The document provides a scenario analysis for planning a new car factory that will begin production in 2010. Key points include:
- Technological developments will continue the trend of increasing electrification and electronics in vehicles. Alternative fuels like hydrogen may start to make gains but won't see widespread adoption by 2010. Safety systems will be more advanced using technologies like occupant detection.
- Societal changes will include an aging population in Europe. Online shopping will impact traditional dealerships. Regulations will further prioritize pedestrian safety.
- The factory plan outlined in the document will produce a large A00-class vehicle at 2000 units per day across 3 shifts, with a low number of variants and production starting in 2010. It provides layout
The document provides a scenario analysis for planning a new car factory that will begin production in 2010. Key points include:
- Technological developments will continue the trend of increasing electrification and electronics in vehicles. Alternative fuels like hydrogen may start to make gains but won't see widespread adoption by 2010. Safety systems will be more advanced using technologies like occupant detection.
- Societal changes will include an aging population in Europe. Online shopping will impact traditional dealerships. Regulations will further prioritize pedestrian safety.
- The factory plan outlined in the document will produce a large A00-class vehicle at 2000 units per day across 3 shifts, with a low number of variants and production starting in 2010. It provides layout
The document provides a scenario analysis for planning a new car factory that will begin production in 2010. Key points include:
- Technological developments will continue the trend of increasing electrification and electronics in vehicles. Alternative fuels like hydrogen may start to make gains but won't see widespread adoption by 2010. Safety systems will be more advanced using technologies like occupant detection.
- Societal changes will include an aging population in Europe. Online shopping will impact traditional dealerships. Regulations will further prioritize pedestrian safety.
- The factory plan outlined in the document will produce a large A00-class vehicle at 2000 units per day across 3 shifts, with a low number of variants and production starting in 2010. It provides layout
Automotive Product Development and Production Groupwork: Matthias Heiser Benjamin Koenig Sebastien Lavoie Daniel Luecht Stefan Penner Roelof van Maasakkers Hand in date: 24.03.2004 Tutor: Dr. W. Schreiber 1 Table of contents 1. Introduction 2 2. Scenario 3 2.1 Developments in Technology 6 2.2. Changes in Production 8 3. Technical concept and package 10 3.1 Competitive advantage 10 3.2 Benchmark and positioning 12 3.3 Package Specifications and Drawing 15 4. SWOT and critical success factors 18 5. WORK-BREAK-DOWN STRUCTURE for the plant 19 6. Overall factory layout 20 7. Individual layout 24 7.1 Body in White 24 7.1.1 Press Shop 24 7.1.2 Body Shop 26 7.2 Paint Shop 29 7.3 Final Assembly 31 8. Logistic process 33 9. Process flow 36 9.1 Process Flow Body in White 36 9.1.1 Process Flow Press Shop 36 9.1.2 Process Flow Body Shop 37 9.2 Process Flow Paint Shop 37 9.3 Process Flow Final Assembly 39 10. Modularisation of product and production 40 11. Conclusion 43 12. References 44 13. Appendix 46 2 1. Introduction The following report is about to show the learning outcomes of the given Product Development and Production lectures of the fourth core module of the MSc course. The development of new vehicle manufacturing plants becomes more and more important. The implementation of suppliers into the development process and the use of new car development concepts cause a change in developing new plants. The task is to develop a plan and a layout for a car factory under the following requirements: A00 class car 2,000 units per day 3 shifts of 8 hours each a low number of derivates start of production is 2010 The report is devided into thirteen chapters and includes all aspects of a car factory layout. Each chapter covers a single topic which has to be taken into consideration when planning this layout. The report starts by analysing the scenario in the year 2010. From there on all the given partial tasks are solved. 3 2. Scenario Scenario of the year 2010 Regarding the developments of the past and nowadays society, politics and technologies, it is possible to create scenarios for the future. These scenarios can roughly be divided into three different categories: Prosperity: Growth of the economy, traditional values Pragmatism: Low growth of the economy, no big changes are expected Transformation: Stagnation, crisis, changes in values Each category reflects different expectations of the future, but can anyhow only show an evolutionary development. The danger of unforeseen changes, based on political, societal or technical revolutions or on terroristic or climatic hazards can be only slightly regarded, because of their complexity of influence. Applying a pragmatic view of the future for an automobile in the year 2010, it can be said that: Unique selling properties will be: styling (still), environmentally-friendliness and economy will increase, innovation and price will stay similar to nowadays (1*); Increase of after sales activities such as loyalty programs and mobility services (1*), [] the basic concept of automotive transportation hasn't made a really quantum leap in the past 50 years, and in the last few decades in particular, technological advancements seem to have levelled off a great deal. To the average owner, the mass market family sedan is becoming just another necessary "appliance" like a refrigerator, except for its relative cost. It is chock full of sophisticated electronic science and development -- but that is mostly transparent technology, and the end result is millions of vehicles that are apparently functionally indistinguishable. (2*) Above all, several changes in the future influencing the automotive industry can already be predicted because of the nowadays situation and the success in developments: Societal changes Disregarding any political or technological changes, the society experiences a demographical change within the next years. This can be said because of the observations done in the past. When designing a car, it has to be beared in mind, that the average of the population is growing continuously, due to developments in medicine and life-quality. This growth is stated for Middle Europe with 1 mm per year in average, except from the Netherlands, where it is 1,6 mm per year (3*). Not only is the average height of the population increasing also the average age, especially in Middle Europe. Regarding the following figure, it is obvious, that there are already in 2010 remarkable changes identifiable. 4 figure 001: Demographical development belonging to the age of the German population in comparison between 1998 and 2030 (3*). The increase of traffic of the last years, shown on the figures of the registration history of Germany will implement a stronger need for safety which is already nowadays the case. Independent organizations such as the EuroNCAP achieved a big popularity in testing new cars and those already on the market for safety issues, demanding in some issues much higher limit values than legislatively claimed. For example the hip-collision for pedestrian safety, which is introduced by law in 2010, but already tested by the EuroNCAP (4*). 5 10 000 000 20 000 000 30 000 000 40 000 000 50 000 000 1968 1978 1988 1998 Year N u m b e r
o f
r e g i s t e r e d
c a r s figure 002: Number of registered passenger vehicles in Germany from 1970 to 2000 (10*) Another societal influence on the automotive industry is the changing buying behaviour of the population. The trust into the internet and its usage is growing and changes the buying behaviour in many cases of the daily life. This will influence the traditional automotive dealers, which will loose importance, down to -40% of todays revenues; furthermore discount dealers will be selling huge volumes of cars and will increase their market share because of the Gruppenfreistellungsverordnung, GVO (5*). This influence is made up by the legislation of the European Union. In the past, there were already directives for several issues to increase the ease of use and therefore the safety, like the SAE set in 1964 the order of PRNDL for automatic gearbox shifters or in 1977 the order of certain control functions to be on the right or left side of the control stalk (6*). An actual example is the upcoming pedestrian safety regulation 70/156/EWG, which case of an accident. This regulation does have a big influence on the design of nowadays cars and increases the need for new technology in certain areas (7*). 6 One of the main driving forces in the automotive industry is the technology itself. As nowadays already regarded, the use of electrics and electronics is increasing. This tendency will continue in the future. figure 003 : The shift of value for functions in comparison between the years 2002 and 2010 for passenger vehicle (9*). 2.1 Developments in Technology 7 Searching for alternative fuels, hydrogen was discovered in the 60s by GM for the empowerment of passenger vehicles. GM presented the concept Electrovan, using a fuel cell to produce electrical energy to drive the car. Nowadays almost every other big Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) is presenting concepts of a possible use of fuel cell in mobile applications. BMW presented the first hydrogen car in 1978 and proves nowadays the usability of hydrogen as an alternative fuel with their 745h fleet, which is often used as a shuttle service for important events such as the IAA in Frankfurt / Main, without any compromises in power and comfort (8*). Regarding the year 2010 is not very obvious that this technology will have its break through; because of the very wide spread infrastructure for petroleum use and its cost efficiency, that it will probably need a revolution to evoque bigger changes in engine technology within the next six years. This is even more obvious, when regarding the nowadays stage of developments in alternative power and the duration of the automotive product development. Another big issue in technological development is the increasing need for safety and the severe regulations for the future as already mentioned in the chapter before. The upcoming pedestrian safety regulations for example do have a big influence on the development of new cars; not only has the design of the structure to be changed to create a pedestrian-friendly car, but also the materials to absorb the energy and the styling of the front-end. Last but not least, active systems are developed to increase the collapsible zone for the pedestrian through lifting the bonnet, but also detection systems to avoid the accident. This will lead to an increased use of electronically features as already mentioned above. To reduce cost and increase the effectiveness of nowadays safety systems, detection systems will increase the passive safety through controlling the occupancy of seat, the position of the person and his weight, sex and size to react in the right way in case of an accident. Regarding the last decades, more and more new segments are invented to satisfy customers needs. Nowadays there are already a lot of so called crossover cars available which are combinations of different segments. This variety will increase in the future and regarding a little bit further, probably lead to a dilution of the formerly clearly divided segments in the automotive sector and also it will involve issues of motorcycles, watercraft, hovercraft or even aircrafts (2*). Having already mentioned changing regulations for passenger safety there are much more influences by the law on the development of new cars. The always increasing restrictions for fuel consumption and emissions lead to the need to increase efficiency of the car and this is primarily done through weight reduction. The use of innovative materials is necessary to create lightweight structures, always bearing in mind that the recyclability of the car has to be increased as well, demanded by law. The use of lightweight structures in the future is predictable regarding nowadays structures used in the upper segment, like the MERCEDES CL, which combines many different materials to utilize their special potentials. These ideas gained in this highly profitable market will float down to the mass production as already seen with the Aluminium bodied AUDI A8 and the AUDI A2. Not only the decrease of weight leads to further developments but also the changes and increase in demand of the customer. Innovative materials are invented to reduce contamination of the exterior and interior or to increase the level of comfort through venting fabrics (9*). 8 Looking at the visions of the past and the developments nowadays, the dream of autonomous driving is still a big issue for the future. Presenting systems that are detecting the surrounding of the car and even manipulating the speed, like the Automatic Cruise Control (AUDI), it is shown that autonomous driving is still a goal of the development and research departments. The following graphic shows some important developments which will have an influence on the driving of the future from a technological point of view: figure 004: Technological Milestones in connection with the time (9*). The increasing globalization not only affects the consumer behaviour as already mentioned but also the pressure of costs for the production because of the rising competition. Most of the OEM do have production sites in various countries, not only to be close to the market but also to reduce costs of production. Through the rising competition there are also changing expectations in the brands, that have to be fulfilled through a decrease of the time-to-market-time and the increase of derivates and variants to satisfy the customers. This leads to a shortening of the product- life-cycles and requires short reaction times, not only in the development but also in the production. The increase of variants and derivates, the decrease of time-to-market and the shortening of life-cycles are exactly contrariwise to the sempiternal growth of complexity through already mentioned changes in technology. External resources have to be involved in the development of new products as it is already done with external suppliers like BOSCH, developing fuel injection systems or DELPHI, developing interior solutions. Furthermore, external production capacities are used to purchase systems or whole modules for a car. These tendencies will probably also increase in the future regarding upcoming solutions in plant layout, where the suppliers are not only delivering parts but also mounting them on location, like it is done in 2.2. Changes in Production 9 the SMART plant in Hambach / Germany or the VOLKSWAGEN Commercial Vehicle plant in Brazil (10*). These examples show a change in the value-added chain. The responsibility of the manufacturing of a module is extended to the assembly into the car. That means that the number of employees in the assembly will be reduced at the side of the OEM but increases at the side of the suppliers. A survey was done by a consulting agency belonging to the future of the production of vehicles. Managers of OEM and Suppliers on all levels of production where asked to answer several question to the production of a car in the year 2010. 60 % of the managers believe in a reorganization of the value-added chain in the mentioned direction, the rest expects a moderate change in stabilized structures. (5*). This survey also shows a further trend, namely that the involvement of the supplier is not only extended internally the assembly but even completely outsourced to the supplier. 38 % of the surveyed people can imagine that the production in 2010 is done at the supplier under the brand of the OEM (5*). A further trend can already be regarded these days: The number of suppliers is reduced although the involvement is increasing continuously. That does not mean that they will close down but consolidate with other suppliers. This reduction will be up to 50 % of today to 4000 (1*). This trend is initiated mainly by the two reasons: The OEM wish to deal with a smaller number of suppliers to reduce organizational effort and the supplier wants to increase their competence to extend their production program to larger modules. As shown in the chapter above, the developments in the field of electronics will have a big influence on the driving in the future. This does also means that the influence of the electronic-processing companies will grow. That includes on the one hand electronic parts producing companies but also software programming companies (9*). 10 3. Technical concept and package The main objective for the company to introduce a car in the A00 class car segment, is to increase the market share in the worldwide motor industry. To increase market share, it is important to differentiate and to introduce more diversity in the model range. After the launch phase, the aim of the A00 class car is to consolidate and further expand the success of the company. On its way to this goal the company is supported by two market trends. Firstly, the A00 car segment is set to grow by about 50% over the next ten to twelve years from the 8.4 million units worldwide sold in 2001.(15*) And secondly, the market for premium products is clearly growing faster than the total market. Particularly in the A00 class segment, the number of customers who will not compromise on safety, quality and driving characteristics is rising faster than average. (15*) The first step in understanding the position of a product is to examine this against its competitors. All products are in a competitive position in relation to each other. To analyse the market the identification of key competitive forces have to be identified. In the very complex and competitive motor industry, the substitutes are very close to each other (see Benchmark in the Appendix figure 026). The A00 car segment was the domain of the South and East European as well as Asian OEM till recently. These carried out their profits of the cost leadership and the Economies of Scale. Vehicles like the Fiat panda or the Mazda 121 stand out due to functionality and a reasonable price in which the extremely cost-conscious buyers are also ready to make cut backs at equipment and design. This way of thinking changed during the last decades. The new stars at the A00 market showing high quality standards, a lot of the newest high- tech features and they are no longer only cheap cars. This graphic (figure 004) shows the position of our A00 class car to its competitors. The Y-axis shows the buyers emotional rate to a brand and the X-axis shows rate of buyers social integration to a brand. The conclusion is that our A00 class car is bought with a more than average degree of emotions. 2.1 Competitive advantage Control emotion Social integration Social affirmation Express emotion figure 004 We 11 All companies in the market are in competition with each other. In the business of manufacturing it is important to identify a companys competitive advantage. The brands and especially the models have a specific competitive advantage to other models. There are three competitive advantages: Focus Differentiation Cost This graphic (figure 005) shows the relation between the competitive advantages, costs, differentiation and focus. It points out, especially in our case, the connection between costs and differentiation. It is clear, if the differentiation increases, the cost factor drops. The competitive advantage for our A00 class car is differentiation. cost differentiation focus figure 005 We 12 3.2 Benchmark and positioning Comparing the competitors under the aspect of the outer size, an upper limit of 900mm or the A00 Class is figured out. The average height is roundabout 1500mm with some exceptions up- and downwards. The positioning of our project in length to the competitors is a tribute to the ever growing average size of the cars and the implementation of a sportive exterior look in increasing the length while having an average height. h e i g h t
/
m m length / mm 1 3 5 0
1 4 0 0
1 4 5 0 1 5 0 0
1 5 5 0
1 6 0 0 1 6 5 0
1 7 0 0 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 3900 Maximum length in the A00 Segment ~1400 Minimum height but no Maximum We figure 006 13 The relation between quantity and price, regarding the German market, is needed to create an attractive price for the customer. Our expected sales numbers will be higher than Peugeot, but the upper price limit should not exceed this competitor. The bottom price limit should not underbid competitors like Hyundai because of image and differentiation reasons. This leads to a range of prices which will offer the possibility to introduce different model variants beginning with a cheap basic model at the bottom and a sporty model at the end of the range. q u a n t i t y
/
t h o u s a n d
Price / thousand Euro 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
6 0
7 0
8 0 Basic Sport Model We figure 007 14 Relating the weight to the volume, a ratio of lightweight can be created. The aim is to achieve a maximum of volume with a minimum of weight in comparison to the competitors. The increasing demands for fuel efficiency implements a decrease of weight. This decrease is also needed to increase the sportiness of our car. w e i g h t
/
k g length* width* height / 10000000mm 3 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 7 0 0
8 0 0
9 0 0
1 0 0 0
1 1 0 0
1 2 0 0
1 3 0 0
1 4 0 0
Better weight / volume Ratio -> sporty ~Maximum in the A00 Segment due to the length We figure 008 15 front-wheel drive Driven axle front engine, transversally mounted Engine 175/65 R15 up to 205/55 R16 Wheels and tires 55 - 125 (gto-version) Performance [kW] ~2750 Wheelbase [mm] 495 Load capacity [kg] less than 900 Weight [kg] ~1650 Width [mm] ~1500 Height [mm] ~3850 Length [mm] 4, optional 5 Number of passengers starting at 9995 up to ~14800 Price [EUR] Singles and Young Unisex Driver as First Car, Second Car for Family Use Target group 3 shifts of 8 hours each Start of production 2010, Low number of derivatives, A00 class car, 2.000 units per day, Scenario Specification 3.3 Package Specifications and Drawing Following are Specifications and Drawings that define package issues, such as height, length, width, head position contour, front and rear passenger position, vision lines as well as Angle of Approach and Departure for A00 vehicle class. 16 Car width 1690 W103 Steering Wheel Diameter 355 W9 W Overhang - Rear 498,5 L105 Overhang - Front 580 L104 Vehicle Length 3832 L103 Wheelbase 2755 L101 H-Point Distance 741 L50 Trunk slope - driver seat 25 L40 H-Point to Heel Point - Rear 542,2 L35 H-Point to Heel Point - Front 939,2 L34 Steering Wheel to Front Wheel 1277 L26 Horizontal seat adjustable stroke - driver seat 216 L23 L Ground Clearance 170 H156 Tank Ground Clearance 265 H154 Angle of Departure 25 H107 Angle of Approach 30 H106 Vehicle Height 1496,6 H101 Vertical measure H-Point to Heel Point - Rear 279 H31 Vertical measure H-Point to Heel Point - Front 292 H30 Vertical seat adjustable stroke - driver seat 59,4 H23 Steering column angle in Y-plane 21,6 H19 H H-Point x measure 2265 L31 H-Point y measure -295 W20 H-Point z measure 268 H70 H-Point to Ground 568 H10 H-Point - Rear H-Point x measure 1525 L31 H-Point y measure -380 W20 H-Point z measure 310 H70 H-Point to Ground 610 H5 H-Point - Front description specification measure 17 Package Drawing Out of the measurements and specifications given above, a package drawing was created. Figure 009 shows a preview of the drawing. The appendix includes a 1:5 scale plot of the drawing. figure 009 18 4. SWOT and critical success factors Threats 1)Many competitors, especially from Asia 2)More strict crash legislation Opportunities 1)Fuel prices increasing 2)More strict exhaust emissions law 3)Lower speed limits Weaknesses 1)Small overall dimensions: fullfilling safety requirements 2)Limited space for alternative engine concepts 3)Not suitable for every market Strengths 1)Small car (parking space) 2)Fuel economy 3)Modular product configuration: early testings possible O3 Little O2, T2 Middle O1 Strong T1 Massive Probable Possible Hardly Possible Not Probable Influence Probability figure 010: Product SWOT analysis The analysed Opportunities and Threats are rated to their probability to increase the predictability of the success of the project. figure 011: Product Critical Success Factors Stating the assessed values, an estimation of risk can be done belonging to the bases of the facts. The occurrence of Threads is usually not influencable, but the knowledge of possible Threads allows the company to prepare for them and to develop strategies to face them successfully. Whereas opportunities offer the possibilities to increase the success of the project and in long-term of the company, if they are recognized and faced in the right way. 19 Threats -New environmental law -Increasing power of suppliers -Workers unions -Resistance to industrialisation by Green party or population Opportunities -Flexibility of the plant -Economy of scale Weaknesses -High amount of investment (new plant) -High material flowinflexible -High fixed cost (robots and machinery) Strengths -New plant with latest concepts -Low number of product derivatives -High plant modularisation -Communication center: high communication throughput -Early failure detection through communication center -High degree of mechanisation figure 012: Plant SWOT analysis The work breakdown structure (WBS) is a tool to subdivide the whole plant into systems (its single departments), subsystems (sub departments e.g. press and body shop) and modules (e.g. the modules at the assembly line) up to the lowest components, the workpackages. The WBS is the spine of the plant development and shows the coherencies to the different departments. For the development of the new plant a simplified work breakdown structure is shown in the appendix (figure 027). 5. WORK-BREAK-DOWN STRUCTURE for the plant 20 6. Overall factory layout During the last decades the layout of car manufacturing plants changed very often, always adapted to the present conditions and facilities. Due to the fact that the term lean production gains more importance and the minimization of so called non-value adding activities are taken into consideration, new plants have to be developed for the future as well. The main aim is to save money (produce efficient), improve the product quality and avoid unnecessary costs. This can be done by removing or avoiding unnecessary machinery processes, using new production methods, minimizing high inventories or even by reducing material handling. A manufacturing philosophy such as Kaizen deals with is the breaking down of the activities into sub-activities and investigating the possibilities to shorten and simplify these sub-activities. This is only one example. Due to lean production the participation of all involved parties such as the design, suppliers and the production is the way to ensure the best compatibility between design and manufacturing. Poka Yoke, the Japanese term for defect prevention deals with the design of new plants, too. To eliminate the production of defects, to ease detection of missing parts or improper assembly, to take the burden off the worker or also to avoid equipment or injury malfunctions are ideas which influences the plant development in present. The use of the platform strategy will be continued in the future time. The most important benefits are listed below: Reduction of costs Lower the initial investment A possible part exchange Reduction of part variety Process improvement A better quality control To minimise the needed storage space the just in time (JIT) delivery method will be implemented. Therefore two logistic centres are planned. Due to the fact that cars become more and more complex, the production becomes more cost related and cost orientated and the logistics more important, the new plant looks like a star (figure 013). In the centre is the communication centre, which controls all processes that have to be done in the plant. The communication between the single processes and departments is better. This results in an excellent quality management. Potential failures can be discovered in an early production stage, repaired and because of the short communication ways easier avoided in the future. After finishing one production step, the car has to pass the communication centre, where all data and specifications can be verified. But also the canteen will be in this centre. People from different departments can sit together and exchange information or discuss problems. Here new ideas or improvements can be developed to increase the product or production quality. 21 For the development of the new plant the following requirements had to be taken to account: A00 class cars have to be built The outcome of 2,000 units per days is required Each day has 3 shifts about 8 hours working time A low number of derivates is demanded Start of production is 2010 Out of the shown future trends and the requirements a plant layout was developed like shown in figure 013. figure 013: Overall Factory Layout 22 On the bottom of this figure the production process starts. The raw material (metal sheets) will be delivered to the first of two logistic centres. To safe costs and time in transportation the press shop and also the body shop will be located directly beside this department. After the body in white is finished, it passes the communication centre the first time and goes on to the paint shop. From the paint shop and again through the communication centre it ends up in the assembly shop, where the cars will be assembled. In the logistic centre the cars will be loaded on trains to be sent to their destinations. Volkswagen in Brazil has already such a similar plant. In the centre there is the communications centre to control the processes. The suppliers are fully integrated into the plant. Each supplier has its own area at the assembly line. The segmentation of the plant ensures the easy access for every supplier to deliver the parts directly to the line. The internal logistic travel for the OEM can be minimized in this way. For an output of 2,000 cars a day, in three shifts of 8 hours each (in total 1,440 minutes) the average output rate will be 2,000units/1,440min. Therefore a car will leave the production facilities every 0.72min (43sec) in average. Such high output volumes are generally favoured by high degrees of mechanisation. The low number of derivates also doesnt requires flexibility or man power. Therefore a degree of mechanisation of about 70% is a suitable compromise between too much and too less mechanization in the manner of costs. Nevertheless, it requires well thought-out solutions for built-in flexibility. Table 1 below shows the characteristics of the new plant, 25,000m2 are required for the communication centre, which includes a small engineering department, the quality department, canteen etc. Another 12,000 m are demanded by the entrance hall with its exhibition area, a small museum, an event area, merchandise stores and an area where people can pick up their new cars. 23 0.58 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 1161 sum 3 8 superior area 45 infrastructure and outer area 20 social and boundary area 0.54 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 1088 sum 2 28 logistics/controlling 0.53 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 1060 sum 1 0.10 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 200 assembly 0.13 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 260 paint shop 0.22 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 440 body shop 0.08 classification number (t)/(cars/day) 160 press shop Table 1: Characteristics of the new car plant Investments in Thousand Euro 150500 sum 1.95 sum worker/plant 42000 assembly 3900 sum worker 56500 paint shop 0.25 classification number W/(cars/day) 32000 body shop 500 Others (engineering, administration etc.) 20000 press shop 0.98 classification number W/(cars/day) Production Area in m 1960 assembly worker 0.23 classification number W/(cars/day) 480000 cars/year 460 paint shop worker 2000 cars/day 0.38 classification number W/(cars/day) 83,3 cars/hour Capacity in 760 body shop worker 240 plant opening days 0.11 classification number W/(cars/day) 8 shifts per day 220 press shop worker 1440 working time [min/day] Human Resources Technical Data of the new Car Factory 24 7. Individual Layout This chapter will describe the individual plant layout through the different areas of the factory for example the press and the body shop; together the body in white, the paint shop and the final assembly line respectively. Each of these areas has different types of processes with unique features, which will be described in more detail later. Different body panels are pressed in the press shop and the vehicle body is then welded together in the body shop. As the body in white it goes on through the paint shop for further treatments and the painting. Finally, the engine, transmission and all other car components are installed on the assembly line. From the planning period of the plant, up to the start up of the series production it is important to invest in the latest automation and die handling equipment technology, which can improve production effectiveness, lower die changing costs and provide greater flexibility. The main objectives of a well designed press shop are: Produce at the lowest cost Minimise stocks and delays Maximise the return on investment (ROI) Maintain the target product quality These objectives achieve a better efficiency in operations that minimize: Production set-up time Cycle time Downtime Scrap and rework Further it is absolute necessary to fulfil the requirements for optimal dimensional accuracy and quality of the components, whether the company is producing large outer skin panels, car body or structural parts. When operating a stamping facility, proper scheduling of equipment and human resources plays an important role in facility performance. Set-up, tool and fixture requirements, preventative maintenance and other factors influence the performance of the press shop. The press shop in this new facility is ideally located, moreover, it is directly implemented under the same roof as the body shop where hundreds of robots spot-weld the panels together. The implementation is required in order to reduce transportation of pressed parts. Also the communication travel is less, which significantly increases quality throughout the factory. A detailed layout of the press shop is shown in figure 014 below. 7.1. Body in White 7.1.1. Press shop 25 Module 5: Assembly parts Module 3: Side parts Module 1: Lower body I Module 2: Lower body II Module 4: Upper body figure 014: Layout of the Press Shop The raw material comes from the logistic centre and will be distributed to each of the presses. There are several modules: the lower body I, lower body II, side parts, upper body and additional assembly parts, which have to be produced. All presses work independent and deliver the finished parts to the body shop along the red line shown in figure 014. The blue shaded rectangles are storage areas. The used presses in the new design press shop are transfer presses (see figure 015). figure 015: Transfer Presses 26 Material flow Module 4: Upper body Module 1: Lower body I Module 5: Assembly parts Module 6: Finish Other areas Module 2: Lower body II Module 3: Side parts figure 015: Transfer Presses figure 016: Layout of the Body Shop 7.1.2 Body Shop 27 In the automotive industry, a new body shop production line needs to be set up for almost every new car model. Due to the relatively short product life cycles, the planning process of body shops can almost be regarded as continuous and the investment in equipment sometimes exceeds millions of Euros. Of course, the amount of money spent on equipment mainly depends on the flexibility of the overall manufacturing system, but both the efficiency of such planning processes and the quality of the final design are also essential for a companys success. A main problem is to find an efficient layout fulfilling the desired production rate and characterised by small buffer sizes and optimised cycle times. Within the car body shop of an automotive plant, the body-in-white is assembled from pre-formed pieces of sheet metal. Here, up to one hundred or even more welding robots and various other Equipment are needed to complete the body-in-white before it is conveyed to the next step of the production process. In the early conceptual design, being among the first steps of the planning processes, the shop is divided into 12 to 18 different blocks, each representing a welding area covering numerous welding operations in different stations. To decouple the production process, buffers are usually introduced between two subsequent blocks forming a structure of blocks and buffers. Here, a converting topology can be observed, as the assemblies and subassemblies coming from certain blocks meet in succeeding areas. The new body shop is now ready to produce the car body of the required A00 car. 156 new robots throughout the body shop have increased the automation level up to 85%. These robots achieve a shorter cycle time; compared with the predecessors, there is a saving of over 50% in production time in body construction alone. Reducing the amount of work to be done has also decreased production time. The number of components has also been reduced. This has been achieved through the use of large- format panels such as the one-piece side-wall frame. The welding process used on the new A00 car is a hybrid of conventional laser- and arc- welding processes, which exceeds the limits of current thermal joining processes with regard to productivity, economy, seam quality and process reliability. The laser-MIG- hybrid welding is used in the area of the lateral roof frame where welding a seam length of 3.2m per vehicle is achieved. As well as the amount of hybrid welding seam, there are also 2,200 punch rivets, 54m of MIG welding seams and 20m of laser welding seams on every A00 body. The greater use of punch riveting on the model means that 500 spot welds and 178 clinch connections that joined the body of the previous A00 together are no longer required. Another innovative joining technique is roller-type hemming. Here, rollers secured to a robot arm bend the outer panel over the inner panel and create a powerful connection by the application of a hem-bonding adhesive. The add-on components on the new A00 (doors, bonnet and tailgate) and the connection of the wheel arch with the side-panel frame are processed in this way. 28 Inductive gelling is also in production first. In this process, the hem-bonding zones on the add-on components are heated through targeted induction (electric field) that hardens the hem-bonding adhesive. The component is thus stabilised and any slipping of the outer panel to the inner panel is avoided. figure 017: Welding robots in the Body Shop 29 7.2. Paint Shop figure 018 The paint shop application is one of the most demanding aspects of automobile manufacturing. Not only that the paint coating protects the body surface, it also enhances visual appeal by adding colour and gloss a very important selling points. The technology used must meet high expectations of quality and cost efficiency while remaining environmentally responsible such as the use of waterborne primer, efficient management of paint over spray, pioneering methods of recycling waste materials and energy management including heat recovery. The purpose of the paint shop can be described as to provide a great looking finish with long term durability. One of the key drivers is the 12 years No Perforation Corrosion guarantees that will be offered on all cars leaving the plant. To meet this challenge, several key processes and material changes have to be implemented compared to a conventional paint shop: The used steel itself must have a thin zinc coating providing maximum protection against rust. The phosphate, ELPO dip and primer surfacer coatings must be modified to provide increased corrosion protection. Automation is added to apply under body sealer and cavity wax to complete the corrosion protection package. In order to meet the requirement of 2.000 vehicles a day, the paint shop design layout must rely on standardised process control procedures to ensure consistent quality through each stage. The degree of quality can be significantly increased through thorough testing of incoming materials before usage. Further on, strict use of lint-free clothing and up to date clean room practices contribute to a high quality finish. Figure 019 shows the paint shop layout of the new plant. 30 figure 019: Layout of the Paint Shop To use the provided space most efficient the paint shop consists out of one big line which resembles a snake. The whole painting process consists out of 18 steps. Each step is important for reaching the quality standards. A numeration of the processes is given below; the description of the single step is specified in chapter 9.2 Process Flow Paint Shop 1. Detergent Wash 2. Degrease 3. Rinse 4. Conditioning Rinse 5. Phosphate Treatment 6. Dip Rinse 7. Spray with demineralised water 8. Electrophoresis 9. Spray Rinse 10.Bake 11.Joint Sealing 12.Underseal 13.Stone Chip Primer 14.Primer Surface 15.Bake 16.Top Coat 17.Bake 18.Undersealing, Blackout, Wax Injection 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 31 After leaving the paint shop the car body is ready to get assembled. Therefore it enters the final assembly line were it is processes by using a combination of traditional skills and modern technology. In order to eliminate congestion caused by tools, material and workforce and to assist by improving building quality and efficiency with an enhanced working environment the new assembly plant uses the strategy of modularisation. Defining modules is the new vital competitive weapon. The fundamental issue is the way in which modules are defined, an issue which is not treated in the same way by all vehicle manufacturers or indeed by all suppliers. Despite the prevalence of the term, there is no simple or consistent definition of a module. It is possible to identify a range of approaches to the definition of modules. Subassemblies, for example cockpit or engine modules are assembled on mini-conveyors away from the main body of the car and installed individually. Another possibility for the car manufacturer is to outsource the assembly of the modules to one of their suppliers. The supplier is in total responsible for the quality and for the just in time (JIT) management of its modules. As part of the Just in time philosophy of material supply, a reduction of handling and the elimination of costly material stocks can be achieved. This off-line assembly technique allows for example the fully assembled instrument panel to be electronically checked prior to installation, to ensure consistent component reliability. To guarantee the production of 2.000 vehicles a day the assembly line includes seven modules: Cockpit Rear Axles Powertrain Engine Front End Finish Module: Assemble last single parts to the car Doors The entire layout of the assembly shop and the single assembly steps are shown in figure 020. 7.3. Final Assembly 32 figure 020: Assembly Shop Layout The strategy which is used for the assembly line is called the Modularisation with the door off system. This means that the last step of assembling the car is to bring together the doors. That is very helpful in order to get easier access for the fitting of parts such as the wiring harness, hard plastic trim items, seat belts, glass and headlining. Module 1: Engine Module 3: Rear Axles Module 4: Cockpit Module 7: Door (outsourced) Module 6: Finish Module 5: Frontend Zp. 7 Other- areas Zp. 8 33 8. Logistic process In this chapter the logistic process is described. This is mainly done by explanation and calculation of the different formulas for: storage areas, transport containers and technical equipment for transport and personnel. Storage areas To evaluate storage areas the following data must be compiled: Units per day: 2000 Units per day is one of the initial requirements set to start the plant planning. Container per vehicle: 10 Container per vehicle reflects the needed amount of containers to provide the parts needed for the assembly of one vehicle. The total amount of 10 containers was obtained by combining an estimated 5 large standard containers and 5 small tray rack. Container area: 1.2 m Surface area of each container. The dimensions of a large standard container are 1.2x1.0x1.0 (lentgh x width x height). Weight factor: 1.2 (stacking) This factor reflects the type of stacking used to pile up the containers. Considering the low number of derivatives it was decided to use direct piling of containers over each others. Each pile representing a configuration of a particular module. This strategy is also cheaper because it doesnt require shelves. Move around factor: 1.2 (20%) With this factor, space needed for employees to move the containers is considered. Stack factor: 5 Takes into account the amount of containers which can be pile up on top of each other. This data is then used to calculate Storage Area (SR). SR = 17 280 m Steel coils The steel needed to produce the body in white is brought to the plant by train. Considering that a A00 class body weighs approximately 300 kg including the waste, the total amount of steel processed in a day is 600 tons. This amount of steel is brought to the plant by one train per day. And then a crane unloads the steel coils for production. r StackFacto Factor MoveAround or WeightFact rea ContainerA Vehicle Container Day Units SR ) ( ) ( ) ( ) / ( ) / ( = 34 Lorries and unloading docks Considering that 84 cars per hour are produced and that 5 Large Standard Containers (LSC) are needed for each car, 420 containers per hour have to be transported to the assembly line. For each day, 10 080 LSCs have to be delivered at the plant. A conventional lorry can carry 52 LSCs, which results in 194 deliveries. A conventional lorry takes approximately 1 hour to unload. At least 9 loading docks are needed. A security margin of 2 is chosen to take into account smaller vehicle. So, a minimum of 18 unloading docks must be present. Fork-lift trucks Each fork-lift truck manipulates a LSC for 13 minutes overall according to figure 021. figure 021: (source: Dr. A. Klauke) With 10 080 LSCs each day, the total amount of fork-lift truck manipulation time is 131 040 minutes. Divided by 1440 minutes per day, it gives a result of 91 fork-lift trucks. Taking into account failures and maintenance, a 100 fork-lift trucks are needed. 13,0 Total time 3,5 Clear out 3,5 Provision 2,5 Unloading 2,5 Loading 0,5 Loading lorry 0,5 Unloading lorry Time per LSC (min) Activity 35 Technical equipment for personnel Material placement is an important aspect of a good operation assembly plant and there are many strategies that can be used to optimize it. Here are the strategies that will be used in this future plant. First, above each assembly station a board with critical information is set up. It should mention which part is to be assembled at this station, the address of the station and the container number to be supplied. Marking on the floor at each station defines the precise place of each container. Rigs can also be used to facilitate the access to the container by the worker on the assembly line. For example, two containers can be fitted on a rotating rig, and when one container is empty, the worker just rotate the rig to continue with an uninterrupted supply of parts. This makes it easier for the fork-lift driver which has an easy access to the empty container. The simplest method to give an even supply of material at the workstation is called Kanban. It works with Kanban cards on which is written the same information as the station board describe previously. When a container is nearly empty, the assembly worker removes the Kanban card from the container and places the card into the card box. The lift-truck drivers empty the card box at a certain interval and delivers the material described on each card using an optimized route. If used properly, this method is very reliable. Andon is the name of another method to be used to supply material. Instead of using cards like Kanban, the assembly worker has to push a button when material reserve is running low. At the storage area, an electronic board describes which container is needed at which station. The fork-lift truck driver can than bring the needed container at the right station. Andon will be the main method used in the plant because it is straight forward and simple. Another advantage is that it does not use any physical cards like Kanban which can be lost and be a source of errors. 36 9. Process flow In this chapter the process flow of the parts and material in the beginning and later on off the body in white until the finished car is shown and explained. The panels that structure the body of the vehicle are produced on 1,600 tonne tri-axis transfer presses and high-speed coil cut lines. Employing the most advanced technology available, the transfer press is a key part of the press shop. figure 022 The material handling function is automated as much as possible: For at least 95% of the steps involved. This is as much to improve quality as to boost productivity. Productivity is further improved by minimizing die change time (to about 10 to 20 minutes) and by maintaining a steady stroke rate; the reliability of the rate is as critical as the speed itself. These almost fully automated presses can produce body panels at the same rate as four conventional press lines. Capable of producing up to 1,000 parts per hour, it is used primarily to press doors, side panels, tailgates and under-body panels. Smaller parts purchased from outside sources. The panels are formed from high quality zinc coated steels, offering a good perforation protection, which is delivered by road and then cut to the required size on the high-speed coil cut line. The steel is then loaded onto the transfer press, which can exert up to 3,200 tons of pressure and produce panels at an average rate of 15 per minute. 9.1.1. Process Flow Press Shop 9.1 Process Flow Body in White 37 9.1.2 Process Flow Body Shop The body starts its journey as a dash-subassembly, produced on a fully robotised welding facility. The dash is then built into a front car subassembly, and progresses through a monorail system to the start of a framing process. This framing process assembles three major subassemblies, front car, front floor and rear under body. These subassemblies are produced in a similar manner as the dash. The completed under- body progresses into a fully automated framing machine which welds together The under- body and body-frame sides. The body-frame sides are built on two dedicated lines, one for the left hand and one for the right hand frame sides. All welding operations are fully automatic. The body sides are picked up by a handling robot and placed onto an overhead conveyor system, which transports them to the framing line. Before leaving the Framing line the body shell is dimensionally checked by a precise measuring system. This ensures the dimensional integrity of the body shell before proceeding to the next part of the process. When the framing line and other robot welders have finished, the body shell receives assemblies like front-end, roof, doors, wings, bonnet and tailgate which have been built on separate line-side robotic facilities. The completed body, now in the state known as body-in-white, is then inspected before being thoroughly cleaned prior to the painting process. All equipment in the body shop is linked to a management information system (MIS), which constantly monitors each piece of equipment and produces statistics of builds achieved, maintenance downtime and actual versus planned cycle times and capacities.The body shops technology is also backed by a control system, which activates when the plants main computer releases vehicle build data to the areas processor. The memory banks are scanned for information about under-body and body-side assemblies. At the start, the body in white enters the paint shop and is transferred to the continuous conveyors that will carry it throughout its journey in the paint shop (see figure 023). The first priority is to ensure its completely cleanliness. This happens during the Detergent wash. This step is to get rid of metal particles, pressing oils, crayon marks and adhesives from the body shop by using mild detergent added with solvent. This step is followed by the Degrease where an alkali cleaner is used to get rid of metal oxides and the Rinse which is a dip-spray process to clean of the alkali cleaner. The Conditioning Rinse is a full dip process in acid etches to provide titanium phosphate nucleant crystals. figure 023 9.2 Process Flow Paint Shop 38 Next the Body in White enters the phosphate treatment phase, a multistage series of acid and alkali dips designed to complete the cleaning process and to produce a surface onto which paint adheres more firmly. The body moves through a series of timed, prearranged processes two degreasing dips, a spray and immersion rinse, and then the phosphate dip itself. This process features an acidic bath, which deposits crystals onto the surface of the body, forming an anticorrosive barrier, improving paint adhesion. After immersion in the phosphate, the body shell is rinsed four times in the chromate rinse, which evens out the crystalline coating and in the demineralised rinses the purest water is used. A closed loop process continually recycles the water to filter out impurities. After the phosphate treatment the body moves through another Rinse which contains demineralised water to wash off residual acid. A followed spray with demineralised water is used to keep the body wet. The next process is called the Electrophoresis (e-coat) and it forces particles of primer, previously dispersed in water, onto the body. The tanks are electrically charged. This charge forces the particles onto the body during immersion. Another Rinse follows to remove loose particles, and then the primed body is baked in an oven (175-180C for approximately 30 min) where the primer particles bond together into a tough shell. Once this stage is completed, the body passes into the sealer applications. Firstly the Joint sealing is passed where a PVC and rubber based mastic is used to seal exposed joints. Afterwards a PVC and rubber based paint is sprayed to the underhood of the body (approximately 750m thick). The next stage is the Stone chip primer where a PU based paint is sprayed to vulnerable areas like door edges, wheel arches and front ends (approximately 25m thick). The primer surface is the last step before the body is conditioned for the top coat. At this stage a second primer is electrostatically sprayed to the surface (approximately 35-40m thick). In this process, a high voltage system charges the atomised paint and this is attracted to the earthed body. This ensures that most of the paint ends up on the vehicle, not in the waste treatment facilities. To cure the body from the applications another storage in an oven is necessary (160-170C for approximately 30min). At last the body is ready for the top coat. After a further dust-down with enormous rotating feather dusters, the body now enters Top Coat One. This is where the computerised paint bells apply exactly the right amount of paint for the best finish. This is then dried by a blower, to provide maximum reflective quality, and is followed by topcoat of clear enamel to seal the shine. Solid colour finishes like white, red and black are also painted automatically by the equipment. One further oven bake is necessary (130-135C for approximately 20-30min). Each painted vehicle is meticulously inspected under bright lights, to ensure no defects are passed on to the customer. Finally, the painted bodies travel through the last process, designed to augment the vehicles corrosion protection. A highly sophisticated machine injects wax into numerous cavities in the under body structure. It then leaves the paint shop to be trimmed and finished. 39 9.3 Process Flow Final Assembly The first step is to remove the doors, in order to have easier access for the fitting of parts such as the wiring harness, hard plastic trim items, seat belts, glass, headlining etc. As the process flow is progressing, cockpit, carpets and seats are installed in the picture mentioned as module 4. After this the vehicle joins the final assembly conveyor for completion of the build process. The vehicles are united with the major mechanical parts like the engine, axle, wheels, brakes, suspension and exhaust system. This stage is monitored by a computer ensuring the right mechanical components are fitted to the appropriate car. The marriage begins with the body raised well above ground level, while small trucks running on a floor mounted conveyor carry the engine, transmission and axles. The trucks are equipped with jacks which raise the mechanical units to the points where they are automatically bolted to the under body by an electronically controlled machine. As the car moves on through the final assembly line, it meets the stage where the frontend is mounted. At the stage of module 6 the car will be finished with assembly parts like wheels and tyres. They will be mounted by a feeder conveyor with the appropriate road wheels and tyres for the right car. The vehicle then returns to a low-level slat conveyor where the finished doors are refitted. The control system guarantees that the same doors that were originally removed are returned to the same vehicle fully trimmed. Fuelled and lubricated, its cooling system filled with water, the A00 car is finally capable of moving under its own power as each vehicle passes through a series of mechanical and electrical checks. Dynamic vehicle testing monitors mechanical specification and exhaust emissions, while assembly line diagnostic links (ALDL) ensure engine management systems, antitheft devices and alarms are functioning correctly. A master computer for the new testing stations is connected to the factorys central computer where data relating to the parts and accessories in each vehicle is stored. The system not only detects faults, but also functions as an additional means of quality control. The car is then subjected to a water test audit, which checks the sealing around the doors, tailgate and windows. Finally, the car is given one last polish before it is ready for delivery. The fully tested vehicle is then passed onto the sales department and leaves the factory for direct delivery into the dealer network or to ports for export to Europe and overseas destinations and, of course, to the most important person in this processes the customer. 40 10. Modularisation of product and production Modularisation is a strategy that definitely will be applied in the year 2010. Modularisation already exists for a couple of years now in the motor industry. It is being used in the European and American motor industry as well as in the Japanese, but in different ways. According to Dr.-Ing. W. Schreiber the benefits of modularisation are: Improvement of manufacturability Improvement of quality Reduction and controlling of complexity Reorganization of supplier relationships The key to successful modularisation for automakers probably lies in close cooperation and coordination between their development, production and purchasing functions, as well as with their suppliers (Fujimoto, 2001). At this moment modularity itself is a term that is used a lot, but also often used for different things, so the term is not very clear. To begin with, modularisation should be divided in three different forms: 1. Modularisation in product architecture / modularisation in design 2. Modularisation in production 3. Modularisation in inter-firm system In this chapter the three forms of modularisation will be explained and described how modularisation is implemented in our car factory. Modularisation in inter-firm system The Europeans and Americans have used modularisation for their inter-firm strategy, what resulted in more and more outsourcing. There are three main reasons why Western automakers have been expanding the scope of outsourcing. First, they want to take advantage of the suppliers lower labour costs. Second, they can cut investment costs and risk by giving more important responsibilities to the suppliers. Third, these moves toward modularisation have also been accelerated by their policy of reducing the number of first- tier suppliers (Fujimoto, 2001). Carmakers have been very sceptical with outsourcing modules until now. They think that module suppliers are not capable of handling all aspects of the module. They are also concerned that extensive outsourcing to a limited number of suppliers may make the costs and the technology of components unknown to themselves, reduce competitive pressure for suppliers, and thus weaken their own negotiation power (Fujimoto, 2001). This has often led to a form of limited outsourcing where the module suppliers is not completely responsible for the module. Limited outsourcing probably only offers the limited advantage of cheap labour (Fujimoto, 2001). In our car factory there will be high level modularisation with the inter-firm system. Suppliers will have their own working area in the plant. Suppliers will be assembling their modules right next to the assembly line so that the complete module immediately can be assembled. Modularisation in production The Japanese motor industry used modularisation also but for the production. This means that large assemblies (modules) are built before they are assembled in the car. When modularisation in production is implemented plant size tend to be lower than in the past (Camuffo). 41 The use of subassemblies has some disadvantages. A subassembly built from many components is difficult to handle because of size and weight. Such a subassembly is also difficult to be fitted perfectly onto other subassemblies or the body. Accuracy in assembling work is difficult to achieve with subassemblies compare to that of smaller, individual components (Fujimoto, 2001). Figure 024 shows a clear example from modularisation in production. This is the way how it will take place in our factory as well. The modules, as mentioned before, will be assembled right there next to the main assembly line. figure 024 Modularisation in design In rough lines there are two ways to divide the product design. One of them is modul- oriented design. In this case the definition for a module is: A module is an assembly oriented supply unit, that is, from a logistical and manufacturing point of view, reasonable. (Schreiber, 2004). Figure 025 shows the different modules for a Volkswagen- vehicle. Transition Pre-assembly/Final Assembly Transition Pre-assembly/Final Assembly Final Assembly Cockpit Final Assembly Cockpit Transition Final Assembly Cockpit / Installation Transition Final Assembly Cockpit / Installation Installation of Cockpit into Vehicle within core production Installation of Cockpit into Vehicle within core production Logistics Area Logistics Area Pre-Assembly Instrumentation Panel Pre-Assembly Instrumentation Panel 42 figure 025 The second way is the system-oriented design. With this system the assembly of the parts is divided in the functionality of the parts. For instances the brakes, all the parts concerning the brake belong to the brake system. In case of modular design it could be possible that the brake pedales belong to the cockpit module and the rearbrakes probably would belong to the rear axle. In case of modular design parts whitch belong to the same system can be designed separately. This of course enlarges the level of the risk that the parts from the same system differ in quality level because of different design or different assembly.For our product modularisation in design will be aplied as well. This means that there are three main things that should be taken into consideration: The architecture of the car, the designer of the product has to be aware of the fact that the car will be assembled out of a number of modules. The interfaces with the other modules, after assembly the different modules have to function together as a car The standerds used for the modules, for instance the quality. Sun-Roof Sun-Roof Cockpit Cockpit Powertrain Powertrain Frontend Frontend Front- / Rear Axle Front- / Rear Axle Seats Seats Doors Doors Brakes Brakes Wheels Wheels 43 11. Conclusion In 2010, the profile of the customer will change. A larger portion fo the society will be older which will have a direct influence on the characteristics prioritized when buying a car. The buying behavior will also be greatly influenced by the groing reliance on the internet. The use of electrics and electronics will continue to grow in the future. The pedestrian safety regulations will also have a major impact on technologies used in passenger cars. For A00 class, reduced fuel consumption and exhaust emission is and will be a priority. Our A00 class car will be bought with an over average degree of emotions. Its main competitive advantage will be differentiation. It will be one of the longest in its class with an average height. It is expected to be a market leader. Our plant will use just in time and will be orchestrated around the communication centre. It will be arranged in a star configuration. The level of mechanisation will be 70% considering the output per day and the low level of variation. The plant will have a total surface area of 150 500 m2, with 17 280 m2 being storage area. 18 unloading docks will be distributed among the storages areas. 100 lift-truck will be needed to unload and distribute material to the assembly line. Material placement will use the Andon method. Our plant will be highly modularised with suppliers having their own working area to assemble the modules. The A00 class car will be designed modularly and the modules will be major parts of the vehicle. In the far future, like the computer industry, the automotive industry will become so efficient and competitive that every player will have to specialize on a different aspect of the product. The OEM will remain the only direct link with the customer and as such, will specialize in service (sales and after-sales). His other area of competence will be in module integration and interactions. The OEM will supervise module suppliers and optimize how the modules integrates and interacts with each other. The supervision role also implies that the OEM gives the final approval for every module design supplied. Of course, the computer industry has evolved a lot more rapidly because technology used in computer is evolving faster and the product lifecycle is approximately at least five times shorter (5 years for an automobile and 1 year for a computer). That is why a company like Dell is already configured to make extensive use of modular strategy. Because this plant is only six years further down the road, complete modularization cannot be accomplished. This would represent massive development personnel layoffs at the OEM which could lead to bad press and damaging of the brand image. Also, suppliers are not completely ready yet to supply complete designed module on their own and would need drastic readjustment immediately to respond to this new demand. 44 12. References 1*. http://automobile.karrierefuehrer.de/auto2010.pdf, 17.03.2004 2*. Valken, P. van: AUTO 2010, (http://members.aol.com/autofuture/next50.html), updated 22.01.1996; 16.03.2004 3*. Kraus, W. Prof.: ergonomics, Handout MSc 2004, March 2004 4*. www.euroncap.com, 16.03.2004 5*. http://automobile.karrierefuehrer.de/auto2010.pdf , AUTO 2010 Eine Expertenbefragung zur Zukunft der Automobilindustrie, Jeltsch / Baier / Wahrendorff, Accenture GmbH, Sulzbach / Taunus 6*. Lean Manufacturing (Assignment Background to Methods to Improve Productivity) by Dr. Werner Schreiber, Volkswagen AG, Wolsburg 7*. Koenig, Benjamin: Entwicklung eines Vorderwagenkonzepts zur Erfllung einer geplanten Fugngerschutzrichtlinie im Bereich der Hfte HAW Hamburg / AUDI AG Ingolstadt, 04.09.2003 8*. http://www.diebrennstoffzelle.de/h2projekte/mobil/index.shtml, 17.03.2004 9*. Ehmer, M.: Automobiltechnologie 2010, Stuttgart, 24.09.2002; http://www.vector-informatik.com/kongress/VeCo_Vortrag04_Ehmer.pdf, 15.03.2004 10*. Requested information from Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden / Germany, April 2003 11*. Klauke, Dr. Adolf: Logistics and material flow in the automotive engineering, Handout MSc 2004, March 2004 12*. Vehicle Development (Assignment Background to Working Methods in Vehicle Development) by Holger Dietze, Volkswagen AG, Wolfsburg 13*. Logistics and Material Flow (Assignment Background to Logistics and Material Flow) by Dr. Adolf Klauke, Volkswagen AG, Wolfsburg 14*. Business of Manufacturing and Strategic Management by K.T. Dawkins, Okt/99, University of Hertfordshire 15*. Financial Times Mini Report 09/2001 45 16* Fujimoto, T., Takeishi, A., (2001), Modularization in the Auto Industry: Interlinked Multiple Hierarchies of Product, Production and Suppliers Systems, CIRJE-F-107 discussion paper, Tokyo University, March 17* Camuffo, A., Rolling Out a World Car: Globalization, Outsourcing and Modularity in the Auto Industry, Ca Foscari Unversity of Venice, Italy 18* Haddleton, Dr. F. L., Steels for Automotive Body Applications, Handout 19* The Automotive Business Blog, http://www.just-auto.com, 14.03.2004 20* Plant Automation Technology, http://www.plantautomation-technology.com, 15.03.2004