London W1A 3BG www.cushmanwakefield.com/research This report has been produced by Cushman & Wakefield LLP for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes. It is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sources which Cushman & Wakefield LLP believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and Cushman & Wakefield LLP shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change. Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part. Should you not wish to receive information from Cushman & Wakefield LLP or any related company, please email unsubscribe@eur.cushwake.com with your details in the body of your email as they appear on this communication and head it Unsubscribe. 2014 Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved. OVERVIEW The Dutch logistics market continued to perform well over the second quarter, helped by the export sector which remains the key driver of the economy. As a result, demand for high-quality logistics space has sustained. At the same time, the market faces a shortage of available modern logistics space, which has prompted multiple build-to-suit projects to break ground in the key logistics hot spots around the country. Prime rents were unchanged in the three months to June. OCCUPIER FOCUS Demand for good quality space remains high, and as this property type is in short supply competition within the market has sharpened, helping to lift leasing activity albeit only moderately. Owner occupied deals were substantial in Q2, as these transactions are increasingly seen as viable leasing options, particularly within the logistics segment. The largest such deal over the quarter was Khne & Nagels acquisition of a 56,000 sq.m scheme for occupation in Tiel, along with a number of large scale deals (15,000-20,000 sq.m) concluding around the national logistics hot spots. Overall market vacancy however, remains an issue in the Netherlands, albeit it is mostly obsolete and lower- quality stock which is unlikely to be let soon. INVESTMENT FOCUS Q2 saw high levels of activity in the industrial investment market, boosted by several portfolio sales which set the quarterly total to a new high at around 430 mn. Logistics space remained highly sought after across the Netherlands, with Belgian investor Warehouses De Pauw (WDP) the most active and involved in various single asset acquisitions, including the newly built Action distribution centre in Echt for 56 mn. The most prominent deal of the quarter, however, was the 370,000 sq.m HBI portfolio, acquired by Hansteen for 106 mn. Yields have despite the strong quarter and following a moderate compression in Q1 remained unchanged across the Netherlands. OUTLOOK The industrial market is expected to progress in line with the recovering economy and, more specifically, the export sector. Demand is expected to strengthen, albeit facing a continued supply shortage, and any construction around the country will therefore be linked to custom build-to-suit or owner occupied schemes. The gap between modern and older stock will widen further, which may prompt some owners to reconsider their buildings market position. Investment should remain robust, feeding on high occupancy in the prime market segment. Yields, however, are not likely to harden further in the near term. MARKET OUTLOOK Prime Rents: Prime rents are expected to remain stable in the prime market segment.
Prime Yields: Good activity levels should see the risk attached to industrial investments sustained.
Supply: Any rise in availability is only expected to be for secondary industrial space.
Demand: High, albeit steady, demand is anticipated, linked to the continued economic rebound.
PRIME INDUSTRIAL YIELDS JUNE 2014 LOGISTICS LOCATIONS (FIGURES ARE GROSS, %) CURRENT LAST LAST 10 YEAR QUARTER QUARTER YEAR HIGH LOW Amsterdam 7.70 7.70 7.80 8.50 6.25 Schiphol 7.60 7.60 7.70 8.50 6.00 Rotterdam 7.60 7.60 7.80 9.00 6.25 Eindhoven 7.80 7.80 8.00 8.75 6.50 Venlo 7.60 7.60 7.75 8.50 6.40 Tilburg 7.60 7.60 7.75 8.75 6.50 Nijmegen 7.80 7.80 8.00 9.00 6.50 With respect to the yield data provided, in light of the lack of recent comparable market evidence in many areas of Europe and the changing nature of the market and the costs implicit in any transaction, such as financing, these are very much a guide only to indicate the approximate trend and direction of prime initial yield levels and should not be used as a comparable for any particular property or transaction without regard to the specifics of the property.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
Source: Cushman & Wakefield -5.0% -2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 5.0% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 AVERAGE PRIME YIELDS (left) RENTAL GROWTH (right) THE NETHERLANDS