Future Additions

Other MW above
CT Solar PV Wind DR EE Purchase Minimum
2008 0.1 0.0 66
2009 0.8 0.0 44
2010 4.6 0.4 150 79
2011 11.2 1.4 72
2012 147 13.1 2.3 -150 66
2013 13.3 3.0 64
2014 8.4 3.3 58
2015 2.5 3.3 43
2016 1.9 3.3 29
2017 4.8 3.2 18
2018 3.7 3.1 6
2019 49 2.3 2.7 41
2020 1.1 2.1 25
2021 0.0 1.7 6
Select Year --> 2012
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
M
W
Western Region Supply and Demand
Winter
Wind
Solar PV
Hydro
CTs
Other purchase
Southern Purchase
AEP
Fossil
Required reserves
Peak Load
800
1000
1200
1400
W
Summer Peak Day Hourly Loads
800
1000
1200
1400
M
W
Winter Peak Day Hourly Loads Annual Energy Mix
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
N
P
V

(
$

M
i
l
l
i
o
n
s
)
Future Addition Cost
Relative to Base
CEAC_Dashboard.xls: Dashboard 11/17/2008
Base Case Analysis
CO2 Tax No
CT 196 MW
Solar PV 0 MW
Wind 0 MW
DR 68 MW
EE 30 MW
Other 0 MW
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
T
o
n
s
/
1
0
0
0
s

T
o
n
s
Western Region Emissions
Relative to Base
SO2 NOx CO2 (1000s)
0
200
400
600
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
M
W
Hour of Day
CT Purchases Fossil Wind Solar PV Hydro Load
0
200
400
600
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
M
Hour of Day
Hydro Solar PV Wind Fossil Purchases CT Load
Hydro Solar PV Wind
Fossil Purchases CT
0
2
4
6
8
10
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
c
e
n
t
s
/
k
W
h
Customer Cost Impact
Relative to Base
CEAC_Dashboard.xls: Dashboard 11/17/2008
Energy Efficiency Results Summary
Program Name MW
No. of
Installations
GWh
Saved
NPV
Cost
($M)
1 Low load factor 0 0 0 0
2 Mid load factor 0 0 0 0
3 High load factor 0 0 0 0
4 Solar Thermal 0 0 0 0
5 Demand Response 0 0 n/a 0
CEAC_Dashboard.xls: Dashboard 11/17/2008 CEAC_Dashboard.xls: Dashboard 11/17/2008
Capacity Value
Wind 30%
Solar PV 25%
Capacity Factor
Wind 33%
Solar PV 19%
Technology Costs $/kW $/kW-yr
Supply Options Capital O&M
CT 555 13.7
Solar PV 6,278 13.2
Wind 1,597 34.3
Demand Options Up-front On-going
Demand Response Program 350 45.0
Pecent of Annual Installation
Energy Efficiency (EE) Up-front On-going Total MW kW/Installation kWh Savings
Low load factor 2,500 25.0 0% 1.00 1,000
Mid load factor 2,500 25.0 100% 1.00 3,504
High load factor 2,500 25.0 0% 0.55 590
Solar Thermal 7,500 25.0 0% 1.00 2,600
100%
escalation rate 3.75%
discount rate 8.17%
Greenhouse Gas
Carbon tax ($/ton CO2) 0
escalation rate 3%
start year 2010
All costs assumed to be in 2007 dollars
$/Installation
CEAC_Dashboard.xls: Assumptions 11/17/2008