Memorandum

To: Interested Parties

From: Chris Anderson
Date: June 9, 2014
Re: Statewide survey of Pennsylvania voters
This memorandum reports findings from a telephone survey of 502 Pennsylvania voters.
Interviews were conducted by trained professionals working from a central, monitored location
between the dates of June 6 8, 2014. Telephone numbers were randomly selected and
interviews were conducted with respondents on both landlines (325 interviews) and cell phones
(177 interviews). Results are representative of Pennsylvania voters who are likely to vote in the
November elections. The margin of error associated with these results is 4.4%.
Findings
Among Pennsylvania voters who have been following the debate about various proposals to
enact a new natural gas industry severance tax, there is majority support for the idea. However,
that support is entirely eliminated if a new natural gas severance tax comes at the expense of
jobs.

Among the three quarters of voters who have been following the natural gas severance
tax debate, 55% favor adding it, 34% oppose it, and the remainder is not sure.
Just one-third (33%) favor a severance tax if it results in jobs leaving the state, while 58%
oppose it if it costs jobs.

Voters also broadly oppose raising taxes further on natural gas producers as a means of funding
pensions or the state budget.

57% oppose raising taxes on natural gas producers to pay for public employee pensions,
while just 36% favor doing so.
When asked to choose, voters pick encouraging growth in the natural gas industry (61%)
over new and higher taxes to fund the state budget (28%).

2
Democrats are more likely than Republicans or independents to support a new natural gas
severance tax. Even among Democrats, however, there is a clear preference for encouraging job
growth over new taxes.

70% of Democrats, 59% of independents and 38% of Republicans favor the severance
tax, BUT
Creating new jobs in the natural gas industry is favored over higher taxes to fund the state
budget by Democrats (51% to 35%), independents (55% to 32%) and Republicans (74%
to 19%).

The survey also finds that voters are willing to reward political candidates who support the
natural gas industrys continued growth.

64% of voters say they are more likely to vote for a political candidate who encourages
the growth of Pennsylvanias natural gas industry.
This includes 54% of Democrats, 55% of independents, and 79% of Republicans.

In conclusion, these results indicate that while voters may conceptually support higher taxes on
natural gas production, most overwhelmingly oppose such new taxes at the expense of
Pennsylvania jobs as well as the industrys continued growth.


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About Anderson Robbins Research

Anderson Robbins Research is a Boston-based firm specializing in providing highly accurate research to political
and corporate clients. ARR president Chris Anderson has provided polling to a presidential campaign, numerous
ballot initiative campaigns, local and state political candidates, and is currently the Democratic pollster on a
bipartisan team that conducts a regular national telephone poll of 1,000 voters on behalf of the FOX News Channel.










3
ARR #9212 PENNSYLVANIA
Interviewing dates: June 6 8, 2014
Sample: 502Pennsylvania likely voters

TOPLINE RESULTS

0A. First, are you registered to vote in Pennsylvania?

Yes 1uu%
No -

0B. As you may know, this November there will be elections in Pennsylvania for Governor,
U.S. Congress, and other offices. How likely are you to vote in these electionswill you:

Befinitely vote 77%
Almost uefinitely vote 1u
Piobably vote 1S
Aie you Su-Su -
0i will you piobably not vote. -
(Not suieiefuseu) -

1. Do you think things in Pennsylvania are generally heading in the right direction, or do
you think they have gotten off on the wrong track?

Right uiiection S4%
Wiong tiack S6
(Not suieiefuseu) 1u

2. In general, do you think that taxes and fees paid by natural gas producers in Pennsylvania are:

Too high 2S%
Too low S6
About iight 2S
(Not suieiefuseu) 16

3. How closely have you been following the debate about whether or not to add a severance
tax on natural gas producers in the Pennsylvania?

veiy closely 19%
Somewhat closely 4u
Not veiy closely 16
Not closely at all 2S
(Not suieiefuseu) 1

4
(SKIP IF NOT CLOSELY AT ALL)
4. Do you favor or oppose adding a severance tax on natural gas producers in Pennsylvania?

Favoi SS%
0ppose S4
(Not suieiefuseu) 11

5. Would you support raising taxes on Pennsylvania natural gas producers even if it results
in jobs leaving the state and Pennsylvania residents losing their jobs?

Yes SS%
No S8
(Not suieiefuseu) 9

6. Would you support raising taxes on Pennsylvania natural gas producers to pay for public
employee pensions?

Yes S6%
No S7
(Not suieiefuseu) 7

7. If you had to choose between creating new jobs in the natural gas industry for
Pennsylvania residents or higher taxes and fees on natural gas producers to fund the state
budget, which would you choose?

Cieating new jobs foi PA iesiuents 61%
Bighei taxes anu fees on natuial gas
piouuceis 28
(Not suieiefuseu) 11

8. Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate for political office that
encouraged the growth of the natural gas industry in Pennsylvania?

Noie likely 64%
Less likely 2S
(Not suieiefuseu) 14


5
Now Id like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

9. What is your age?

0nuei 2S 4%
2S-29 7
Su-S4 4
SS-S9 4
4u-44 4
4S-49 7
Su-S4 1u
SS-S9 14
6u-64 1S
6S+ S1
(Refuseu) 2

10. Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent or Un-enrolled
voter, or something else?

Bemociat 44%
Republican S9
Inuepenuent0n-eniolleu 11
Something else 1
(Bon't knowRefuseu) S

11. What do you consider your ethnicity to be?

White 82%
Black oi Afiican Ameiican 1u
Asian 1
Latino oi Bispanic S
(0theiiecoiu) 1
(Not suie Refuseu) S

[OBSERVATION]
12. Gender:

Female S2%
Nale 48