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IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 22, NO.

1, JANUARY 2007 323


Development of Stochastic Aggregate Harmonic
Load Model Based on Field Measurements
Mau Teng Au, Member, IEEE, and Jovica V. Milanovic, Senior Member, IEEE
AbstractThe stochastic simulation approach in analyzing
harmonic propagation in the distribution network requires an
adequate stochastic/probabilistic aggregate harmonic load model.
The interaction of individual linear and harmonic loads that form
aggregate load characteristic harmonic current spectra is usually
very complex and, therefore, it is difcult to establish a model
based on theoretical analysis. This paper presents a methodology
in developing a stochastic/probabilistic aggregate harmonic load
model based on eld measurements. The model is a current injec-
tion model characterized by means and variances associated with
net harmonic current spectra produced by aggregate harmonic
loads, and a range of aggregate harmonic load power participation
(fraction) into total demand, suitable for application in stochastic
harmonic propagation studies in distribution networks.
Index TermsAggregate harmonic load model, distribution net-
work, harmonic eld measurements, harmonic load composition,
stochastic.
I. INTRODUCTION
P
RESENT DAY electrical loads in all sectors of electricity
consumers (industrial, commercial, and residential) are
typically a mix of linear and nonlinear/power-electronic loads.
With the rapid advancement of power-electronic technology
and higher energy efciency achieved from power-electronic
driven loads, the use of power-electronic loads is expected to
increase. Examples of linear loads are incandescent lamps,
motors, heaters, conventional ovens, and air conditioning,
whereas nonlinear/power-electronic loads include uorescent
lamps, adjustable-speed drives, converters, computers, and
other electronic home appliances, such as television sets,
video players, etc. While nonlinear/power-electronic loads are
sources of harmonics, linear loads act as damping elements to
harmonic propagation and affect the resonance frequency of
the distribution system [1].
At the utility medium and low-voltage bus, loads are repre-
sented by the aggregate effect of individual loads. For harmonic
propagation studies based on the current injection method, it is
Manuscript received April 4, 2005; revised January 6, 2006. This work was
supported in part by the Malaysian Utility Company and in part by the Tenaga
Nasional Bhd. Paper no. TPWRD-001922005.
M. T. Au is with the Electrical and Electronic Engineering Department, Uni-
versiti Tenaga Nasional, Kajang 43009, Malaysia (e-mail: mtau@uniten.edu.
my).
J. V. Milanovic is with the School of Electrical Engineering and Elec-
tronics, University of Manchester, Manchester M60 1QD, U.K. (e-mail:
milanovic@manchester.ac.uk).
Color versions of Figs. 28, 11, and 12 are available online at http://ieeex-
plore.org.
Digital Object Identier 10.1109/TPWRD.2006.881455
generally required that the aggregate harmonic load be repre-
sented by a harmonic current source in parallel with some linear
components such as resistance, inductance, and capacitance.
Published papers on harmonic current measurements taken at
utility substations [2][4] indicated the random nature of har-
monic currents produced by aggregate harmonic loads, thus jus-
tifying a probabilistic model. Most of the aggregate harmonic
load models presented in literature are limited to specic groups
of nonlinear loads or formulated based on extensive harmonic
measurements. For example, [5] and [6] reported the predic-
tion of net harmonic currents produced by a large number of
single-phase power-electronic loads using attenuation and di-
versity factors. The probabilistic modeling of harmonic currents
produced by specic types of nonlinear loads, such as the elec-
tric vehicle battery chargers and power converters were reported
in [7] and [8]. A simplied process using semiempirical expres-
sions to forecast levels of harmonic current produced by homo-
geneous nonlinear loads having uniform or normal distribution
was illustrated in [9]. In [10], a stochastic load model based
on comprehensive harmonic measurements was presented and
used to perform harmonic simulation using the Monte Carlo ap-
proach. In general, there is a lack of an adequate stochastic/
probabilistic aggregate harmonic load model classied based on
customers activities suitable for harmonic propagation studies
in the distribution network, particularly at the medium-voltage
level.
This paper presents a generic approach in developing a sto-
chastic/probabilistic aggregate harmonic load model based on
harmonic eld measurements. Stochastic/probabilistic models
of aggregate harmonic loads were established and classied ac-
cording to consumers sectors/activities (i.e, commercial, res-
idential, and industrial). The application of the model is pri-
marily in stochastic harmonic propagation studies in medium-
voltage distribution networks. The stochastic model described
in this paper can be used to establish the aggregate harmonic
load model at any bus in any distribution network for which
some measurement results or the information about load type
and composition are available.
II. GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF AGGREGATE HARMONIC LOADS
Typically, a large number of a variety of linear and nonlinear
loads connected at the low-/medium-voltage bus of a distribu-
tion transformer, commonly known as the point of common cou-
pling (PCC), form an aggregate load (see Fig. 1). Linear loads
do not produce harmonic currents, but are a signicant compo-
nent of the aggregate load as they drawfundamental current and,
therefore, affect the current total harmonic distortion
at the PCC. On the other hand, nonlinear/harmonic loads pro-
duce harmonic currents according to their individual harmonic
0885-8977/$20.00 2006 IEEE
324 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 22, NO. 1, JANUARY 2007
Fig. 1. Aggregate harmonic load model.
current spectrum. Net harmonic current produced by aggregate
harmonic loads (AHL) is usually signicantly smaller than the
algebraic sum of the harmonic currents produced by the indi-
vidual nonlinear/harmonic load, mainly due to phase cancella-
tion [5], [6].
The harmonic current spectra of aggregate harmonic loads are
primarily inuenced by their harmonic load composition and
types which, in general, varies according to the class of cus-
tomers. For example, electronic home appliances, such as televi-
sion sets, video players, and uorescent lamps formthe majority
of nonlinear loads of residential consumers, whereas uorescent
lamps and computers are typical nonlinear loads of commercial
consumers. As a result, the composite harmonic current spec-
trum of a residential AHL is likely to be different from that of
the commercial AHL.
of the aggregate load (i.e, at the PCC) is in-
uenced by both the participation (fraction) of linear loads into
the total demand of the aggregate load as well as composite har-
monic current spectra of the AHL. Field measurements have in-
dicated that at the PCCof low-voltage buses typically do
not exceed 20% in comparison to of an individual non-
linear load, which ranges between 20%120%. In this case, a
signicant reduction in at the PCC can be attributed to
the large fraction of linear loads in the power demand of aggre-
gate load and harmonic current cancellation due to phase-angle
diversity.
Another characteristic of harmonic currents produced by ag-
gregate harmonic loads is that they are random with a changing
average over time. The randomness of harmonic currents pro-
duced is due to a variety of factors, such as the random varia-
tion of nonlinear load composition based on consumer needs,
random operating condition (phase-angle control) of individual
nonlinear loads, changes in system parameters, etc. At the same
time, the average level of harmonic current distortions at the
PCC changes with the total power demand of the aggregate load
as illustrated in Figs. 2 and 3.
Fig. 2. Fundamental current and third harmonic current variation over time of
a residential aggregate load.
Fig. 3. Timechart of the measured fundamental current and harmonic current
distortions of a hotel load.
III. AGGREGATE HARMONIC LOAD MODELING
In the current injection model, aggregate harmonic loads are
represented by a single harmonic current source in parallel with
the resistive, inductive, and capacitive element [1]. The single
harmonic current source represents the net harmonic current
spectrum of the AHL connected to the respective bus whereas
resistive and inductive elements represent linear loads, and the
capacitive element typically refers to power factor correction ca-
pacitors. Establishing net harmonic current spectrum of AHL is
highly complex and, therefore, the estimation technique using
diversity and the attenuation factor is proposed in [5] and [6].
To develop an adequate AHL model, a probabilistic approach
is taken as harmonic currents produced at the PCC are random
and time variant due to continual changes in system and load
parameters, and power demand [2], [11].
A. Representation of Harmonic Loads
An AHL is usually made up of a large number and a variety of
harmonic loads. Hence, it is not practical and efcient to repre-
sent each and every harmonic load individually with a harmonic
current source. However, the harmonic loads can be generally
classied based on their characteristic harmonic currents and
its level. In this paper, it is proposed that harmonic loads
found in a particular class of AHL be grouped into four com-
posite types based on their characteristic harmonic currents and
AU AND MILANOVIC

: DEVELOPMENT OF STOCHASTIC AGGREGATE HARMONIC LOAD MODEL 325


TABLE I
DESCRIPTION OF COMPOSITE HARMONIC LOADS
(i.e, low, medium, or high). Table I gives a description
of the proposed composite harmonic loads.
B. Harmonic Load Composition
Harmonic load composition is a crucial parameter in aggre-
gate harmonic load modeling as it is changing over time and
has a signicant inuence on the harmonic current spectrumand
of aggregate harmonic load. In a broad sense, harmonic
loads compositions are related to load types based on customer
activities and energy usage pattern. For example, during the day
period (9.0017.00 h) of an ofce complex load, its harmonic
load composition is most likely made up of 3040% type 1 har-
monic loads (magnetic ballast uorescent lamp, etc.), 50%60%
of type 2 harmonic loads (computers, electronic devices, etc.)
and 1015% of type 4 harmonic loads (three-phase converters).
On the other hand, during the night period (17.0024.00 h) of
a residential load, its harmonic load composition is likely made
up of 30%40% of type 1 harmonic loads (magnetic ballast u-
orescent lamp, etc.), and 60%70% of type 2 harmonic loads
(computers, electronic home appliances, television, electronic
ballast uorescent lamps, etc.).
With reference to Fig. 1, coefcients represent
the fraction (participation) of the respective composite harmonic
loads (type 1, type 2, etc.) into the total demand of AHL. The net
harmonic current spectrum of the AHL is the vector
sum of the harmonic current spectrum generated by individual
composite harmonic loads connected to the PCC, which
can be expressed as follows:
(1)
which can be written in compact phasor form as follows:
(2)
where and are the magnitude
and phase angle corresponding to the th harmonic current
distortion, respectively produced by the AHL,
is the weighted coefcient representing the
fraction of the respective composite harmonic loads (type
1, type 2, etc.) into the total demand of AHL, and
are the magnitude and phase angle corresponding to the
th harmonic current distortion, respectively, of the th type
composite harmonic loads.
IV. AGGREGATE LOAD MODEL AT PCC
At the PCC, in particular, those with small aggregate loads,
harmonic and linear loads are fed through the same cable.
Hence, it is not possible to separately measure harmonic
current distortions produced by AHL (see Fig. 1).
Therefore, from a practical point of view, an expression for
harmonic current distortions at the PCC (which is inclusive of
current drawn by all linear loads) needs to be formulated as
shown in (3).
A. Participation of Harmonic Loads
The harmonic current distortion at the PCC is therefore de-
pendent on the power participation (fraction) of harmonic loads
into the total demand of aggregate load (see Fig. 1). From (2),
the harmonic current spectrum at PCC can then be expressed as
follows:
(3)
where and are the magni-
tude and phase angle, respectively, corresponding to the th har-
monic current distortion at PCC, is the frac-
tion of harmonic loads participating into the total demand of the
aggregate load.
B. Stochastic Model
Field measurements indicate that harmonic current distor-
tions at the PCC vary randomly with a trend component closely
correlating with the power demand of the aggregate load.
The random variation is primarily due to the combined effect
of continuous changes in operating conditions (for example,
ASD which produced different harmonic current distortions
depending on its load conditions), and/or usage pattern of linear
and nonlinear loads (switching on and off based on needs).
At the same time, there is a need to account for uncertainties in
harmonic current distortions of the respective composite har-
monic loads due to various factors. For example, the harmonic
current spectrum of composite harmonic loads is expected
to deviate from sample measured results within a range due
to the different types/manufacturers of electronic equipments
(personal computers, printers, photocopy machines, television,
etc.) (see Table IV).
Hence, random variables are used to represent aggregate har-
monic load parameters ( , , , ) associated with the
production of harmonic current distortions at the PCC. Equation
(3) is therefore modied and written in its normalized form as
follows to represent random characteristics of harmonic current
326 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 22, NO. 1, JANUARY 2007
TABLE II
MEAN AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF AHL PARAMETERS ESTABLISHED BASED ON FIELD MEASUREMENT RESULTS
Fig. 4. Fifth harmonic current distortion at the PCC of shopping complex load
based on a one-week period.
distortions at the PCC:
(4)
where denotes random variables cor-
responding to the probability density function (PDF) that
describes harmonic current spectrum at the PCC,
denotes random variables that correspond to the PDF that
describes a fraction of the AHL participating into the total
demand of the aggregate load, denotes random variables
corresponding to the PDF that describes a weighted coefcient
representing the fraction of the respective composite harmonic
loads (type 1, type 2, etc.) into the total demand of AHL,
and denote random variables corresponding to the PDF
that describes the magnitude and phase, respectively, of the th
harmonic current distortion of the th-type composite harmonic
loads.
C. Time-Variant Harmonic Current Spectrum
As mentioned previously, harmonic currents at the PCC vary
randomly with a trend component closely associated with the
power demand of the aggregate load. Since overall power de-
mand of most aggregate loads varies with time, harmonic cur-
rent distortion at the PCCis therefore time variant. For example,
it can be seen in Fig. 4 that the 5th and 7th harmonic current
distortions closely correlate with the fundamental current (i.e,
power demand) of the hotel load, where higher overall harmonic
current distortions corresponds to a period of high demand in
this case.
Hence, to account for the time-variant characteristic of har-
monic current distortions at the PCC, periods of high- and low-
power demand are dened for each category of aggregate loads,
and random variables representing AHL parameters ( , ,
, ) are characterized based on respective periods. For ex-
ample, in the case of the hotel load shown in Fig. 4, its low de-
mand period is dened as being between 0.0010.00 h and a
high demand period between 10.0024.00 h. Periods of low and
high demand of the hotel, residential, bank, hospital, shopping
complex, and printing factory loads and their corresponding
AHL parameters dened by mean and standard deviation
are shown in Table II.
V. HISTOGRAM SAMPLES OF HARMONIC CURRENT
DISTORTIONS FROM FIELD MEASUREMENTS
Statistical plots of harmonic current distortions at the PCC
based on eld measurements over a one-week period indicate
that statistical distribution of harmonic current distortions at the
PCC of most load types are complex and cannot be expressed
in terms of common PDF, such as the normal distribution. This
is primarily due to very distinct variations in power demand at
different periods of the day, which are indicated by the pres-
ence of two peaks in histogram plots (see Fig. 4). To simplify
the statistical analysis, harmonic current distortions are divided
into subtime intervals corresponding to high and low demand
periods of the aggregate loads. As can be observed from Fig. 5,
statistical distribution of the fth harmonic current distortion of
the shopping complex load corresponding to a period of high
power demand (11.0023.00 h) is approximately a normal dis-
tribution. However, for certain types of loads, such as the hotel
load, where high- and low-power demand of the aggregate load
AU AND MILANOVIC

: DEVELOPMENT OF STOCHASTIC AGGREGATE HARMONIC LOAD MODEL 327


Fig. 5. Fifth harmonic current distortion at the PCC of the shopping complex
load based on a subtime interval between 11.0023.00 h.
Fig. 6. Third harmonic current distortion at the PCC of the hotel load based on
a one-week period.
is not so distinct, it is observed that its harmonic current distor-
tion at the PCC over a one-week period remains normally dis-
tributed as can be seen in Fig. 6. Hence, in general, the modeling
of harmonic current distortions at the PCC is divided into two
time periods corresponding to high- and low-power demand of
the aggregate load.
VI. ESTABLISHING AHL PARAMETERS BASED ON HARMONIC
FIELD MEASUREMENT RESULTS
In modeling the stochastic nature of the harmonic current
spectrum at the PCC based on (4), its statistical distribution can
be determined given the AHL parameters PDF and their respec-
tive characteristic parameters (i.e, mean and standard deviation
in the case of normal distribution). However, in most cases, the
AHL parameters are not available.
In this paper, the AHL parameters are established based on
eld measurement results of harmonic current spectra at the
Fig. 7. Comparative CDF of the modeled and measured results of low-voltage
residential loads. (a) Third harmonic current distortion. (b) Fifth harmonic cur-
rent distortion.
PCC of the respective load types. PDF characteristic
parameters (e.g, mean and standard deviation in the case of
normal distribution, maximum, and minimumin the case of uni-
form distribution) assumed to represent the respective AHL pa-
rameters in (4) are varied experimentally (numerous
trials) until an approximate solution is found, where the cumu-
lative distribution curve/function (CDF) of the two most domi-
nating harmonic currents distortions derived based on the model
[i.e, (4)] and harmonic eld measurements are in good agree-
ment (see Fig. 7 and Fig. 8). In this investigation, parameters
and are assumed to be normally distributed with mean
and standard deviation as unknowns to be solved, whereas
and are uniformly distributed with a range of values given in
Table IV. (Note: The ranges in Table IV are derived from mea-
surements of individual harmonic loads.)
Based on the CDF curve tting technique described before,
the mean and standard deviation of AHL parameters and
for the respective load types and corresponding time periods
are established and shown in Table II. Ideally, numerical values
328 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 22, NO. 1, JANUARY 2007
Fig. 8. Comparative CDF of modeled and measured results of medium-voltage
shopping complex loads. (a) Fifth harmonic current distortion. (b) Seventh har-
monic current distortion.
shown in Table II should be veried with loads information ob-
tained from utility/customer load data base. However, such in-
formation is generally lacking and, therefore, it is assumed that
the numerical values are within an acceptable range based on
typical aggregate loads. (Note: It should be mentioned that an
ideally coefcient should be established based on the exact
knowledge of nonlinear load composition. The approach taken
here relies on local harmonic measurements in the absence of
this knowledge, which is generally the case in real life, and as-
suming that the harmonic contribution fromthe rest of the distri-
bution systemcompared to the contribution fromlocal nonlinear
loads is small, which again is generally the case.)
Corresponding phase angles of the harmonic currents distor-
tions are also available from the model. However, due to the
limitation of the recording instrument which does not generate
measured phase-angle values of harmonic currents distortions,
phase-angle variations over a specic period based on the model
could not be validated.
Fig. 9. Stochastic current injection model of an AHL
A. Case of PCC at Low-Voltage Bus
Typically, dominant characteristic harmonic currents at a low-
voltage bus are the 3rd and 5th. Hence, in order to establish nu-
merical values (mean and standard deviation) of AHL parame-
ters and based on eld measurement results, a CDF curve
tting is based on the 3rd and 5th harmonic current distortions.
The results are shown in Fig. 7.
B. Case of PCC at Medium-Voltage Bus
At the medium-voltage bus, triplen harmonic currents are not
present due to delta winding of distribution transformers. Hence,
the CDF plot of the two most dominant harmonic currents at
medium-voltage buses (i.e, 5th and 7th) are used to establish
the mean and standard deviation of and . The results are
shown in Fig. 8.
VII. APPLICATION OF THE AHL MODEL IN
HARMONIC SIMULATIONS
The load model at the PCC developed in this paper consists
of a single stochastic harmonic current source that represents
net harmonic current spectra of the aggregate harmonic loads,
with R, L, and C components used to represent linear loads (i.e.,
induction motors, resistive loads, etc.) as shown in Fig. 9. Typi-
cally, the AHL model could be used in two different approaches
of harmonic simulations (i.e., commercial harmonic simulation
software such as SUPERHARM [12]) which gives snapshot re-
sults of harmonic voltage distortions, or a Monte Carlo simula-
tion method which generates results in probabilistic terms.
For simplicity and illustration purposes, the AHL model is
used in SUPERHARM harmonic simulation software to com-
pute the 5th harmonic voltage distortion at network buses of a
6-bus 11-kV radial distribution feeder as shown in Fig. 10.
In the following case, harmonic current spectra produced by
the AHL corresponding to the respective load types are derived
based on AHL parameters given in Table II. Results of the 5th
harmonic current distortions are shown in Table III.
Load conditions (in kilovolt-ampere/phase) shown in Fig. 10
are for the period between 11.0018.00 h which corresponds to
the period of high load for a shopping complex, hotel, printing
factory and bank, and a period of low load for a residential
AU AND MILANOVIC

: DEVELOPMENT OF STOCHASTIC AGGREGATE HARMONIC LOAD MODEL 329


Fig. 10. Six-bus 11-kV radial distribution network.
TABLE III
PROBABILISTIC HARMONIC CURRENT SPECTRA AT PCC
apartment. Five cases representing critical points of the proba-
bility distribution curve of the respective AHL harmonic current
spectra are selected as inputs for harmonic simulation.
Case 1) , .
Case 2) , .
Case 3) ,
Case 4) ,
Case 5) ,
Results of the fth harmonic voltage distortion at each net-
work bus for all ve cases are shown in Fig. 11. As can be seen
in Fig. 11, the main advantage of the stochastic AHL model in
harmonic simulation is that it gives a range of possible harmonic
voltage distortions at each bus instead of a single possible value.
In addition, the simulation results are realistic (between 0.5 and
0.9%) compared to measured values (see Fig. 12) as some of
the major phenomena, such as phase-angle diversity, harmonic
load compositions in AHL, and power participation of harmonic
loads that affect the net harmonic current spectrumof AHL have
been accounted for in the model equation.
VIII. CONCLUSION
This paper presented a methodology for the development of
a stochastic aggregate harmonic load model based on harmonic
eld measurements. The AHL is applicable to loads connected
at the low- and medium-voltage level. The stochastic load model
is realized through a set of probabilistic load parameters that in-
uence the production of net harmonic current distortion at the
Fig. 11. Fifth harmonic voltage distortion at network buses based on simula-
tion.
Fig. 12. CDF of fth harmonic voltage distortions at four 11-kV sites based on
eld measurements.
TABLE IV
PROBABILISTIC HARMONIC CURRENT SPECTRA OF
COMPOSITE-TYPE HARMONIC LOADS
PCC. These load parameters are typically available from a cus-
tomer load data base and can be obtained at the planning (con-
nection of a newsupply) or operational stage (facilities manage-
ment).
Realistic results regarding harmonic voltage distortions based
on the proposed AHL model and using load parameters derived
from harmonic eld measurements are obtained.
With more accurate data about load parameters made avail-
able, it is envisaged that the proposed AHL model could nd
its application in probabilistic-based harmonic simulation
software.
330 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 22, NO. 1, JANUARY 2007
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The authors would like to thank C. C. Woo and Mr. Megat
of TNB Metering Service and Dr. Fadzil of TNB Research for
their assistance in performing harmonic eld measurements.
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Mau Teng Au (M04) received the B.S.E.E. degree in electrical engineering
from the University of Toledo, Toldeo, OH, in 1986 and the M.Sc. degree in
electrical engineering from Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, in 1996, and
the Ph.D. degree in electrical engineering from the University of Manchester
(formerly UMIST), Manchester, U.K., in 2005.
Currently, he is Principal Lecturer in the Department of Electrical and Elec-
tronic Engineering at the Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Kajang, Malaysia.
Jovica V. Milanovic (M95SM98) received the Dipl.Ing. and M.Sc. degrees
in electrical engineering fromthe University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Yugoslavia,
and the Ph.D. degree from the University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia.
Currently he is a Professor of Electrical Power Engineering with the School
of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Manchester (formerly
UMIST), Manchester, U.K.

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