, even for
internal purposes. terms of voting power, Class A shareholders control
While Marine Money has taken approximately 24.5% of the vote of which Quintana’s The key element of this deal for us was the employment
great care in the production of this
publication, no liability can be shareholders control 13.3%. profile that resulted from the combination of a more spot
accepted for any loss incurred in
any way whatsoever by any person focused company with one that emphasized fixed employ-
who may seek to rely on the infor-
mation contained herein. Excel’s current board of directors is composed of nine ment. Quintana struggled with its below market employ-
members of whom four are independent non-executive ment but the new company benefits from a floor, albeit

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Mergers & Acquisitions continued
low, while adding unfixed days to take advantage of current market Mr. Molaris a strong vote of confidence in the industry and the
conditions. In short, the fixed charter coverage of the combined transaction given these turbulent times. Nordea will act as agent for
company is respectively 78%, 57% and 46% for 2008, 2009 and the transaction and together with Deutsche Bank will serve as joint
2010. bookrunners. Members of the bank financing consortium include:
Credit Suisse, DVB, Deutsche Bank, GE Capital, National Bank
Other strategic factors supporting the combination in addition to of Greece and Nordea. The balance of the funding will come from
size are strong cash flow visibility, a modern diverse fleet, built-in $350 million in available cash and $225 million in debt rolling with
growth from newbuildings, significant synergies, an expanded first the transaction.
class customer base and an experienced management team.
Synergies will largely come from the technical and operational man- On a pro forma basis, the company will have $1.625 billion in debt
agement provided by Maryville Maritime Inc., Excel’s in-house with approximately $100 million in available cash. Based upon fleet
management company, as well as the benefits of a larger fleet. They appraisals, excluding newbuildings, the debt represents 45% of the
expect savings of $15 to 20 million annually through improved uti- combined fleet market value. On the conference call, Natasha
lization, dry-dock savings, improved daily operating expense and Boyden of Cantor Fitzgerald raised concerns about the resulting
lower general and administrative expenses. leverage.

To finance the transaction, Excel has received a $1.4 billion commit- Kudos are due to Citi and Deutsche Bank who acted as financial
ment for new secured loans from a syndicate of banks led by Nordea advisors to Quintana and Excel respectively. On the legal front,
Bank Finland PLC, London Branch. Based upon the size of the Quintana was represented by Morgan Lewis & Bockius while
transaction and the fact that it was underwritten was according to Excel’s legal team included White & Case and Gr. J. Timagenis.

Cash Flow Multiples by Vessel Type


EBITDA Multiple
Ship Type Sub-type* Charterfree Spot 1-year TC 3-year TC 2003-06
Value (US$) Average Spot
TANKER
VLCC Modern 300,000 dwt $138,000,000 4.9 7.0 8.3 6.1
Vintage 250-285,000 dwt $55,000,000 2.2 5.0 - 2.9
Suezmax Modern 150,000 dwt $96,000,000 6.7 7.4 8.0 5.2
Aframax Modern 95-105,000 dwt $73,000,000 4.4 7.1 8.1 5.5
Mid-aged 95-105,000 dwt $60,000,000 3.9 10.4 7.1 4.9
Clean Product Modern 70-75,000 dwt $62,000,000 5.7 7.5 7.9 5.2
Mid-aged 30-35,000 dwt $36,500,000 5.6 - - 4.4
Dirty Product Modern 45-47,000 dwt $52,000,000 5.4 6.9 7.6 4.9
BULK CARRIERS
Capesize Modern 170,000 dwt $145,000,000 5.1 3.5 4.7 8.5
Mid-aged 150,000 dwt $104,000,000 4.4 2.5 3.4 7.7
Vintage 150,000 dwt $88,000,000 3.8 6.3 - 6.7
Panamax Modern 73,000 dwt $87,000,000 5.4 4.1 5.8 11.8
Mid-aged 72,000 dwt $70,500,000 4.4 3.3 4.8 9.9
Vintage 60,000 dwt $42,000,000 3.0 2.8 4.7 6.8
Handymax Modern 45,000 dwt $66,000,000 4.5 4.4 5.4 10.2
Mid-aged 42-45,000 $56,000,000 3.9 3.7 4.6 8.9
Handysize Modern 25-30,000 dwt $43,500,000 - 3.6 5.8 -
Mid-aged 25-30,000 dwt $39,000,000 - 3.3 5.3 -
CONTAINER**
Mid-aged 3,500 teu $49,500,000 4.8 - - 6.2
*The ship Sub-type is associated with the charterfree market value of the vessel; all corresponding rate data is chosen using a "best fit" method.
** Average spot is 2001-2006
Data for ship values and market rates is sourced from Clarkson Research Studies.

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Mergers & Acquisitions continued
Of course, none of this contemplates the outcome of Oceanaut’s globally from Oslo and about 30 locations worldwide under the
shareholder vote on the acquisition of another fleet of dry bulk ves- HAL brand. When combined with existing newbuilding orders in
sels of nine vessels of 809,000 DWT which includes two capesize, place, HAL will grow it carrying capacity by 45% to 85 ships by
four panamax and three supramax vessels. Should the transaction be 2012. HAL started its Ro/Ro car carrier operations in 1969. Its
completed Excel and insiders will own 16.7% of the shares with main customers include major manufacturers of new cars, heavy
Maryville providing technical services. machinery and rolling goods. Last year it carried about 1.9 million
car equivalent units.
Closing is expected to occur in the 2nd quarter. Congratulations to
all. With APM as a shareholder, HAL will strengthen its financial and

First Romance, Then Marriage


strategic position for further growth. In particular, HAL will bene-
fit from APM’s expertise in liner shipping, logistics, port operations
In February 2007, the A.P. Moller – Maersk Group (“APM”) and port-to-port efficiency.
entered into a co-operation agreement with Hoegh Autoliners
(“HAL”) whereby APM entered its fleet of twelve car carriers into a The new company is well positioned. This is a ripe market with
commercial operation controlled by HAL. Yesterday, the companies world production of factory new cars having grown steadily to 65
took the next step and jointly announced that APM has sold its 18 million units in 2007. World car production is expected to contin-
car carriers, including six newbuildings, to HAL in exchange for a ue growing to about 90 million units in 2015 representing an annu-
37.5% shareholding in HAL. The transaction moves APM from al growth rate of 3-4%. Historically, approximately 15% of the pro-
being a tonnage provider in the car carrier market to a shareholder duction volume is exported overseas. Globalization of the industry
in a leading car carrier operator. Leif Hoegh & Co. Limited will has brought about changes in production patterns that are affecting
retain their position as majority shareholder in the company. seaborne transportation positively resulting in additional demand
for transportation services. In particular, they note that car manufac-
HAL will commercially manage the combined fleet of 67 vessels turing increasingly takes place in Asia as well as the emergence of

Marine Money “Fair Value” Table for Shipping Equities


Company Price* NAV P/NAV Marine Money's Difference from
"Fair Value"** Actual Price
B+H Ocean Carriers $13.23 25.87 51% $21.95 $8.72
Aries Maritime Transport $6.92 11.78 59% $9.99 $3.07
Overseas Shipholding Group $65.23 109.23 60% $92.67 $27.44
Tsakos Energy Navigation $34.31 56.53 61% $47.96 $13.65
Teekay Shipping $47.24 69.80 68% $59.22 $11.98
TORM $32.37 46.52 70% $39.47 $7.10
Quintana Maritime $24.45 32.64 75% $27.69 $3.24
Eagle Bulk Shipping $24.72 31.95 77% $27.11 $2.39
StealthGas $14.05 18.14 77% $15.39 $1.34
Ship Finance International Ltd. $26.06 32.12 81% $27.25 $1.19
Arlington Tankers $21.23 25.82 82% $21.90 $0.67
Excel Maritime $37.98 42.52 89% $36.07 -$1.91
Nordic American Tanker Shipping Ltd. $31.22 34.78 90% $29.51 -$1.71
Danaos Corporation $27.10 27.53 98% $23.36 -$3.74
Genco Shipping & Trading $49.59 46.93 106% $39.81 -$9.78
Knightsbridge Tankers Ltd. $26.25 24.42 107% $20.72 -$5.53
Omega Navigation $16.87 15.65 108% $13.28 -$3.59
General Maritime $34.74 31.67 110% $26.87 -$7.87
DryShips $74.43 65.92 113% $55.92 -$18.51
Diana Shipping $29.39 25.56 115% $21.68 -$7.71
Average: 85%
*Price data current as of closing on January 31, 2008
**Based on current average P/NAV
Compiled based on Jefferies & Company, Inc. Energy Group Estimates, Marine Money Research, Company information

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Mergers & Acquisitions continued
new markets in India and China. Along with the good news on the have formed a joint venture for a strategic alliance to further devel-
demand side, the current market is characterized by a capacity op International Trade Logistics ("ITL"), a privately-owned busi-
squeeze. A growing market combined with consolidation is general- ness comprising Argentina's second-largest container terminal and
ly good news for market participants. complementary logistics and warehousing businesses.

Nordea were advisers to HAL while Citi advised APM. Deutsche Bank advised the Roman Group.
Congratulations to all on a deal well done.

PSA in Acquisition in Argentina –


The privately-owned Argentinean company operates the Exolgan

Deutsche Advises Roman Group


Container Terminal, which is located at Dock Sud in Buenos Aires
province.
PSA International, a leading global port operator, and
International Port Holdings ("IPH") a wholly-owned subsidiary This is the second deal in the last year between PSA and IPH, which

Market Commentary
of Global Infrastructure Partners ("GIP"), and Roman Group is a subsidiary of private equity fund Global Infrastructure Partners.

The confluence of a credit squeeze, fallen charter rates and ailing were found to be much less flexible than those previously enjoyed by the
equity markets appears to have set off a wave of consolidation. company and its subsidiaries, coupled with a significant increase in cost
While many have been enjoying the good times, there has been no of borrowing even when a fifteen-year time charter contract with a first
shortage of market players looking forward to the day when vessel class Chinese steel mill was in place. The risk-return profile of complet-
values would reach their peak and begin to descend. This makes ves- ing the First Contract and the Second Contract has thus changed dras-
sel acquisitions more attractive, while stock prices that have fallen tically due to persistent negative sentiment clouding the global financial
below NAV almost across the board are making public companies markets.”
look like increasingly attractive targets.
Even so, Capital Product Partners this week announced success in
Even brokers have been getting in on the game, as ICAP Hyde securing a firm commitment for a new ten-year revolving credit
acquires Capital Shipbrokers, together with its 37 staff in London facility of up to $350 million that is non-amortizing until March
and representative and associated offices in Dubai and Beijing. 2013. HSH Nordbank and DnB Nor Markets will act as lead
Rumors also continue to swirl regarding the future of Stamford- arranger and co-arranger, and the facility carries a rate of LIBOR +
based MJLF. 110 basis points and a 32.5 basis point commitment fee. The com-
pany intends to swap the LIBOR portion of any amounts drawn
At the same time the rumors that owners might run into trouble down into a fixed rate until the end of the non-amortizing period.
financing newbuildings are being confirmed. Jinhui Shipping & The facility is intended to finance up to 50% of the purchase price
Transportation announced this week that it is canceling contracts of any potential future drop downs of modern tanker vessels from
for two VLOC (Very Large Ore Carrier) newbuildings ordered in Capital Maritime & Trading.
November 2007 from China Shipbuilding & Offshore
International and Dalian Shipbuilding Industry Co. The total That provides hard evidence that German banks are back in the
value of the orders was over $245 million and a total of $4 million lending game and that newbuilding finance is available. However
in cancellation fees shall be paid to the yards. Hong Kong-based, before the summer it seems unlikely CPLP would have needed
Oslo-listed Jinhui eloquently described the financial considerations announce the facility in advance of vessel acquisitions, while Jinhui’s
behind its decision: move is indicative that cheap credit has a fairly direct inflationary
impact on asset values by increasing owners’ willingness to pay.
“Since the subprime mortgage financial crisis unfolds during the past Expensive credit should theoretically have the reverse effect.
few months, financial institutions have reduced their willingness to loan
funds to other financial institutions and to corporations in general, Also relating to the yard question, Ocean Heavy Lift announced
resulting in a global credit crunch. Despite receiving a number of that two heavylift vessels will not be finished before Chinese New
financing proposals from a number of banks with regards to the financ- Year as earlier anticipated due to “heavy workload and adverse
ing of the two VLOCs, proposed terms and conditions from the banks weather conditions”.

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Market Commentary continued

Meanwhile Seacastle yesterday announced that it was postponing tion and do it justice. Objectivity is also an issue as we are ardent
its proposed IPO due to unfavorable market conditions and market admirers of the company’s rather unique market approach and strat-
volatility. One might surmise that with investors likely seeking a egy. With that said, here are our key takeaways and our favorite
lower price, the deal became too expensive from the standpoint of slides from their presentation.
yield. Certainly, they will be back when things normalize.
Norden is an integrated global operator and owner within the dry
All this leads to the five hundred billion dollar question: could con- cargo and tanker sectors. As of the 3rd quarter 2007, the company’s
solidation, a credit squeeze, tight equity markets, lower freight rates gross fleet consisted of 311 units of which 213 were on the water
and unforeseen delays in China help save the shipping market from and another 98 on order. Since 2000, Norden has demonstrated
the looming specter of oversupply that robust liquid markets have strong growth in earnings and capacity. Approximately 80% of the
created? earnings on an EBITDA basis are derived from the bulk sector. They

Debutante
attribute the growth to the “software,” exposure to China/India, a
deep and flexible “book,” a very modern core fleet, an asset light
Last week D/S Norden (“Norden”) held its first Capital Markets business model and leading positions in supramax, panamax and
Day in New York at the prestigious Four Seasons Hotel. The event product tanker segments. From figure 1, you can get a clearer posi-
was hosted by Mr. Ivar Hansson Myklebust, EVP and CFO, and tion of where this relative unknown in the U.S. stands compared
Mr. Martin Badsted, VP & Head of Corporate Secretariat. As this with its peers.
was the premier event in N.Y., the crowd was relatively small but
high powered and included, among others, key New York shipping Talk about positioning your business for the future. From the time-
analysts Natasha Boyden of Cantor, Doug Mavrinac of Jefferies, line, we saw Norden’s first sailings to Shanghai and Nagasaki
Glenn Muller from JP Morgan and Michael Webber from occurred in 1875 and 1876 respectively. There is something to be
Wachovia. Others in the audience included investors as well as said about long-term relationships. We don’t know if the Shikoku
Peter Shaerf of AMA. owners were operating then but clearly we can make the connection
as to why Norden has a favored position with them today.
The company allocated three hours for the presentation and Q&A
session and we are struggling how to distill the in-depth presenta- To understand Norden one needs to understand their business

Figure 1
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Market Commentary continued

model (see figure 2). Like a balance sheet that matches assets with sense. Norden has shown a preference for the COAs as they allow
liabilities, Norden constructs a book which matches owned, con- the most logistical efficiencies by specifying a certain tonnage to be
trolled and chartered assets (capacity) against employment opportu- moved over a period of time at a fixed price per ton. Being some-
nities (coverage). On the capacity side, flexibility is the key. what open-ended or flexible, Norden can nominate the vessel for
Depending on their market views as well as short and medium term that voyage thereby better optimizing vessel usage by minimizing
opportunities, they can scale the business upward when opportuni- ballast. It also provides direct contact with cargo sources providing
ties arise or downsize it if necessary. This is accomplished by lever- superior market intelligence. Alternatives include time charters out,
aging the fleet. The current active fleet, as of September 30th, con- generally for periods of two to five years, FFAs and the spot market.
sisted of 213 vessels broken down into a core fleet of 70 vessels and None of these, however, provide the flexibility and opportunity of
other short-term chartered-in vessels aggregating 163. Remarkably, the COAs. Another important aspect of this model is how it fosters
the core fleet consists of only 12 owned vessels. A further 36 vessels the sale and purchase of vessels. During last year, Norden was able
are chartered-in with purchase options for terms that range from five to sell 16 vessels, taking money off the table without affecting the
to seven years, with an additional 22 vessels chartered-in for terms operating model.
of three years or longer.
Each of its Interim Reports includes a chart, Capacity and Coverage,
What is particularly fascinating for us is how management con- which portrays the current book both for quarter ended and date
structs a portion of this capacity so that it minimizes risk while published. Looking forward to the next quarter, the next two years
offering upside through optionality. Key to this capability is the pre- and then onward, capacity and coverage are shown in ship days with
viously mentioned Shikoku owners. These owners leverage off the the latter deducted from the former to calculate net capacity. Also
reputation and the financial strength of owners such as Norden to shown is coverage in percentage terms. The right side of the chart is
construct vessels at local yards with local financing in Yen. With the calculated in average T/C equivalents and shows costs for gross
lower interest rates, the charter rates are very competitive as are the capacity (a key managed cost) and revenue from coverage. From
purchase options. At the conclusion of the charter, Norden has the these, one can view a close proxy for EBITDA, EBITDA margin
option of exercising the purchase option, extending the charter for and perhaps more importantly, the breakeven cost of the fleet going
a fixed period or re-delivering the vessel. forward. The latter is somewhat distorted in the near term as it
includes all the short-term vessels, but looking beyond those years
The coverage side also offers many options. The vessels can be one sees the effective and remarkably low competitive cost of the
employed under COAs, time charters out and the spot market. owned and chartered-in tonnage.
Management looks at cargo exposure to see if it makes financial

Figure 2
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Market Commentary continued

Profitability is achieved through the careful management of capaci- It is fairly straightforward on the ownership side. Value creation can
ty against an equally careful selection of coverage. The success of the be accomplished through sale and purchase activities, Shikoku
business, as they point out, rests on the people, the brand and sys- transactions and technical management. It becomes far more inter-
tems. An interesting discrepancy to note is the disproportionate esting as an operator. There is, of course, the open book to play with
share of profits (75%) that comes from the core fleet which propor- as well as the potential for new activities. Just this past year, Norden,
tionally only represents 27% of the entire fleet. Nevertheless the for example, took a larger position in the panamax sector and
short-term charter business is profitable albeit at smaller margins, as entered the handysize market as we mentioned earlier.
one would expect.
It is in the closed book where Norden’s strengths and skills become
A closer look at the dry cargo business provides some insights into apparent. There are four opportunities to create value in the closed
management’s thinking. Historically, the company has focused on book. The simplest is through optionality or the ability to increase
the handymax (since1985) and panamax (from 2000) size vessels. exposure by time chartering in vessels. The second opportunity may
On the capesize vessels, the company follows the market and remains come from the volatility over time on the freight spread between dif-
opportunistic. The company’s primary focus has historically been on ferent trading routes. Here the example provided relates to a very
the handymax where there are many coverage opportunities and they strong Pacific market, which led to a shortage of available tonnage
can add value. Interestingly, the company saw opportunities in 2007 willing to reposition to the Atlantic and a resulting spike in the
in the panamax segment and increased their penetration into this backhaul rate. This enabled Norden to sell the downside risk in
space from a core fleet of 16 by adding 89 vessels on short to medi- newly negotiated COAs. In the third strategy, Norden benefits from
um term charters. It has also expanded its participation in the handy- synergies in trading patterns on multiple COAs by minimizing the
size segment at the behest of their customers who required more flex- ballast ratio and therefore optimizing income streams. Finally, by
ible vessels for their trades. In particular, coal imports into India are being active in different segments, Norden can take advantage of
limited by a lack of infrastructure and port restrictions. The handy- spread differentials between vessel types and switch cargos based
size vessel with its gear provides an easy solution. upon market conditions. For example, if panamax rates are lower
than handymax, Norden can offer the larger ship, which can carry
Key to understanding Norden’s success is to understand its some- more cargo cheaply and split the difference.
what unique position as an owner/operator. Both avenues offer the
opportunity to create value as figure 3 demonstrates: Despite fears of recession, Norden’s market view remains upbeat.

Figure 3
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Market Commentary continued

Based upon growing infrastructure in China and India and the com- The pool mainly seeks to take advantage of the arbitrage trade in the
mensurate increasing demand for raw materials, they believe their Atlantic basin where approximately 80% of their cargo is sourced
trades are less sensitive to a possible U.S. recession than in the past. and unlike the competition they trade 50/50 in the dirty and clean
Demand is further enhanced by the lower quality of China’s ore as markets. By trading both cargos they maximize the laden ratio,
well as the limits to stockpiling. All of which when considered which has averaged 81% over the last three years.
together signal more cargo flows and increasing demand. Figure 4
shows an interesting perspective on tonnage demand and where it Another revenue enhancer is from their focus on the ice trades in the
comes from. Baltic, which provide three to five months of premium rates.
Norient serves this trade, which centers mainly in the FSU and
Yes, there is a tanker business too and we shouldn’t neglect it. Europe, with 30 active ice-classed vessels with an additional 12 on
Focused mainly on the products trade, the company’s emphasis is order. In cold winters, with lots of ice, rates during the high period,
mainly on the handysize and MR tankers with a fleet on the water December to April, have sometimes spiked to more than double the
of 22 vessels with another 24 on order. It operates its tonnage normal market rate. However, even in warm winters there is a ben-
through the Norient Product Pool a 50/50 joint venture of Norden efit in that some charterers prefer to hedge their exposure and make
and Interorient Navigation. The pool is the 3rd largest product sure ahead of the season that the tonnage will be available.
pool, behind Handy-Tankers and Torm, and markets in total 43
active vessels with another 39 on order. By marketing through a In terms of the product market, the company noted that despite
pool, Norden enhances its market position through compatible fleet substantial fleet growth, rates have remained good and asset prices
and scale and is therefore in a position to provide customers with a remain robust. The IMO product carrier phase-out will offset some
better service. Due to differences in market dynamics, the make-up of the fleet growth, although for 2007 only about half the expected
of the operating fleet is different from the dry. Here the core fleet vessel phase out actually took place. The demand side is also a pos-
comprises 93% of the operating fleet with only 7% short-term char- itive story with increased U.S. oil demand being met by higher
ter. In fact, the owned and chartered-in vessels with purchase imports of refined products. This demand is subject to the multipli-
options represent together 54%. er effect due to the greater distance traveled resulting from the

Figure 4
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Market Commentary continued

capacity constraints on U.S. refineries and the more distant sourc- Today, the term risk management is on everyone’s mind and Norden
ing. Interestingly, the shift from oil to products occurred in the peri- has it. Their main measure is to calculate the Group’s net commit-
od between 2002 and 2003 when oil prices started to increase. In a ment and compare it to book equity. Net commitment is calculated
2012 forecast, the company shows that it is only in North America by adding t/c payments, known newbuilding payments, known ves-
that oil demand exceeds refinery capacity. In addition, refined prod- sel purchases (secondhand or exercise of purchase options) and bank
uct quality specifications have created a geographical dislocation debt, from which they net known COA income (net of daily run-
leading to increased ton-miles. Only 40 to 50% of the refineries can ning costs), t/c out coverage, known sales proceeds and cash. The
produce product to the North American standard. A trade has current limit is that net commitment can be up to 2x book equity.
resulted where the low specification product refined in the U.S. is Despite substantial growth Norden has not exceeded a gearing of
sent to South America, for example, with high quality coming back. 60% since the beginning of 2004.

By most measures Norden’s numbers are good (see figure 5). Vessel The balance of the presentation was geared to MIT graduates as Mr.
days have grown substantially to over 60,000 in 2007 with EBIT- Myklebust discussed the important issue of options pricing. The
DA and net profits following. Invested capital too has risen but the purchase options are as everyone knows extremely valuable but how
company shows remarkable capital efficiency with high ROIC and valuable and how to portray them are the difficult questions to
ROE which is partially attributable to the asset light model. answer. For those of a scientific bent, there are calculations and
appendices galore in their presentation.
Norden takes the view that the industry is too cyclical to have a fixed
dividend policy, although they have historically paid dividends. Should NASDAQ take over OMX, the Nordic exchange, where
With no specific policy, management looks at the company’s future Norden’s shares are listed, Norden’s shares could benefit from the
requirements and retains sufficient cash while paying out the bal- greater exposure. We suggest you take a look at the complete pres-
ance. In this manner, the company has been self-financing from cash entation on their website for far more details as well as insights into
flow. this most interesting company.

Figure 4
http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 9
Back to the Futures
By Mike Reardon, Imarex Inc., Email: mr@imarex.com

COB Wednesday 30 Jan: A positive week for the tanker complex. Although there were concerns a few days back about the tanker market
falling off towards last year’s low levels, rates have managed to push up on the VLCCs. The spot rate for double hulled tonnage for the bench-
mark AG/Far East route is about WS 125 (TCE $93,000/day). It appears that Charterers could only hold out so long before stirring up the
hornets nest. The paper market sensed the supply/demand imbalance a few days in advance and began a run up that has left the February
contract at an impressive WS 148 (TCE $119,000/day). FFA volume has been very strong. The equities have been lifted by the rising tide
of the paper and physical markets.

COB Wednesday 30 Jan: Finally some good news on the dry bulk front. After weeks of steep declines, today the Baltic Cape Index rose
1108 points – bringing some much needed optimism to the sector. The paper had already been up on the day, so some level of increase on
the indices had been expected. Although physical reports still point to some weak spots, they are beginning to portray more hope. The
ongoing ore negotiations and flooded coal mines in Australia have teamed up to keep a lid on near term demand - but, these are considered
short-term phenomena. Hope, therefore, remains for the balance of the year. The equities may have finally turned the corner and started a
move back towards more reasonable levels. We are still seeing large variations between individual equities on a daily basis, but the share prices
are clearly trending upward as the volatility continues.

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 10
Deal Tables & Bond Prices
M&A and Joint Venture Deal Table # = New  = Updated  = For full analysis see Marine Money’s Asia Edition

Acquirer, New Partners, or Parent Seller Advisors Amount (US$ M) Target / New Company Comments

# Excel Maritime Citi and Dahlman Rose $2,450 Quintana Maritime Acquisition for $13 cash + 0.4084
EXM shares per QMAR share,

#
57% premium

Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors Circa $23 6.7% stake in Acquisition of over 2 million shares

#
Double Hull Tankers

Clipper Group Circa $50 DFDS A/S Raised stake in Danish ferry company

#
from 5.66% to 10.04%

Hoegh Autoliners Nordea, Citi 18 car carriers from APM In exchange Maersk to take
37.5% stake in Hoegh

Torm Lazard $125 50% of FR8 Holdings From prominent oil trader Projector

GS Phereclus Holdings Goldman Sachs $50 20% of shipyard Paid in cash by Goldman Sachs
Yangfan Group subsidiary; Plans for IPO in late 2008

Aries Maritime Circa $125 For Sale Entire fleet of 5 containerships for
sale en bloc

 Great Offshore Motilal Oswal $1,400 SeaDragon Offshore Acquiring UK based


semi-submersible rig owner

Erria Tankers Additional 6.6% in Saigon Raised stake in Vietnamese


Shipping Company state-owned company up to
34.1% from 27.5%

Navios Maritime Holdings $112 + 63.8% of Navios South Formation of JV with Horamar
American Logistics Group after long-standing relationship

Bond Deal Table # = New  = Updated  = For full analysis see Marine Money’s Asia Edition
Borrower Arrangers / Advisors Amount Interest Maturity Purpose / Remarks Status
(US$ M) Rate

 Aker Floating Production DnB NOR Markets $150 LIBOR + 2008 9 month bridge financing for tanker conversions Done
400bps

BC Ferries $198 5.58% 2038 Senior secured bonds In Progress

HSH Nordbank HSH Nordbank, Deutsche $1,479 4.25% 2010 First jumbo ship Pfandbrief Placed
Bank and HSBC

Arpeni Pratama Ocean Line PT DBS Vickers Securities $79 2013 and Planning to sell bonds in 1Q08 finance ship acquisitions In Progress
Indonesia and CIMB-GK 2015

Eimskip RBC Capital Markets $545 Debt issue Planned

Golden Ocean ABG Sundal Collier, $200 3.125% - 2012 Convertible bonds payable semi-annually; Done
Nordea 3.625% To fund fleet renewal

 Pacific Basin Goldman Sachs 400 3.30% 2011 To fund existing capital commitments and
potential vessel acquisitions
Done

Precious Shipping Undetermined $1,000 Undet. Undet. Shareholder approved bond offering for Postponed
takeover and/or new tonnage

Eitzen Maritime Services Fearnley Fonds, Nordea NOK 250 NIBOR 2010 To refinance current debt and for In Progress
+3.05% general corporate purposes

Excel Maritime Deutsche Bank Securities $150 1.88% 2027 Convertible at a premium of 55%; overallotment exercised Done

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 11
Deal Tables & Bond Prices continued
Equity Deal Table # = New  = Updated  = For full analysis see Marine Money’s Asia Edition
Issuer Underwriters / Advisors Amount Structure / Pricing / Comments Status


(US$ M)
Pipavav Shipyard Citigroup, JM Financial and Infrastructire $316 Planned listing of 86,850,000 shares in India Filed
Leasing and Financial Services to fund shipyard construction

Atlas Maritime Undetermined Planning US listing in 2008 Early Stages


First Class Navigation Dahlman Rose, Ladenburg Thalmann $150 15 million share SPAC Filed

Phil Harbor $12 Phillipines shipping group seeks listing in 1Q08 In Progress

 Harbor Centre Port Terminal Inc $74 Phillipines largest non-container port operator In Progress


eyes IPO in 1H08

CSBS Taiwan's largerst shipbuilder seeks domestic listing In Progress


Cosco Corporation Considering a potential listing in China In Progress

Seacastle Citigroup, Bear Stearns, $300 - $345 20 million share IPO of Fortress Investment Postponed
Deutsche Bank, Merrill Lynch Group's vessel and container owning subsidiary

Zim Shipping Undetermined Seeking listing in Hong Kong Rumor

Allco Finance Group $176 New transport and infrastructure fund


Qatar Navigation $50 Acquired a 10.5% stake in United Arab Company Done
for Chemical Carriers


Jasper Investments UOB Asia Up to $263 Proposed a two-for-one rights issue to partly repay In Progress
a $115m bridge loan for the $199m acquisition of
an offshore drilling business
Tata Power $1,000 India's largest private power company seeking Planned
shareholder approval to issue securities for fleet
purchase ship own coal to domestic power plants

 China Shipping Container Lines $2,100 Secondary share offering in Shanghai


priced at top of range
Priced

Top Tankers Deutsche Bank Securities, DVB, $72 Offering of 21 million shares to repay debt and Done
Oppenheimer, Cantor Fitzgerald fund acquisition of six drybulk vessels; 3,150,000
share over-allotment option excercised in full

Efilog Efibanca $117 Launch of new Milan based private equity fund Approved
to focus on shipping and logistics sectors

Prosafe Planned split of Oslo-listed company into separate listed Early Stages
companies; Focused respectively on Accomodation and
Service Rig business and Floating Production business

Finaval SPA Banca Caboto and Unipol Merchant Up to $60 IPO of 10.4 million shares in Milan and to Postponed
institutional investors abroad

Teekay Tankers Citi, Morgan Stanley, ML, Wachovia, DB, $224 Spin-off by Teekay of 9 aframax tankers in Done
JPM, Dahlman Rose, Scotia, Johnson Rice 10 million share NYSE IPO; 1,500,000 share
overallotment option excercised in full


JES International ABN AMRO, OCBC Bank $173 IPO in Singapore was priced at S$0.67 a piece and Done
oversubscribed 2.2x


Mercator Lines Singapore Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank $163 To list in Singapore at lower S$0.76 target price in Done
original range; To fund fleet expansion.
Oversubscribed 2.7x

Aker Philadeplphia Shipyard $25 Planned share issue through private placement Done
to finance growth following Aker split

 Cosco Pacific Acquired 20% stake in Suez Canal Container


Terminal S.A.E. (SCCT), the operator of a
Done


terminal in Egypt's Port Said
NOR Offshore UBS $150 Seeking listing in Singapore In Progress

 SPP Shipbuilding Mirae Asset Securitiesand Daewoo Securities $300 Seeking listing in Korea in 2008 In Progress

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 12
Deal Tables & Bond Prices continued
Bank Debt Deal Table # = New  = Updated  = For full analysis see Marine Money’s Asia Edition
Borrower Arrangers / Buyers Amount Pricing / Purpose / Remarks
(US$ M)

# International Shipholding Undisclosed $59 Fixed rate loan facility at 2.1% plus a .9% margin
Corporation

# Capital Product Partners HSH Nordbank, DnB Nor Markets $350 Ten year non-amortizing revolving credit facility at
LIBOR + 110 bps and a commitment fee of 32.5 bps

TBS International DVB Bank $75 To help fund the purchase of seven tweendeckers;
5 year term priced at LIBOR + 250 bps

 Cido Shipping Group National Federation of Fisheries, $90 15 year Japanese yen refinancing
National Agricultural Cooperative Federation

 Nanjing Tanker Bank of China as mla $193 12 year financing


Corporation

 Jong Shyn Shipbuilding Bank of Taiwan $28 7 year term loan


Seaspan Primarily Chinese/Asian banks $900 Concurrent with newbuild order of 5 containerships;
Long term inetrest rate of 6% with an interest margin


of LIBOR +55 bps
United Arab Shipping $700 To fund the purchase of new ships
Arkas Holding International Financial Corp $45 Loan by World Bank arm to support growth of container
transportation and of Anatolia region economic
development

Navios Maritime Holdings Emporiki Bank $154 Two tranche loan to finance construction of two
drybulk vessels; Priced at L + 80 bps

Lease Deal Table # = New  = Updated  = For full analysis see Marine Money’s Asia Edition
Lessee Lessor(s)/Advisor(s) Amount Structure / Pricing / Comments
(US$ M)
Sanko Allocean $121.40 Purchase from Golden Ocean and 5 year time charter to
Sanko at $48,000/day

Hyundai Merchant Marine Danaos Corporation $90 Purchase and subsequent charter of 3x 1998-built
2,200 TEU containerships for 10 years

 NFC KOMARF Bareboat charter hire purchase of 31,000 dwt product tanker

Zacchelo Atlas Maritime $70.8 Sale and 3 year bareboat back of 115,482 dwt tanker at
undisclosed daily rate

Samho Shipping ABG Sundal Collier KS $40.0 Sale and 8 year bareboat back of 19,924 dwt tanker at $12,000/day

Oldendorff Carriers TBS International $20.0 Excercise of pre-existing purchase options of 7 multipurpose
tweendeck vessels presently leased by TBS

Undisclosed unaffiliated party Stealthgas $115 Purchase and subsequent 7 year bareboat charter to an
international oil trader of 2 new 47,000 dwt product tankers

Undisclosed large international Danaos Corporation $450 Order of 3x 10,100 TEU post panamax containerships to be
liner company placed on 12 year charter upon delivery in 2011

Chervil, Camaiore, Evergreen $60 Sale and leaseback of 4x 2,700 TEU containerships
Sunsplash, Fontanelle

Havila Aerial Havila Shipping $173.40 Sale and leaseback of two vessels for 8 years with purchase
options after the 5th and 8th year

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 13
Deal Tables & Bond Prices continued

Jefferies – High-Yield Shipping Bonds

Offer Price YTW STW Maturity Ratings Call Date Call Price

SHIPPING
Altus Group Ltd

11% Secured Notes due '13 101.000 10.01% 738 04/01/13 –/– 04/01/10 105.500

Britannia Bulk PLC (BBPLC)

11% Senior Secured Notes due '11 100.250 8.87% 569 12/01/11 B3 / B- 12/01/09 103.170

Great Lakes Dredge&Dock (GREATL)

7.75% Sr Sub Notes due '13 95.000 8.86% 590 12/15/13 Caa1 / CCC+ 12/15/08 103.875

Navios Maritime (BULK)

9.5% Senior Notes due 2014 96.500 10.22% 709 12/15/14 B3 / B+ 12/15/10 104.750

Sea Containers (SCR)

10.75% Senior Notes due '06 63.500 10/15/06 WR / NR

7.875% Senior Notes due '08 62.000 02/15/08 WR / NR

12.5% Senior Notes due '09 65.500 12/01/09 –/–

10.5% Senior Notes due '12 63.500 05/15/12 WR / –

Stena AB (STENA)

7.5% Senior Notes due '13 99.000 7.72% 478 11/01/13 Ba3 / BB- 11/01/08 103.750

7% Senior Notes due '16 98.000 7.31% 384 12/01/16 Ba3 / BB- 12/01/09 103.500

Trailer Bridge (TRBR)

9.25% Secured due '11 100.000 9.24% 691 11/15/11 B3 / B- 11/15/08 104.625

SUPPLY VESSELS
Gulfmark Offshore (GMRK)

7.75% Senior Notes due '14 101.500 7.35% 465 07/15/14 B1 / B+ 07/15/09 103.875

Hornbeck Offshore Services (HOS)

6.125% Senior Notes due '14 94.000 7.25% 413 12/01/14 Ba3 / BB- 12/01/09 103.063

Seabulk International (SBLK)

9.5% Senior Notes due '13 107.000 4.89% 281 08/15/13 Ba1 / BBB- 08/15/08 104.750

7.2% Seacor Senior Notes due '09 102.000 5.87% 374 09/15/09 Ba1 / BBB- any time

5 7/8% Seacor Senior Notes due '12 98.000 6.38% 364 10/01/12 Ba1 / BBB- any time

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 14
Deal Tables & Bond Prices continued

Jefferies – High-Yield Shipping Bonds continued

Offer Price YTW STW Maturity Ratings Call Date Call Price

TANKERS
Berlian Laju Tanker

7.5% Senior Notes due '14 75.000 13.53% 1,049 05/15/14 – / B+ 05/15/12 103.750

Golden State Petro (GOLDEN)

8.04% 1St Mortgage due '19 104.978 7.37% 369 02/01/19 Baa2 / BBB- any time MW + 37.5

Overseas Shipholding Group (OSG)

8.25% Senior Notes due '13 102.500 7.33% 493 03/15/13 Ba1 / BB 03/15/08 104.125

8.75% Debentures due '13 106.000 7.46% 450 12/01/13 Ba1 / BB any time MW

7.5% Senior Notes due '24 95.000 8.06% 420 02/15/24 Ba1 / BB NC NC

Ship Finance International Ltd. (SHIPFI)

8.5% Senior Notes due '13 101.000 8.19% 563 12/15/13 B1 / B+ 12/15/08 104.250

Titan Petrochemicals (TITAN)

8.5% Senior Secured Notes due '12 80.000 15.20% 1,258 03/18/12 B3 / B any time MW + 100

Teekay Shipping (TK)

8.875% Senior Notes due '11 106.000 6.89% 441 07/15/11 Ba3 / BB- any time MW + 50

Ultrapetrol Limited (ULTRAP)

9% 1St Mortgage due '14 94.000 10.24% 712 11/24/14 B2 / B 11/24/09 104.500

US Shipping Partners (USS)

13% Secured due '14 98.000 13.47% 1,040 08/15/14 Caa3 / CCC 02/15/11 106.500

http://www.marinemoney.com O Marine Money Freshly Minted O Thursday, January 31, 2008 O Page 15
Marine Money is the premier provider of maritime finance transactional information and maritime deal analysis. Relied upon by shipown-
ers, financiers, investors, ship managers, brokers, lawyers and accountants for the past 20 years, Marine Money International through
its publications, studies and conferences has bridged the gap between shipowners and the international capital markets. Our goal is to
make you money, save you money and provide access to investment opportunities and the most cost efficient sources of global capital.

PUBLICATIONS

Annual subscription to Marine Money includes:

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From single ship transactions to capital markets financing, we at Marine Money are in the market every day learning everything we can
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