For Immediate Press Release / Embargoed Till 6am Thursday, September 18, 2014
Extensive Polling Data Released
On 2014 Texas Governors Race & Other Statewide Elections Texas Gubernatorial Election Projection: 57.8% Greg Abbott vs. 39.3% Wendy Davis
Austin, Texas, September 18, 2014 The 25 th annual Texas Interested Citizens survey conducted 1,200 live telephone interviews of general election voters who participated in either the 2010 or 2012 general elections. The survey has a +2.9% margin of error at a 95% level of confidence.
Interviewing was conducted August 15-21 and paid for by private corporate sponsors. 35% of the survey respondents had voted in past Republican primaries, 28% in past Democratic primaries, 11% in both primaries, and 27% were pure general election only voters.
In 1990, the Texas Interested Citizens survey project was the first to show Ann Richards defeating Clayton Williams for Texas Governor; and the polling project has correctly surveyed all Texas gubernatorial elections over the past two decades.
Based on current ballot preference, each candidates name ID, and independent voter opinions, the 2014 Texas Interested Citizens survey projects a final November outcome in the governors race of 57.8% Greg Abbott vs. 39.3% Wendy Davis.
Most noticeable in the survey is the negative opinion most Texas voters have of State Senator Davis. Among all Texas voters her name identification is 29% Positive vs. 50% Negative; among all female voters, she is 30% Positive vs. 45% Negative; among all male voters, she is 28% Positive vs. 59% Negative; and among undecided voters in the governors race, she is 10% Positive vs. 41% Negative.
Below are the survey findings for several of the 2014 Texas general statewide elections.
Female Voters: 44% Abbott vs 36% Davis vs 2% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 14% Undecided Male Voters: 53% Abbott vs 29% Davis vs 3% Glass vs 2% Palmer vs 16% Undecided Anglo Voters: 58% Abbott vs 25% Davis vs 2% Glass vs 1% Palmer vs 14% Undecided Black Voters: 6% Abbott vs 71% Davis vs 2% Glass vs 3% Palmer vs 18% Undecided Hispanic Voters: 30% Abbott vs 44% Davis vs 5% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 21% Undecided
Metroplex East: 47% Abbott vs 39% Davis vs 1% Glass vs 1% Palmer vs 13% Undecided Metroplex West: 46% Abbott vs 36% Davis vs 3% Glass vs 1% Palmer vs 14% Undecided East Texas: 56% Abbott vs 25% Davis vs 0% Glass vs 1% Palmer vs 18% Undecided Greater Houston*: 42% Abbott vs 39% Davis vs 2% Glass vs 2% Palmer vs 16% Undecided Gulf Coast: 50% Abbott vs 26% Davis vs 1% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 23% Undecided Greater San Antonio Area: 51% Abbott vs 34% Davis vs 1% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 14% Undecided Greater Austin Area: 40% Abbott vs 36% Davis vs 6% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 18% Undecided Central Texas: 59% Abbott vs 26% Davis vs 2% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 14% Undecided The Border: 45% Abbott vs 24% Davis vs 4% Glass vs 1% Palmer vs 25% Undecided West Texas: 66% Abbott vs 18% Davis vs 0% Glass vs 0% Palmer vs 16% Undecided Panhandle: 67% Abbott vs 17% Davis vs 0% Glass vs 2% Palmer vs 14% Undecided
* 2010 Harris County General Election: 48.15% Perry-R vs 50.23% White-D 2012 Harris County General Election: 49.43% Romney-R vs 49.77% Obama-D
2 Texas Lt. Governors Race 46% Dan Patrick 26% Leticia Van de Putte 3% Robert Butler (Libertarian) 2% Chandrakantha Courtney (Green Party) 23% Undecided
Texas Attorney Generals Race 45% Ken Paxton 26% Sam Houston 3% Jamie Balagia (Libertarian) 2% James Osborne (Green Party) 25% Undecided
Texas Comptrollers Race 39% Glen Hegar 24% Mike Collier 4% Ben Sanders (Libertarian) 1% Deb Shafto (Green Party) 32% Undecided
State Constitutional Amendment Prop #1 (State Highway/FM Road Funding) 64% For 25% Against 11% Undecided
Hypothetical 2016 Presidential Ballot: Hillary Clinton vs Ted Cruz 52% Ted Cruz 40% Hillary Clinton 9% Undecided