May 2-4, 2014 N=1,595 Likely 2014 Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.5% #140405 Conducted on behalf of: 2 32% 42% 68% 56% Total Total Right Direction Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK. OBAMA JOB APPROVAL IS INVERTED. ALL-IN-ALL A PESSIMISTIC ELECTORATE. And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Wrong Track Approve Disapprove 3 58% 58% 53% 62% 56% 51% 58% 68% 42% 42% 47% 38% 44% 49% 42% 32% Total DEM (37%) IND (30%) GOP (33%) Age 18-29 (17%) Age 30-44 (24%) Age 45-64 (38%) Age 65+ (21%) MAJORITIES ACROSS PARTY LINES CALL FOREIGN POLICY TOP OR ONE OF THE TOP PRIORITIES. SENIORS ESPECIALLY INCLINED TO HIGHLIGHT. Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Total By Party Thinking about the same list of issues, how high of a priority do you think Foreign Policy should be for the federal government over the next six months before the 2014 Congressional elections? Should it be The top priority, One of the top priorities, A mid-level priority, or Not a priority? By Age Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not Top/ One Of Top Mid/ Not 4 51% 39% 47% 68% 44% 39% 55% 64% 9% 14% 8% 5% 17% 14% 6% 5% Total DEM (37%) IND (30%) GOP (33%) Age 18-29 (17%) Age 30-44 (24%) Age 45-64 (38%) Age 65+ (21%) AND, MAJORITY SAY AMERICA SHOULD BE A SUPPORTER OF ISRAEL. STRONGEST DRIVERS OF SUPPORT ARE SENIORS AND GOP. Isr. Pal. Total By Party Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, A supporter of Israel, A supporter of the Palestinians, or A strong supporter of the Palestinians? By Age Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. 27% Strng 17% Strng 24% Strng 42% Strng 24% Strng 22% Strng 28% Strng 35% Strng THE ISRAELI AND PALESTINIAN NARRATIVES 6 46% 37% 41% 60% 35% 41% 48% 57% 18% 23% 19% 13% 32% 20% 15% 12% Total DEM (37%) IND (30%) GOP (33%) Age 18-29 (17%) Age 30-44 (24%) Age 45-64 (38%) Age 65+ (21%) VOTERS AGREE THAT ISRAEL CANNOT BE EXPECTED TO NEGOTIATE WITH A GROUP THAT DOES NOT RECOGNIZE ITS RIGHT TO EXIST. Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate with a government or party that does not recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it. or The Palestinians say that a unity government of all Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace. Isr. Total By Party By Age Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Pal. Pal. As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right Pal. 7 46% 66% 18% 34% Total Total w/Leaners WHEN UNDECIDEDS ARE PUSHED FOR AN ANSWER, FULLY TWO-THIRDS OF AMERICANS SIDE WITH ISRAEL. Israel says that it cannot be expected to negotiate with a government or party that does not recognize its right to exist and seeks to destroy it. or The Palestinians say that a unity government of all Palestinians is the first step to lasting peace. Israel Total As you may have heard, the Palestinian Authority and Hamas have announced that they will form a unity government. Please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right Total With Leaners Palestinians Israel Palestinians 8 CURRENT STATEMENTS ABOUT WHO DESERVES THE BLAME FOR THE CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right Israel says that it can no longer negotiate with the Palestinian Authority now that they are forming a unity government with Hamas. Prime Minister Netanyahu has said, Does he (Abbas) want peace with Hamas or peace with Israel? You can have one but not the other. I hope he chooses peace. Israel points out that Hamas is a designated terrorist organization by the U.S. and many other countries, continues to deny the holocaust, and actively calls for the destruction of Israel. or The Palestinian Authority spokesperson for President Abbas says, The choice of unifying the Palestinian people enforces peace, and there is no contradiction whatsoever between reconciliation and negotiations. The Palestinians declare that Israel which has stolen their land, destroyed their economy, and has pushed young Palestinians to become freedom fighters. Israel should return to the table and negotiate with the entire Palestinian people, including Hamas. 9 48% 39% 42% 65% 40% 42% 50% 58% 20% 26% 19% 14% 32% 24% 17% 11% Total DEM (37%) IND (30%) GOP (33%) Age 18-29 (17%) Age 30-44 (24%) Age 45-64 (38%) Age 65+ (21%) BETTER THAN TWO-TO-ONE AGREEMENT WITH ISRAELS POSITION ON CESSATION OF NEGOTIATIONS. Isr. Pal. Total By Party Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right By Age Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Isr. Pal. Isr. Isr. Pal. Pal. Pal. Israeli Statement or Palestinian Statement 10 48% 67% 20% 33% Total Total w/Leaners UNDECIDEDS BREAK TWO-TO-ONE FOR ISRAELI STATEMENT, TOTAL OF TWO THIRDS SUPPORTING ISRAELS POSITION. Following the announcement of the Palestinian unity government, peace talks between the Israelis and the Palestinians came to a halt. Each side has blamed the other for the negotiations stopping, please indicate which side you agree with more, even if neither is entirely right Israeli Statement or Palestinian Statement Total Total With Leaners Israel Palestinians Israel Palestinians IMAGES OF MIDDLE EAST ACTORS 12 49% 25% 23% 20% 19% 16% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 27% 39% 38% 54% 53% 47% 70% 54% 73% 68% 57% Israel Turkey Jordan Saudi Arabia Egypt Lebanon Iraq The Palestinian Authority Iran Syria Hamas ISRAEL STANDS ALONE IN THE MIDDLE EAST AS LEAVING A FAVORABLE IMPRESSION ON U.S. VOTERS. Fav Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below. Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf 13 40% 43% 11% 6% 41% 24% 52% 46% Total Total Total Total MAHMOUD ABBAS AND ISMAIL HANIYEH HAVE DRAMATICALLY NEGATIVE IMAGES WITH U.S. VOTERS WHEN IDENTIFIED BY TITLE. Favorable Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual, group, or country listed below. U.S. Secretary of State J ohn Kerry Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav Favorable Unfav Conducted on behalf of: