Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Agenda
Our Recommendation: HOLD Business Description Industry Overview Competitive Positioning Revenue and Margin Drivers Valuation Financial Analysis Investment Risks Q&A Session
Business Description
Founding and History
Founded in 1964 as Blue Ribbon sports - originally a distributor Became Nike in 1978 now a global iconic brand Ever since Nike was established, innovation has been a key driver to the companys success
Management
Founded in 1964 as Blue Ribbon sports - originally a distributor Became Nike in 1978 now a global iconic brand
Business Description
Leader in Innovation
Nike Sports Watch Nike Plus Fuel Band iPod Nike app Shox Dri-Fit
Product Mix
Corporate restructuring
Sold Umbro and Cole Haan in 4Q 2012 to refocus business model Focus on Jordan, Converse, NIKE brands
Expected: Increased profit margins and dividends
44.00%
43.00% 42.00% 41.00% FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
Gross Margin
Sales Mix
FY 2012 Sales Mix
Equipment 6% Global Brand Divisions 1%
Apparel 30%
Footwear 64%
Growth Strategy
Focus on China
Utilizing Basketball and NBA Players to raise awareness Targeting the youth market 17% Growth from FY 2010 to FY 2011 23% Growth from FY 2011 to FY 2012 Reveue from China
$3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 11.00% 10.50% 10.00%
Industry Overview
Nike is the leading player in the athletic footwear industry
Company Market Cap.
NIKE (NYSE)
Adidas (FWB) Under Armour (NYSE) Asics (TYO) Sketchers (NYSE)
$54.82 billion
$16.6 billion $5.87 billion $3.60 billion $1.13 billion
Industry Overview
Company Nike Adidas Group (includes Reebok) Puma Fiscal 2010 $10,301 $7,021 (5,389) $1,856 (1,425) $1,759 (165,808) Fiscal 2011 $11,518 $8,132 (6,242) $2,006 (1,540) $1,857 (175,057) Fiscal 2012 $13,426 $9,018 (6,922) $2,078 (1,595) $1,940 (182,807) CAGR (20102012) 14.2% 13.3%
5.8%
Asics
5.0%
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Global Market Leader with Iconic Brand Name Heavy emphasis in R&D Share buyback program will restore shareholders confidence in company
Opportunities
Potential to penetrate relatively unsaturated emerging markets Product Development Nike is arguably a fashion brand and has potential to market to fashion forward youth culture
Weaknesses
Labor and factory conditions has hurt the companys publicity Nike has wasted resources in the past few years by investing in a fashion focused company
Threats
Fierce sponsorship competition from Adidas and other well known brands Possibility of having unforeseen losses due to currency fluctuation
Neutral
Buyers have many different options when it comes to which brand they choose. However, they have very little influence over prices. Suppliers have very little power since they are supplying raw materials and there is no differentiation from one supplier to another. There are many different brands with similar products offered at similar prices. There is little differentiation between products of one brand and products of another. Brands that are already in the market have built brand equity that can be difficult to challenge.
Suppliers Power
Weak
Industry Rivalry
Intense
Threat of Substitution
High
Barriers to Entry
High
Valuation
Valuation
Valuation
- Final Price Range $49.91 to $57.29 - Market Price at Valuation Date: $59.53
Margin Drivers
Low Manufacturing Cost Adapting to global economies
Financial Analysis
Revenue, Net income and Profit margin
30,000.0 12.00%
25,000.0
10.00%
20,000.0
8.00%
5,000.0
2.00%
0.00%
2,442.3
2,553.0
2,517.0
2,844.0
3,007.0
3,087.0
Restructuring Charges Impairment of Goodwill Gain (Loss) On Sale Of Assets Asset Writedown Other Unusual Items EBT Incl. Unusual Items
(24.0) (24.0) -
2,502.9
1,957.0
2,517.0
2,844.0
2,983.0
3,063.0
Working capital decreased by $782 million from $3,377 million in 2009 to $2,595 million in 2010 because of the increase of cash and cash equivalents
Investment Risks
Financial results may be adversely affected if substantial investments fail to produce expected returns Risks associated with overseas sourcing, manufacturing, and financing Concentration of retail market share among a few retailers may increase Nikes credit risk and ability to sell their products
Conclusion
Our Recommendation: HOLD
A global iconic brand name Penetrating relatively unsaturated markets globally Refocusing its business model on its core competency Steady increase in dividends Stock buyback program will restore shareholder confidence
Q&A Session
Appendix
Appendix