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Oklahoma 5th Congressional District Poll Results

Russell 41%, Douglas 31% (28% Undecided)

POLLING METHODOLOGY
Our philosophy about which population to use depends on the election, but we are generally comfortable with a
likely voter model (as opposed to a registered voter model) for most elections. For this poll, we chose a sample
of registered Republicans in the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma who have demonstrated a tendency to
participate in Republican primary/ies for an automated poll. There were 419 completed responses to eight poll
questions.

The survey was conducted July 8. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 4.8%. The gender of
the respondents was 54-46% female/male, and the geographic breakdown of the respondents was as follows: 91%
from Oklahoma County, 6% from Pottawatomie County, and 3% from Seminole County.

POLL RESULTS

Question 1: With which part of the Republican Party do you most closely identify?
Traditional Republican 67%
TEA Party Republican 25%
Libertarian Republican 8%

Question 2: Are you male or female?
Female 54%
Male 46%

Question 3: What is the likelihood that you will vote in the Republican primary runoff election on August 26?
(Those selecting unlikely and extremely unlikely excluded from the remainder of the poll)
Extremely Likely 78%
Likely 8%
Unlikely 3%
Extremely Unlikely 3%
Undecided 8%

Question 4: The Republican primary runoff election is August 26, and the only candidates are Steve Russell and
Patrice Douglas. For whom will you vote?
Steve Russell 41%
Patrice Douglas 31%
Undecided 28%





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Question 5: Of the following issues, which one is most important to you?
Federal debt 46%
Healthcare/Obamacare 35%
Abortion/pro-life issues 9%
Agriculture 5%
Guns 5%

Question 6: Which of the following age ranges do you fit within?
66 and above 71%
51-65 21%
36-50 5%
18-35 2%

CROSSTABS

Question 4 Ballot test

Gender
Description Male Female
Douglas 30% 31%
Russell 43% 39%
Undecided 27% 30%

Candidate Preference By Ideology
Description Libertarian
Tea
Party
Traditional
Republican
Douglas 26% 19% 37%
Russell 52% 53% 37%
Undecided 23% 28% 25%

Comments:
There is a moderate (5%) gender gap, but Russell still leads among both men and women. If we were to
weight the results to 54-46% male (like the population of registered Republicans), the ballot test results do
not change;
Russells support is bolstered by his support from Libertarian/TEA Party Republicans. Traditional
Republicans are more evenly split.