Quinny Pa Poll 060414

FOR RELEASE: JUNE 4, 2014
WOLF THUMPS SLUMPING CORBETT IN PENNSYLVANIA,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
DEM CHALLENGER TOPS INCUMBENT ON EVERY MEASURE

Apparently unscathed by a bruising Democratic primary battle, businessman Tom Wolf, the
Democratic challenger for Pennsylvania governor, tops Gov. Tom Corbett by a commanding
53 33 percent and outscores the Republican incumbent on every measure in the survey,
according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 52 33 percent Wolf lead in a February 26 survey by the independent
Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, conducted before the primary bloodletting began in
earnest.
Pennsylvania voters disapprove 55 35 percent of the job Gov. Corbett is doing his
lowest net score ever and say 58 33 percent that he does not deserve to be reelected. The
governor gets a negative 29 50 percent favorability rating, compared to Wolfs 46 14 percent
favorability, with 38 percent who dont know enough about him to form an opinion.
Only 40 percent of voters say the Keystone States economy is excellent or good
while 60 percent say not so good or poor. Only 23 percent of voters say they and their
families are better off than they were four years ago, while 27 percent say they are worse
off, with 49 percent who say they are about the same.
The election is five months away, but Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett looks like easy
prey for Democratic challenger Tom Wolf, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Poll.
When only 23 percent of the electorate says their families are better off now than they
were four years ago, the crisis of confidence reverberates through the State House.
-more-

Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,
Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 645-8043

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
2

Quinnipiac University Poll/June 4, 2014 page 2
In an open-ended question allowing for any answer, 30 percent of Pennsylvania voters
who disapprove of Gov. Corbett cite education as the main reason, while 8 percent point to
fracking and the environment.
Among voters who approve of the governor, 19 percent cite the state budget, finances and
taxes, while 12 percent cite the economy and jobs.
Wolf tops Corbett on character traits as voters say 50 16 percent that he is honest and
trustworthy, 55 18 percent that he cares about their needs and problems and 58 13 percent
that he has strong leadership qualities.
Corbett gets a spit 42 43 percent grade on whether he is honest and trustworthy, a
negative 35 55 percent mark on whether he cares about voter needs and problems and a
positive 49 40 percent grade for leadership.
Pennsylvania voters say Wolf would do a better job than Corbett on several issues:
59 26 percent on education;
55 29 percent on economy and jobs;
53 29 percent on the energy and environment;
50 29 percent on health care;
49 34 percent on taxes;
46 35 percent on government spending;
35 31 percent on the issue of abortion.
Only 10 percent of voters say they are less likely to vote for a candidate who uses his/her
own money to fund a campaign, while 20 percent say they are more likely to support that
candidate and 68 percent say it makes no difference.
Asked another way, voters prefer 45 28 percent a wealthy candidate who funds a
campaign mainly with their own money to a candidate who relies mostly on private donations.
But voters say 52 43 percent there should be limits on how much of their own money
candidates should be allowed to spend on their own campaigns. Opinions among Republicans,
Democrats and independent voters are close on this issue.
Theres no good news anywhere for Gov. Corbett, Malloy said.
From May 29 June 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,308 registered voters with a
margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Wolf
the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS..............
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+

Wolf 53% 16% 87% 50% 51% 55% 52% 51% 56% 53%
Corbett 33 70 6 29 37 29 32 35 30 32
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 - 2 1 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 6 3 1 2
DK/NA 11 11 7 16 8 14 8 10 12 13

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were
Tom Wolf the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Mar 13
2014 2014 2013 2013

Wolf 53 52 44 39
Corbett 33 33 37 39
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 5 2
DK/NA 11 11 14 18

2. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

AGE IN YRS..............

Favorable 29% 59% 7% 28% 34% 25% 21% 29% 30% 33%
Unfavorable 50 24 73 48 48 52 47 49 54 48
Hvn't hrd enough 16 13 17 18 12 20 30 18 11 13
REFUSED 4 4 3 6 5 3 2 4 4 6

TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him? (* Low also 29% Apr 2013)

FAVORABLE.....
High Low
Jun 04 Feb 26 Jun 07 Apr 29 Mar 13 May 13 Jun 04
2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2010 2014*

Favorable 29 38 30 29 39 49 29
Unfavorable 50 46 42 43 44 13 50
Hvn't hrd enough 16 13 25 25 14 36 16
REFUSED 4 2 3 3 2 1 4

3. Is your opinion of Tom Wolf favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?

AGE IN YRS..............

Favorable 46% 26% 68% 41% 42% 50% 39% 39% 47% 56%
Unfavorable 14 26 3 12 18 10 16 15 13 12
Hvn't hrd enough 38 46 28 44 38 39 42 46 36 30
REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 3 2

4

TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Wolf favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Mar 13
2014 2014 2013

Favorable 46 42 10
Unfavorable 14 9 5
Hvn't hrd enough 38 48 85
REFUSED 2 1 -

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

AGE IN YRS..............

Approve 35% 63% 15% 32% 40% 30% 30% 36% 33% 36%
Disapprove 55 28 75 57 52 58 51 53 60 54
DK/NA 10 9 10 11 9 12 19 11 7 10

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as
Governor? (* Low also 35% Jun 2012, Jun 2013)

APPROVE.......
High Low
Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Jun 07 Apr 29 Sep 29 Jun 04
2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2011 2014*

Approve 35 36 36 35 38 50 35
Disapprove 55 52 53 48 47 32 55
DK/NA 10 12 11 16 15 18 10

15a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?
COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q15) Do you approve/disapprove...strongly or
somewhat?

AGE IN YRS..............

Approve strongly 10% 24% 2% 7% 11% 9% 2% 11% 11% 12%
Approve somewhat 24 39 13 25 29 21 28 25 22 24
Disapprove somewhat 23 20 22 26 21 24 27 20 23 23
Disapprove strongly 32 8 52 30 30 33 24 32 36 31
DK/NA 11 9 11 12 9 13 19 12 8 11

5

16a. (If approve q15) What is the main reason you approve of the way Tom Corbett is
handling his job as Governor?

Approve Corbett Q15

Budget/State finances 13
Taxes 6

Economy/Jobs 12

Minimum Wage 1

Unions 1

Education 5

Gun control 1

Fracking/Energy/Environment 3

Liquor Industry 1

Policies - Other specific 2
Policies - General 1

Democrat/Party 3
Political Philosophy 3

Doing a good job as Governor 8
Effective/Gets things done 3
Strong Leader/Person 1
Decisive 1
Smart/Capable/Competent 1

Honest/Trustworthy 3
Cares about people/The state 2
Straight forward/Direct 2

Just like him 7

Other 4
DK/NA 18

6

16b. (If disapprove q15) What is the main reason you disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is
handling his job as Governor?

Disapprove Corbett Q15

Budget/State finances 3

Taxes - General 3
Gasoline Tax 1
Tax on gas Companies 3

Economy/Jobs 3

Unions 1

Education 30

Fracking/Energy/Environment 8

Healthcare 3

Penn State Issues 1

Liquor Industry 1

Privatizing Lottery 1

Policies - Other specific 3
Policies - General 2

Democrat/Party 2
Political Philosophy 1
Too partisan/ Doesn't work
with other party 1

Doing poor job as Governor 2
Ineffective/ Doesn't get
things done 2
Not Strong Leader/Person 1
Indecisive 1
Not Smart/Not Capable/
Incompetent 1

Doesn't care about people/
The state 7
Not Honest/Not Trustworthy 3

Just Don't like him 4

Other 7
DK/NA 5

17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

AGE IN YRS..............

Approve 27% 40% 20% 24% 30% 25% 31% 32% 26% 20%
Disapprove 46 34 53 45 46 45 36 44 49 51
DK/NA 27 26 27 31 24 30 33 24 25 29

7

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
(*Low also 25% Dec 2009)

APPROVE.......
High Low
Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Jun 07 Apr 29 Apr 10 May 13
2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2003 2010*

Approve 27 30 31 27 29 49 25
Disapprove 46 54 56 53 52 24 59
DK/NA 27 15 13 20 19 27 16

21. Do you feel that Tom Corbett deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not
deserve to be reelected?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes/Deserves 33% 62% 11% 32% 36% 30% 25% 36% 31% 36%
No/Does not 58 29 82 58 56 60 61 56 64 52
DK/NA 9 9 7 10 8 10 15 8 5 12

TREND: Do you feel that Tom Corbett deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does
not deserve to be reelected?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Jun 07 Apr 29 Mar 13 Jan 29
2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013

Yes/Deserves 33 34 36 32 32 35 31
No/Does not 58 55 56 52 50 53 51
DK/NA 9 11 9 16 17 12 18

22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today;
are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

AGE IN YRS..............

Very satisfied 3% 7% 2% 2% 4% 3% 7% 3% 3% 3%
Smwht satisfied 42 58 33 38 47 38 47 43 38 44
Smwht dissatisfied 37 27 43 38 32 40 38 37 37 35
Very dissatisfied 17 9 22 20 16 19 6 17 21 18
DK/NA 1 - - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania
today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very
dissatisfied?
VERY+SMWHT SAT
High Low
Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Jun 07 Apr 29 Jun 05 Dec 15
2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2002 2010

Very satisfied 3 3 2 4 4 8 2
Smwht satisfied 42 41 39 42 41 60 35
Smwht dissatisfied 37 36 36 34 38 22 37
Very dissatisfied 17 20 21 18 16 8 25
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 3 1

23. Would you say that Tom Wolf - is honest and trustworthy or not?
8

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 50% 41% 68% 42% 52% 49% 49% 45% 52% 59%
No 16 21 9 16 17 15 24 18 16 9
DK/NA 33 38 22 43 31 36 27 37 32 32

24. Would you say that Tom Wolf - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 55% 42% 73% 50% 52% 58% 49% 49% 60% 62%
No 18 25 9 19 23 14 26 20 14 14
DK/NA 27 33 18 30 25 29 25 31 25 24

25. Would you say that Tom Wolf - has strong leadership qualities or not?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 58% 46% 72% 55% 57% 59% 59% 51% 61% 63%
No 13 21 6 11 15 11 17 16 11 10
DK/NA 29 33 22 34 29 30 24 34 28 27

26. Would you say that Tom Corbett - is honest and trustworthy or not?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 42% 63% 28% 38% 46% 38% 36% 38% 42% 49%
No 43 24 54 47 43 43 47 44 45 35
DK/NA 16 13 18 15 12 19 17 19 13 16

TREND: Would you say that Tom Corbett is honest and trustworthy or not?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18
2014 2014 2013

Yes 42 43 43
No 43 43 46
DK/NA 16 14 11

27. Would you say that Tom Corbett - cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 35% 59% 17% 34% 41% 29% 31% 34% 35% 37%
No 55 29 73 58 52 58 51 54 60 52
DK/NA 10 12 10 8 7 13 18 11 6 11

9

TREND: Would you say that Tom Corbett cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18
2014 2014 2013

Yes 35 36 35
No 55 55 57
DK/NA 10 9 8

28. Would you say that Tom Corbett - has strong leadership qualities or not?

AGE IN YRS..............

Yes 49% 68% 34% 48% 53% 45% 56% 45% 50% 49%
No 40 22 54 40 38 42 27 43 42 42
DK/NA 11 10 12 12 9 13 17 12 9 9

TREND: Would you say that Tom Corbett has strong leadership qualities or not?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Dec 18 Nov 15
2014 2014 2013 2012

Yes 49 49 48 47
No 40 41 45 35
DK/NA 11 10 7 18

Q29-35. Summary table - Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a
better job handling ... Wolf or Corbett? (Ranked by Wolf advantage)

Wolf Corbett

Education 59 26
Economy and jobs 55 29
Energy/Environment 53 29
Health care 50 29
Taxes 49 34
Government spending 46 35
Issue of abortion 35 31

29. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling -
the economy and jobs, Wolf or Corbett?

AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 55% 27% 81% 51% 51% 59% 54% 53% 58% 57%
Corbett 29 57 10 27 37 23 28 32 28 29
DK/NA 15 16 9 22 12 18 18 15 14 14

taxes, Wolf or Corbett?
AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 49% 21% 74% 45% 45% 52% 52% 45% 52% 50%
Corbett 34 61 12 33 43 25 31 38 32 29
DK/NA 18 19 14 22 13 22 16 17 16 21
10

education, Wolf or Corbett?

AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 59% 31% 82% 57% 58% 60% 56% 61% 60% 59%
Corbett 26 52 8 22 31 21 27 23 26 28
DK/NA 16 17 9 21 12 19 18 16 14 14

energy and the environment, Wolf or Corbett?

AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 53% 29% 76% 49% 50% 55% 43% 54% 57% 52%
Corbett 29 55 11 26 36 23 33 31 27 29
DK/NA 18 16 13 25 14 21 25 15 17 19

government spending, Wolf or Corbett?

AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 46% 20% 72% 42% 41% 51% 42% 42% 50% 51%
Corbett 35 64 14 30 45 26 37 38 34 30
DK/NA 19 15 14 28 14 23 21 20 16 19

the issue of abortion, Wolf or Corbett?
AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 35% 12% 58% 31% 35% 36% 35% 39% 38% 28%
Corbett 31 57 11 29 37 25 37 32 26 29
DK/NA 34 31 31 40 29 39 28 29 36 43

health care, Wolf or Corbett?
AGE IN YRS..............

Wolf 50% 22% 76% 48% 49% 51% 47% 49% 54% 50%
Corbett 29 56 11 21 36 22 29 33 25 28
DK/NA 21 23 13 31 15 26 24 18 21 22

36. Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent, good,
not so good, or poor?
AGE IN YRS..............

Excellent 1% 2% 1% - 1% - - 2% 1% 1%
Good 39 51 29 39 47 31 50 42 33 35
Not so good 44 35 53 43 38 49 34 38 50 49
Poor 16 11 16 17 13 18 14 18 16 14
DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 - - 2
11

TREND: Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent,
good, not so good, or poor?

Exclnt+Good...
High Low
Jun 04 Feb 26 Apr 29 Mar 25 Feb 11 Jun 24 Feb 11
2014 2014 2013 2009 2009 2004 2009

Excellent 1 - 1 - - 1 -
Good 39 30 33 17 11 42 11
Not so good 44 49 47 55 50 42 50
Poor 16 19 17 26 38 13 38
DK/NA 1 1 2 2 1 2 1

37a. (If economy excellent/good q36) How much credit do you give Governor Corbett for the
state of Pennsylvania's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?

Economy excellent/Good Q36

A lot 13%
Some 61
Not much 21
None at all 4
DK/NA 1

37b. (If economy not so good/poor q36) How much blame do you give Governor Corbett for the
state of Pennsylvania's economy; a lot, some, not much, or none at all?

Economy not so good/Poor Q36

A lot 22%
Some 51
Not much 19
None at all 5
DK/NA 3

38. Do you think Pennsylvania's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about
the same?

AGE IN YRS..............

Better 25% 35% 20% 23% 31% 20% 19% 30% 25% 25%
Worse 18 17 20 15 13 23 18 14 20 18
The same 55 47 58 61 55 55 60 55 55 55
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2

TREND: Do you think Pennsylvania's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying
about the same?

Jun 04 Feb 26 Apr 29 Mar 25
2014 2014 2013 2009

Better 25 19 21 5
Worse 18 22 23 35
The same 55 58 55 56
DK/NA 1 1 1 3

12

39. Compared with four years ago, do you think Pennsylvania's economy is better today,
worse today, or about the same?

AGE IN YRS..............

Better 34% 45% 28% 32% 43% 26% 30% 43% 31% 31%
Worse 25 23 27 26 20 30 30 20 28 25
About the same 38 31 43 39 36 40 35 37 40 42
DK/NA 2 1 2 3 1 4 5 1 2 3

40. Compared with four years ago, are you and your family financially better off today,
worse off today, or about the same?

AGE IN YRS..............

Better off 23% 29% 20% 20% 27% 20% 33% 34% 18% 12%
Worse off 27 25 27 30 23 31 16 22 35 28
About the same 49 46 52 49 49 49 51 44 45 59
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - 1 1

44. In general, if a wealthy candidate relies on their own money to fund their political
campaign, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote
for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?

AGE IN YRS..............

More likely 20% 23% 14% 26% 21% 20% 23% 23% 19% 20%
Less likely 10 11 12 8 10 11 9 10 10 12
No difference 68 65 73 65 68 69 69 67 70 66
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 2

45. Which type of political candidate would you prefer: a candidate who funds their
campaign mostly with private donations or a wealthy candidate who funds their campaign
mostly with their own funds?

AGE IN YRS..............

Donations 28% 28% 31% 25% 30% 26% 34% 28% 27% 29%
Own funds 45 41 46 49 44 46 44 46 46 46
DK/NA 27 31 23 26 26 28 22 26 27 25

46. Do you think there should or should not be limits on how much of their own money
candidates are allowed to spend promoting their political campaigns?

AGE IN YRS..............

Should 52% 49% 54% 53% 47% 55% 48% 45% 52% 62%
Should not 43 45 42 42 50 37 45 51 44 30
DK/NA 5 6 4 5 3 7 8 4 4 7

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FOR RELEASE: JUNE 4, 2014

WOLF THUMPS SLUMPING CORBETT IN PENNSYLVANIA,

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