Ryan Belz METEO 482 4-29-14 Forensic Case 1 Introduction: tree !as re"ortedly #lo!

n onto a car$ and I %a&e #een re'uested and retained to o#tain and analyze data and testi(ony concernin) t%e !eat%er conditions at Mill Cree*$ + ,Erie County- durin) t%e early (ornin) %ours .or /anuary 9$ 20081 2"eci.ically$ I !as as*ed to con.ir( t%e a""ro3i(ate stren)t% and direction o. t%e !inds e3"erienced at t%is location usin) 42R-885 data .ro( t%e nearest site1 5ata 6sed and 5ocu(ents Re&ie!ed .or t%is nalysis: Mill Cree*$ + ,Erie County- 5aily 7istory 4eat%er 8ra"% For /anuary 9$ 2008 ,(ainly .or t%e early (ornin) %ours- "ro&ided .ro( 4eat%er 6nder)round , ttac%(ent 1Mill Cree*$ + ,Erie County- 7ourly 4eat%er 7istory and O#ser&ations For /anuary 9$ 2008 ,(ainly .or t%e early (ornin) %ours- "ro&ided .ro( 4eat%er 6nder)round , ttac%(ent 2Met%odolo)y: 2e&eral (et%ods !ere used to deter(ine t%e !eat%er conditions in and around Mill Cree*$ + ,Erie County- durin) t%e early (ornin) %ours .or /anuary 9$ 20081 11 Co("uter )enerated and "lotted daily %istory !eat%er )ra"% .or /anuary 9$ 2008 , ttac%(ent 1-1 21 nalysis o. t%e %ourly !eat%er %istory and o#ser&ations .or /anuary 9$ 2008 , ttac%(ent 2-1 9i(itations: I !as una#le to use t%e re'uested 42R-885 data .ro( t%e nearest site #ecause t%e :e3Rad data !e#site !as una&aila#le and do!n .or (aintenance , ttac%(ent ;-1 T%is data could %a&e #een used to .urt%er esti(ate t%e conditions o. t%e early (ornin) %ours on /anuary 9$ 20081

"otential error in t%e a.ore(entioned (et%odolo)y could t%e a(ount o. "recision used in (easurin) t%e !ind s"eeds and )usts1 T%is s%ould not discount t%is re"ort<s analysis and conclusion due to t%e .act t%ese o#ser&ations are ta*en #y uto(ated 2ur.ace O#ser&in) 2yste( , 2O2- and (ost ot%er !eat%er o#ser&ations at air"orts are ta*en usin) 2O2 units1 2u((ary o. E&ents and Esti(ated Conditions: Based on t%e 7ourly 4eat%er 7istory and O#ser&ations$ and 5aily 7istory 4eat%er 8ra"%$ t%e (eteorolo)ical e&ents o. /anuary 9$ 2008 at Mill Cree*$ + ,Erie County- durin) t%e early (ornin) %ours !ere indeed conduci&e .or a tree to %a&e #een #lo!n onto a car1

T%e a#o&e conclusions re"resent (y "ro.essional e&aluation o. t%e (eteorolo)ical conditions surroundin) t%e ti(e and "lace (entioned a#o&e1 Ryan Belz

Attachment 1

Daily History Weather Graph For Mill Creek, PA (Erie County) (Provided by Weather nder!round)

Attachment 2

Hourly Weather History " #bservations For Mill Creek, PA (Erie County) (Provided by Weather nder!round)
$i%e (E&$) 12:=1 M 1:=1 M 2:=1 M ;:1; M ;:21 M ;:2; M ;:;9 M ;:=1 M 4:00 M 4:=1 M =:24 M =:=1 M >:=1 M ?:=1 M 8:18 M 8:=1 M 9:09 M 9:=1 M 10:=1 M 11:=1 M 12:=1 +M 1:=1 +M 2:=1 +M ;:=1 +M 4:=1 +M =:=1 +M >:=1 +M ?:=1 +M 8:=1 +M 9:=1 +M 10:=1 +M 11:=1 +M Wind Dir Wind &peed Gust &peed 224 ' ("% () ("% 2out% *+ ("% *) ("% 2out% *' ("% ,- ("% 424 ,( ("% ., ("% 424 ,* ("% /0 ("% 424 *- ("% /0 ("% 4est ,( ("% /0 ("% 424 *- ("% /+ ("% 424 *( ("% ,0 ("% 24 (- ("% *' ("% 4est ,* ("% /- ("% 424 ,+ ("% /) ("% 4est ** ("% ,- ("% 4est *, ("% ,. ("% 424 (- ("% ,- ("% 424 *( ("% ,+ ("% 424 ** ("% ,) ("% 4est ** ("% /, ("% 424 *- ("% ,) ("% 424 *( ("% ,( ("% 424 *. ("% ,) ("% 4est ** ("% ,, ("% 4est (- ("% ,( ("% 4est () ("% */ ("% 424 (- ("% *- ("% 424 (, ("% *, ("% 424 (* ("% 424 (* ("% *+ ("% 424 - ("% 424 - ("% 424 - ("% 24 0 ("% -

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