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Oklahoma 5th Congressional District Poll Results

Russell 42%, Douglas 28% (31% Undecided)

POLLING METHODOLOGY
Our philosophy about which population to use depends on the election, but we are generally comfortable with a
likely voter model (as opposed to a registered voter model) for most elections. For this poll, we chose a sample
of registered Republicans in the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma who have demonstrated a tendency to
participate in Republican primary/ies for an automated poll. There were 334 completed responses to eight poll
questions.

The survey was conducted July 28. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 5.3%. The gender of
the respondents was 56-44% female/male, and the geographic breakdown of the respondents was as follows: 89%
from Oklahoma County, 9% from Pottawatomie County, and 2% from Seminole County.

POLL RESULTS

Question 1: With which part of the Republican Party do you most closely identify? (Only for those who selected
Republican in the previous question)
CURRENT JULY 8
Traditional Republican 68% 67%
TEA Party Republican 25% 25%
Libertarian Republican 7% 8%

Question 2: Are you male or female?
CURRENT JULY 8
Female 56% 54%
Male 44% 46%

Question 3: What is the likelihood that you will vote in the Republican primary runoff election on August 26?
(Those selectingunlikely and extremely unlikely excluded from the remainder of the poll)
CURRENT JULY 8
Extremely Likely 76% 78%
Likely 9% 8%
Extremely Unlikely 5% 3%
Unlikely 4% 3%
Undecided 6% 8%

Question 4: The Republican primary runoff election is August 26, and the only candidates are Steve Russell and
Patrice Douglas. For whom will you vote?
CURRENT JULY 8
Steve Russell 42% 41%
Patrice Douglas 28% 31%
Undecided 31% 28%
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Question 5: Of the following issues, which one is most important to you?
CURRENT JULY 8
Federal debt 46% 46%
Healthcare/Obamacare 34% 35%
Abortion/pro-life issues 11% 9%
Guns 5% 5%
Agriculture 4% 5%

Question 6: Which of the following age ranges do you fit within?
CURRENT JULY 8
66 and above 63% 71%
51-65 24% 21%
36-50 11% 5%
18-35 2% 2%

CROSSTABS

Question 4 Ballot test


Gender
Description Male Female
Douglas 30% 26%
Russell 46% 39%
Undecided 24% 35%

Preference By Ideology
Description Libertarian
Tea
Party
Traditional
Republican
Douglas 30% 32% 28%
Russell 45% 47% 40%
Undecided 25% 21% 32%

Comments:
In the last poll, there was a 5% gender gap, although Russell led among both men and women. The gap has
closed to 3% in this poll, and as before, Russell has double digit leads among both men and women;
If we were to weight the results to 54-46% male (like the population of registered Republicans), the ballot
test results do not change;
Russell also has double digit leads among all factions of the Republican Party;