Siena College Research Institute

September 30-October 1, 2014

470 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 46
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Right track 29% 46% 15% 26% 24% 33% 47% 15% 22% 35% 27% 29% 30% 28% 29% 46% 39% 10% 61% 7%
Wrong direction 62% 44% 77% 66% 68% 57% 42% 77% 69% 57% 65% 61% 63% 62% 59% 48% 52% 81% 29% 89%
Don't know/No opinion 9% 10% 8% 8% 8% 10% 11% 7% 9% 9% 7% 10% 7% 10% 12% 6% 9% 9% 10% 5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 32% 49% 17% 29% 24% 40% 50% 19% 25% 38% 33% 32% 31% 37% 26% 45% 39% 17% 79% 4%
Unfavorable 63% 45% 78% 67% 72% 54% 46% 76% 71% 56% 61% 64% 64% 56% 69% 54% 53% 79% 17% 92%
Don't know/No opinion 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 6% 5% 5% 4% 6% 6% 4% 4% 7% 5% 1% 8% 4% 5% 4%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 32% 18% 42% 38% 43% 22% 14% 49% 36% 29% 32% 31% 35% 30% 31% 16% 29% 44% 8% 61%
Unfavorable 34% 48% 24% 34% 29% 39% 50% 24% 26% 41% 40% 31% 39% 26% 39% 51% 43% 18% 54% 9%
Don't know/No opinion 33% 35% 35% 28% 27% 39% 36% 28% 38% 30% 27% 38% 26% 44% 30% 33% 29% 37% 37% 29%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 8% 9% 8% 6% 10% 6% 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 9% 9% 4% 10% 11% 8% 6% 6% 6%
Unfavorable 12% 12% 11% 13% 14% 10% 12% 12% 16% 9% 13% 9% 12% 10% 14% 13% 13% 10% 10% 13%
Don't know/No opinion 80% 79% 82% 81% 77% 84% 79% 81% 77% 83% 80% 82% 78% 86% 76% 76% 78% 84% 83% 81%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 44% 62% 24% 48% 40% 48% 77% 19% 39% 48% 41% 50% 43% 38% 55% 70% 56% 20% 62% 22%
Unfavorable 34% 16% 51% 36% 37% 31% 6% 59% 36% 31% 41% 26% 37% 32% 26% 12% 27% 51% 17% 54%
Don't know/No opinion 22% 22% 26% 16% 23% 22% 17% 22% 24% 21% 19% 24% 19% 29% 18% 17% 18% 29% 21% 23%
I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I
name. [Q2-Q7 ROTATED]
Q5. Cecilia Tkaczyk
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q4. Howie Hawkins
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q3. Rob Astorino
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q2. Andrew Cuomo
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q1. Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD460914 Crosstabs.xlsx 1 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
September 30-October 1, 2014
470 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 46
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 53% 30% 72% 60% 56% 51% 20% 83% 58% 50% 57% 44% 57% 60% 38% 27% 52% 70% 33% 74%
Unfavorable 28% 49% 11% 26% 27% 29% 57% 6% 22% 34% 30% 31% 29% 20% 40% 56% 32% 11% 43% 12%
Don't know/No opinion 18% 21% 17% 14% 17% 19% 22% 11% 20% 16% 14% 25% 14% 20% 23% 17% 16% 19% 24% 14%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Favorable 29% 34% 25% 28% 28% 30% 36% 25% 31% 28% 28% 28% 36% 22% 27% 34% 34% 21% 44% 19%
Unfavorable 60% 56% 67% 60% 64% 56% 52% 66% 60% 60% 62% 59% 56% 65% 61% 57% 58% 65% 46% 73%
Don't know/No opinion 11% 11% 8% 12% 7% 14% 11% 8% 10% 12% 10% 12% 8% 13% 12% 10% 8% 14% 10% 8%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic, Working
Families and Independence Party lines
35% 62% 13% 33% 28% 42% 61% 16% 29% 41% 36% 37% 32% 36% 41% 58% 43% 16%
Rob Astorino on the Republican and
Conservative Party lines
43% 13% 70% 46% 51% 35% 11% 71% 51% 36% 41% 42% 48% 48% 27% 9% 35% 70%
Howie Hawkins on the Green Party line 11% 17% 5% 10% 13% 9% 19% 5% 10% 12% 14% 9% 10% 4% 22% 25% 11% 4%
Vol: Someone else 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 11% 8% 11% 11% 8% 13% 9% 8% 10% 11% 9% 11% 9% 12% 10% 7% 11% 10%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
47% 47% 51% 43% 51% 43% 39% 53% 39% 53% 51% 44% 46% 55% 37% 46% 44% 48% 46% 54%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
37% 35% 35% 39% 35% 38% 43% 31% 42% 32% 35% 37% 36% 31% 47% 43% 37% 35% 43% 32%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
12% 14% 7% 16% 9% 15% 15% 10% 14% 10% 12% 14% 13% 8% 13% 10% 14% 11% 9% 10%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
4% 3% 5% 2% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 2% 3%
Don't know/No opinion 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1%
Q9. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CUOMO/ASTORINO/HAWKINS]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q8. If the 2014 election for Governor was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View
Q7. New York State Senate
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q6. George Amedore
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD460914 Crosstabs.xlsx 2 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
September 30-October 1, 2014
470 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 46
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Cecilia Tkaczyk on the Democratic and
Working Families Party lines
42% 79% 12% 38% 39% 46% 39% 46% 39% 48% 37% 33% 67% 83% 50% 15% 73% 11%
George Amedore on the Republican,
Conservative and Independence Party lines
52% 15% 83% 57% 56% 48% 56% 48% 55% 45% 57% 61% 29% 13% 44% 80% 23% 85%
Don't know/No opinion 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
57% 58% 60% 52% 58% 56% 56% 57% 49% 63% 62% 54% 58% 52% 58% 64% 56% 55% 58% 61%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
33% 29% 32% 39% 34% 32% 30% 35% 36% 30% 32% 33% 30% 38% 34% 30% 34% 34% 34% 33%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
8% 10% 6% 9% 7% 10% 12% 5% 12% 5% 5% 10% 9% 8% 8% 4% 9% 10% 6% 6%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
2% 3% 2% 0% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Property taxes 22% 16% 23% 27% 27% 17% 19% 26% 20% 24% 22% 21% 26% 23% 12% 11% 22% 27% 17% 29%
State budget 6% 2% 9% 6% 8% 4% 4% 7% 7% 5% 3% 8% 3% 7% 9% 5% 7% 5% 4% 9%
State taxes 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 12% 13% 10% 14% 9% 12% 16% 3% 7% 12% 11% 9% 14%
Ethics reform 9% 8% 13% 8% 12% 8% 8% 11% 9% 10% 11% 9% 8% 11% 11% 8% 9% 11% 8% 11%
Health care 11% 12% 9% 14% 6% 16% 13% 9% 11% 12% 8% 13% 11% 6% 21% 13% 10% 12% 13% 6%
Education 16% 23% 13% 11% 12% 20% 22% 12% 21% 12% 13% 17% 16% 13% 21% 33% 15% 9% 21% 12%
Creating jobs 18% 20% 16% 17% 16% 21% 17% 18% 17% 19% 22% 17% 20% 18% 16% 14% 21% 18% 22% 15%
Vol: Something else 4% 5% 5% 2% 6% 2% 5% 3% 2% 6% 4% 5% 3% 4% 7% 7% 2% 5% 3% 4%
Don't know/No opinion 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Q12. What is the most important issue you want your State Senator to be working on in Albany: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q11. How likely would you say you are to vote for [TKACZYK/AMEDORE]?
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
Q10. If the election for State Senator was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD460914 Crosstabs.xlsx 3 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
September 30-October 1, 2014
470 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 46
MOE +/- 4.5%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Tkaczyk Amedore
Under
55
55 and
older
Alb/Mont
/Sch Uls/Gr Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv Cuomo Astorino
Only the Democrats 18% 43% 1% 12% 20% 16% 40% 1% 16% 20% 19% 21% 10% 13% 42% 59% 11% 6% 36% 2%
Only the Republicans 28% 4% 59% 21% 33% 24% 2% 52% 32% 26% 29% 27% 33% 35% 11% 2% 22% 50% 5% 57%
A coalition of Democrats and Republicans,
like we have now
48% 46% 36% 64% 42% 54% 53% 44% 48% 49% 47% 47% 55% 43% 44% 37% 62% 39% 55% 39%
Don't know/No opinion 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 2% 9% 3% 2% 5% 5% 4% 2%
Q13. Currently, the New York State Senate is controlled by a bipartisan coalition of all the Republicans in the Senate and five Democrats known as the Independent Democratic Caucus. In November,
all 63 Senate seats will be up for election. After the election, who would you like to see control the State Senate: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice SD Age Region Religion Political View Vote Choice Gov
SD460914 Crosstabs.xlsx 4 of 5
Siena College Research Institute
September 30-October 1, 2014
470 Likely Voters New York State Senate District 46
MOE +/- 4.5%
Party
Democrat 33%
Republican 33%
Independent/Other 29%
Political View
Liberal 19%
Moderate 40%
Conservative 38%
Region
Albany/Montgomery/Schenectady 51%
Ulster/Greene 49%
Religion
Catholic 44%
Protestant 31%
Other 22%
Age
Under 55 45%
55 and older 55%
Gender
Male 48%
Female 52%
Nature of the Sample
Likely Voters
New York State Senate District 46
SD460914 Crosstabs.xlsx 5 of 5