STQS1114: STATISTICS 1

2nd SEMESTER: ACADEMIC YEAR 2013/2014

Name and course code: STQS 1114, Statistics 1

Lectures time: Monday (11.00 12.00 am)
Thursday (9.00 11.00 pm)

Lecturers: Encik Mohd Aftar Abu Bakar / Puan Marina Zahari

Tel. No.: 03-8921 5784 / 5893

Email: aftar@ukm.my / zmarina@ukm.my

Course Evaluation: Quiz / Lab
Assignments / Tutorial
15%
15%
Mid Semester Exam 25%
Final Exam 45%

Reference Books:
Freund, John E., Mathematical Statistics with Applications (Seventh Ed.),
Prentice Hall (RM80.00).
Dennis D. Wackerly, William Mendenhall III dan Richard L. Scheaffer,
Mathematical Statistics (Seventh Ed.), Duxbury.
Hogg, Robert V., and Tannis, Elliot, E., 2006, Probability and Statistical Inference
(7
th
Ed), Prentice Hall.
Murdoch, J ohn, and J ohn Anthony Barnes, 1998, Statistical Tables for Students of
Science, Engineering, Psychology, Business, Management, Finance. Macmillan
(RM10.00 ~RM15.00).

Course objectives:
Upon the completion of this course, the students should be able to:
1. recognize different types of charts and graphs and how to construct them.
3. recognize several distributions based on the distributions properties.
4. differentiate between univariate distribution and bivariate distribution.
5. derive a new distribution based on the information of other specific distributions.















Course contents

Lectures Contents Notes
Wk 1 Wk 2
17/2/2014-
2/3/2014

Data Exploration:
What is statistics?
Types of data (quantitative and qualitative)
Measurement scale (nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio)

Organization and summarization of data
(a) Visual summary-Graphical displays of data
(b) Numerical summary-
i) Measures of Central Tendency,
-3 types of averages ( mean, mode, median)
-3 types of means (arithmetic, harmonic ,
Geometric)
ii) Measures of Dispersion
- variance, range,
- skewness, kurtosis


Relationship between types
of averages and types of
data.
e.g Mode=(quantitative and
qualitative)

Mean and median
(quantitave)

Lab 1 : Introduction to
SPSS; Descriptive Statistics
and Graphs


Wk 3 Wk 4
3/3/2014-
16/3/2014





Probability:
Explain experiment, outcomes and sample space.
Counting the events: permutation and combination
Probability: relative frequency
(empirical, based on experiments and theoretical
(based on theory), degree of believe-(subjective,
expert opinions)
The probability of an event,
Independence of events:
Mutually exclusive events :
Laws of Probability
Conditional Probability
Bayes Theorem


Differentiate between
permutation and
combination



Chapter 2
Assignment 1


Lab 2 : Relationships
between Variables


Wk 5 Wk 6
17/3/2014-
30/3/2014

Probability distributions and probability
Densities

Discrete random variables and probability
distribution
Continuous random variables and probability
density function
Cumulative distribution function
J oint probability distribution,
J oint probability density function
J oint cumulative distribution function
Marginal distribution, marginal density
Conditional distribution, conditional density


Chapter 3


Wk 6
29
th
March 2014
MID SEMESTER EXAM 8:30 a.m. 10:00 a.m.










Wk 7
31/3/2014-
4/4/2014
Mathematical Expectation

Moments
Expected value of a random variable
Moment-Generating Functions
Covariance of two random variables
Linear functions of random variables
Conditional Expectations
Chapter 4
Assignment 2



Wk 8
5/4/2014-
13/4/2014
MID SEMESTER BREAK
Wk 9-Wk 10
14/4/2014-
27/4/2014
Discrete Probability Distributions:

Uniform distribution
Bernoulli distribution
Binomial distribution
Poisson distribution
Geometric distribution
Negative Binomial distribution
Hypergeometric distribution
Multinomial Distribution


Chapter 5
Assignment 3
Wk 11 Wk 12
28/4/2014-
11/5/2014
Continuous Probability Density Function:
Uniform distribution
Normal distribution
Exponential distribution
Gamma distribution
Chi-Square distribution
Beta distribution


Relates Poisson distribution
to Exponential (inter-arrival
time)

Chapter 6
Assignment 4



Wk 13
12/5/2014-
18/5/2014

Lab 3 : Probability Calculations using SPSS
Wk 14 Wk 15
19/5/2014-
30/5/2014
Functions of Random Variables:
Method of Distribution Functions
Method of Moment-Generating Functions
Method of Transformations



Chapter 7
Assignment 5
31/5/2014-
8/6/2014
REVISION WEEK
From 9/6/2014 FINAL EXAMINATION WEEKS