Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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Medical Marijuana
Growing in the US
May 2014
David Yang
14 International Trade
26 Key Statistics
Industry Definition
15 Business Locations
26 Industry Data
Main Activities
Similar Industries
17 Competitive Landscape
Additional Resources
26 Annual Change
3 Industry at a Glance
26 Key Ratios
4 Industry Performance
19 Barriers to Entry
Executive Summary
20 Industry Globalization
Current Performance
Industry Outlook
21 Major Companies
22 Operating Conditions
22 Capital Intensity
12 Supply Chain
23 Revenue Volatility
13 Demand Determinants
25 Industry Assistance
13 Major Markets
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Main Activities
Similar Industries
Additional Resources
IBISWorld
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Industry at a Glance
Medical Marijuana Growing in 2014
Key Statistics
Snapshot
Revenue
Profit
Wages
Businesses
$2.1bn
16.2%
23.3%
$25.7m $1.5bn 1,423,077
Per capita disposable income
% change
There are no
Major Players in
this industry
36
30
24
% change
Market Share
18
12
0
1
Year 06
08
10
Revenue
12
14
16
18
20
Year
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
Employment
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p. 21
43.9%
External competition
56.1%
p. 4
SOURCE:
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SOURCE:
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Industry Structure
Growth
Medium
Regulation Level
Technology Change
Heavy
Low
Capital Intensity
Low
Barriers to Entry
Industry Assistance
High
Industry Globalization
Low
Concentration Level
Low
Competition Level
High
FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 26
Medium
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Industry Performance
Regulation
Medical Marijuana Growing has been
significantly restricted by an increasing
amount of attempts to impose additional
regulations on the industry. In particular,
medical marijuana remains a Schedule I
controlled substance under federal law,
despite legalization at the state level for
many states. While the level of regulation
is expected to remain flat in 2014, it still
poses a potential threat to the industry.
Operators
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Industry Performance
External competition
Medical marijuana products struggle to
compete against conventional healthcare
services and products due to the
alternative and unconventional nature of
their treatment. External competition
from traditional drugs and healthcare
providers is expected to grow in 2014.
Number of adults aged 50 and older
3.0
2.5
% change
% change
1.5
1
2
Year
2.0
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
1.0
Year
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
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Industry Performance
Current
Performance
Demographic boost
The
elderlys greater
incidence of illness
has driven demand for
products
physician visits. In the five years to 2014,
the number of physician visits is
anticipated to increase at an annualized
rate of 2.1% to 1.15 billion. And although
doctors cannot prescribe marijuana to
patients, they can assign a right to visit a
company or cooperative that provides
medical marijuana.
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Industry Performance
Changing attitudes
and disposable
incomes
Regulation weighs on
the industry
New
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Industry Performance
Industry
Outlook
Industry revenue
32
24
% change
Regulation weighs on
the industry
continued
16
8
0
Year 06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
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Industry Performance
Aging population
Conventional
healthcare and
regulation threaten
An
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Industry Performance
The industry has stepped up efforts
to increase its legitimacy
20
Maturity
Quality Growth
Company
consolidation;
level of economic
importance stable
15
Quantity Growth
Distilleries
Fertilizer Manufacturing
Tobacco Growing
Pesticide Manufacturing
Cigarette & Tobacco Manufacturing
-5
Decline
Shrinking economic
importance
-10
-10
-5
10
15
20
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Industry Performance
industry
is G
rowing
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Supply Chain
Consumers in the US
Consumers are members of medical marijuana collectives and the primary market for medical
marijuana.
32531
32532
33511
43.9%
56.1%
Total $2.1bn
Products and Services are segmented by
the two strains of medical marijuana that
are primarily used in the United States.
Cannabis indica
Indica marijuana can be used to treat
anxiety, chronic pain, insomnia and
muscle spasms. In general, indica provides
more physical relaxation in comparison to
the second strain, sativa. Common indica
strains include White Berry, Blueberry and
Northern Lights. Some patients also use
indica as a sleep aid because it can cause
sleepiness. Over the past five years,
demand for indica was relatively stable
because it treats a wide range of illnesses.
In 2014, indica is expected to generate
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Demand
Determinants
Major Markets
1.9%
0.7%
Patients with
HIV/AIDS
Patients with seizures
6.1%
1.1%
1.3%
18.4%
3.0%
67.5%
Total $2.1bn
Medical marijuana is currently used to
treat many ailments, but it is most
commonly used to relieve pain. The
industrys customer markets can be
segmented by the ailment its products
help treat.
Patients with severe pain
Severe pain is the mostly commonly
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Major Markets
continued
International Trade
Other patients
Medical marijuana is used to help
provide pain relief in a variety of more
specific diseases and conditions, such as
patients suffering from cancer and
seizures. Cancer treatment can be
painful, and medical marijuana can
help patients relax and rest to
accelerate the recovery process. Over
the past five years, demand from other
patients has remained stable, because
the incidence of these diseases has not
significantly changed.
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West
New
England
AK
0.0
Great
Lakes
WA
ND
MT
1.6
Rocky
Mountains
ID
OR
0.1
West NV
0.1
0.0
SD
0.0
WY
0.0
MN
0.0
0.1
Plains
CO
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
KY
82.2
OK
0.0
AZ
NM
0.5
0.1
Southwest
TX
0.0
HI
0.2
2 NH
3 MA
4 RI
5 CT
6 NJ
7 DE
8 MD
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
NC
0.0
SC
Southeast
MS
AL
0.0
0.0
GA
0.0
0.0
LA
0.0
FL
0.0
Revenue (%)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
TN
AR
WV VA
0.0
0.0
CA
West
OH
0.0
MO
KS
11.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
IN
IL
0.0
UT
PA
2.0
0.0
0.3
1 2
3
NY
0.9
5 4
MI
0.0
IA
NE
0.0
WI
ME
MidAtlantic
9 DC
0.0
Less than 3%
3% to less than 10%
10% to less than 20%
20% or more
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80
80
60
60
Revenue
Revenue
Population
Establishments
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
Plains
New England
Mid-Atlantic
West
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
0
Plains
0
New England
20
Mid-Atlantic
20
Great Lakes
40
West
40
Great Lakes
100
Business Locations
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17
Competitive Landscape
in
this industry is L ow
identifies
250 Key Success
Factors for a
business. The most
important for this
industry are:
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Development of effective
marijuana strains
Growers that can develop the most potent
and effective strains can potentially
attract greater demand for their products.
Understanding government
policies and their implications
Marijuana legislation is complicated
at all levels of the government.
Successful operators must be able to
navigate the federal and state level
regulatory landscape.
Fast adjustments to
changing regulations
Regulations are constantly changing.
Growers must comply with the latest
legislation or face fines and arrest, and
they must be able to adjust to changing
regulation quickly and smoothly.
Profit
Profit, measured as earnings before
interest and taxes, is not applicable to
most industry operators. With the
exception of Colorado, in the states where
medical marijuana is legal, industry
operators are required to be a part of
nonprofit marijuana collectives (also
known as dispensaries) to grow cannabis.
Additionally, because the sale of
marijuana is still prohibited, vendors
only provide marijuana to the collective
in exchange for donations. Consequently,
industry profit is exclusively
representative of the growers in Colorado
and is expected to total only 1.2% of
revenue in 2014, having expanded
gradually from 0.7% in 2009.
Wages
Wages are estimated to represent 71.9% of
industry revenue in 2014. The remarkably
high wage cost for this industry reflects the
unique, largely nonprofit nature of this
industry, where the majority of industry
revenue is distributed in the form of wages
to cover labor costs. Not all industry
operators participate in growing cannabis
on a full-time basis, thus bringing down
the annual average wage. Furthermore, the
industry is largely donation based,
meaning growers do not get paid for the
cannabis that they grow. Wages as a share
of revenue have slightly declined over the
five years to 2014 due to the more
independent nature of the industrys
private, small-scale growers. These growers
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18
Competitive Landscape
Other costs
Depreciation, rent and utilities represent
small but essential costs for medical
marijuana growing, together accounting
for 7.4% of industry revenue in 2014.
These costs are associated with
investment into hydroponic techniques,
temperature, lights, humidity controls
and other facilities necessary to grow
medical marijuana. Other costs include
liability insurance and legal costs and are
expected to reach a total 13.0% of
industry revenue. Marketing costs are
low because major advertisers are still
hesitant to carry marijuana ads.
6.7
10.5
Industry Costs
(2014)
1.2
80
Percentage of revenue
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
71.9
60
Profit
Wages
Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
Rent & Utilities
Other
58.6
40
20
2.6
2.9
17.4
1.3
6.5
0.1 4.6 2.8
12.9
0
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19
Competitive Landscape
Basis of Competition
Level & Trend
ompetition
C
in
this industry is
Highand the trend
is I ncreasing
Barriers to Entry
Level & Trend
arriers to Entry
B
in this industry
are M
ediumand
Increasing
Level
High
Low
Growth
Low
Low
Heavy
High
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20
Competitive Landscape
Barriers to Entry
continued
Industry
Globalization
in this
industry is L owand
the trend is S
teady
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Major Companies
Other Companies
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Operating Conditions
Capital Intensity
Level
The level
of capital
intensity is L ow
Capital intensity
Economy
Manufacturing
Medical
Marijuana
Growing
Information, Communications,
Mining, Finance and Real
Estate. To increase revenue
firms need superior debt
management, a stable
macroeconomic environment
and a sound investment plan.
Medical
Marijuana
Growing
Distilleries
Pesticide Manufacturing
Fertilizer Manufacturing
Tobacco Growing
Cigarette & Tobacco Manufacturing
Capital Intensive
Labor Intensive
Old Economy
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Operating Conditions
Level
The level
of
Technology
Change is L ow
Revenue Volatility
Level
The level
of
Volatility is M
edium
Volatility vs Growth
1000
Technology
& Systems
Hazardous
Rollercoaster
100
10
Medical Marijuana
Growing
1
0.1
Stagnant
30
10
Blue Chip
10
30
50
70
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Operating Conditions
Regulation is H
eavy
and the trend
is I ncreasing
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Operating Conditions
Industry Assistance
Level & Trend
he level of Industry
T
Assistance is H
igh
and the trend
is I ncreasing
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Key Statistics
Industry Data
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Revenue
($m)
698.7
779.6
842.8
908.0
1,013.7
1,185.7
1,235.8
1,417.5
1,743.1
2,145.6
2,756.1
3,457.5
4,109.5
5,035.9
6,123.8
Annual Change
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Revenue
(%)
11.6
8.1
7.7
11.6
17.0
4.2
14.7
23.0
23.1
28.5
25.4
18.9
22.5
21.6
Industry
Value Added Establish($m)
ments
551.0
586,145
612.9
586,991
659.7
604,028
705.1
598,378
785.9
678,751
916.1
724,784
950.3
824,438
1,085.8
895,325
1,325.1
1,160,785
1,628.0
1,423,077
2,079.5
1,701,261
2,602.2
2,116,928
3,092.3
2,560,671
3,777.1
2,998,585
4,518.5
3,487,392
Enterprises Employment
586,145
681,564
586,991
690,578
604,028
702,358
598,378
712,355
678,751
789,245
724,784
852,687
824,438
958,648
895,325
1,029,315
1,160,785
1,365,481
1,423,077
1,654,741
1,701,261
1,955,472
2,116,928
2,433,251
2,560,671
3,012,555
2,998,585
3,569,745
3,487,392
4,201,678
Exports
----------------
Industry
Value Added
(%)
11.2
7.6
6.9
11.5
16.6
3.7
14.3
22.0
22.9
27.7
25.1
18.8
22.1
19.6
Enterprises Employment
(%)
(%)
0.1
1.3
2.9
1.7
-0.9
1.4
13.4
10.8
6.8
8.0
13.7
12.4
8.6
7.4
29.6
32.7
22.6
21.2
19.5
18.2
24.4
24.4
21.0
23.8
17.1
18.5
16.3
17.7
Exports
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Key Ratios
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
IVA/Revenue
(%)
78.86
78.62
78.27
77.65
77.53
77.26
76.90
76.60
76.02
75.88
75.45
75.26
75.25
75.00
73.79
Establishments
(%)
0.1
2.9
-0.9
13.4
6.8
13.7
8.6
29.6
22.6
19.5
24.4
21.0
17.1
16.3
Imports/
Demand
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Exports/
Revenue
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Revenue per
Employee
($000)
1.03
1.13
1.20
1.27
1.28
1.39
1.29
1.38
1.28
1.30
1.41
1.42
1.36
1.41
1.46
Imports
----------------
Wages
($m)
532.1
591.1
634.4
678.8
754.5
876.9
912.0
1,037.5
1,262.4
1,542.2
1,966.5
2,460.4
2,915.6
3,550.5
4,230.7
Number of adults
Domestic aged 50 and older
Demand
(Mil people)
N/A
87.1
N/A
89.3
N/A
91.6
N/A
94.0
N/A
95.9
N/A
98.5
N/A
101.2
N/A
102.7
N/A
104.8
N/A
107
N/A
109.2
N/A
111.3
N/A
112.6
N/A
114.3
N/A
116.1
Imports
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Wages
(%)
11.1
7.3
7.0
11.2
16.2
4.0
13.8
21.7
22.2
27.5
25.1
18.5
21.8
19.2
Wages/Revenue
(%)
76.16
75.82
75.27
74.76
74.43
73.96
73.80
73.19
72.42
71.88
71.35
71.16
70.95
70.50
69.09
Employees
per Est.
1.16
1.18
1.16
1.19
1.16
1.18
1.16
1.15
1.18
1.16
1.15
1.15
1.18
1.19
1.20
Average Wage
($)
780.70
855.95
903.24
952.90
955.98
1,028.40
951.34
1,007.95
924.51
931.99
1,005.64
1,011.16
967.82
994.61
1,006.91
Share of the
Economy
(%)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
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Industry Jargon
IBISWorld Glossary
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