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Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim

Investment Banking and Capital Markets


Prof. Dr. Hans-Peter Burghof, Arne Breuer, Ulli Spankowski
Universitat Hohenheim
Chair for Banking and Financial Services
Winter 2009/10
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 1
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Whos that guy in front of me?

Arne Breuer

Started Studying in Ulm

Continued in France

Graduated in Hohenheim

PhD-student Since mid-April 2008


Contact Details

email: arne.breuer@uni-hohenheim.de

phone: 0711 459-22903

Oce hours: Tue, 2-5pm


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 2
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
What is it all about?
Not yet a denite agenda, but it will cover

Introduction - Modern Portfolio Theory

Fixed Income

Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives

Credit Risk Markets

Theory of Market Microstructure

Model of Myers/Majluf (1984) - Information Asymmetry

Islamic Banking

Tutorials

Hopefully a Guest Lecture on M&A


So the focus is on Capital Markets rather than on Investment Banking
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 3
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
The Investment Banking environment
1. Universal Banking vs. Specialized Banking
2. Commercial Banking vs. Investment Banking
3. Denition of Investment Banking
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking - Business Activities
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 4
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The universal banking system

Predominately present in Continental Europe

In general, banks are allowed to oer all kinds of products to their


customers

Banks oer a broad range of nancial services e.g. deposit taking, real
estate and other forms of lending, foreign exchange (FX) trading,
securities trading, underwriting, portfolio management etc.

Banks oer both nancial and consultancy services; the principle of one-
bank-for-everything
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 5
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
Universal Banking, contd
Advantages for the Bank Advantages for the Client

Detailed information about the


clients economic and business
activities

Banking conditions are tailored


to the client

Cross selling potential

Competitive advantage due to


information eciency about
clients

Individual customer service

Clients can be assured that the


bank is very diplomatic
considering the disclosure of the
clients private information

Implicit agreement between


bank and client

Banks tend to support clients in


distressed economic situations
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 6
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system

Predominately present in the Anglo-Saxon countries and Japan

Separation of commercial and investment banking

Investment banking

in in the USA via investment banks (emerged by government regulations)

in the UK via merchant banks (emerged on a historical basis)


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 7
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system USA

1933: Glass-Steagall-Act, Government regulation to separate commercial


and investment banking

to moderate speculation

to stabilize the nancial system and

to prevent a banks conict of interests

The act was mainly triggered by the crash of the stock market and great
depression of the late 1920s
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 8
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system USA

Regulators were afraid of

the combination of a small group of banks

high volatility at the stock markets and

the overall macroeconomic development


However:

The development of the nancial industry in the US, globalisation and


vertical integration lead to a slow but continuous maceration of the Glass-
Steagall-Rules
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 9
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system USA

After a continuous reduction of regulative restrictions the specialised


banking era ended 1999 with the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act

The act allowed US banks to oer the full range of nancial products as
for instance credits, underwritings, structured nance products, deposit
taking, credit business

It enabled nancial institutions to do insurance broking, advisory business,


investment banking all in one

After Gramm-Leach-Bliley large nancial holding companies emerged as


for instance JPMorgan Chase etc.
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 10
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system UK

Banks in UK developed to specialised institutions over the last two


centuries

e.g. Barings and Schroders started to nance international merchant trade


in the 18th century and provided credit supply to European countries

Their main activities at that time included corporate nance, issuance of


securities (bonds, stock, etc.) and principal investment projects

The merchant banks capital structure was mainly relatively short in equity
capital which meant that they needed innovative ways to nance their
projects
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 11
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
1. Universal Banking vs Specialised Banking
The specialised banking system Concluding Remarks
Investment banking arose because of

a declining attractiveness of commercial banking (smaller margins, larger


competition, etc.)

a growing specialisation into some particular eld of universal banks

increasing legal regulations, which forced a separation of commercial and


investment banking
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 12
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
2. Commercial banking vs investment banking
Investors Banks Borrower
Commerca Bankng Investment Bankng
Investors: Depostors
Instrument: Credt
Functon: Supervsor
Decson Maker
Market Rsk: Taken by Bank
Insttutona Investors
Securtes
Anayst
Consutant
Passed to Market
Stabty Change
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 13
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
2. The Downfall of Investment Banking the year 2008
The big investment banks were

Goldman Sachs

Merrill Lynch

Morgan Stanley

Lehman Brothers and

Bear Stearns
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 14
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
2. The Downfall of Investment Banking the year 2008
The big investment banks were

Goldman Sachs gave up its investment bank privileges

Merrill Lynch bought by Bank of America

Morgan Stanley gave up its investment bank privileges

Lehman Brothers went bankrupt

Bear Stearns was bought by JPMorgan Chase


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 15
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
3. Denition of Investment Banking

Very diuse business large variety of services

Investment Banking is what Investment Banks do

Goldman Sachs Investment Banking Division identies, structures and


executes diverse and innovative public and private market transactions for
corporations, nancial institutions and governments. Transactions include
mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, the issuance of equity or debt capital, or
a combination of these.

Denition by areas of business?

(international) issuance of securities

special nancial services (e.g. structuring and issuance of derivatives,


market making...)

trading activity in various markets (e.g. xed income, commodity and


proprietary trading, hedging...)

activities in capital markets (e.g. M&A, corporate nance, IPOs ...)


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 16
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking - Business Activities
clients
instruments
business areas
industrial companies
financial service firms
public institutions
wealthy individuals
small customers
own account
equity
mezzanine
debt
derivatives
currencies
commodities
real estate
mergers and acquisitions
corporate finance
structured finance
capital markets
sales and trading
asset management
principal investment
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 17
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Business Areas
Only activities that are remunerated directly by the client. Sometimes use of
trojan horses small initial activities are performed at a low price (or free) to
attract larger projects later on osetting the initial costs

M&A

Mergers and Acquisitions

More activity on acquisitions

Consultancy services for buy- or sell-side

First: identication of potential buyers or sellers

Valuation, negotiations, contract-making, structured nance

Hostile takeovers or defending against


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 18
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Business Areas

Corporate Finance

sometimes called Financial Advisory

restructuring of passives

emission of equity or issuance of bonds or other more complex nancing

IPO, recapitalisation, restructuring

Structured Finance

ABS

Project nancing

Leasing

Capital Markets

Traditional playing eld of investment banks

Emission and placement of securities

Consultancy, underwriting, distribution

Equity capital markets

Debt capital markets


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 19
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Business Areas

Asset Management

Investment of clients funds

Assessment of risk and return

Creating portfolios

cp. private banking

Principal Investment

Investment in companies to generate prot

Taking inuence on management

Time horizon: some years

Exit via going public


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 20
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Instruments

Equity

Either stocks or parts of equity

advantages: managerial-, information-, control-, and nancial rights

remuneration by dividends, shares of prot, stock price improvement

Mezzanine

hybrid form of equity and debt

Debt

Provision of funds to private or public sector

xed or oating interest

the higher the risk, the higher the spread

high importance

Derivatives

based on another instrument

increases exibility

most popular: options, futures


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 21
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Instruments

Currencies

important for cross-border investments hedging!

Commodities

Trade in standardized goods and services

most important: oil, metals, food, energy

Real Estate

Costly individual pricing

Important asset class

Trade got easier with REITs

Important sector for investment banks


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 22
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Clients

Industrial Companies

Need all services of the investment bank

Financing needs dier

Traditional focus on large multinationals with complex nance structures

In the last years: trend to M&A

Esp. in Germany: medium-sized companies as potential clients

Financial service rms

Providing services with special knowledge

Acting as counterparty, e.g. in swap transactions

Public Sector

Important clients

Large capital needs

Rolling of debt

Opens up for structured nance

Margins are low, but volumes are high

Privatisation of former state-owned rms


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 23
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
4. Systematisation of Investment Banking Clients

Institutional Investors

Insurances, mutual funds, etc.

Wealthy Individuals

HNWI, UHNWI

Large volumes

Attractive market

Small customers

Sales-intensive

Can be important for IPOs or even M&A

Market for some types of structured securities e.g. Zertikate

Own account

Proprietary trading

Spot- and futures markets

Short-term transactions (= Principal Investment!)


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 24
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Literature

Liaw, K. Thomas (2006): The Business of Investment Banking, ch. 1 and


2

Hockmann, Heinz-Josef/Thieen, Friedrich (2007): Investment Banking,


ch. 1.1 and 1.5

Achleitner, Ann-Kristin (2002): Handbuch Investment Banking, pp. 3-45

Rich, G, Walter, C. (1993): The Future of Universal Banking, CATO


Journal
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 25
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory - a recap
Introduction

based on Harry Markowitz article Portfolio Selection, Journal of


Finance, 1952

central nding: diversify!

dont put all eggs in one basket

reduction of idiosyncratic risk (unsystematic risk) via diversication


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 26
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
The ideas of Modern Portfolio Selection

Splitting an investment eciently on various assets

Diversication of a portfolio depends on the volatility of each single asset


but ALSO on the correlation of each assets risk and return structure with
other assets

If single asset returns are not 100% positively correlated, risk reduction in
the portfolio is possible via diversication

Risk reduction is possible via a simple split into equal units of the
investment into many assets (nave diversication)

Assets have to be split within the portfolio according to the most ecient
setting of risk and return (ecient frontier, portfolio selection)
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 27
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory - Model Assumptions

One period model

Risk aversion of investors (concave risk utility function)

Investors maximize their utility

Returns are normally distributed (Gaussian distribution)

Homogenous expectations of investors

No risk free assets (preliminary)

No transaction costs, no arbitrage


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 28
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
How are returns modeled?
NPV = I
0
+
T
X
t=1
CF
t
(1 + i
t
)
t
+
CF
T
(1 + i
T
)
T
(1)
with
I
0
initial investmtent
t time
CF
t
Cash ow in t
T end of investment
i
t
risk-free rate in t
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 29
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
How are returns modeled? (continued)
t = 0 t = 1
-I
0
CF
1
1
CF
1
2
CF
1
3
CF
1
4
risky cash flows in t = 1
Calculate the expected value E(CF
1
)
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 30
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Two dierent ways to calculate returns

Discrete returns
r
d,t
=
K
t
K
t1
K
t1
+
D
t
K
t1
=
K
t
+ D
t
K
t1
1 (2)
capital return plus dividend return equals general return
with
r
d,t
discrete return in period t
t time
K
t
Capital at the end of the period
K
t1
Capital at the beginning of the period
D
t
risk-free rate in t
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 31
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Two dierent ways to calculate returns

Continuous returns
r
s,t
= ln

K
t
+ D
t
K
t1

= ln(K
t
+ D
t
) ln K
t1
(3)
with
r
s,t
continuous return in period t
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 32
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
MPT - Risk and Return

In MPT all assets are classied according to two criteria:

Expected return E[r


j
], also known as AND

Expected variance of the return E[var(r


j
)], also known as
2
, respective the
standard deviation

Markowitz denes the standard deviation (SD) of an expected return as


RISK

This denition of risk is also know as volatility

The return of an asset which bears a 20% SD is obviously more risky than
the return of another asset with 10% of SD
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 33
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory Expected Return, Standard Deviation, and
Variance

p
k
= Probability of condition k to happen

r
k
= Return of the asset in condition k
Expected return of an asset:
E(r
i
) = =
K
X
k=1
p
k
r
k
(4)
Variance of the assets return:
Var (r ) =
2
=
K
X
k=1
p
k
(r
k
)
2
(5)
SD (volatility) of the assets return:
=

2
(6)
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 34
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and correlation describe direction and strength of the relation
between the returns of two assets i and j
Covariance between the returns of assets i and j :
cov(r
i
, r
j
) =
ij
=
K
X
k=1
p
k
(r
i ,k

i ,k
)(r
j ,k

j ,k
) (7)
Correlation between the returns of assets i and j :

ij
=

ij

j
(8)
Advantage of using the the correlation rather than the covariance:
Standardisation between
1
ij
1
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 35
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory - Expected Value of the Portfolio Return
There are two ways to calculate a portfolio return

via the condition based portfolio return


E(r
P
) =
P
=
K
X
k=1
p
k
r
P,k
with r
P,k
=
N
X
i =1
x
i
r
i ,k
(9)

via the expected return of the assets


E(r
P
) =
P
=
N
X
i =1
x
i

i
with
N
X
i =1
x
i
= 1 (10)
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 36
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory Variance of the Portfolio Return
There are also two ways to calculate the portfolio variance

via the condition based portfolio returns


var (r
P
) =
2
P
=
K
X
k=1
p
k
(r
P,k

P
)
2
(11)

via the variance/covariance matrix of the asset returns


var (r
P
) =
2
P
=
N
X
i =1
N
X
j =1
x
i
x
j

ij
(12)
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 37
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory nave diversication
1
2
4
3
5
diversified portfolio
return
risk

Diversication possible if < 1


Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 38
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory with Uncorrelated Returns

Suppose x
i
=
1
N
and
ij
= 0

The variance is calculated according to the following formula:

2
P
=
N
X
i =1
N
X
j =1
x
i
x
j

ij
=
N
X
i =1
x
2
i

2
i
+
N
X
i =1
N
X
j =1
j =i
x
i
x
j

ij
=
=
N
X
i =1
x
2
i

2
i
=
N
X
i =1
1
N
2

2
i
=
1
N
N
X
i =1

2
i
N
=
1
N

2
i

If more and more assets are added to the portfolio variance becomes
lim
N

2
P
= lim
N

2
i
N
= 0
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 39
Investment Banking and Capital Markets Universitat Hohenheim
Investment Banking and Capital Markets
Modern Portfolio Theory with Correlated Returns

Usually asset returns are positively correlated, i.e.


ij
> 0

Calculating the variance under the premise of positive correlation yields

2
P
=
N
X
i =1
1
N
2

2
i
+
N
X
i =1
N
X
j =1
j =i
1
N
1
N

ij
=
=
1
N
N
X
i =1

2
i
N
+
N 1
N
N
X
i =1
N
X
j =1
j =i

ij
N(N 1)
=
=
1
N

2
i
+
N 1
N

ij
=
1
N
(
2
i

ij
) +
ij

If more and more assets are added to the portfolio, the variance becomes
lim
N

2
P
= lim
N

1
N
(
2
i

ij
) +
ij

=
ij
Chair for Banking and Finance Winter term 2009 Slide 40

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